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Title Page

Validating the Diagnosis of Acute Ischemic Stroke in a National Health Insurance Claims Data

Cheng-Yang Hsieh1,2, Chih-Hung Chen3,4, Chung-Yi Li5, Ming-Liang Lai2,3,4

1Stroke Center and Department of Neurology, Tainan Sin Lau Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan. 2Institute of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Science, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan. 3Stroke Center, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan. 4Department of Neurology, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan. 5Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan

Corresponding Author: Chih-Hung Chen, M.D.

Department of Neurology, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, #1,

University Road, Tainan 701, Taiwan Tel: +886-6-276-6187

Fax: +886-6-237-4285

E-mail: lchih@mail.ncku.edu.tw

Cover title: Acute ischemic stroke validation 4 tables, 1 figure, no supplemental file

Keywords: acute ischemic stroke; claims data; diagnosis; National Health Insurance;

Taiwan Stroke Registry; validation

(2)

Abstract

Background/ Purpose: The National Health Insurance Research Database, which uses

claims data from hospitals contracted with the National Health Insurance (NHI)

program in Taiwan, has been widely used for stroke research. The diagnostic accuracy

of the NHI claims data with regards to acute ischemic stroke (AIS) has rarely been

validated. The aim of this study was to validate the diagnosis of AIS in NHI claims

data using the Taiwan Stroke Registry (TSR) as a reference.

Methods: We retrieved patients with a discharge diagnosis of AIS (5-digit

International Classification of Diseases Code, 9th version [ICD-9 code]: 433xx or

434xx) in a single medical center from August 2006 to December 2008. We then

linked these patients to the TSR to validate their AIS diagnosis in the claims data. The

positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity were determined.

Results: We reviewed the claims data of 1736 consecutive AIS patients, of whom

1299 (74.8%) were linked successfully to the stroke registry database. After reviewing

the medical records and imaging results of other patients not linked to the registry

database (n=437), 235 patients were found to have had an AIS. The PPV was 88.4%

(95% CI: 86.8-89.8%) and sensitivity 97.3% (95% CI: 96.4%-98.1%). Forty-four (21.8%)

of the false-positive cases (n=202) were coded as 433x0 or 434x0.

(3)

5-digit ICD-9 codes to identify AIS cases will markedly decrease the false positive rate

compared to using the commonly used 3-digit method.

Keywords: acute ischemic stroke; claims data; diagnosis; National Health Insurance;

(4)

Text

Introduction

The National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), derived from the

claims data of the National Health Insurance (NHI) program of Taiwan, has been

widely used in studies on stroke.1-6 Although the accuracy of a diagnosis of stroke in

the NHIRD is critical for the veracity of study results, the only article reporting the

validity of the diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in the NHIRD referred to

clinical practice around 13 years ago.7 Advances in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)

sequences (e.g. diffusion weighted image [DWI]) and different case-mix effects (e.g.

increased age and comorbidities of the patients) may have substantially changed the

diagnostic accuracy of AIS.

The Taiwan Stroke Registry (TSR) was established in May 2006, and is the first

national stroke database to assess the quality of stroke care, and represents

approximately 18% of stroke patients nationwide.8 The TSR prospectively identifies

acute stroke admissions, including subjects meeting any 1 of the 5 stroke type

definitions, namely ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, intracerebral

hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), and cerebral venous thrombosis.8,9

Data are collected prospectively by TSR-trained neurologists and study nurses. The

(5)

including clinical care during hospitalization, National Institutes of Health Stroke

Scale at admission, in-hospital complications, stroke risk factors, laboratory results of

blood tests, electrocardiography, computed tomography, and MRI findings, and

medications during admission; (3) discharge status and follow-up information.8,9 In

particular, the TSR data is strictly quality controlled, and is thus a well-validated

stroke database.8

The experience of the Registry of Canadian Stroke Network may be applied in

Taiwan, since both administrative and clinical registry databases are now available for

stroke studies, and further linkage of the NHI claims data with the TSR data is

expected to improve the research level and stroke care quality.10 The aim of the

present study was to validate the diagnosis of AIS in the NHI claims data of a single

medical center using TSR data as a reference, a more efficient way than reviewing all

of the patients’ medical records.

Methods

Data sources and record linkage

Our hospital (National Cheng Kung University Hospital, NCKUH) is a tertiary

referral center contracted with the NHI, with approximately 1200 beds and an

average of 88,000 outpatient visits/month and 28,000 admissions/month. NCKUH

(6)

data from the NHIRD, we got the claims data reported to the Bureau of NHI directly

to reduce the possible missing extraction of data. The in-patient claims of care for the

NHI contain up to five columns of diagnosis at discharge. We retrieved the claims

data of NCKUH for hospitalized patients with 5-digit AIS diagnostic codes

(International Classification of Diseases, 9th version, with clinical modification,

[ICD-9-CM code], 433xx or 434xx) in any column of their discharge diagnoses (up to five)

from August 2006 to December 2008. This differs from the previous validation study

of AIS diagnosis in NHI claims data in which the authors used 3-digit ICD-9 codes for

cases retrieval.7 Each patient in the claims data and TSR data was anonymized by an

encrypted identifier for linkage. We then linked the patients to the TSR database

during this study period. If a patient had multiple hospitalizations for AIS during this

period, only the first hospitalization was included. The study protocol was reviewed

and approved by the Institutional Review Board of the National Cheng Kung

University Medical Center.

Validating the diagnoses of ischemic stroke

The validation process is summarized in Figure. AIS patients in the claims data

who were successfully linked to the TSR database with a consistent diagnosis of AIS

were considered to be accurately diagnosed. The definition of AIS in the TSR was

(7)

persisting for longer than 24 hours, presenting to the hospital within 10 days of

onset, with or without acute ischemic lesion(s) on brain computed tomography (CT)

or with acute ischemic DWI lesion(s) on MRI that corresponded to the clinical

presentations”. Not all of the AIS patients at our medical center were registered in

the TSR database, partly because the definition of AIS was stricter than the World

Health Organization (WHO)’s definition, which is routinely used in clinical practice;

i.e. “Rapidly developing clinical signs of focal (or global) disturbance of cerebral

function, with symptoms lasting for 24 hours or longer or leading to death, with no

apparent cause other than vascular origin,” plus “No evidence of hemorrhage stroke

on brain imaging”, and admitted within 10 days of symptom onset. For those not

linked to the TSR database, further validation was conducted by reviewing the

medical records. A neurologist (CY Hsieh) reviewed the electronic discharge notes

and results of brain imaging (either CT or MRI) of the patients not linked to the TSR.

The patients who fulfilled the definition of either the TSR or WHO were considered

true AIS cases, otherwise they were considered false-positive cases. The final

diagnosis of a false-positive case was also determined by the same neurologist (CY

Hsieh) and separated into 6 categories as follows:

1. Subacute ischemic stroke, i.e. presenting to the hospital within 11-30 days of

(8)

2. Old ischemic stroke, i.e. presenting to the hospital more than 30 days after

symptom onset (e.g. for rehabilitation of stroke-related disability).

3. Precerebral or cerebral artery occlusion without cerebral infarction, i.e.

ICD-9 CM code 433x0 or 434x0.

4. Vasospasm-related cerebral infarction after SAH.

5. “Ruled out” diagnosis, i.e. the AIS diagnosis was ruled out after clinical

evaluation and imaging studies were completed.

6. Other miscoding (e.g. encephalopathy, transient ischemic attack, etc.).

The patients who were considered false-negative using the NHI claims data (i.e.

true AIS cases registered in the TSR but no relevant AIS diagnostic code in the

discharge diagnosis of the NHIRD), were linked to the whole-population

hospitalization files of the NHIRD using birth date, admission date, discharge date,

and sex. Thus, we were able to retrieve the diagnosis for the false-negative cases.

Statistical analysis and methods

We determined the positive-predictive value (PPV), sensitivity, and false-positive

rate of AIS diagnosis with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the NHI

claims data after performing the two-step validation process mentioned above. For

the discharge diagnosis columns (up to five) of the patients’ claims data, we further

(9)

diagnostic codes appeared, and performed a sensitivity analysis to see how many

discharge diagnosis columns should be included when retrieving the AIS patients NHI

claims data to obtain the best PPV and sensitivity. In addition, since AIS may be more

difficult to diagnose in the elderly, those who are more fragile and those having more

disabilities at baseline, we compared the PPV between the elderly (defined as age 65

years and over) and non-elderly subgroups using the chi-square test, and the results

were considered statistically different only when the two-sided p-value was less than

0.05. All analyses and 95% CI for binominal proportions were performed using SAS

9.1 for Windows (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).

Results

From August 2006 to December 2008, there were 1736 consecutive patients

with AIS diagnostic codes in any one column of their discharge diagnoses in the NHI

claims data of NCKUH. After linking with the encrypted identifier of those patients,

1299 (74.8%) patients were successfully linked to the TSR and considered to be an

accurate diagnosis of AIS. For the other 437 patients not linked to the TSR database,

235 patients were considered true-positive AIS cases after review by the neurologist

(Figure). One hundred and fifty-five (66.0%) of these patients fulfilled the stricter TSR

(10)

but not the TSR definition for AIS . Of the 155 patients not registered in the TSR, 40

(25.8%) were admitted to non-neurological departments due to AIS, and 52 (33.5%)

had in-hospital stroke.

As shown in Table 1, the PPV, sensitivity, and false-positive rate of the NHI claims

data for the diagnosis of AIS were 88.4% (95% CI: 86.8%-89.8%), 97.3% (95% CI:

96.4%-98.1%), and 11.6% (95% CI: 10.2%-13.2%), respectively. The final diagnoses of

the 202 false-positive AIS cases in the claims data are summarized in Table 2 and

Table 3. Of the false-negative AIS cases (n=42) in the claims data (i.e. true AIS cases in

the TSR, but no AIS diagnostic codes in the discharge diagnoses), 21 were miscoded

as 435xx (n=5), 436xx (n=5), 438xx (n=5), 431xx (n=4), and 437xx (n=2), and 21 had

no diagnostic code relevant to stroke (430xx to 438xx) in their first 5 discharge

diagnostic codes.

Of the true AIS patients (n=1534), 86.2% (n=1322) had the diagnostic codes of

433xx or 434xx as the principal diagnosis, 4.9% were in the second, 3.8% in the third,

2.7% in the fourth, and 2.4% in the fifth diagnostic column. Including all 5 columns of

discharge diagnoses of the claims data had the best PPV and sensitivity in retrieving

AIS cases (Table 4). The accuracy of AIS diagnosis did not differ between the elderly

and non-elderly (PPV: 88.3% and 88.5% for the elderly and non-elderly, respectively;

(11)

Discussion

In the present study, we demonstrated that the diagnosis of AIS on inpatient

claims data in our medical center had an accuracy (PPV) and sensitivity of 88.4% and

97.3%, respectively, when including all discharge diagnoses (up to 5) to retrieve the

diagnostic codes for AIS. The PPV of the diagnosis of AIS in our study is comparable

to a previous systematic review validating data for AIS diagnosis using administrative

data, in which the PPV ranged from 82% to 92%.11 The diagnostic accuracy was not

affected by the age of the patient. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first

stroke study to link these two large databases (TSR and NHIRD) in Taiwan. The linkage

of administrative and registry data of the stroke patients seems to be representative

of the entire population, with parameters of detailed clinical, laboratory, radiological,

as well as functional outcomes of the stroke patients in Taiwan.

Compared with previous validation study in which only patients older than 55

years were enrolled to validate the AIS diagnosis in the NHIRD,7 the strength of the

present study is that we included a broader age range of AIS patients for validation,

i.e. 17.5% for those 18-55 years and 82.2% for those over 55 years of age. The

validation results from this study were therefore more representative of the general

population.

(12)

to identify the false-positive cases of AIS diagnosis in the claims data and assess the

final diagnosis of these cases. As shown in Table 2, 17.8% of the ischemic stroke

patients were admitted 11-30 days after symptom onset. There are two possible

explanations. First, AIS patients who presented with symptoms other than limb

weakness (e.g. higher cortical function deficits or visual field defects) may not have

been aware of the stroke attack and therefore came to the hospital more than 10

days of symptom onset. Second, the AIS patients who were beneficiaries of the NHI

would have been given critical illness cards for one month because of their AIS. Any

partial medical payments, including those for readmission due to any reason related

to this AIS episode (e.g. airway infection due to dysphagia or in-patient rehabilitation

for disability after AIS), would then be waived within one month after AIS. Patients

may have been given critical illness cards for AIS after being discharged from

admissions in other hospitals due to AIS, and may have subsequently been admitted

again to our center due to another reason. The probability of readmission within one

month after stroke has been reported to be 10% (95% CI: 9-11%) in Taiwan, with the

most common reason being infection.12 The diagnosis of AIS would therefore not be

recorded in the principal discharge diagnosis, and would therefore be a false-positive

case in the claims data. The attending physicians were reluctant to delete the

(13)

reimbursement by NHI might be affected.

In addition, we also found that 15.3% of the false-positive cases were old strokes

coded as AIS, and 6.9% of the false-positive cases were infarction due to vasospasm

after SAH and thus were not true AIS cases. Because there is no corresponding

ICD-9-CM code for vasospasm after SAH, the disease classifier coded the result of

vasospasm, i.e. AIS. As shown in Table 3, 16 patients with either traumatic or

non-traumatic intracranial hemorrhage, as well as 6 patients with transient ischemic

attack were miscoded as AIS. Although this is a small number of cases, they were

markedly miscoded and the administrative staff should be reminded about the

accuracy of coding acute stroke.

Another strength of the present study was that we employed 5-digit ICD-9-CM

codes to retrieve the discharge diagnosis, instead of the 3-digit ICD-9 codes that we

used in our previous validation study7 and most other stroke studies using the

NHIRD .2-6 In total, 21.8% of the false-positive cases were coded as 433x0 or 434x0,

which indicates the occlusion of precerebral or cerebral arteries without cerebral

infarction. Because 99.9% of the discharge diagnoses of in-patient AIS in the NHIRD

use ICD-9-CM codes, at least 20% of the false-positive AIS cases may have been

avoided with the use of modifier codes, i.e. 433x1 or 434x1. Our findings are

(14)

codes did not have an appreciable effect on the accuracy of AIS diagnosis.13 This

difference may be because ICD-9-CM codes have now been used by the NHI for more

than 10 years, so the staff are more experienced in disease classification and thus

provide more appropriate coding.

Only 74.8% of the true AIS patients in our center were registered in the TSR

database. This may be partly due to the stricter definitions for AIS used by the TSR,

i.e. corresponding acute ischemic lesions should be demonstrated on either brain CT

or MRI. Among the 235 patients considered true AIS by the neurologist, 155 (66.0%)

patients also fulfilled the TSR’s definition of AIS. The remaining 80 (34%) patients

either did not receive an MRI examination when corresponding acute ischemic

lesions were not present in the initial CT, or the infarction was too small to be

identified on the MRI-DWI sequence.

Limitations

The limitation of the present study was that tThe validation materials we used

were from only one medical center, so that extrapolation of the results to other

institutes is limited. Different diagnostic facilities may have different and variable

reporting principles, diagnosis coding rules, and criteria of acute ischemic stroke. To

the best of our knowledge, there are no published reports about the validation of AIS

(15)

validation of AIS diagnosis in a non-medical center. Besides, this study used TSR as a

standard reference. Although TSR is a well-designed registry, but data in TSR had

their own enrolled criteria of AIS which may be different from in NHI claims data,

such as days stroke onset, enrolled admission department to neurology vs. all

departments, etc. However, we try our best to solve this discrepancy by reviewing

the medical records and image results of cases not linked to TSR to confirm whether

their AIS diagnoses were true. Finally, we retrieved only the first AIS episode for

patients with multiple hospitalizations for AIS to avoid old strokes miscoded as acute

ones. It may exclude some patients with definite recurrent AIS.

Conclusion

The PPV and sensitivity of inpatient NHI claims data were both high in this

medical center. Using 5-digit ICD-9-CM codes to retrieve the AIS diagnostic codes (i.e.

433x1 or 434x1) will decrease the number of false-positive AIS cases identified from

the claims data by at least 20%, and it should be applied in the future for AIS studies

(16)

Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank Edward Chia-Cheng Lai for his assistance in statistical

programming, Dr. Meng-Tsang Hsieh for his collection of medical records, professor

Yea-Huei Kao Yang and assistant professor Ching-Lan Cheng for their critical review of

(17)

Sources of funding: This research was funded by National Cheng Kung University

Hospital (NCKUH-10101001), Tainan Sin Lau Hospital (SLH-10124), and the Taiwan

National Science Council (NSC 96-2320-B-006-028-MY3), Multidisciplinary Center of

Excellence for Clinical Trial and Research (DOH100-TD-B-111-002), Department of

Health, Executive Yuan, Taiwan. The funding sources had no role in the design,

analysis, interpretation, or reporting of results or in the decision to submit the

manuscript for publication.

(18)

References

1. National Health Research Institute: Background of National Health Insurance Research Database. http://www.Nhri.Org.Tw/nhird/en/index.htm. Assessed October 12, 2012.

2. Lin HC, Xirasagar S, Chen CH, Lin CC, Lee HC: Association between physician volume and hospitalization costs for patients with stroke in Taiwan: a nationwide population-based study. Stroke. 2007;38:1565-9.

3. Tung YC, Chang GM: The effect of cuts in reimbursement on stroke outcome: A nationwide population-based study during the period 1998 to 2007.

Stroke.2010;41:504-509.

4. Chang CH, Shau WY, Kuo CW, Chen ST, Lai MS: Increased risk of stroke associated with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: A nationwide case-crossover study.

Stroke.2010;41:1884-1890.

5. Chen PC, Muo CH, Lee YT, Yu YH, Sung FC: Lung cancer and incidence of stroke: A population-based cohort study. Stroke.2011;42:3034-3039.

6. Sheu JJ, Kang JH, Lou HY, Lin HC: Reflux esophagitis and the risk of stroke in young adults: A 1-year population-based follow-up study. Stroke.2010;41:2033-2037.

7. Cheng CL, Kao YH, Lin SJ, Lee CH, Lai ML: Validation of the National Health Insurance Research Database with ischemic stroke cases in Taiwan.

Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf.2011;20:236-242.

8. Hsieh FI, Lien LM, Chen ST, Bai CH, Sun MC, Tseng HP, Chen YW, Chen CH, Jeng JS, Tsai SY, Lin HJ, Liu CH, Lo YK, Chen HJ, Chiu HC, Lai ML, Lin RT, Sun MH, Yip BS, Chiou HY, Hsu CY; Taiwan Stroke Registry Investigators: Get With the Guidelines-Stroke performance indicators: Surveillance of stroke care in the Taiwan Stroke Registry: Get With the Guidelines-Stroke in Taiwan.

Circulation.2010;122:1116-1123.

9. http://circ.ahajournals.org/content/suppl/2010/08/26/CIRCULATIONAHA.110.9 36526.DC1/CIR200805-Online_Appendix.pdf. Assessed September 24, 2012. 10. Fang J, Kapral MK, Richards J, Robertson A, Stamplecoski M, Silver FL: The

Registry of Canadian Stroke Network : An evolving methodology. Acta Neurol

Taiwan.2011;20:77-84.

11. Andrade SE, Harrold LR, Tjia J, Cutrona SL, Saczynski JS, Dodd KS, Goldberg RJ, Gurwitz JH: A systematic review of validated methods for identifying

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12. Lin HJ, Chang WL, Tseng MC: Readmission after stroke in a hospital-based registry: Risk, etiologies, and risk factors. Neurology.2011;76:438-443.

13. Goldstein LB: Accuracy of ICD-9-CM Coding for the Indentification of Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke: Effect of Modifier Codes. Stroke.1998;29:1602-1604.

(20)

Tables

Table 1: Validation of National Health Insurance (NHI) claims records on acute

ischemic stroke (AIS)

Validation results, number

AIS (+) AIS (-) Sum

NHI claims diagnosis for AIS

+ 1534 202 1736

- 42 NA NA

Sum 1576 NA NA

(21)

Table 2: The reasons for false-positive AIS diagnoses (N=202) and their percentage

Reasons N (%)

Other miscoding 57 (28.2)

433x0 or 434x0 44 (21.8)

Subacute ischemic stroke 36 (17.8)

Old ischemic stroke 31 (15.3)

Ruled out diagnosis 20 (9.9)

Vasospasm after subarachnoid hemorrhage 14 (6.9)

Definition of subacute: 11-30 days, and old stroke: >30 days after symptom onset.

(22)

Table 3: Final diagnoses of other miscoding false-positive (N=57) cases and their

percentage

Reasons N (%)

Intracranial hemorrhage* 16 (28.1)

Other neurological diseases† 15 (26.3)

Toxic/metabolic/anoxic encephalopathy 1311

(22.819.3)

Brain tumor‡ 6 (10.5)

Transient ischemic attack 6 (10.5)

Hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia 2 (3.5)

Epilepsy 1 (1.8)

*Intracranial hemorrhage included both spontaneous and traumatic cases;

other neurological diseases included neurodegenerative diseases, non-diabetic

ischemic oculomotor nerve palsy, cerebral autosomal dominant arteriopathy with

subcortical infarcts and leukoencephalopathy, and peripheral neuropathy.

(23)

Table 4: Sensitivity analysis for the effect of enrolling different numbers of discharge

diagnoses on positive-predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity

PPV (%) Sensitivity

Principal diagnosis only 76.1 96.9

Principal + 2nd diagnoses 80.4 97.1

Principal + 2nd + 3rd diagnoses 83.8 97.2

Principal + 2nd + 3rd + 4th diagnoses 86.2 97.3 Principal + 2nd + 3rd + 4th + 5th diagnoses 88.4 97.3

(24)

Figure legends

數據

Table 1: Validation of National Health Insurance (NHI) claims records on acute
Table 2: The reasons for false-positive AIS diagnoses (N=202) and their percentage
Table  3:  Final  diagnoses  of   other   miscoding   false-positive   (N=57)   cases  and  their
Table 4: Sensitivity analysis for the effect of enrolling different numbers of discharge

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