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臺灣地區重大傷病醫療費用推估

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表 2  重 大 傷 病 門 診 醫 療 資 料 量   觀察年度  1996  1997  1998  1999  2000  2001  資料筆數  3071993  3478998  4064823  4518433  4937040  5514320  資料大小(MB)  615.23  696.75  814.07  904.93  988.75  1104.37  ㆒ 、 台 灣 ㆞ 區 重 大 傷 病 盛 行 率 概 況 流行病學㆗描述疾病在㆟口㆗蔓延情形,通常藉由疾病盛行率( prevale
圖 5  紐 西 蘭 糖 尿 病 推 估 流 程     本文重大傷病費用的推估仿照㆖圖,先由 scenario B 考慮未來㆟口推估開 始,加入重大傷病死亡率與㆒般死亡率,計算出因死亡率㆘降(即㆟口老化) ㆘未來重大傷病的盛行情形(如圖 5 scenario D) 。然而並非只有㆟口結構會隨著 時間變動,健康照護與疾病盛行情形也將隨著時間變動,其㆗健康照護隨時間 進步使得疾病患者死亡率㆘降,造成重大傷病死亡率與㆒般死亡率㆘降,所以 在 scenario D 之外分別加㆖重大傷病死亡率與㆒般死亡率的㆘降、與
Illustration of logistic curve
圖 9  平均每㆟ 1~25 年重大傷病門診醫療成本收支平衡圖(16 與 38 歲)

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