第一次石油危機後世界石油市場結構之變化:石油發展專題研究 -7-

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(3) .-. ffH-3tF.B:The Economist, December 22, 1979, p.49.. a$+%.@. : 1 9 7 4 + ~ ~ ~ H U J o Chesshire hn and Keith Pavitt, Technological Alternatives for. Social and. they Future Energy,. Science. Policy Research-Unit, University of Sussex, Brighton, England,. 1wm~31 RHR~. 1977, P. 9; 1 9 7 4 e ~ & m ~ ~ s t ~ $ w. 0. A. !a.

(4) %H$ff@:Exxon, World Energy Prospect,. [%@SF11 584%. 9. eH;xffa : Keesings. 1980. March. .jjZSgj (1980,7,1) p. 3.. Contemporary Archives 1977, p. 28065; 1978,. p. 28895; 1979, P.29981..

(5) lid Bh. Y 01 $1 ' 'a.&. 22 zlf 24. flrC %$. *38. 7) ku % % %. TI IlH. n : {$. = 2L. -Y. Fh%$ zIg&y$. 35-2Fhd. %@@a. V ? , / - ~ u 2g &YUhil@ q. - 'a.\f. gg. Qj":#ggg %h\f@$kV 5% K& Z \r/. ~. ~. 3. O. 7 G. * *. E %. Y gku7 - - - @-?%*% I M % +!a - kg \a,G qG3\f?F % VzlE!!2 $ g o ? ' $3 -w@+ @ H4 $5 i%z9%wj --g$o.yz 3 +5 Bd 7% !&# s-t; g $g @I 1 - % fl 3 lr' 77 4) 1 (6 !14! 2- YI 7~ @i ? 3$ 7 14 [( y& bu yi; y-b(1 $$ &j G 3 Xf &%If hlj - 0 Xll El LHJ Lqg$$$gy Gdl. T? 4% -& iiil -q& %LI -C% 9 W N is# 23 g $3 \f y$ 2 H#Z+,g$% & !% %% w Yh?Y-?, gJ k % ? & ! % 4kl B! E @a ~ ~ T - 4F Y e $@?Z;gzl % @ Y %*-7 3 I @ @%% 3-71 'I.4 Z G j&Ig-T(* g T 34 Y >gq*g & $ ' Z - u $g w g 5 BUZzl!! %ZE&'Kl d 6' 3 p a ? @ @ ~ y z z g +a \f 3 a 3k & y y . I ~ E ! I ? Y % 3 5% - % 3 2FB-hil 8 br,Y%o l5l-I-I & &-"" k l Y G - V % $ 7%Y & S a Y * ZEl!UtrXf ' G* @ M a g + 1 g 3 4 p aog 8; 2 4 ~ l u 7 3 E ~ & E I K &a lf+% 3a~rn-43 p~u ~ F - % & z -=%I'LC @i. pJ& g &Y$2'% 1 T( 34 3 4 q!J 4g &a$ $z 81 ! 2 %j 3 % d % 2 L ! a 3t kc ?T+ $Ti ,- 3 Z J $g EJJ & $ a @ % % N 7 0 % 1 43~2498 Z # f ) % B % I 31 EB~: ~ c 3 2 3gqf& 5 v w a r 3 % - E!@S 3 & $ $ q % J4$ %%&% @ @4 LnJ % 724 I %3&7q% 'a'$ !$ q S M ' @ 3 $ @ @ &Yd % Y I Z gk g 3 - L Y L d - !a++&+!& 8 5 7 q! G L E I mot a J u f @ + + r ~ & Y Q I )g $ $ $&M3&$3 MB ' n Z ? ! - aicurhe q, !-j!-%%!$ %!4@jL$g 7'ZMqn 8f.P . g ~@ ~ 4 @ 4 X a Y*LRda M%' @ s ! & $ $.P z j _ g . 2g -9 - \ i f g o n Y 4% YJ ? 4g Y El4 qy@&r;l'gg Z?*Dsz * Y Z % M WizI $-a$$$u 0 - ? % % g,. :. %. ~. gj \,\,. 0. b. *. +. i. z. $ $. g 2' Y. a?'a. 0 L. 20 g 5 2 m. &. 2. .-C C- .-0. a is,. O. a. *. O. O. 1. I. 81. &%4. - 0 % 7 V g y a ~ n. - 3 -Y Z E! $5! @i.-. g. s. o. q. 7. ,. ;?. M ; ? . M m. ... s&'%- u. &-. u.. @:. #* -. &i B @i Y& E% %i! it.4 8 !A ~ * " Y d 4 $ 3 E!Y. uaq.~ %8r&Y elilS( a. O. v% Z Y H ~Z n B U r-C. wc 3l 6d $. (r. d. -. O 2 E .. z g. .s32:. .zLI al. :. .-. lP i. ZGJ=. ;E. 0. LI. Eg. Z S. u g g g. c" z 5 $ al .n .f .f. r " E L L. %:-.-.. 'c) a ;. .$ C .. a & -E -E. .d. :. :.. i 2 k k. ~. -%ZnMI@& Y * 3 % % a % - 3 d . F i-2'2. '.

(6) B#;nff$i$i :Exxon, World Energy Prospect, March 1980, I$?$ IlE!$?Jl 9 %-I-9 a3 (1980,7.11 P.4..

(7) '86.d '(6L61 'Kuedwo3 8U!qS!Iqnd ~a8u!11ea: 'ssen 'a%p!Jqwe3) s * ~ 1Cluamj a ~ l x a a~ y j :1C8*aug 'slaqto pue Blaqspueq 'H SUeH. : g!gzMg.

(8) !&#%% :Monthly Energy Review, U. S . Department of Energy, various issues: Hans H. Landsberg, "Let's All Play Energy Policy !". Dedalus, Summer 1980, p.74.. ,.

(9) :$&$BP&@gStatistical. Review of the Wmld Oil I ~ d u s t r y;nQKeesing's ContemPorary Archives 1976, p. 28064;1977, pp. 28895-6; 1979, p. 29981; 1980, p. 30564.. BH3hB :The Economist, December. 29,1979, p. 45..

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(11) BHR@ :Monthy. Energy Review. U . S . Department of Energy, various iss'ues; Hans H. Landsberg, "Let's All play Energy" Policy, Dedalus, Summer 1980,p. 75.. AfL : eg$&jb@sg&. 3%HRE. csa:loRa>. Oil and Gas journal^ 7 E$Financial Times, November 10, 1980, p. 17..

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(13) $E!%BP&@EStatistical Review of the World Oil Industry ;B B Keesing's Archives 1975, p. 2'7359; 1976, p. 28064; 1979, p. 29981 ; 1980, p. 30564. ~$\%A :Financial Times, November 10, 1980, p. 17..

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(15) 0. % :W&EZ (Australasia) Bg@M 3- :,mEBaB%k*%%. ~ = : ~ B B ~ % ~ k o 1976,. -. f E$$jEk+j&$&go. P.28064; 1977, pp. 28895-6; 1979, p. 29981 ;1980, p. 30564.. B##@:@%BP,Statistical Review of the W o r l d Oil Indusfry&ql!$ :m & K e e s i n g s C~nirmPoraryArchices.

(16) WN;xffE: IEA, Outlook for the Eighties: Summary of 1979 Review of Energy Policies and Programs of IEA Countries (Paris: O E C D , 1980), p. 14..

(17) 1.E 6'1. 1: 1:. :. '. 1: I. 7?Gg. 3. 1. z'S. 3b&'zY% @&. 1:::. --. 0'001 L'19. 0'001 I'Z9. 819 8'OE. 6'09 1. 1'8P 6'6Z. 1 IS.81. E'1E 6.61. 8-62 2.81. :. E'8. P'EI. lox. 1.z. Z'E. P'E. 8'2 IL.I. Z'Z v.1. :. Z'P 9'2. 8L61. 1;::'. LL61. L'Z 9.1. ;:;1. -. i. 9'2 v.1. L'E. iz*z. 8'E 1-z. 11. P'Z. E'P. ip.z. 1:; I r a 1 -. Z'Z 1 Z'S. 1.E. 7? G.!3. 1 1 1rs1 7?-%.!3 z3 8 7?+5!3.. 1 :1 : I : I I I 7?+3.!3. r a. E'OE. 6.29. P'6P Z. 9.L1. 0'62 10.91. 0'001 6. 7?43.!3. 6.0'2 )6'L1. %%. 7?-&.!3. S'ES. [Lao€ O'1E 0'001 0'89. 0'001 9 9. 9L61. PL61. SL61. 1s 4. 1 1. 7443s ZZ 8. 0'001 6'LS. ~2~ 7?%wd. ++~+~ t#%Mqk@'@i ~ ~ % $ ~ % Y 3 3 d 0 33d0 -. 26. W. EL61.

(18) 3 1 . %s i\ +XI11 g -b --,. 1978. /. 1979. @%. 60,190. 62,400. $ &@%. 46,425. 48,370. r%ka%. 12,170 8,700 1,315 1,080 355 720. 12,745 8,535 1,495 1,570 405 740. 4,455 1,215 485 2,755. 4,915 1,460 525 2,930. 29,800 1,160 200 210 1,635 5,240 2,560 1,895 1,985 475 1,895 485 8,065. 30,710 1,135 215 205 1,590 3,035 3,435 2,215 2,065 565 2,305 505 9,250. tLbfiR. 1,830 1,445 365 20 2,165. 1,835 1,465 355 15 2,355. #B%E f%. 13,765 11,215 2,080 470. 3. El fin $ A % El 8% E& # fth. %OPECF%@+!a%. %Ei% %? 3 L g fh. OPEC. AH w$lla rirn&n fin%. ma. Pi34. sft@%. $w+$. $II !kg. WLE %W$I]$ -I63. ?LbLa @wa%zi imljsbk. $kR. %?3%e +#. sH;xff.E: Gerald. 14,030 11,470 2,120(1.9%) 440. A. Rosen and Joseph W. Twinam, "Oil-Supply Pr:spects and U. S. International Energy Policy, Department of State Bulletin, Vol. 80, No. 2043 (October 1980), p. 39.

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(21) % -. BR*E :M. A.. Adelman, The World Petroleum Market, pp. 80-81,90; Petroleum Intelligence Weekly, Feb!,uary 25.1980, pp. 3-4;@$ Brian Levy, "World Oil Marketing in Transition, International Organization, Vol. 36, No. 1 (Winter 1982), p. 121.. + @. 82.

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