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歐洲安全情勢變化對兩岸關係之意義及影響

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(17) ~rffl~:i:'FR~!I!{t!f~i¥IHI1*Z:l!Ui&~.. 187. 3t~~t*9~~31:. ftfLRif.=F.1 +.liSI¥J. ~~~~lf)l-1L. BJttp*f;j-Ei'1fL$'tMIiF · ~§lflnIX:Mjli16.it.fJUfJ r ~~jft~ J (deeply regret) 1¥J'B';fi3t.IVI~&:f;j:lL~ . mt7G~.oo.~m~~.IHM1t(?t;@~tp*I¥J¥IHl ;. tp*18-Ei' ; Alfi !l.f Pl tt I¥J ~ 'WIHilf , ~==JJU~U[Z:;Jtp ~=F.-Ytp~.. ml¥J 1[1tJ IHJ1* . ,fill¥JilJF: · 1§J1U ~~~I¥JIHJ.t~. B4-0145196 Mf~~~. , '&~.itPl~§~~.l¥JnUi!l. =~~it~~~f;j-ftft.liif.~~itm&rWtp~~:lL.~~~IHJ~J~~. ".~fj:.=F.1ftS~~itE~RRrWtp~~:lL~OO~~IHJ~J~~~I¥J@. J!I ' ~1f:ii!!~~f;j-Ei'#i1W~I¥JIHJ;[,\ ; ~ § Z ' ~it3t~-Ei'.1*~ln ~1: ' E:l IE ' W}JII¥J1I1W:*,JIWr · ~iftgt~:lt1¥.;fSJnsp..~~itJJ!~~n -~M~ r-Ei' .~eJI¥J~M~~'~~~~*~-~M~~~~~#m~~$WE:l~~. ~T~ntz~·.lIiID.·~.oo.~.it~7~-ftftRfj:.W-ftftftfj:.M1t. fif;j-Ei'#i• • ~~~~r~.~*JI¥J.7Gtt:lL~~·~~*~~~ff:fSJA. ¥.J 5iR:*: ~l=I.1J Uf. .1¥J~JJ!lfm·&:.~~itf;j-Ei'.~~.1tzIHJWW~m·~.~·IX:~~. t>tMUI~*1:.. *~#~.oo.I¥J.jli16~m• • ·~*ift~s:ttp*iI&~~.1JI¥J •• ·:lt~RRI¥J. '¥ . fHi- il&mit ~ •• ~:*:$1)}. ~~3t~~.I¥J~IX:~~.·WIX:.oo.3~iI&W • •ln~*W~I¥J~.·. i~*iftm~:ft!J. ~~&B!p"~nti&ml¥J'WIJT. ~ s:tIX:M IDi9iff:. ••• itlfM~l¥Jn1t~~ili~~ri&.~.JI¥J~~'.*~.~~~:lL. 0. ••. LI¥J~*~~~~~o'&?t·gtlX:.oo.~~I¥J~~R~*~·~.~z~.~. · r,,'~ltR~ln~.oo.~~it. (European Commission). alit • ~~lf~ ~~~1:iI&~1¥J. ;.1J1#:s:-Ei'.1¥J ,iID"§" J I¥J il&m ~Jtf.it WIX:M. ". ~it*,~t.iJI. 17 : 3 ; 1996 :. J&~lftp*~ ~ 1I:ft!J&:H9H±l ?gRY1t~nt~ ~(9tl: -~-. .-AA~$~~+A8~B~r~~~~~.~~~~.5.J .3![ffl~~fJOAliI1~*,fi~ S3 . . •~~~~. •. pg~1if~JJUIU\5 : (l)~~~~t* .. ~~tJlfliPrifo¥~~*1f- . {l3.t!HEJA!1#iWPrifo¥1'1~ ~1n~~lfi~. ; (2).1JEcp~"~~~"Hr]ZJ!IHI1*:M!*lffllil~.JE ·1Jlf.cp~0ml jji;m{xW1W?5L""F i!f1'J!iUJf~j\1J ; (3)1Jlf.I.t.OO?ili• • !1CP~1ifg~ . j;)J.~t*~~~ .~ • • • liI1~m~~~.tt·~~1nA~·~I· • • • a·~~.~.~~ ~~B9:R~ ; (4).*fA~lttlH.;]i.~~~~~t~rr~.at· "Resolution on the Commission Communication on a long term policy for China-Europe relations" (COM (95) 0279-C4-0288195) 54 1i.~ifB'iim : (1)!1~WiPri~IJi1ZmHm~B91Hlli~'ll.ff-IHI1;1]. [EJIF-¥WI~Pri~fjg1t M~.1'1~:M!~.3MOOMB9~~;~~m • • m~~.rr.~.m.[EJIF-¥~. ~~.*lfflmffZaR(a~m~)·. • • • ~~ft~,:M!%~ • • ~JECP.~. ~~tfp~ ; (3)3![fflPri~Fd'j;fOZJSM~'P'mffl. :M!1Jlf.~M~.&fA~lt~fPJ1JE{ll!~nlG ~trategy. for the. 'airs, 1995), P.2.. ~-§~;~WI~.~iliM~r~~~mJB9.Wln.,n.:M!.~.Ii~~$ "13~B9ftfU~Ij""F~nlGz. ffl1n g§ . . . ~ ~. OA 1!!:W*Ji~ J. 0. ; (S)3![ffl r -@CPiIJ J. I*~IJ. . {§'1'[EJ?X:1t~~'ll.[EJIF-¥~. "Resolution on the communication from the commission ­. Building a Comprehensive Partnership with China" (COM (98) 0181-C4-0148198).

(18) -.~.E.~~ • • ~~.M,. • •~~*ti~~~.~.~*~A~.. fDG~~~~.. ~§·~.a~~a.~.*·~.*W~*-¥OO~~~~.§~(C~. ~~A:iji:. Decision Procedure) *~ , ~.M § W1iIDWm~Fs~~~H~gf*f.';jMU~1*~~@]. aJt~*:rm~. .~It. .W1~.MWm~g~~~ffi~ft-A~~~'~.~.~~~~~~~b. tx#i9'err m1¥JJl'JIt·. W.~.~·.W~ft,~~~~.a.~.~.M~W#~.~~'~~~. :gt~U~af~. ~~*z.13t. 1¥Jtu~. '. **~~- J::i~~5Up)iiilf~. '. , ~.M~P~:f:jJL\ft- A llif{E9i~J~'lFF~~ •. ~tgiIDWj!§"1J~~~A.ffl~b. '. ]!!~~~f;7Ja~!tlmiJJ. r *~. ).'f.5C: J ~m.'!iw.~.i§'!i • ili~1:f:* ' a{r'~~~tgW~.M~~~).'f.5C:J!x:~ *~·~.~~7~~*j!§"#~~g~~~.,~~~ft~A.ffl.~*L~ *~jf~~A.ffl~c~i:@:-JJi~.. g. 0. 0. '. r. . fit. 59: ~§z.. r 1ijS1Jfb,]=9!f. fW~Z. ~'M!$'~1L~~W.~tg~itftlm;fIJmriJ'!!:f:j. , ~*Lti~~~ftj!§"1Jg1*~*1t~. ¥tli:l#ffmFfl. ~tgmft-It*~Jl(lJIif~WpJf:f:j~t¥=.1J1JG~~~).'f.5C:!Ul. *I?a:i~~tI. ~t¥=.1lma~~~@lr$ftt~~~Ml7(.. .~j§,EVGJtmilf.. f*. '. :. 551f}g,t~~ili~OORP)*~iJJ~-iJtiJt&j!§"1Jx'§'*~. ,. ~tgf~:p.e~. 1f}1JF~~.M~~!1Z'.fF.f*f7,hji{m~iIf~~IDI!lf!l'Jl'J{g· ~tij!§"1J1¥J¥JS. §.. '. ~~M.ff-}". ~.~:rotf~. r p)~~m1§1¥J~t¥=.1m[IJ J ~m~ . J!~f{E~ffi~~pJT ~1¥J r *~"f.x J .~e~@Amf{E~~m ' '8-1JiID.:lmiJJpgtfB~&~t¥=.111i ~ , ~-1JiIDm~~~fF.f1~~~.M~@j*~ . 3Z.!1Z,~~~~t¥=.1J1JG~~fit,{EIWi •. ~~~):E'. ~1:f:ARW.~R. (G~)ffi~~1¥Jft.~;fIJ~. -3&5[~~1. 1J*fF.f ' ~P) r ~~~ICA (hawk) J:fO r ll!fIU1t~~~~ J *mrrs¥~~56 ·. 1&f)J~.i§:tr. ;fI3W~$~~~ff:!!;~t¥=.1J1JG~~tiP!2~~m, +JE.M~~~iIDWj!§"1J~~1¥J~. ~). ~~~·~~*mmr~~*.~A.·rr.~.~A.(~~)Jwr.*~. .f'Fm. &iID·.~~.iIDJ1¥J~~B.omW1-@j~.~~mm~~.~~.m1¥J. *ii.,1;. ~:p.T.-l$:J;m~m. r ~'¥.~ J:. ~.a¥JS.rA~m[IJJ. R z.W1~tg~*~~iJJ!l1!UlfB¥JS.::ffl*~. (T. Blair) ~JEf. '. 1¥JJ!x: .Wfll. m~~1¥JM. • PJf~ J. ~. W):EBit (C. W~ARz.13t~.~mw.~~~~a~~liiJJfl:i:@:mMOO~~-1JiIDW.. .M)ti~1!ll. MJi!~tg~XA.~alj~, §m~7~' ~m~~' ~tg~*Iif*;@W~ff:!!;~t¥=.1. ~lm:. r f~. ~~.1f}f 55 . David Wastel!. Andrew Gilligan, Tom Baldwin, "NATO defies China's bomb fury,". Electronic Telegraph, May, 9, 1999. ~~ rW~~~.~~~~m.w.m. •• ,. 58 J. '.~~OO~ft,. fLWl'-fLfLfL~t;F.l· 57. ~~AJ=j ~1l]~tiIljiI*E2 Stephen Byers IDJr"'~tJj[, ~m::lt*,,]w1l::!MJ¥j~mIJj[. t&~~-fl[IWWJ~VgI¥'l~~. 0. David R,. Telegrap. 59. r. 60 . Chris Pa. thefutur,.

(19) ~~~~.~~~~M~~.~.3&... t~)1UA~m. l~. 19:7/- :XJ~~. • • ~I¥9~ • • • IUJ~'~~ • • • ¥~~~l'~ft~r$.~J~MA* m~Am;~-~oo~W~~~~;:ft*I¥9~~~A·f.j~• •i&J(f• • r~ ~~*M~ (~jflUJ~) 1¥9¥JJf$ (something has to be done) J 58 cp*!ltll r tti5~"F J I¥9{9lJ-=f:lt.l'M1f)[~ . iID~~::k~l4!i1:E r ~f;jtJ J (tactics) ffll¥9~M,ttttfu.~~~·.~.~~~~+~B~~M.,~• • ~m it~Jg1&1~~~ , ~aJl~~ r ~gTffl:f&~iJ'..m ' ;:ft~fu~.T¥W~f&:f:j:gm B'9iJ'..m . ~3.}*~rtcl~~~~~~lXmI . l'ij~m513I~~:ltffl!:f:j:gmB<]{:f1BJ~~ J S9; ~i3L' ~ • • *€iJETcp*OO-=f' ;:ft*~~gtf.j:7/-'§'~:{I~~~~+~. ~~WtJ:fJ!. "F1U~rtcl~~~l¥9ff{li. ~fjjj; (Co­. ~i*~I¥9@J ,~1'7iW1&;. 0. 8<]i&m~1J. loJ'::t:lt~ fl!ltJr::k~. 0. 0. ~fD1M~~. iW~L~-Wtl.~B~~~fJ;J, :p.~g::R:fifIX~~;:ft~~~~3.}*~f~:ittJN. IS 1*1¥9 fflfE~ VJ 8<] ~i- 3( IUJ. ¥Ui5tM~j¥, t;jPl'~7RIX~Wcp*l¥9i&mlUJf*l'Wt~cp~~· ~jfflfl~r A. f'!1J;J,:p.Sl' fl.~-ij8i ' rtHcp*P,ff Jffd cf':l'1W. .1X~~A~j¥lUJ~I¥9~.~~~.'~.~~1:E~IX~-ft~:7/-:X.~~. 11ltx: lJn~. 0. '*~fDZjS F~m56. ,. m~l¥9~. r tJ1i::k!jl ~ tlt ff.J 1¥9. .~~±... i&mI¥9J}]f1~. J 0. 1¥9~ •. . ~~~Pill~@A~~}fjtt.~ • *:tt£iIDi3 '. ;:ft~~.CP~~~1¥9iJ'.1tf:J!ElJmT -lJiiJ'... ~~~~. '. ;:ft*f1~1§7t~~~. ~PIX~~ftl¥9J1. , ;:ft*gt~ft~imff.J5tfti§~pg$~~I¥915iOO ~~~~)1U~±'~ B'9~.ti.'~ • • • • "~U.mm1M'~#mmtilX~:ltf&~~ • • • • • • I¥9~15i'M*W • • mP,ff.r*~~:XJI¥9.Mo~~tilX~+~~ -3&::R:fif;:ft~J~.m~~l¥9ft£~[] , cp~rmf.j G-8 fJ!ml¥9~3.}*~:fOZjS~~ , it 0. ~ill~~~~.l'~l'1:E~~~~~Wt~"F~.~(:lt~+~~~~.~ ~). ,m:fif~~.~.rG~~• • ~~~T~~Wt1:E~ • • ~W~~I¥9~. ,. ~~mJwrcp~J1~~~~M • • J 'B~i§~~~.~~.OOI¥9¥®.. *.~. J1~'Bf1~~~¥~Jg;. )i&fff·. , Cp~~P*&:\f1~TUT* 1iU~tJ!tf~1tU!1l1¥9 W~Ejt (Chris Patten) l£;ttlH'F r *~!fi!i§~ J (East and West) cp~~ r (IX. I]WJf.j~. !ail) f.jcp~iI&mmHj1fIL\mj]JfM¥UJg; J 'K3I**~Il¥i§~~~ff!-3&f.jCP. ~ffl!;:fcf3. ~.:. 0. r~(cp~)~m • • • • ,a~l'~~;~*~m~Am.m.,. .1'~~mi&~~~~.~~I¥9~~J~·m~Ejt§n~~IX~~.Wt.~. nb fury,". 'm=+ ~wu){~. Rennie, "Blair's hard line on Kosovo causes rift with China," Electronic Telegraph, June 7, 1999. ~ r~.m~* ~.~.J 'AM8~,-ftftft~~~+~B·m~~· 60 Chris Patten, East and West: the last governor of Hong Kong on power, freedom and thefuture, (London:<acmillan, 1998), Chapter 9.. 58 David. ••.

(20) (external Relations) '~~M:ftItJ~[5.J11-xII&Jf'i. ~~~1~~. ~m~®§'~~~~~[5.J~~M11-x$~o~~'W~m~11-~~~§~. M*H{*Ef"j ,If:j , ~ 11-.;p. , W.~MB"rW11-.~. afi-~~~~~Wb·a.W~mftilitiM~H~.ffi~.$,a~~U. : Jt- '~Mff!$HI~-EJ~titJLJ!~~~*~~H{*; Jt= · ~.§.ti~~~5A.~ •• &m~~;Jt-'ff.M* •• H~ti.M *~3I~m~, {ElM*MC-~9C1;k:~{tt:&\~j\u):m r i3fitJ (voluntary) , rfD ZP:J ~ rfigmJ (agreement) ~J1jUW61 p),W~m~ftf:ItgfD~tJ!b ,9;HMrJg. ~~1Wl. M*'P3RXP)'T=~~. 0. .N.~&~.MtiM*~rIl&.*MJ '~fi~~.M~Jf'i.m~-&H. ffi-lJiftfl1 fLfL1\~t: ~~::I1!r tL. Baroness Emma. r~~Mi. , ¥A~.~~~{f:$W~m®&~.Mti~tJitW-EJ~tH{*~. &~:$'i-b1. f;TIM*H{*~7EP:r. Nicholson fiJf§ ~~ (tone) 62. afr'56m~. ' ~~D~7H[m. r 11-::;:.~~. J mlJ::tr.t. .§~,~t. 0. ~§¥tlr. (TRA). r4. MI!NJ~ J B' ~~.~~~M~P:r.~W~M.M~~~~mfiN~rn.. ~. JiJ2r,B. r n~.~II&I& J (Red-Green Coalition) ~re:. ' m~RX~ 1!NJ~~11-a.m.~ •• ~~fDII&~m~~~~~'~Jf'i.M&¥W •• ~ 9~3&.M.,L\*iI!if!?l~~1!NJ15~iU~Jt~~~*63 , J!i!.~J::~~~.li~~ , iJ2~ ~~::t;;~,~.Mft Am*Im{*~r",'9 ~t*,J5I:lI~m.M~~ , .~if.M¥A ~.RX~*.&m'W~~~H~W.~Mti11-II&.ffi.~"~ •• 'iJ2~ •• P:r~m~~MftAm*H~~~~~·.~'~~~~~MI!NJRftAM. ®®ti~~. *H~W~M.Mtim*~~~~~§ff!'m~~~~ff~~~~R~H. {~~mft. ; •• ~'~.&fifiti-EJfi ••g~~~~~~~ff!tiJf'i'*~~W~ ~~*~Jf'i~film,Jt~~*~~~~II&~~ •• W~I!NJ~~~~~~~'. ~~,~:. H~. , f9Il~D~1!NJ. :rejt.~D1. m11-XJ ]. ~*.. 0. i. I. ~~Ma*~~J::~·ili~*'~M~M~tiM*H~~~rfDzp:m1;k:~~J. I!JlP)'fD. P),§M~. ~~~o. re:.. J. '1. ~JL~,miJ2~±~~'~~ffi.~~~I!NJ.~~~§*I!NJR~~~§W~ 64 . JiU!!~. 61 Simon Macklin, "Nurture Taipei, says Patten," South China Morning Post, September 3, 1999. 62 Ibid... 63. **~15-tlttt9 ~ ~. ;. Vivien Pik-Kwan Chan, "Cross-strait feud an. 'internal affairs'," South China Morning Post, September 9, 1999.. (B)(4)1'N. PJTIHfI. ftJ1.~JM 65 . Richar( 1997)..

(21) \W.: 7JtI ~~'I#~~HJHt!:t iiW ~ 1IIl1* ~inlU~:~.. 191. , ~t*~UE~t#fMt~~~jJ1r A. 9l-3ti&:m. tp;!:t~m.i'1iJliJ:tl;\;. ~1¥J~IDfit. m~IH!1*I¥J~.'w~~~m~WiJliJ:tl;\;·~~*~~m~IH!1*l¥Jm~~. £ltffFlJP) ;Jt=,. m' ~9l-.>Jl~~~f~ B 1~ PJug*5tJUJJ!['ij'5ti$:I¥JJ~jJ. (*i'1~M. JJ(;1MBM~jftif.*~t*~j~A.~~.wm~r.,~JmpJT~~I¥J~~lfIi'. f) , r. ili-~~~¥~~~m~: r~~I¥J1rA~.~m~~-I¥J~*~WJo­. m. '~M[7g j§-~IUJ. ttcp;!:tI¥J~~~~*;e. 0. 0. cp;!:tmcpffi.1rAm~IH!1*~r~.~jJJ·~.~~.~m~~~o. *3&EJl-:J.Mff3. fLfL1'\if.iJ#ijfB~I¥J*~~~1VllfJ;l..>Jl~cp;!:t3C~mfftfj, ~ilitliJlmJ~~~~:1J. $tt~r ru:~iliuiJ. J. 0. ~:t;;!IY+f}if.* '~~fJ;l.~1}rnl1rAm~$~~'Wtl-T. '. Emma. rMam~.Jtfjmz.·~~.*1}rnl1rA.Wm~~E~·OOcp;!:t~*. !tlUJ1*1¥J. &:W:9i-JJ1rAr cp~[7gll& J' ill:*-c!Zm~"OOW:l~~~ffi'WHklJi.Wft3s ; ~~ Z . ~t*~~*lJffl~~~~frj1l¥JlI&m£imn:t;;~1W.1W . r~~flH§:f~iJ~t:m fi@~r-Mcp~JlI&.o~.,cp;!:t*.~M.~~ff• • riJ.IH!1*$J (TRA) m-~(B)(4)~(B)(6t4 ~JJttm1rAm~E~ . tt~~ §HWW rMa m~.JI¥J@.:1J~·cp;!:t*3&mEJ~mfftfjeg~.~~~r&WiJ ••. :~~51. ~Jmr&:W£JJmiJJl¥Jm*.~o rru:~MiJJ~.cp;!:tmMl¥Jg~·. :~fflGlt. ffijiIDW~~PJug1r. 5S . [*tlro:t~. . , mT­. AiJ#ijE~~P~~$i!mjM~lI&1f:1m. ' ~.tlt~t*i!i£!.Zr~~ ~jf;fftloW*~~'f ' .xtlOfPJjl1:ff,I~J1j~~Mfr A~~1f{ , .f*~**mmnr * II!J9l-XJ.~I¥J~$I!lo. ~M¥A. £*L,~cp;!:tw~~~m~~±%~~~~~JJtffij~'R~~.$JJ. , 'm~. .~~m~II!J~i$:,.¥e"~riJ.~.J~~II!Ji!fi-.~~.~~o. frA~. ~§n~, rCPJI¥J.$JJ.W~'CP;!:t.~~~G.~~.,~.tltm$~. g:1iJ1H!. ~~~frAm~E~I¥J~JJt'EJ.~~~W~.~fi~.~oBi!-~~~. ittWCP. ft.·CP;!:t~.~.~~WiJmn£'.~~ff~~$M~~~1rAm~lH!~. 'Fm,. I¥Jf.iJJt cp;!:t EJ l-:J. flJ ffl r &:~t ¥J ~ MJ ~ ft~ cp 52:tm Wi !JH~ 53 -1iI r f4~ 7c fB~J·m~mMt~EJ.~cp.tmE •• -ftftOif.Wru:~~~M.MI¥J.. ~!JifflJ. 0. §-Q!t& =I 1!!t t::I. M~~.~~~~a. ffl • • fi~&M.¥~'~ ••• fl5*~#~E~~W~~~ •• 'K.~~ flJTBmllllf;1] J : (B)(6)~tJ5~llJijJ r *1t~~~~fj!U] ..tJ.t!HJi:{f~~JfM!i:lft1J~111!ffl ~.~¥~'~~&~.A~~~&~ ••• ~~~ff~J .. nber 3,. ud an. •• rff~~~~#~~E~*~~~~M.~.,~mR. 65 . Richard Bernstein, The Coming Conflict with China, (New York: Random House, 1997)..

(22) ~'.~~~~~Amoo~~~~OOo$~~~miliwm.M~fi.$~~. 1'3 rl'l~$:ttW9i!. ~~ft~. , ~~te:!f3·p~~~*Wt;tfB~@]M~~~~~l}l1t~~~~&:ti 0-8. ml.~ttll,~,~. ~~~~~~~fi~u,.#~.¥~ft-§~o.~~~.~~~~,~. 8mlll'~~. ••ng~~-m.~~'M.W~S*~# m~ti.~W.~fB~ilim~~~~~' •• $~~r*~~~J.M~~. ~~*~ *~~*1j~E<. ~~-.o.~~~~~'~~M*.~*§.~.~~.li.~~M.~. ~Mf~~3[:M. •• §~1'1tR.~W~'B'~'m~~~Am~OO~'W*~ti~ EftOO~W.ffWfB~.l}l~~.ti.o.~,a~.w •• 1t1'1t~S* §:ttl!.Em~ZfiIJ~m.~( player t Jt.•• ~J[W ••• :S:ili~TfflawOO~ , iI:ft-iEl!*)~J~' &:{!U.~Im{J\ •• 1t1'1t)t~~~tiawOO~~fifB~. l}l'~Sffi.m~~E~~~~••• ~~~.m~~J~ol}l.~,~~ 1'~fi •• Jt..*~.$.ms.~'*~W.~OO:ttl!.~~*~•• ~W§ *:ttl!.&~~~w'.MW~em.~:ft.~~.~.~~q•••W,~ft , t! ' $~~t~.f~~J.1:.~ , Jt~m~§*~q~Jist!'!P~~,;rH~m.~ !1rti ~~~W~~~~*1'~'**R~ •• ~S~~:ft*§:ttl!.E~Jt~~M.. :ttSWll '. *~~~S$~.*~~~'. ~'. 7. ,. 0. W~H~ti=¥ (strategic counterweight). ,~m~1'1t.m~li.g{*~1IfE. ~~Jt.. ~IZS. •• ~J. $ :tt it fIi*~:5 (Nancy B. T IDwUIij!W~-E!. lWaitf. (sup~. Dialogue) ~ tJII{**~. , !l;l. ~:rt'~fi~ E~OO~~1. •• ~~1')t~~~Jt§*:ttl!.&~~M~~' m*0 1'1t~JtawOO~~~.~fi.wo*.~ft, ••••• *Jt§~ •• ~ ~~M.~,.~~ft~fiOO.'~1' •• ~:ft*~:ttl!.&.J.1:..m,~~~. *~-tl2W~~. o4-1f:.+. W*~'~I. -~~~*;&:~'. ~W~~~.$ID~f!frf~. , J!=FfiJ~ • • •~$~. r *fi§~~M J. (Bosnia-Her. Mm*YJJ. ~~. ~ • • ~¥;; U. g. , r "7+1"fjgiH-t~I5'~n,~ J. ,.~f1jNln1f1J (~t:fj'n ,~_ +1\M. '. ftftft~1\~=+A8·Rli~¥liA·. 67. 68. Margarita Mathiospoulos, op.cit., PA8.. mtll~~~Jm Gerhard SchrOder W$~~Jm Lionel Jospin urM~fjil!li.ltHaI¥J~. , 9l!::iLM1t-ffij5!itkI¥JItM • AM~;l"E:$ttpp:j~r-t!:!:*c.I¥J§~ ; "Paris und Berlin. ~ij~ff:ft~~. E7!P:&¥U*~. lliffiili~TJ. Mli.:S::fftl) ~~ J.1:. f'F~1. wollen europliische Einigung vorantreiben," Saddeutsche Zeitung, September 27, 1999; Craig R. Whitney, "European Union Vows to Become Military Power," New York 69 70. Times, June 4, 1999. Zbigniew Brzezinski, op. cit., Chapter VII - conclusion. John C. Kornblum, "German-American Traditions: Past and Future," Speech at the Annual Conference of the "Atlantkc-Bracke" on July 1, 1998 in Bonn (official transcript), P.2.. 71 . Nancy Ben. 72 . Vol. 40, N< Ibid., P.1S Encourage October 28.

(23) ~~~~. ••. ~~~M*M~Z~.&... 1~. ;tff~rr.$irf'F. ~~~~W~'$,~~~~*m(8~MRm~~'$'~~m~~.E~. ~;ff!JijlG&:ti. G-8. .~~~m~lli~~~~.*~~a*&~m'~~0~±~re~*~AG. i!i~(8~1t. '. 8~~,~p~~.llilfthOO(8~~o. l§(. ~~I1~.m*~~. 1'f.x j m~il[~ i1lJJ(8~~J.lf;I. ~. , ffij*J1irti~. !.:;;Y;;.nlG.m~. , r~~fTfB•• :nla#iflf~. :@.~l:.'~m. MM*m'~hm*OOtiW~~.a~.~~(8.~m.'~~A.' ~W.~ijlG&~~.~~~.,~m.m7~~~m(8~.~~,~.~~~. ••. ~.~(8~M'~~m • .if:.~.irmA •••• l:..*~~~Mm.~.~ ~~~,~~.m~~~~~~ll~ffij~~o~ffij,~&a#i~~~~.~'. .~X •••~.~~~.~'~• • ~ •• ~.1J~. !f:i~~~P?t1t*~fF.~~IJM~(8.iif;!j71. 0. l:.~:;;Y;;~'ffiti. m'ili'ta:l:)£*~~t5'tj;J5E. (Nancy B. Tucker )~tt$' ~mti~~OO~"ij]' P)J*l&:;;Y;;@J~( Do Nothing) , ~W[IDijJwft3'@.. (Mediate) 'il:&!alll~~~tU (Pressure Taipei) ,{!f:~ta. :jp::tt ~ 71t! W5l!. Ilfjalll ( support). ~~#,~lft. Dialogue) ~1im.hA72. ·;M~m~. ~~*tt'~7~_~~r:;;Y;;@J~jhA?i-,~m~~~ft.~~ijlG~~(8. 0. tk!:!. ' 1f!.18@f1i~fI A ( Encourage tiD5fi!:~frlfJ;£il[~.if:.*~' r j ' a .=..(8RIiJ. ijlG7h1f1J@J~sbtafltlJ~~ti~1S 0. (8ti~~~~. ~A'Wrr~~.@J~~~sbt.~~$·. fiIJJ1UWf~(8!!l. lii~OO~~1'F$'. , t:J'g*&,. r IDijJw j. ,~.~m~.if:.*ooti~. 1W~&'*~l?E~. (Bosnia-Herzegovina) ,~t~, ~~ijlG.miJmwr~r~~.. ,. .~~iISi~. ' f§"tiDlli-1X ' E£. ti5l! ~Jt/ ~.1J. ~l:.~~ir~~m*~:@'~~fB.~~$'~~~~~§1WtialllWl&r~. ~lli'*/'iiJ?i­. ~tj!;mJ. ~j. 0. 4-.if:.+. =+1\Wj,­. ~.itBgI¥J~. iris und Berlin. ,eptember 27, ~r," New York. 'peech at the. onn (official. j ~mPm ' ~~~~hOO~~Pm~ •• X~ , ~fJlr~¥gdt*9~~Pm;ff!J ,~,*tt ' ~mWl&afij]w~~OO~ , $j{{lE~~~tu!}!GafltlJ~~ti~lS~mPm ' ~ ~~~~£*ll~'~lft~~m*~~:@.~:;;y;;~~~m'*~fF.~~OO!!l­ ~.#~(8?t. •• ,. mijlG~~~§jp:.r.WallljZ.o~-~ffij§,. E~ &¥u*3t1W-frJpfTm¥U~tir~'. ,t!D~~~iS~M~t*9~~.irm3C:@' .ffijlli~~m,ijlGff. m.h@••• ~a#i3C~·:@'.l:.,~~m*.. ~jJij~iS~.~:*.~alllijlGftJ{~~M~t*9~ma#iOO~ '~*l:.~.7f3~~ m1lll1'F~~~@. , ~t*9~~~m~1~l&~ .R.lli~1&!JJ~m~ft3'@. •. 71. Nancy Bemkopf Tucker, "China-Taiwan: US Debates and Policy Choices," Survival,. 72. Vol. 40, No.4, Winter 1998/99, PP.150-167. Ibid., P.152 ; Harvey J. Feldman, "America's Response to the China-Taiwan Talks: Encourage but don't Interfere," The Heritage Foundation Backgrounder, No.l230, October 28,1998..

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(25) 1X7ffl3i:~'~~Ht.HI:~JM iifYi$1Ml ~Z ~~'jt&~.. 195. f~mrEJt:p:#~. ~~1'.'&~.~$B.~ ••I¥J:#~n,~•• ~.mM.W~.~~. ~ r 'tl:lt ~ r1UM. ~1¥J~~~m'*~~~~~I¥J~am~~~~~~-~~~~,.~~~~. !.$fti~l¥J[§. M*~aml¥Jil1'F~ra~. ~m~rr-=fm. .. '. ~" ~6. tm~c~~~~ ~m~1~tza~~. :1[.\, ~CJtJ~ij. I. in DC. .~.g~~~'.M~*~~.~R.:ttB@t:f~-m~mCJm~l¥J~. i~f*Jre r :m~. , ~tkt-J.1'~1J!J1:.~~iWl¥J*MJJilII~ , ;t;tJ)]tJ~W[)1jlii- HM *~Q~:ttBW!,~~ •• ~17}jlrmw¥.JI¥J~~·~~'.~~~1£iW. L.HPEJm~tB. ~$ffiffim'~~~~~I¥J~~m~~~~:It~~~$~~,~t:p~~If{~. 7'C~1{fil~m. ~A1'~ •• '&*L.ill.*~~~~~il~D~'~~E~~•• ~m~. mmtB~ blB t:f. A~~fti~I¥J~~~~~·~~L.,~m~w*Q~*~~~~~~~~~. Mn~rrr. ~~g~'x~ftW~~~~;t;tB~~~~Q~:ttBw!~~~I¥J~~'~~.. :9i-$m~lli~. ~W!~~~rp~~. M~*.~~EEI¥J~D~A~$~~g~,m£~~~~~t:p~~JJ~~D. f*£*L.1'~ ,~~~*tU. .'.~7.MI¥J~~tt~~'~XQ~~~~~Z.'.MMM.*WQ mi~*I¥Jt:fg!5. . ti*Qw!~~1¥J r ~~1t J. (Americanization) .~I&rEJ~. ~17}jl~~.. .;. ~fti.·. :;PEE ( ff£~t~. t:p:#**~~~~. ~ t:f ~ m;fJtt:ai. . ~tffi-~ffi'i~B .m••MR~~t:ai~~.~~~~~,~;t;t.rEJ.m~mw.~ •• ;~. F!~1£if.mam §. -~ffi'iX~.~;t;t1£*Qlii~~~I¥J.~$.,~~t:p:#~~~~I&.~~. f7tltza. .~~:9i-~.am*7'C~iW~~~~am§.'~~.~~~.:I!~.~m1£~. ~'[j:I¥J.$rr. r9~1f{ (. ~.~.J~~~l¥Jm*~~.1'~fi~~W~~~~.~'. •• ~-~~'~~W.M~*m~r~am.~g~J·. ~iW.M;fJt.~.t:p~r:mQ~~amJ ,*eL.B~t:p:#m~~r:ttB~ i&~i!!~~am. J. (double geo-political strategy) ~Arn:t§!. *:ttBw!I¥J~.JJ'~~1£~~.~:mI¥Jif.mam.~*.~~~~r!¥i•• ~J. 3!Uj!Q:ttBW!. lR~HPCJ!¥i. , t:p:#B*~.~¥UEt:f.M:fJ.HJ~~m ~.~·~ •• ~~.1£*~~~ ••• D.·.1£~.~~rr&~~~. ~ a/;J JE [OJ ,. 1m. ~'~1'~~~~~~*~~~~l¥Jg~·~~,~~aml¥J~m~~·~:#. ~. re•• Mm.Q~:ttBlii~~.li~.t:p'~.M~1£Q~:ttBw!17}jl~-~~. ~. §~*JJRfi¥. (American unilateralism) • rp~~1£~. 1tT~~ , .CJtf~~m~JJl.ffiI &\~j[~I&~~am~D·. tza*••MW~t~t:fr m. qo]~1£~L. 73. "Die Amerikaner rufen bei mir an," Die Welt, October 6,1999..

(26) ~~~Jm~ffl~~~. 1,li , .5i;t~. ._m. '~~2*~~~~~.~~~~~.m~-. ~'fgjJ"H~f$f. ~1t. I ::fMt~lm J ~M~j7q ,. 0. .5i;t 'i"MI1j ~fNJt~~ffij i§ ,. m. ~ *if$f:(£. PJfj~:5b~~~~M~fj~:fJt~:~:1J~. ; &Z ' ji\ij~1Ul ~-g~~~M~~~.~A~.~~.'~~~~M.~• • ~ffl~.' ~MRfr~~~~W~:1J~*~M~~?$~~~W~~~~M~~~~ ~Aji\ij~~~m.~wzre.'~4**~~~~.~(&2~.~~~) f§Fa~JJ~8tr::f.~W2~~~~:fOZP:~~J:E:. '. &,~~~t~. I *~9f..3C: J iI&. .~:1J~o*.£.~W~~.~A±• • •~'.*~~.~'ji\ij.~.J 74 ,. ~. I ~~frtrta. J. (AIT). r- ~ff. (Richard Bush) ~WH:hfr. ~~~ji\ij~7Ji~$j(fi~1 tr.::ffj~::f.~tI~rr. J( It [Taiwan] cannot afford. not to prepare for the worst). 7S. 0. i!-t]~ll!iEe*{jl~fr!llf.1I$~.*tr~tJ&. ~IM.ji\ij~.J~~$'~$::f~ltr.~ • • ~~.~.J~iI&~.~D. 1Z94' ~~ • • •M~~~~~~~~Aji\ij~1IJ~' tr~t{PJ->¥~:fi~IG\~~ ~g§:1J~~~ A trmi~~~~IG\ , :flt*Z~mfr~ 13 a~*1tMfB~Z~ 0. 13~. ji\ij~ra'~. llPtJ .~'ffli§. f(fj'~..§.. ~~ff~. .MC~~. ••. ~~. 1M. ~~2¥f ~1l1. 74. r~Ma.J~.ma.B~r~~M~J~~~~. .•ma•• ~~.m. t:l'1II • ji::ltlHUI (wml) . -fLfLfL1F+ F:l-t; 8 ' W C9. 75 . "Remarks by Richard C. Bush at the Annual Conference of the Taiwan Chamber of Commerce of North America," Chicago, Illinois, June 26, 1999; "Taiwan and the Future of US-Taiwan Relations," Los Angeles, September 25,1999, at http://www.aitorg.twlbush 0616.htm; http://www.ait.org.twlbush915.htm..

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