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The association between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and dementia: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

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The association between chronic obstructive

pulmonary disease and

dementia: a population-based retrospective cohort

study

W.-C. Liaoa,b, C.-L. Linc, S.-N. Changd, C.-Y. Tua,b and C.-H. Kaoe,f

Introduction

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by partially reversible airflow limitation and usually progresses with chronic inflammation of the airway that is caused mainly by cigarette smoking and exposure to noxious gases [1], and is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. COPD is predicted to become the third most common cause of death and fourth most critical disabilityproducing illness by 2020 [2].

Comorbidities of COPD contribute to overall severity in individual patients. The most frequently

reported comorbidities are cardiovascular diseases, including ischaemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation and hypertension, as well as peptic ulcer, osteoporosis, metabolic syndrome, diabetes and lung cancer [3,4]. Previous studies have indicated that COPD increases the risk of cognitive impairment and neuropsychological deficits [5]. The comorbidities of COPD increase

when patients experience hypoxia, impairment of gas

exchange or systemic inflammation, and intensify disabilities [6]. Dementia is characterized by memory deficit and

impairment in at least one other cognitive function, and together these cognitive deficits must result in impaired performance of daily activities. Dementia is common in later life, and its risk doubles every

5 years after 65 years of age [7]. Cognitive impairment may be caused by hypoxia and inflammation, which are associated with COPD [8,9].

Dementia is associated with increased mortality and disability; however, its relationship with COPD

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remains poorly understood [10]. The purposes of this study were to verify the association between COPD and dementia in the Taiwanese population and to examine the relative risk of dementia in patients with and without COPD.

Methods

Data sources

The data source was the Taiwan National Health

Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), a large computerized administrative database maintained by the

Department of Health and the National Health Research Institutes of Taiwan. The National Health Insurance (NHI) program was established in 1995, and nearly 99% of residents have been enrolled [11]. The database comprises comprehensive information on clinical visits for each insured person, including

records of outpatient visits, hospital admissions, prescriptions, disease status and diagnostic codes in the

format of the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM). For research purposes, the National Health Research Institutes release all claims data to the public in an

electronic format, encrypt the patients’ personal information for privacy protection, and provide researchers

with anonymous identification numbers associated with the relevant claims information, including data on the sex, date of birth, registration for medical services and medication prescriptions of patients. Patient consent is not required for accessing the NHIRD. This study was exempted by the Institutional Review Board of China Medical University in

Central Taiwan (CMU-REC-101-012).

The data used in the present study were derived from a sub-dataset of the NHIRD that comprises all records collected from 1996 to 2010 on 1 million randomly sampled beneficiaries enrolled in the NHI in 2010.

Study participants

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and 2008 were identified in the database. The date of the first diagnosis of COPD was used as the index date. Patients with a history of dementia (ICD-9-CM 290, 294.1, 331.0) or who were younger than 20 years of age were excluded. Finally, 20 492 patients with COPD were selected to be the study patients and were designated as the COPD cohort. For each COPD

patient, two non-COPD patients were randomly selected from the same study period according to the same exclusion criteria and were frequency-matched with the COPD patients according to age and sex to construct the non-COPD cohort, which comprised 40 765 patients.

Outcome measurement and comorbidities

Each study patient was followed until dementia was diagnosed, and the patient was excluded for loss to follow-up, death or withdrawal from the database, or the end of 2010.

At the baseline, major comorbidities, such as diabetes (ICD-9-CM 250), hypertension (ICD-9-CM 401–

405), stroke (ICD-9-CM 430–438), coronary artery disease (CAD) (ICD-9-CM 410–414), depression (ICD-9-CM 296.2, 296.3, 300.4 and 311) and head injury (ICD-9-CM 850–854, 959.01), were considered covariates.

Statistical analyses

The baseline characteristics of the COPD cohort and non-COPD cohort were compared using the chisquared test. The incidence densities of the two

cohorts were calculated according to sex, age and number of comorbidities. To estimate the cumulative incidence of dementia risk in the two cohorts, a survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan–Meier

method, with significance based on the log-rank test. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with the risk of dementia were estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression models. All analyses were

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performed using SAS statistical software for Windows (Version 9.1; SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA), and the significance level was set at 0.05.

Results

A total of 20 492 cases of COPD and 40 765 matched control cases were selected from the NHIRD during the defined period of interest. Of the COPD patients and the non-COPD patients, 36.0% were 65–74 years of age and 71.4% were male (Table 1). The COPD cohort was more likely than the non-COPD cohort to

experience diabetes (22.4% vs. 18.5%, P < 0.0001), hypertension (62.5% vs. 46.9%, P < 0.0001), stroke

(24.7% vs. 16.4%, P < 0.0001), CAD (40.4% vs. 22.4%, P < 0.0001), depression (5.52% vs. 3.20%, P < 0.0001) and head injury (4.79% vs. 3.16%, P < 0.0001). The mean follow-up time was 6.29 (SD 3.51) and 6.88 (SD 3.43) for the COPD cohort and the non-COPD cohort, respectively (data not shown).

Table 2 also shows the dementia incidence densities in the COPD cohort and non-COPD cohort and the COPD/non-COPD HRs for dementia. During the observation period, 2553 patients in the non-COPD cohort (incidence rate 9.11 per 1000 person-years) and 1697 patients in the COPD cohort (incidence rate 13.2 per 1000 person-years) developed dementia. Figure 1 shows the cumulative incidence of dementia. The risk of dementia was significantly higher for patients with COPD than for patients without COPD (log-rank P < 0.001). The results of the multivariate analyses indicated that, compared with the non-COPD cohort, the non-COPD cohort was associated with a significantly higher risk of dementia (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.20–1.36).

In all analyses in which the patients were stratified according to sex, age and the number of comorbidities, the patients in the COPD cohort, particularly

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patients aged 65–74 years (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.25– 1.52), were observed to be associated with an increased risk of dementia (Table 2).

Table 3 illustrates the interactive effect of comorbidities and COPD on outcome. A statistically significant

increased risk was observed for patients

diagnosed with both COPD and diabetes (HR 1.97, 95% CI 1.77–2.18; interaction P = 0.001). Interactions of hypertension (HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.88–2.24; interaction P = 0.03), stroke (HR 2.52, 95% CI 2.31–2.76;

interaction P = 0.006) and CAD (HR 1.65, 95%

CI 1.52–1.80; interaction P < 0.001) were also associated with an increased risk of dementia.

The associations between dementia and the number

of emergency room visits and admissions for acute exacerbation (AE) of COPD are shown in Table 4.

AE resulting in more than five emergency room visits was associated with a significantly higher risk of dementia compared with the non-COPD cohort (HR 41.7, 95% CI 22.3–78.0). In addition, the group of patients who were admitted for AE of COPD more than five times exhibited the highest risk of dementia, with an adjusted HR of 196.8 (95% CI 145.9–265.5).

Discussion

Our study is the first nationwide population-based study to evaluate the association between COPD and dementia. In this study, the overall incidence rate of dementia was 1.32% higher in the COPD cohort

(HR 1.27) than in the non-COPD cohort after adjustment for age, sex and comorbidities. A number of significant interactions between covariate conditions and

COPD were noted to heighten risk for dementia. The

increased incidence was associated with the group experiencing a high frequency of exacerbations, which

is consistent with the results observed in the severe COPD group [12]. Therefore, it is suggested that COPD increases the risk of developing dementia.

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COPD is primarily caused by exposure of the

respiratory tract to noxious particles and gas inhalation and causes airflow limitation and systemic

inflammation [13]. These comorbidities are critical manifestations affecting organs other than the lungs [14]. The effects of COPD on the neuropsychiatric system have been described in recent years, and the etiologies have been discussed [5,8]. Declining lung function is associated with poorer performance in cognitive assessments, and low pulmonary function in midlife may be an early marker of subsequent cognitive problems [15,16]. Cognitive impairment in

patients with COPD was associated with increased mortality and disability [17]. Previous studies have

hypothesized that cigarette smoking, hypoxia and systemic inflammation explain the association between

COPD and dementia [18,19].

Approximately 80%–90% of COPD patients have a history of cigarette smoking. Controversially, cigarette smoking is associated with an increased risk of

dementia [20,21]. Smoking may influence cognitive function by exacerbating cerebral hypoxia [22]. Some particles in cigarette smoke are thought to have a direct neurotoxic effect and are linked to an increased risk of Alzheimer’s disease [23].

Neuronal dysfunction in patients with COPD seems to increase in patients with gas-exchange deficiency. Hypoxia causes the consumption of neurotransmitters because of the dysfunction of oxygen-dependent

enzymes [23]. Hypoxemic patients showed more deterioration in cerebral perfusion and cognitive performance

than non-hypoxemic patients did [24].

The systemic inflammatory process observed in COPD patients may contribute to the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis and cardiovascular diseases [25]. In addition, studies have reported that an increased number of inflammatory markers may indicate some neurodegeneration such as dementia [26,27].

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Some studies discussed the association between COPD and dementia. Rusanen et al. examined the association between midlife and late-life self-reported COPD and asthma and the lifelong risk of cognitive impairment. They identified that midlife COPD and

asthma were associated with higher risk of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia later in life [28].

The preliminary study by Villeneuve et al. [9] demonstrated that a substantial proportion of patients with

COPD were found to have MCI. Singh et al. found that COPD significantly increased the risk for MCI. They also found a dose_response relationship such that individuals with COPD duration of longer than 5 years at baseline had the greatest risk for any MCI [29,30]. Our study revealed that patients with higher frequencies of AE of COPD exhibit a higher incidence of

dementia. Exacerbations negatively affect life quality, accelerate the decline of lung function and are associated with mortality and high socioeconomic costs [31–

33]. Because forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) does not accurately represent the severity of COPD, the frequency of AE and FEV1 have been used equally to evaluate the severity and risk of COPD since 2011 [12]. In one study, exacerbations became more frequent as the severity of COPD increased, and

the increased rate of exacerbation appears to reflect an independent susceptibility [34]. This finding is consistent

with our observation that patients with more

frequent AE (representing greater severity of the disease) exhibit a higher incidence of dementia. A

dose_response relationship existed between the severity of COPD and dementia.

The strength of our study is the use of populationbased data that are highly representative of the general population. However, certain limitations to our findings should be considered. First, the NHIRD does not

contain detailed information regarding body weight, smoking habits and lifestyles, which may be potential

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comorbidities or risk factors for dementia. Secondly, the evidence derived from a retrospective cohort study is generally lower in statistical quality than that from randomized trials because of potential biases related to adjustments for confounding variables. Despite our

meticulous study design and control measures for confounding factors, biases resulting from unknown confounding

variables may have affected our results.

Thirdly, all data in the NHIRD are anonymous. Thus, relevant clinical variables such as imaging results and serum laboratory data were unavailable for our study cases. However, Taiwan launched an NHI program operated by a single-payer, the government, in 1995.

All insurance claims are scrutinized by medical reimbursement specialists and subject to peer review.

Therefore, the data regarding the diagnoses for COPD and dementia were reliable. Fourthly, the Alzheimer type or other types of dementia, such as vascular

dementia, cannot be exactly and accurately differentiated from dementia in the NHIRD because there is no

information available from the diagnostic codes of ICD-9-CM. Therefore, in this study they are included in all types of dementia.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this nationwide retrospective cohort study demonstrated that COPD is associated with a higher future risk of dementia after adjusting for diabetes, hypertension, CAD, head injury and depression.

Higher frequencies of AE predict a higher risk of dementia development. The detailed pathophysiology may require further clarification in prospective studies. It is crucial to prevent the development of COPD and to effectively treat COPD to prevent the development of dementia.

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