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強化北部水資源分區因應氣候變遷水資源管理 調適能力研究

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圖  1、流量改變與降雨比值改變關係  圖 2、北部地區豐枯水期及全年流量變化  4.2 氣候變遷對地下水補注之衝擊評估  相較於基期所推估淡水河流域潛勢地下水補注量,短期氣候變遷情境下各 GCMs 氣候資料所推估潛勢補注量從減少 11.8%到增加 13.2%不等,蘭陽溪流域潛勢地下水補 注量,短期氣候變遷情境各 GCMs 所推估潛勢補注量由減少 10.8%到增加 15.3%不等; 鳳山溪及頭前溪流域潛勢地下水補注量,短期氣候變遷情境各 GCMs 所推估潛勢補注量 (圖 3)幾乎皆呈上升趨勢(從減少 4.7

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