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TOURIST PRICE INDEX

3

rd

QUARTER/2011

No. 3

Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.

Statistics and Census Service

Alameda Dr. Carlos d'Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao Tel: 8399 5311 Fax: 2830 7825 Printed in October 2011

E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Website: www.dsec.gov.mo

TPI (116.62) for the third quarter of 2011 surged by 16.70% year-on-year. Price index of Accommodation (+47.41%); Miscellaneous Goods (+26.83%); Restaurant Services (13.82%); and Food, Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+12.70%) recorded notable year-on-year increase, attributable to rising hotel room rate and charges for restaurant service, as well as dearer prices of food and gold jewellery.

TPI for the third quarter of 2011 increased by 4.80% quarter-to-quarter, of which the price index of Miscellaneous Goods registered an increase of 10.90% on account of higher jewellery price. In addition, price index of Restaurant Service registered a quarter-to-quarter increase of 7.60%.

1 - TOURIST PRICE INDEX (TPI)

10/2009 – 09/2010 =100

Quarter-to-quarter Year-on-year Annualized Change Cumulative Change Index Value

% 2010

1st Quarter 98.51 2.04 9.40 5.83 ..

2nd Quarter 99.87 1.38 12.29 8.45 ..

3rd Quarter 99.93 0.07 11.16 10.52 10.95

4th Quarter 107.77 7.84 11.63 11.13 ..

2011

1st Quarter 112.88 4.74 14.58 12.45 ..

2nd Quarter 111.28 -1.42 11.43 12.22 ..

3rd Quarter 116.62 4.80 16.70 13.60 14.24

.. Not applicable

The average TPI for the last four quarters ended the third quarter of 2011 rose by 13.60% from the previous period, with index of Accommodation and Miscellaneous Goods surging by 31.44% and 21.57%

respectively. For the first three quarters of 2011, TPI went up by 14.24% year-on-year, with remarkable increase being observed in Accommodation Services (+35.97%) and Miscellaneous Goods (+21.75%).

CHART 1 – CHANGE OF TOURIST PRICE INDEX

-4.00 -2.00 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00

Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011

% Year-on-year rate of change Quarter-to-quarter rate of change Annualized rate of change

(2)

2 - TOURIST PRICE INDEX

10/2009 – 09/2010 =100

Year / Quarter Global Index

Food, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco

Clothing and Footwear

Accommo- dation

Restaurant Services

Transport and Communi-

cations

Medicine and Personal

Goods

Entertainment and Cultural

Activities

Miscellaneous Goods

Weight 100.00 12.78 15.81 23.06 17.47 8.11 6.33 2.07 14.38

2 0 0 8 88.00 90.20 94.42 90.69 91.62 96.57 98.18 98.70 71.62 2 0 0 9 91.35 95.92 97.55 91.17 96.15 94.90 99.23 99.21 77.93 2 0 1 0 101.52 100.53 101.12 105.42 100.91 99.97 100.37 99.61 94.78 2 0 1 0

1 98.51 98.51 98.46 108.31 99.21 99.64 99.66 100.28 87.41 2 99.87 100.65 101.28 96.83 101.05 100.03 100.41 100.47 92.67 3 99.93 100.72 103.06 89.35 101.68 100.08 100.78 98.86 94.65 4 107.77 102.22 101.67 127.21 101.69 100.11 100.63 98.86 104.38 2 0 11

1 112.88 108.57 97.61 143.01 106.49 101.83 101.25 99.35 106.20 2 111.28 111.20 105.95 125.70 107.56 103.34 102.23 102.98 108.24 3 116.62 113.50 106.31 131.71 115.73 108.73 102.55 104.20 120.04

3 - CHANGES OF TPI BY SECTION AND GROUP

10/2009 – 09/2010 =100 Index Contribution to the change of

TPI Quarter-

to- quarter

Year- on- year

Annual- ized Change

Quarter- to- quarter

Year- on- year

Annual- ized Change Section and Group

Q3 2010

Q2 2011

Q3 2011

%

Global Index 99.93 111.28 116.62 4.80 16.70 13.60 100.00 100.00 100.00 Food, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 100.72 111.20 113.50 2.07 12.70 9.56 5.50 8.62 8.91

Pastries 97.66 114.05 114.24 0.16 16.98 13.09 0.29 .. ..

Alcoholic Beverages 100.37 101.99 105.12 3.07 4.73 4.32 0.34 .. ..

Tobacco 101.96 101.96 104.11 2.11 2.11 2.87 0.12 .. ..

Clothing and Footwear 103.06 105.95 106.31 0.34 3.16 2.43 1.08 2.72 2.83

Men's Clothing 105.41 102.34 117.32 14.64 11.30 7.06 5.15 .. ..

Women’s Clothing 103.56 106.10 112.18 5.74 8.32 12.34 2.93 .. ..

Bags 101.82 106.86 98.24 -8.07 -3.52 -0.96 -9.02 .. ..

Accommodation 89.35 125.70 131.71 4.78 47.41 31.44 25.92 51.56 53.41 Restaurant Services 101.68 107.56 115.73 7.60 13.82 8.18 26.72 12.95 10.46 Transport and Communications 100.08 103.34 108.73 5.21 8.64 4.83 8.18 3.70 2.84

Local Transport 100.04 100.04 100.65 0.61 0.61 0.20 0.23 .. ..

Outbound Transport 100.11 104.53 111.65 6.81 11.53 6.15 7.94 .. ..

Medicine and Personal Goods 100.78 102.23 102.55 0.31 1.76 1.55 0.38 0.59 0.72

Beauty products 101.27 102.60 103.20 0.59 1.91 1.38 0.61 .. ..

Entertainment and Cultural Activities 98.86 102.98 104.20 1.18 5.40 1.85 0.47 0.58 0.28

Entertainment and Leisure 98.37 104.16 105.71 1.48 7.45 2.69 0.47 .. ..

Miscellaneous Goods 94.65 108.24 120.04 10.90 26.83 21.57 31.75 19.27 20.55

Jewellery 97.43 117.14 137.28 17.19 40.90 29.50 21.88 .. ..

Watches 96.62 103.66 113.24 9.24 17.21 9.38 8.57 .. ..

(3)

METHODOLOGY

The Tourist Price Index (TPI) is an economic indicator that reflects the changes in the price level of goods and services purchased by visitors during their stay in Macao.

Chained index is applied in the compilation of the simple index of a product, i.e. change of the average price of a product between the current period (t) and previous period (t-1) is multiplied with the index value of the previous period.

Laspeyres Index is used in the calculation of the TPI of Macao simply by computing the weighted average of the simple indices, namely Item Index, Group Index, Class Index, Section Index and, lastly aggregated to the TPI as follows:

100

*

*

*

1

) ( ) ( 1

) ( ) ( )

(

0 0

0

=

= N=

j

t t N

j

t t

t

qj pj

qj pj

I

or

*100

*

1 ) (

1 ( )

) ( ) ( )

(

0 0 0

=

= = N

j t N

j t

t t

t

Wj pj Wj pj

I

where:

I(t) - Index at current period t

j - Specific goods or services (product) N - Number of goods and services

t

0 - Base period t - Current period

pj( )t - Price of product j at current period t

) (t0

pj - Price of product j at base period t0

qj( )t0 - Quantity of product j consumed at base period t0 )

(t0

Wj - Weight of product j at base period t0

Formulas used in the compilation of the TPI:

Average price of goods or service

( )

t h

t

Pj

Pmj

()

=

() 1/

)

Pmj(t - Average price of product j at current period t

)

Pj

(t - Price of product j observed at each outlet at current period t h - Number of prices collected for product j

(4)

Simple Index

) 1 ( ) 1 (

) ( )

(

*

=

t

t t

t

Ij

Pmj Ij Pmj

Ij( )t - Index of product j at current period t

)

Pmj(t - Average price of product j at current period t

) 1 (t

Pmj - Average price of product j at period t-1

) 1 (t

Ij - Index of product j at period t-1

Item Index

=

= = n j

t n

j

t t

t

Wj Ij Wj Ii

1 ) ( 1

) ( ) ( )

(

0

0 *

)

Ii( t

- Item Index i at current period t

Wj

( )t

0 - Weight of each product j of item i at base period t0

n - Number of products of item i

Group Index

=

= = r

i t r

i

t t

t

Wi Ii Wi Ig

1 ) ( 1

) ( ) ( )

(

0

0 *

Ig( )t - Group Index g at current period t

) (t0

Wi

- Weight of each item i of group g at base period t0 r - Number of items of group g

(5)

Class Index

Ic

Wg Ig

Wg

t

t g

y

t

t g ( ) y

( ) ( )

( )

*

= =

=

0

0

1

1

Ic( )t

- Class Index c at current period t Wg(t)

0 - Weight of each group g of class c at base period t0

y - Number of groups of class c

Section Index

Is

Wc Ic

Wc

t

t t

c v

t c ( ) v

( ) ( )

( )

*

= =

=

0

0

1

1

Is( )t

- Section Index s at current period t Wc(t )

0 - Weight of each class c of section s at base period t0 v - Number of classes of section s

Tourist Price Index(TPI)

=

= = z

s t z

s

t t

t

Ws Is Ws TPI

1 ) ( 1

) ( ) ( )

(

0

0 *

)

TPI(t - Tourist Price Index at current period t Ws( )t

0 - Weight of each section s of TPI at base period t0

z - Number of sections of TPI

(6)

旅遊物價指數 2011 年第 3 季 統計暨普查局 3 號刊

以下統計表可在統計暨普查局網頁下載

Os quadros abaixo indicados podem ser consultados no website da DSEC The following statistical tables are available for download from DSEC website

1- 按大類計算之旅遊物價指數

Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções Tourist Price Index by section

2- 按大類計算之旅遊物價指數按季變動率

Variações trimestrais do Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções Quarter-to-quarter change of Tourist Price Index by section

3- 按大類計算之旅遊物價指數按年變動率

Variações homólogas anuais do Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções Year-on-year change of Tourist Price Index by section

4- 按年率計算之旅遊物價指數的年變動率

Variação média do Índice de Preços Turísticos nos últimos 12 meses Year-on-year change of the annualized Tourist Price Index by section

5- 按商品及服務計算之旅遊物價指數

Índice de Preços Turísticos por bens e serviços

Tourist Price Index by section, class and group of goods and services

(7)

3 號刊 統計暨普查局 2011 年第 3 季 旅遊物價指數

如欲索取進一步統計資料,可聯絡統計暨普查局文件暨資料傳播中心﹕

澳 門 宋 玉 生 廣 場 4 1 1 - 4 1 7 號 皇 朝 廣 場 1 7 樓

電 話 ﹕ 8 3 9 9 5 3 1 1 傳 真 ﹕ 2 8 3 0 7 8 2 5

電 郵 ﹕ i n f o @ d s e c . g o v. m o 網 址 ﹕ w w w. d s e c . g o v. m o

Para obtenção de mais informação, os utilizadores deverão dirigir-se ao Centro de Documentação e Difusão de Informação (CDDI) da DSEC, através dos seguintes contactos:

Alameda Dr. Carlos d’ Assumpção, nº 411-417, Edf. “Dynasty Plaza” , 17º andar, Macau

Tel : 8399 5311 Fax : 2830 7825

e-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Website: www.dsec.gov.mo

Further statistical information can be obtained from the Documentation and Information Centre of the Statistics and Census Service:

Alameda Dr. Carlos d’ Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao

Tel : 8399 5311 Fax : 2830 7825

E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Website: www.dsec.gov.mo

統計服務全為您

A estatística ao serviço da comunidade Statistics are here to serve you

索 取 統 計 資 料

ACESSO À INFORMAÇÃO ESTATÍSTICA

ACCESS TO STATISTICAL INFORMATION

參考文獻

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