• 沒有找到結果。

由附圖 5.1-5 可知,高價值客戶群中對的企業收益的表現遠大於其餘三 群客戶的收益表現總和,由於此表乃是針對交易資料來加總,故所代表之意 義為各群實際為企業的貢獻程度。由此表可知,高價值客戶所帶來的貢獻大 於其餘三群貢獻的總和,而可推論只要針對高價值客戶群投入最大的心力,

即可相對貢獻於企業的收益當中。然而對其餘三群的客戶,可採取不同的客 戶管理策略。

有了此四群的客戶資料,即可針對此四群的客戶採取不同的市場策略。

如高價值客戶即是企業長時間的獲利來源,企業必須盡全力來保持這些客戶

的滿意度與忠誠度。主力型客戶所扮演的角色是交易頻繁程度及交易次數可 能不及高價值客戶所給企業帶來的利益,但可能在單一指標上,如交易金額 有相當可觀的利益,企業也必須對此類型的客戶加以提升其客戶滿意度,以 期望在往後能給企業帶來更多的利益。無價值客戶所代表的的是無論從哪一 個指標來看,此類型的的客戶並無法帶給企業顯著的利益,故此類型在行銷 策略上是採取放縱的策略,並不特意經營此類型各戶。對於成長型客戶而言,

此類型的客戶對企業在短期無法為企業帶來顯著的利益,但相對具有潛力能 提供企業未來利潤,可以說是企業值得培養的對象,相對而此類型的客戶,

建議企業可以採取行有餘力才關注的可客戶群,可先針對高價值客戶及主力 型客戶投入較大的心力與資源。

5.2. 行銷決策支援分析

分析企業客戶的類型,會發現有許多的客戶對公司來說是沒有利潤的,

這些客戶應該要逐步的捨棄,但是有幾類的客戶,我們會把它們保留下來︰

z 參考指標客戶 z 推薦型客戶 z 可學習的客戶

有些客戶可以提高我們的聲望,它們通常是深具影響力的大型客戶,這 便是所謂的參考指標客戶,像是供貨給 Wal-Mart 或是 HP,雖然賺不到什麼錢,

但是其它的客戶聽到我們跟這些公司合作,會覺得我們公司是值得信賴的公 司,因此可以帶來更多的客戶,進而帶來更多的利潤,這類型的客戶就像是 我們的廣告招牌,不可以輕易割捨。某些客戶會幫我們介紹新的客戶,或是 在其它場合推薦本公司,我們稱它們為推薦型客戶。和它們交易可能不賺錢,

但是卻可能是最有產值的不支薪業務。

某些客戶擁有了值得學習的營運機制,或是它們在創新上經常有嶄新的 突破,跟它們做生意,就像是聘顧了一位免費經營顧問,從它們身上我們不 止可以學習到科技的創新、生產程序上的創新,更重要的是可以學到管理方 法上的創新,以及行銷服務上的創新,有了這樣的良師益友,可以強健公司 的體質,讓我們在未來可以擁有更強的競爭力,當然不可以輕易捨棄。

6. 結論與建議

6.1. 研究結論

此客戶分群的模型中,應用了類神經網路的自組織特徵映射圖網路

(self-organizing map network,SOM)作為客戶分群的演算法,並結合 RFM 指 標來評估客戶對企業的貢獻程度,並將分群結果進一步做客戶管理的決策資 訊。

由以上的分析結果,可以推論此分群方法可以獲得相當良好的客戶分群 結果,即使我們於資料前處理時所發現客戶 RFM 之指標分佈並非常態分佈,

也由此可驗證 SOM 方法所具有的資料分析強健性,並不被限制於資料的常態 性。

另外我們只針對這些客戶分成無價值客戶、成長型客戶、主力型客戶、

高價值客戶四群,當然 SOM 的分群能力可將客戶分成多群,但以現有應用反 而增加爾後分析的負擔,且分成四群對於決策者能做更有效的判斷。

6.2. 研究限制與建議

本文中所提出的客戶分群模型固然具有強健與效率性,但基於取樣資料 的限制,在往後的研究中仍可朝以下方向繼續深究:

z RFM 分群指標的強化

在原始的 RFM 指標中,其三個指標並無權重的關係,亦即何者的指標在 特定的產業當中有較重要的地位。舉例來說,以直銷業來說,每次交易

的金額可能差異均不大(因著產品的價格維持在一個水準),但此時分 別客戶重要程度的應是購買頻率(Frequency)較其餘兩指標更為重要。

是否存在對於不同產業的特性,因而有不同的 RFM 權重的研究也相對重 要。[2002, 陳彤生]在他所提的改良式 RFM 模型中利用決策樹歸納法加 權 RFM 模式、吉尼指標法加權 RFM 模式來評估顧客效益,並結合 SOM 是 一個未來的研究方向。

z SOM 分群模型的強化

SOM 分群演算法雖然具有強健性,且不用理會原始的資料分佈情形(如 在本文中所舉的例子即為偏左的分佈),且輸出結果可有多樣性(XML、

SVG、pdf 等),但若客戶的交易中相似性(Similiarity)過高,則易導 致分群的結果中同一群的客戶數目過高(在此例中,為了區分出無價值 客戶、成長型客戶、主力型客戶、高價值客戶等四群客戶分類,故指定 SOM 產生的群數為四,且此例的結果產生了高價值客戶的數目為 350 個、

主力型客戶共 5 個、無價值客戶共 42 個、成長型客戶共 66 個)。而在 此分析結果中客戶的數目過多反而造成市場決策的困難(依此例而言,

企業反而投入大部分的精力與時間在高價值客戶上,而無法區別出就有 影響力的 20%的客戶群)。因此如何在特定群中決定出適當的客戶數是 一個研究課題,並期望對應於 Preto 所提的 80/20 法則,提供企業一個 利用最少的資源投入於對企業最有幫助的客戶群。

7. 參考文獻

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Conference on Data Mining (SDM'2004)

, Orlando, FL, pp391-399.

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[13] 李章偉(2000),「資料庫行銷之顧客價值分析:以 3C 流通業為 例」,國立臺灣大學國際企業學系研究所碩士論文。

[14] 謝依真(2000),「不同分群方法與不同資料來源之比較」,國 立成功大學工業管理學系研究所碩士論文。

[15] 劉世琪(2002),「應用資料挖掘探討顧客價值:以汽車維修業 為例」,朝陽科技大學工業工程與管理系研究所碩士論文。

[16] 連惟謙(2003),「應用資料分析技術進行顧客流失與顧客價值 之研究」,中原大學資訊管理研究所碩士論文。

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東吳大學資訊科學系碩士論文。

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8. 附錄

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Copyright (C) 1989, 1991 Free Software Foundation, Inc.

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