第五章 總結與建議
第二節 未來研究方向與建議
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報行為的醫事機構,不過其中有可能會發生將正常機構誤判為異常,造成整體正 確率降低,因此未來可再進一步結合其他工具或方法,來提升判別正確性。
由研究結果歸納得知,本研究之貢獻為結合Benford’s law 數字分析方法並 運用SVM 來做健保費用異常申報的初步檢測,並將檢測結果提供給健保局相關 稽查人員,使之能初步了解哪一些醫事機構可能會有異常申報的情況發生,進而 做深入的審查。如此一來便可減少因傳統隨機抽樣調查所造成的不確定性以及過 多的人力資源浪費。
第二節 未來研究方向與建議
本研究利用健保申報費用建立初步的巨量資料分析方式,但健保申報資料中並非 只有健保申報費用,還包含了許許多多可探索的資料。而未來也可朝著以下幾個 方向來繼續研究:
1、 因本研究所取得異常醫事機構的資料量不夠多,若未來能夠取得更多的 資料,則可使研究結果更符合實際健保資料庫之情況。
2、 本研究是以健保申報費用進行實證,但健保申報資料中並非只有健保申 報費用,從用藥清單、國際疾病分類及治療方法;到病人的就診日期、
診療結束日期等。這些資料皆可利用資料分析的方式找出是否有醫療處 置不當的情況發生,而不是被動的等到病人與醫事機構發生醫療糾紛時,
才介入調查。
3、 從納保人的方面來看的話,也可利用就診日期算出就醫的頻率、就診的 科別及就醫詳細記錄,分析出納保人是否有潛在的疾病或慢性病,如此 一來就可主動通知提早治療,提升全國人民的健康醫療品質。
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4、 健保特類別會將醫事機構大致區分為醫學中心、區域醫院、地區醫院及 基層院所等,未來可針對某一特約類別的醫院進行分析,並找出不同醫 事機構類別間,申報費用之特性。
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