• 沒有找到結果。

本⽂以分量迴歸模型結合臺灣類股指數進⾏價量分析,有別於過去⽂獻多以⼤

盤為研究對象,本⽂使⽤類股指數針對國內產業進⾏分析。這樣的做法不僅可 以捕捉不同產業投資者對於訊息反應的差異性之外,亦不會出現使⽤個股資料 進⾏價量關係研究時,容易發⽣雜訊過多導致估計缺乏統計效率的問題。本⽂

主要結論可歸納成以下三點:

ㄧ、採之實證結果顯⽰:若使⽤最⼩平⽅法,則僅有電⼦產業具有顯著正向價 量關係,其餘類股皆無顯著價量關係 ; 但採⽤分量迴歸模型分析之實證結 果則顯⽰,個別類股皆在報酬率為正時出現「價量⿑揚」、報酬率為負時 出現「價量背離」的情形。也就是說,分量迴歸模型讓我們更能清楚看出 在每個分量上之價量關係,⽽不只是價量之間的平均關係,此點與莊家彰 與管中閔 (2005) 研究臺灣與美國⼤盤指數之結果⼀致。

⼆、本⽂資料選取漲跌幅限制皆在 7 %的期間,⽽在同樣的交易機制底下,接 近漲跌幅限制時不同產業的價量關係反應不⼀:漲幅限制會破壞⽔泥窯業、

⾷品業、電⼦業、造紙業與營造業的價量⿑揚效果 ; ⽽跌幅限制則會影響

⽔泥窯業、紡織業、造紙業與營造業的價量背離效果。推測其主要原因應 為:漲跌幅限制將使得「量」變數所夾帶的訊息流被阻斷,導致各類股在 極端分量 (接近漲跌幅限制時) 會有異於在⾮極端分量上之價量關係。

三、加⼊衡量資訊不對稱程度的代理變數後,雖無改變各⼤類股價量⿑揚、價 量背離的⾛勢,但資訊不對稱程度相對較⾼的產業,在正報酬時會出現股 價反應不⾜的情形,⽽報酬為負時則會出現股價過度反應。相較之下,資 訊不對稱程度較⼩的產業,價量關係的改變並不明顯。

綜觀本⽂主要實證結果,另⼀部份與既存⽂獻 (莊家彰與管中閔,2005) 的觀察

⼀致,另⼀部分則為本⽂⾸創之模型設計所得到的結果 : 產業類股間的差異化

這些研究成果將令投資⼤眾、證券業者以及政策制訂者都能對臺灣產業類股之 價量關係有更明確的解讀。

⽽在本⽂進⾏實證研究的過程中,以三⼤法⼈持股總額與該類股市值⽐作 為資訊不對稱代理變數,但亦有研究顯⽰不同類型之法⼈機構投資者,具有的 資訊優勢程度不⼀。過去⽂獻常以資訊交易機率 (PIN) 作為衡量私有資訊的機 率,⽽外資經常被視為資訊交易優勢者,因此亦能以外資持股⽐佔該產業市值

⽐作為衡量資訊不對稱程度,本⽂將外資持股⽐之基本統計量置於附錄。 此外,

不同類型之法⼈機構偏好投資之標的也有所不同,因此後續研究或許能將三⼤

法⼈持股進⾏區別,進⾏資訊不對稱與價量關係的相關研究。


參考⽂獻

中⽂⽂獻

莊家彰、管中閔,2005。台灣與美國股市價量關係的分量迴歸分析,經濟論

⽂,第 34卷第 4 期,379 – 404 ⾴。

盧陽正,2007,不同類型投資⼈委託資訊與成交揭⽰資訊之透明度與優勢資訊 內涵─以台灣證券交易所掛牌交易公司逐筆資料解析,中華民國證卷商業同 業公會委託專題研究。

英⽂⽂獻

Ackert, L. F. and Athanassakos, G., “The Relationship between Short Interest and Stock Returns in the Canadian Market.” Journal of Banking and Finance, 29 (2005), 1729 – 1749.

Bachelier, L., “Theory of Speculation.” Paris: Gauthier-Villars, 1900.

Bagehot, W., “The only game in town.” Financial Analyst Journal, 27 (1971), 12 – 22.

Barber, B. et al., “Just how much do individual investors lose by trading?” The review

of Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 609 – 632

Beaver, W. H., “The Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcement.”

Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, 6 (1968), 67 – 92.

Canay, I. A., “A Simple Approach to Quantile Regression for Panel Data.”

Econometrics Journal, 14 (2011), 368 – 386.

Campbell, J.Y. et al., “Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns.”

Quarterly Journal of Economics, (1993), in press.

Clark, P. K., “A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices.” Econometrica, 41 (Jan., 1973), 135 – 155.

Gallant, A. R. et al., “Stock Prices and Volume.” Review of Financial Studies, 5 (1992), 199 – 242.

Hiemstra, C. and Jones, J. D., “Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Stock Price-Volume Relation.” The Journal of Finance, 49 (1994), 1639 – 1664.

Jaffe, J. F., and Winkler, R. J., “Optimal speculation against an efficient market.”

Journal of Finance, 31 (1976), 49 – 61.

Karpoff, J. M., “The Relation Between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A

Survey.” The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 22 (Mar., 1987), 109 – 126.

Koenker, R. and Bassett, G., “Regression Quantile.” Econometrica, 46 (1978), 33 – 50.

Koenker, R. and Hallock, K.F., “Quantile Regression,” Journal of Economic

Perspectives, 15 (2001), 143 – 156.

Koenker, R., “Quantile regression for longitudinal data.” Journal of Multivariate

Analysis, 91 (2004), 74 – 89.

Lakonishok, J. et al., “The structure and performance of the money management industry.” Brookings papers on economic activity: microeconomics, (1992), 33 – 91.

Llorente, G. et al., “Dynamic Volume-Return Relation of Individual Stocks.” The

Review of Financial Studies, 15 (2002), 1005 – 1047.

Lo, A. W. and Wang, J., “Trading Volume: Definitions, Data Analysis, and

Implications of Portfolio Theory.” The Review of Financial Studies, 13 (2000), 257 – 300.

Mandelbrot, B., “The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices.” Journal of Business, 36 (1963), 394 – 419.

Saatcioglu, K. and Starks, L.T., “The Stock Price–Volume Relationship in Emerging Stock Markets: the Case of Latin America. ” International Journal of Forecasting, 14 (1998), 215 – 225.

Smirlock, M. and Starks, L.T., “An empirical analysis of the stock price-volume relationship.” Journal of Banking Finance, 12 (1988), 31 – 41.

Ying, C. C., “Stock Market Prices and Volumes of Sales.” Econometrica, 34 (Jul., 1966), 676 — 685.


表1 ⼋⼤類股樣本統計量與單根檢定

成交量 7.95 10.32 10.34 12.83 0.7 0.08 0.03 -23.00*** -7.58***

成交值 10.93 13.63 13.64 16.55 0.85 0.04 -0.06 -18.60*** -6.88***

週轉率 0.05 0.35 0.49 3.73 0.44 0.24 3.85 -25.87*** -8.85***

成交量 7.86 10.55 10.56 12.91 0.71 -0.02 -0.5 -19.97*** -7.31***

成交值 10.63 13.94 13.87 16.87 1.07 -0.18 -0.19 -11.84*** -5.13***

週轉率 0.02 0.51 0.81 8.03 0.92 2.99 11.41 -17.42*** -7.04***

成交量 9.1 11.95 11.93 13.79 0.66 -0.52 0.83 -18.38*** -7.63***

成交值 12.68 15.51 15.48 17.41 0.68 -0.47 0.45 -16.41*** -7.18***

週轉率 0.07 0.62 0.83 4.91 0.66 1.82 3.95 -21.47*** -8.96***

成交量 9.27 11.51 11.49 13.68 0.77 -0.05 -0.51 -18.82*** -7.66***

成交值 11.8 14.54 14.58 17.75 1.02 0.1 -0.41 -14.75*** -6.30***

週轉率 0.04 0.54 0.81 7.55 0.77 2.16 6.02 -20.96*** -7.77***

法⼈佔⽐ 0.08 0.21 0.19 0.35 0.04 -0.35 -0.66 -2.14 -2.25

續表1 ⼋⼤類股樣本統計量與單根檢定

成交量 9.52 13.92 13.37 15.47 1.27 -0.87 -0.55 -10.92*** -4.22***

成交值 13.12 17.72 17.19 19.36 1.24 -0.96 -0.22 -9.28*** -4.24***

週轉率 0.13 0.83 1.1 5.5 0.77 1.77 3.54 -20.59*** -7.61***

報酬率 -6.99 -0.04 0 6.67 2.063 -0.105 1.736 -76.136*** -17.882***

成交量 6.32 9.9 9.9 12.6 0.89 -0.02 -0.39 -22.33*** -7.95***

成交值 10.98 14.32 14.24 17.21 1.03 -0.41 0.02 -11.47*** -5.42***

週轉率 0.07 0.68 0.91 7.37 0.77 1.95 5.52 -23.12*** -8.35***

成交量 8.34 12.45 12.14 14.95 1.18 -0.77 -0.01 -18.03*** -6.67***

成交值 12.24 15.75 15.76 18.16 0.76 -0.22 0.49 -21.28*** -8.05***

週轉率 0.01 0.33 0.47 3.38 0.4 2.33 6.96 -25.11*** -10.08***

表2 個別類股跨期報酬率與週轉率 斜率估計結果

0.01 -1.745 (0.000)*** -1.792 (0.000)*** -1.436 (0.000)*** 0.277 (0.001)***

0.05 -2.509 (0.000)*** -1.730 (0.000)*** -0.902 (0.001)*** -0.514 (0.005)***

0.1 -1.476 (0.000)*** -1.184 (0.000)*** -0.812 (0.000)*** -0.660 (0.000)***

0.15 -1.090 (0.000)*** -0.856 (0.000)*** -0.633 (0.000)*** -0.569 (0.000)***

0.2 -0.967 (0.000)*** -0.667 (0.000)*** -0.491 (0.000)*** -0.637 (0.000)***

0.25 -0.782 (0.000)*** -0.589 (0.000)*** -0.436 (0.000)*** -0.496 (0.000)***

0.3 -0.574 (0.000)*** -0.473 (0.000)*** -0.325 (0.001)*** -0.381 (0.001)***

0.35 -0.389 (0.003)*** -0.260 (0.015)** -0.245 (0.007)*** -0.309 (0.002)***

0.4 -0.282 (0.011)** -0.216 (0.032)** -0.135 (0.075)* -0.237 (0.008)***

0.45 -0.232 (0.090)* -0.088 (0.381) -0.094 (0.168) -0.151 (0.146) 0.5 -0.159 (0.144) 0.046 (0.644) -0.055 (0.451) -0.074 (0.463) 0.55 -0.026 (0.833) 0.115 (0.198) 0.000 (1.000) 0.024 (0.808)

續表2 個別類股跨期報酬率與週轉率 斜率估計結果

0.01 0.032 (0.858) -0.619 (0.001)*** -0.716 (0.000)*** -3.935 (0.000)***

0.05 -0.290 (0.272) -1.261 (0.000)*** -1.134 (0.000)*** -2.159 (0.000)***

0.1 -0.423 (0.018)** -0.892 (0.000)*** -1.060 (0.000)*** -1.448 (0.000)***

0.15 -0.367 (0.010)*** -0.769 (0.000)*** -0.858 (0.000)*** -1.073 (0.000)***

0.2 -0.168 (0.114) -0.568 (0.000)*** -0.576 (0.000)*** -0.850 (0.000)***

0.25 -0.105 (0.273) -0.484 (0.000)*** -0.441 (0.000)*** -0.592 (0.000)***

0.3 -0.081 (0.345) -0.380 (0.000)*** -0.349 (0.000)*** -0.473 (0.003)***

0.35 -0.027 (0.743) -0.312 (0.000)*** -0.220 (0.001)*** -0.247 (0.090)*

0.4 0.028 (0.713) -0.243 (0.000)*** -0.156 (0.010)*** -0.097 (0.447) 0.45 0.046 (0.471) -0.170 (0.017)** -0.072 (0.267) -0.026 (0.805) 0.5 0.072 (0.337) -0.072 (0.334) 0.022 (0.742) 0.050 (0.696)

表3 個別類股法⼈持股佔⽐與週轉率交乘項 基本統計量

類股 極⼩值 第⼀分位 中位數 平均數 第三分位 極⼤值

電⼦業 3.355 20.09 25.46 27.84 32.75 87.44

塑膠化⼯業 2.044 6.266 9.518 11.77 15.4 58.69

營造業 0.429 3.313 6.244 8.833 11.25 66.9

紡織業 1.104 3.433 5.795 7.835 10.02 70.57

⾦融業 0.937 4.237 6.084 7.666 9.337 51.87

⽔泥窯業 0.442 2.669 4.634 6.838 8.973 58.96

造紙業 0.236 1.541 3.161 5.323 6.37 79.93

⾷品業 0.089 0.36 0.657 1.075 1.452 8.962

表4 ⽔泥窯業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -1.915 (0.001)*** 0.6 0.040 (0.825)

-0.058 (0.110) 0.006 (0.488)

0.1 -0.939 (0.003)*** 0.65 0.183 (0.351)

-0.040 (0.045)** 0.009 (0.348) 0.15 -0.880 (0.000)*** 0.7 0.432 (0.047)**

-0.025 (0.073)* 0.012 (0.247) 0.2 -0.742 (0.000)*** 0.75 0.578 (0.007)***

-0.014 (0.183) 0.021 (0.045)**

0.25 -0.686 (0.000)*** 0.8 0.870 (0.008)***

-0.008 (0.408) 0.020 (0.138)

0.3 -0.505 (0.022)** 0.85 1.311 (0.000)***

-0.009 (0.378) 0.023 (0.161)

0.35 -0.297 (0.115) 0.9 1.614 (0.000)***

-0.008 (0.365) 0.036 (0.105)

0.4 -0.159 (0.253) 0.95 1.632 (0.000)***

-0.010 (0.149) 0.068 (0.000)***

0.45 -0.151 (0.169) 0.99 1.539 (0.000)***

-0.007 (0.285) 0.076 (0.003)***

0.5 -0.149 (0.304)

-0.001 (0.910)

表5 ⾷品業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -1.387 (0.176) 0.6 0.243 (0.355)

-0.152 (0.698) -0.024 (0.791)

0.1 -1.177 (0.037)** 0.65 0.313 (0.277)

-0.004 (0.983) -0.017 (0.864)

0.15 -0.896 (0.050** 0.7 0.395 (0.226)

0.020 (0.903) -0.013 (0.908)

0.2 -1.044 (0.003)*** 0.75 0.618 (0.088)

0.143 (0.250) -0.025 (0.839)

0.25 -0.881 (0.001)*** 0.8 0.843 (0.087)*

0.105 (0.265) -0.012 (0.940)

0.3 -0.674 (0.048)** 0.85 1.398 (0.003)***

0.073 (0.512) -0.135 (0.415)

0.35 -0.343 (0.256) 0.9 1.313 (0.011)**

0.030 (0.764) -0.008 (0.966)

0.4 -0.338 (0.215) 0.95 2.130 (0.016)**

0.042 (0.653) -0.171 (0.573)

0.45 -0.168 (0.549) 0.99 2.219 (0.129)

0.023 (0.801) -0.209 (0.683)

0.5 0.178 (0.518)

-0.047 (0.602)

表6 塑膠化⼯業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -1.096 (0.146) 0.6 0.050 (0.808)

0.013 (0.680) 0.004 (0.684)

0.1 -0.922 (0.027)** 0.65 0.120 (0.621)

0.008 (0.701) 0.003 (0.742)

0.15 -0.660 (0.054)* 0.7 0.435 (0.088)*

0.001 (0.941) -0.006 (0.591)

0.2 -0.460 (0.092)* 0.75 0.593 (0.016)**

-0.002 (0.889) -0.011 (0.312)

0.25 -0.441 (0.058)* 0.8 0.710 (0.045)**

0.000 (0.987) -0.009 (0.525)

0.3 -0.434 (0.057)* 0.85 1.368 (0.000)***

0.006 (0.564) -0.022 (0.155)

0.35 -0.447 (0.035)** 0.9 1.748 (0.000)***

0.010 (0.292) -0.033 (0.061)*

0.4 -0.310 (0.093)* 0.95 3.578 (0.000)***

0.008 (0.304) -0.105 (0.000)***

0.45 -0.236 (0.172) 0.99 3.604 (0.000)***

0.006 (0.411) -0.140 (0.001)***

0.5 -0.173 (0.361)

0.006 (0.501)

表7 紡織業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -0.801 (0.006)*** 0.6 0.295 (0.302)

0.016 (0.548) -0.011 (0.449)

0.1 -0.868 (0.007)*** 0.65 0.363 (0.139)

0.015 (0.511) -0.007 (0.587)

0.15 -1.098 (0.002)*** 0.7 0.399 (0.259)

0.029 (0.091)* -0.008 (0.647)

0.2 -0.698 (0.053)* 0.75 0.875 (0.063)*

0.004 (0.844) -0.027 (0.254)

0.25 -0.612 (0.083)* 0.8 1.200 (0.001)***

0.007 (0.700) -0.035 (0.079)*

0.3 -0.367 (0.229) 0.85 1.735 (0.001)***

-0.001 (0.937) -0.053 (0.056)*

0.35 -0.292 (0.306) 0.9 1.547 (0.000)***

-0.001 (0.958) -0.028 (0.228)

0.4 -0.121 (0.616) 0.95 1.029 (0.000)***

-0.008 (0.549) -0.002 (0.932)

0.45 -0.075 (0.773) 0.99 -0.102 (0.755)

-0.006 (0.691) 0.051 (0.005)***

0.5 0.018 (0.944)

-0.005 (0.739)

表8 電⼦業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -1.952 (0.000)*** 0.6 0.043 (0.783)

0.066 (0.000)*** 0.006 (0.154)

0.1 -1.936 (0.000)*** 0.65 0.193 (0.285)

0.061 (0.000)*** 0.001 (0.819) 0.15 -1.521 (0.000)*** 0.7 0.594 (0.003)***

0.048 (0.000)*** -0.009 (0.067)*

0.2 -1.198 (0.000)*** 0.75 0.826 (0.000)***

0.039 (0.000)*** -0.016 (0.002)***

0.25 -0.905 (0.000)*** 0.8 1.302 (0.000)***

0.032 (0.000)*** -0.029 (0.000)***

0.3 -0.884 (0.000)*** 0.85 1.792 (0.000)***

0.031 (0.000)*** -0.043 (0.000)***

0.35 -0.781 (0.000)*** 0.9 2.669 (0.000)***

0.029 (0.000)*** -0.066 (0.000)***

0.4 -0.592 (0.000)*** 0.95 3.381 (0.000)***

0.026 (0.000)*** -0.086 (0.000)***

0.45 -0.450 (0.000)*** 0.99 3.417 (0.000)***

0.022 (0.000)*** -0.087 (0.003)***

0.5 -0.410 (0.001)***

0.019 (0.000)***

表9 造紙業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -2.616 (0.001)*** 0.6 0.652 (0.005)***

0.163 (0.033)** -0.060 (0.0070***

0.1 -2.042 (0.000)*** 0.65 0.812 (0.017)**

0.118 (0.000)*** -0.063 (0.040)**

0.15 -1.444 (0.002)*** 0.7 1.468 (0.000)***

0.060 (0.146) -0.108 (0.001)***

0.2 -0.885 (0.017)** 0.75 1.671 (0.000)***

0.031 (0.342) -0.114 (0.001)***

0.25 -0.591 (0.031)** 0.8 1.810 (0.000)***

0.011 (0.675) -0.114 (0.001)***

0.3 -0.432 (0.058)* 0.85 2.039 (0.000)***

0.006 (0.792) -0.114 (0.017)**

0.35 -0.317 (0.153) 0.9 2.823 (0.000)***

0.001 (0.966) -0.173 (0.0020***

0.4 -0.231 (0.319) 0.95 3.256 (0.000)***

-0.001 (0.957) -0.201 (0.000)***

0.45 0.000 (0.999) 0.99 2.196 (0.087)*

-0.017 (0.482) -0.127 (0.286)

0.5 0.375 (0.160)

-0.045 (0.056)*

表10 營造業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果 0.05 -1.010 (0.000)*** 0.6 0.290 (0.040)**

-0.011 (0.641) -0.002 (0.844)

0.1 -1.650 (0.000)*** 0.65 0.522 (0.001)***

0.057 (0.036)** -0.016 (0.137) 0.15 -1.358 (0.000)*** 0.7 0.656 (0.000)***

0.053 (0.0030*** -0.02 (0.096)*

0.2 -1.126 (0.000)*** 0.75 1.026 (0.000)***

0.055 (0.000)*** -0.038 (0.003)***

0.25 -0.851 (0.000)*** 0.8 1.503 (0.000)***

0.042 (0.001)*** -0.064 (0.000)***

0.3 -0.651 (0.000)*** 0.85 1.858 (0.000)***

0.033 (0.003)*** -0.080 (0.000)***

0.35 -0.475 (0.000)*** 0.9 2.385 (0.000)***

0.027 (0.005)*** -0.110 (0.000)***

0.4 -0.386 (0.001)*** 0.95 2.580 (0.000)***

0.025 (0.004)*** -0.123 (0.000)***

0.45 -0.244 (0.025)** 0.99 1.444 (0.000)***

0.021 (0.015)** -0.063 (0.017)**

0.5 -0.182 (0.108)

0.022 (0.013)**

表11 ⾦融業跨期報酬率與週轉率、法⼈持股佔⽐ 斜率估計結果

0.05 -1.360 (0.055)* 0.6 0.155 (0.525)

-0.064 (0.096)* 0.011 (0.324)

0.1 -1.873 (0.002)*** 0.65 0.358 (0.104)

0.030 (0.282) 0.007 (0.514)

0.15 -1.284 (0.012)** 0.7 0.390 (0.180)

0.012 (0.591) 0.004 (0.740)

0.2 -1.044 (0.001)*** 0.75 0.964 (0.015)**

0.015 (0.333) -0.013 (0.408)

0.25 -0.870 (0.003)*** 0.8 1.527 (0.000)***

0.020 (0.167) -0.034 (0.063)*

0.3 -0.767 (0.003)*** 0.85 1.682 (0.000)***

0.022 (0.094)* -0.016 (0.439)

0.35 -0.629 (0.013)** 0.9 2.479 (0.000)***

0.023 (0.054)* -0.033 (0.216)

0.4 -0.439 (0.045)** 0.95 3.253 (0.000)***

0.020 (0.048)** -0.027 (0.454)

0.45 -0.319 (0.124) 0.99 1.197 (0.049)**

0.014 (0.153) 0.097 (0.064)*

0.5 -0.180 (0.454)

0.013 (0.239)

附錄

0.01 -1.249 (0.000)*** -0.835 (0.011)** -0.593 (0.049)** 0.045 (0.821) 0.05 -1.369 (0.000)*** -0.760 (0.000)*** -0.290 (0.063)* -0.383 (0.005)***

0.1 -0.853 (0.000)*** -0.535 (0.000)*** -0.213 (0.050)** -0.494 (0.000)***

0.15 -0.630 (0.000)*** -0.395 (0.000)*** -0.183 (0.014)** -0.377 (0.000)***

0.2 -0.496 (0.000)*** -0.298 (0.000)*** -0.182 (0.003)*** -0.321 (0.000)***

0.25 -0.399 (0.000)*** -0.232 (0.000)*** -0.161 (0.002)*** -0.249 (0.000)***

0.3 -0.312 (0.000)*** -0.176 (0.000)*** -0.081 (0.117) -0.197 (0.000)***

0.35 -0.213 (0.000)*** -0.120 (0.002)*** -0.044 (0.332) -0.156 (0.000)***

0.4 -0.173 (0.000)*** -0.080 (0.035)** -0.021 (0.608) -0.108 (0.005)***

0.45 -0.117 (0.000)*** -0.035 (0.326) -0.015 (0.692) -0.064 (0.118) 0.5 -0.079 (0.042)** 0.012 (0.735) 0.008 (0.852) -0.024 (0.539) 0.55 -0.002 (0.950) 0.056 (0.106) 0.035 (0.382) 0.021 (0.600)

個別類股跨期報酬率與成交量 斜率估計結果

0.01 0.353 (0.286) -0.844 (0.000)*** -0.947 (0.000)*** -1.452 (0.000)***

0.05 0.229 (0.384) -0.908 (0.000)*** -1.461 (0.000)*** -0.919 (0.000)***

0.1 0.413 (0.012)** -0.567 (0.000)*** -1.080 (0.000)*** -0.513 (0.000)***

0.15 0.298 (0.014)** -0.425 (0.000)*** -0.749 (0.000)*** -0.370 (0.000)***

0.2 0.234 (0.005)*** -0.338 (0.000)*** -0.526 (0.000)*** -0.285 (0.000)***

0.25 0.209 (0.016)** -0.263 (0.000)*** -0.431 (0.000)*** -0.197 (0.002)***

0.3 0.259 (0.001)*** -0.228 (0.000)*** -0.291 (0.000)*** -0.151 (0.010)***

0.35 0.244 (0.000)*** -0.162 (0.000)*** -0.209 (0.000)*** -0.077 (0.132) 0.4 0.240 (0.000)*** -0.12 (0.000)*** -0.108 (0.005)*** -0.02 (0.659) 0.45 0.237 (0.000)*** -0.075 (0.004)*** -0.057 (0.167) -0.009 (0.834)

0.5 0.205 (0.001)*** -0.012 (0.653) 0.037 (0.358) 0.032 (0.489) 0.55 0.191 (0.002)*** 0.026 (0.317) 0.142 (0.000)*** 0.090 (0.067)

個別類股跨期報酬率與成交值 斜率估計結果

0.01 -0.544 (0.021)** -0.318 (0.205) 0.211 (0.492) 0.158 (0.328) 0.05 -0.603 (0.000)*** -0.332 (0.001)*** 0.046 (0.753) -0.007 (0.964) 0.1 -0.413 (0.000)*** -0.156 (0.007)*** -0.016 (0.872) -0.104 (0.317) 0.15 -0.273 (0.000)*** -0.121 (0.005)*** 0.000 (1.000) -0.082 (0.231)

0.2 -0.226 (0.000)*** -0.095 (0.013)** -0.060 (0.301) -0.140 (0.018)**

0.25 -0.207 (0.000)*** -0.065 (0.045)** -0.065 (0.172) -0.124 (0.007)***

0.3 -0.147 (0.000)*** -0.039 (0.182) -0.039 (0.351) -0.093 (0.028)**

0.35 -0.115 (0.001)*** -0.025 (0.350) 0.006 (0.879) -0.069 (0.082)*

0.4 -0.111 (0.000)*** 0.000 (1.000) 0.000 (1.000) -0.052 (0.150) 0.45 -0.075 (0.008)*** 0.007 (0.785) 0.012 (0.711) -0.052 (0.174) 0.5 -0.052 (0.069)* 0.006 (0.824) 0.014 (0.689) -0.028 (0.448) 0.55 -0.026 (0.362) 0.005 (0.826) 0.012 (0.730) 0.000 (1.000) OLS -0.016 (0.669) -0.003 (0.913) -0.021 (0.605) 0.005 (0.913)

個別類股跨期報酬率與成交值 斜率估計結果

0.01 0.591 (0.036)** -0.616 (0.000)*** -0.511 (0.001)*** -0.975 (0.040)**

0.05 0.470 (0.029)** -0.539 (0.000)*** -0.465 (0.000)*** -0.676 (0.000)***

0.1 0.541 (0.000)*** -0.419 (0.000)*** -0.210 (0.010)*** -0.289 (0.008)***

0.15 0.297 (0.007)*** -0.299 (0.000)*** -0.101 (0.056)* -0.265 (0.002)***

0.2 0.201 (0.016)** -0.240 (0.000)*** -0.038 (0.406) -0.204 (0.001)***

0.25 0.216 (0.005)*** -0.184 (0.000)*** -0.046 (0.254) -0.167 (0.003)***

0.3 0.192 (0.007)**** -0.162 (0.000)*** -0.034 (0.292) -0.116 (0.034)**

0.35 0.201 (0.002)*** -0.129 (0.000)*** -0.012 (0.615) -0.061 (0.197) 0.4 0.196 (0.000)*** -0.099 (0.000)*** 0.003 (0.905) -0.021 (0.612) 0.45 0.204 (0.000)*** -0.053 (0.018)** 0.029 (0.193) -0.016 (0.690) 0.5 0.176 (0.000)*** -0.017 (0.436) 0.060 (0.009)*** 0.008 (0.857)

個別類股 外資持股⽐基本統計量

類股 極⼩值 第⼀分位 中位數 平均數 第三分位 極⼤值

⽔泥窯業 0.799 1.26 1.564 1.632 1.811 3.149

⾷品業 6.076 10.1 25.69 21.89 29.47 36.68

塑膠化⼯業 11.31 14.03 17.92 17.5 19.82 25.28

紡織業 6.441 13.23 17.01 15.9 18.76 23.23

電⼦業 0.093 0.226 0.305 0.418 0.622 1.173

造紙業 4.375 6.916 8.974 8.777 10.84 12.45

營造業 2.754 6.601 10.6 10.79 13.29 26.95

⾦融業 6.036 15.13 22.85 20.53 25.27 30.53

相關文件