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Australian-Indonesian monsoon

Chapter 1 Introduction

1.3 Australian-Indonesian monsoon

Dynamics of AIM, baring strong connection with East Asian Monsoon (EAM)

system (Fig. 1-2), since the last glacial are rather less studied. Paleoclimate model

experiments (Wyrwoll et al., 2007), paleoproductivity data (Holbourn et al., 2005) and

pollen records (Kershaw, van der Kaars and Moss 2003) revealed that variation of SH

summer insolation influence Australian-Indonesian summer monsoon (AISM) rainfall

on orbital timescale. In contrast, Miller et al. (2005) suggested that the dominant AISM

forcing is the strength of the East Asian winter monsoon (Miller et al., 2005), which is

governed by the strength of air outflowing from the semi-permanent high-pressure

system over Siberia. During the Holocene epoch, the mechanisms that drive millennial-

and centennial- scale events is poorly known. The current available coral records

(Abram et al., 2007; Tudhope et al., 2001) and ocean sediment core records (Stott et al.,

2004; Visser, Thunell and Stott 2003) only provide limited information. Model

experiments simulated perturbation of regional atmospheric circulation and

millennial-scale events since the LGM (DiNezio et al., 2013; Tokinaga et al., 2012;

Zhang and Delworth, 2005), revealing significant influence of Sunda Shelf exposure on

AIM dynamics.

Previous studies have suggested that (1) the AIM system was dominated by

insolation intensity and/or sea-level on orbital time scale (Griffiths et al., 2009; Miller et

4

al., 2005), (2) exposure of the Sunda Shelf may profoundly affect regional climate, and

(DiNezio et al., 2013; Tokinaga et al., 2012) and (3) regional climate system was rather

heterogeneous than previous thought (DiNezio et al., 2013; Mohtadi et al., 2011).

Located at the modern southern border of Austral winter ITCZ, hydroclimate condition

of East Timor is dominantly affected by AM and AIM dynamics (An et al., 2000;

Griffiths et al., 2009). Therefore, by acquiring high-resolution proxy records from East

Timor stalagmites, our goal is to clarify how the AIM system responds to regional and

global changes, and have further insight on teleconnection between North Atlantic

perturbation and low-latitude climate system since the LGM.

Figure 1-2. Main atmospheric features in the modern western Pacific. Schematic view of major atmospheric system during austral winter (June to August) (a) and austral summer (December to Februarys) (b). The dominant flows in the middle and low troposphere are indicated by closed and open arrows, respectively (An et al., 2000).

a. b.

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Chapter 2 Regional settings and methods

2.1 Study site and research material

2.1.1 Location of Lekiraka cave

Stalagmites were obtained from Lekiraka cave, Ossu, Viqueque, East Timor (Fig

2-2). This cave is located at 8o47’10.8”S, 126o23’31.1”E; 626 m above sea level, with

limestone cap layer about 20m. Lekiraka cave is about 650 km east to the Liang Luar

cave (Flores, Indonesia, 8o32’S, 120o26’E; 550 m above sea level) (Griffiths et al.,

2009).

Figure 2-1. Map showing cave and marine sediment core locations. Stars denote the locations of Lekiraka cave (yellow), Liang Luar cave (orange) (Griffiths et al., 2009), Gunung Buda (white) (Partin et al., 2007), and sediment core GeoB10053-7 (red) (Mohtadi et al., 2011).

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Figure 2-2. Stalagmite samples, from the cave to the laboratory. (a) Stalagmites in the Lekiraka cave, highlighted by white circle. (b) Unprocessed stalagmite samples. (c) Stalagmite samples that were halved, polished, ready for subsampling.

a. b.

c.

7

2.1.2 Regional settings

The air temperature of Lekiraka cave is 25.3oC, with relative humidity of 97%

(August 3rd, 2011).The annual mean temperature of Ossu, the cave site is 26.1oC, with

mean annual rainfall of 1948 mm recorded by the Ossu weather station, for ~57%

falling during austral summer monsoon season (December–March) and ~17% falling

during austral winter monsoon season (June–September) (Fig. 2-3).

Figure 2-3. Average rainfall amount / temperature of Ossu. Long-term (1952-1974 AD) monthly average rainfall amount (grey bars) and temperature (black circles) of Ossu weather station. Data was obtained from Timor-Leste Meteorology Center.

8

2.2 Experiments

2.2.1 Subsampling

Stalagmite were halved and polished. For U-Th dating, powdered samples, 50-120

mg each, were milled along the growth layer. For stable oxygen and carbon isotope time series, powder samples, 50-100 Pg each, were milled along the growth axis. For ‘Hendy

Test’ (Hendy et al., 1971), powdered samples, 50-100 Pg each, were milled along the

coeval growth layers with interval of 1 mm. All sub-sampling procedure was performed

in class-10000 sub-sampling room and class-100 benches.

2.2.2 Labwares for U-Th dating chemical procedure

Labware used in this research included Teflon beakers, bottles, and columns;

PE/PP bottles, centrifuge tubes, vials, pipette tips, and porous PP column frits. In order

to reduce chemical blank during U-Th isotope measurement, all labwares were

acid-cleaned (Shen et al., 2003) prior to U-Th dating chemical procedure (Shen et al.,

2003; Shen et al., 2012).

2.2.3 U-Th dating chemical procedure

For reduction of potential containment, the chemical procedure for U-Th dating

was performed in a class-10,000 clean room with independent class-100 benches and

hoods. U-Th dating chemical procedure was developed in HISPEC, Department of

Geosciences, National Taiwan University (Shen et al., 2003).

9

Sample digestion

1. Stalagmite powdered sample was weighed and preserved in a 30-ml Teflon beaker.

2. Sample was covered with pure water, and dissolved gradually by adding appropriate

drops of 14N HNO3.

3. Appropriate amount of 229Th-233U-236U spike solution was added and weighed.

4. Ten drops of HClO4 were added for removal of organic matters.

5. One drop of FeCl2 was added for iron co-precipitation.

6. The sample solution was refluxed at 200oC on a hotplate over 12 hours to achieve

complete U-Th isotopic equilibrium and decomposition of organic matters.

7. The sample solution was dried at 250 oC.

Iron co-precipitation and centrifugation

1. Dehydrated sample was covered with 1-2 ml pure H2O, and dissolved with 1-2 ml 2

N HCl, then transferred from Teflon beaker into a PE centrifuge tube. The Teflon

beaker was cleaned with dilute aqua regia.

2. Appropriate amount of NH4OH was gradually added to the sample solution, until

Fe(OH)3 precipitate (for uranium and thorium co-precipitation).

3. Suspension was then separated by centrifugation and discarded, and residual was

rinsed by appropriate amount of pure H2O. This step was repeated three times.

4. Ten drops of 14 N HNO3 were added to dissolve the residual, and transferred back

10

into the original Teflon beaker.

5. Two drops of HClO4 were added to the sample solution and dried at 250 oC.

6. One drop of 14 N HNO3 was added to dissolve the dehydrated sample, and then dried

at 250 oC. This step was repeated for three times, to keep cations in nitric form.

7. Dehydrated sample was dissolved with 4-5 ml 7 N HNO3.

Uranium and thorium extraction by anion-exchange resin column

1. A 6-7 cm long column was packed with AG 1-X8 anion-exchange resin was prepared.

2. One column volume of pure H2O with one drop of 14 N HNO3 was added to remove

metal ion.

3. Repeatedly adding one drop of 7 N HNO3 was added three times. One column

volume of 7 N HNO3 was then added to condition the column.

4. Sample solution was loaded into the column.

5. Repeatedly adding one drop of 7 N HNO3 three times. One column volume of 7 N

HNO3 was then added to fully elute Fe3+.

6. The Teflon beaker was refluxed with 15ml 1% aqua regia and 0.005 N HF for 10

minutes and then rinsed with pure H2O.

7. Repeatedly adding one drop of 6 N HCl three times. One column volume of 6 N HCl

was then added. The thorium fraction was collected with the original cleaned 30-ml

Teflon beaker. Two drops of HClO4 were added to the beaker to decompose organic

11

matters.

8. Repeatedly adding one drop of pure H2O three times. One column volume of pure

H2O was then added. The uranium fraction was collected with a clean 10-ml Teflon

beaker. Two drops of HClO4 were added to the beaker to decompose organic

matters.

9. The two separated thorium and uranium fraction were dried at 250 oC for fully

dehydration.

10. One drop of HClO4 was added to dissolve dehydrated sample. The sample was then

dried at 250 oC to remove organic matter. This step was repeated for three times.

11. One drop of 14 N HNO3was added to dissolve dehydrated sample. The sample was

dried at 250 oC. This step was repeated for three times.

12. The dried thorium and uranium fractions were dissolved with 1% aqua regia and

0.005 N HF and then transferred into PE vial from Teflon beaker for instrumental

analysis.

2.2.4 U-Th dating Instrumentation

A Thermo-Fisher multiple-collector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer

(MC-ICP-MS), equipped with a secondary electron multiplier (SEM) and combined

with an Aridus sample introduction system was used for U-Th isotopic measurement.

U-Th dating techniques were developed in the High-Precision Mass Spectrometry and

12

Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences, National

Taiwan University (Shen et al., 2012). The instrument sensitivity is 2-4%, with

precision of ±1-2Å ı for abundance determinations of 50-200 fg 234U (1 – 4 ng 238U)

or 230Th. One international standard, New Brunswick Laboratories Certified Reference

Material 112A (NBL-112A) was used for calibrating mass fraction and intensity bias

(Shen et al., 2012).

2.2.5 Stable oxygen isotope analysis Instrumentation

Stable oxygen and carbon isotope analysis was performed in three laboratories.

The first is the Kano Laboratory of the Department of Environmental Changes, Kyushu

University. Isotopic measurement was conducted by Thermo-Finnigan Delta Plus mass

spectrometer with GASBENCH II gas separation system. The second is Stable Isotope

Laboratory of the Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University.

Isotopic measurement was conducted by Micromass IsoPrime isotope ratio mass

spectrometer (IRMS). The third is Stable Isotope Laboratory of the Department of

Geoscience, National Taiwan University. Isotopic measurement was conducted by

Thermo-Finnigan MAT 253 IRMS, with Kiel-II carbonate system. Oxygen and carbon

stable isotopic data were reported as į18O and į13C respectively, relative to the Vienna

Pee Dee Belemnite (VPDB) reference standard. The NBS-19 was used as calibration

standard (į18O = -2.20‰, į13C = +1.95‰). One-sigma external precision of the

13

measurements was better than 0.08‰ for į18O and 0.04‰ for į13C.

2.2.6 Hendy Test and Replication Test

‘Hendy Test’, a widely adapted testing method, was proposed by Hendy et. al.

(1971), In order to preclude kinetic effect dominant stalagmites from providing biased

paleoclimate proxy records. The Hendy test is based on two indicators that are

established by the į18O and į13C value of subsamples in coeval stalagmite growth layers.

First is the standard deviation of į18O value, and second is the covariation between į18O

and į13C values. If į18O within the same layers have small ı value (<0.5‰) and/or į18O

and į13C values are poorly correlated (R2<0.4), the stalagmite is considered to

precipitate without dominant kinetic fractionation, thus its į18O profile would be

considered a valid paleoclimate proxy. Another relatively new and widely accepted

testing method is ‘Replication Test’ (Dorale and Liu, 2004), by estimating the

consistency between contemporaneous į18O profiles of stalagmites in different position

of the cave. Dorale and Liu (2004) proposed that only when kinetic effect is absent or

affect the stalagmites in the exact same way, will the different stalagmite į18O profiles

be well duplicated, in which the latter case is fairly unlikely. This study adapted both

approaches, to provide a robust examination.

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Chapter 3 Results

3.1 U-Th dating results and age model

After screening, three stalagmites, MC110803-1, MC110803-2, and 090721-2MC

were selected (Figs. 3-2 to 3-4). Age models of three selected stalagmite were

constructed by 28 dating points, Age (before 1950 AD) intervals are 16.58-0.39 ka for

MC110803-1, 14.62-0.87 ka for MC110803-2, and 13.16-11.62 ka for 090721-2MC

(Fig. 3-1, Table 3-1 to 3-3). However, there is still a time gap at 11.6-5.7 ka in the

spliced interval of 11.62 ka-5.64 ka. The average 238U concentration of these three

stalagmites is 285 ppb for MC110803-1, 266 ppb for MC110803-2, and 554 ppb for

090721-2MC, respectively. The detailed U-Th isotopic and concentration data and

dating results are available in Appendix (I). The average growth rates of three

stalagmites are 0.21, 0.092, and 0.056 mm/yr for MC110803-1, MC110803-2), and

090721-2MC, respectively.

15

Figure 3-1. Plot of sample depth versus age for three selected Lekiraka cave stalagmites. Green, blue, and orange lines denote stalagmite MC110803-1, MC110803-2, and 090721-2MC, respectively. Most of 2ı error bars are smaller than the symbols.

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Table 3-1. 230Th age data of stalagmite MC110803-1.

Sample ID Depth(mm) Age (ka) (UURU ı

110803-1A-29 29 0.386 0.021

110803-1A-80 80 0.442 0.012

110803-1A-117 118 0.605 0.011

110803-1A-122 122 0.677 0.010

110803-1A-151 151 0.792 0.013

110803-1A-167 167 1.374 0.018

110803-1A-326.5 326.5 2.115 0.016 110803-1A-370.5 370.5 2.803 0.019 110803-1A-447.5 447.5 3.274 0.029 110803-1A-635.5 635.5 5.394 0.034 110803-1A-637.5 637.5 14.51 0.13

110803-1A-789 789 16.576 0.087

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Figure 3-2. Stalagmite MC110803-1

Table 3-2. 230Th age data of stalagmite MC110803-2.

Sample ID Depth(mm) Age (ka) (UURU ı

110803-2A-10 10 0.874 0.014

110803-2A-142 142 1.769 0.033

110803-2A-180 180 2.062 0.025

110803-2A-240 240 2.687 0.018

110803-2A-365 365 3.425 0.023

110803-2A-415 415 3.918 0.034

110803-2A-441 441 4.383 0.022

110803-2A-524 524 5.181 0.032

110803-2A-544 544 5.64 0.032

110803-2A-550 550 11.887 0.054

110803-2A-583.5 583.5 13.004 0.061

110803-2A-650 650 14.621 0.074

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110803-2-2.5

Table 3-3. 230Th age data of stalagmite 090721-2MC.

Figure 3-4. Stalagmite 090721-2MC

Sample ID Depth(mm) Age (ka) (UURU ı

110803-2A-3 3 11.618 0.064

3.2 Oxygen and carbon stable isotope records

3.2.1 Hendy Test and Replication Test

‘Hendy test’ (Hendy et al., 1971) was conducted along coeval growth layers, and all layers have less than 0.2‰ of į18O variation (1-sigma) (Fig. 3-5a), showing that

stalagmites deposited at an oxygen isotopic equilibrium condition. The R2for į18O and į13C value in coeval layers of three selected stalagmites MC110803-1, MC110803-2,

and 090721-2MC were depicted respectively by Figs. 3-5b to 3-5d. Several layersį18O

and į13C values show high covariance. However, various slopes of regression lines have little implications of dominant kinetic effect in the Lekiraka cave. Two

contemporaneous į18O records for MC110803-1 and MC110803-2 are well replicated

from 0.8 to 5.7ka (Fig. 3-6), combined with robust Hendy Test, this high replication

between records suggest that little kinetic fractionation and insignificant influence form

water-rock interaction.

22

Figure 3-5. Results of ‘Hendy Test’ of Lekiraka stalagmites. (a) Green, blue, and orange symbols denote the results of ‘Hendy Test’ of various stalagmite sections.

1-sigma value of all tested layers are less than 0.2‰, indicate a stable precipitation environment. (b)(c)(b) The linear regressions of subsamples from different stalagmites are subsequently color-coded. Various slopes of regression lines suggest remote possibility of dominant kinetic effect.

a.

b. c. d.

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3.2.2 Oxygen stable isotope time series

Oxygen stable isotope time series of three selected stalagmites are given in Figure

3-7. į18O values of Lekiraka stalagmite records vary between -4.89‰ and -2.31‰

during 16.5-11.5 ka, -2.94‰ and -6.85‰ during 5.7-3.5 ka. A rapid drop of 1‰

occurred during 5.5 ka – 5.7 ka. This compiled record shows an 18O depletion tend from

late Pleistocene to Holocene (Fig 3-7).

Previous studies indicate that deglaciation process would essentially decrease the seawater į18O values for ~1‰ of decreasing (Dykoski et al., 2005; Schrag et al., 1996).

We assume that the shift of sea level is proportional to į18O change during deglaciation,

the reconstructed deglacial sea-level curve (Bard et al., 1996; Fairbanks et al., 1989;

Grant et al., 2012; Siddall et al., 2003) can be used to calculate decrease in į18O value

of ~0.5‰ during 16 to 11.5 ka, and additional ~0.5‰ decrease during the first half of Holocene (Griffiths et al., 2009). However, the fluctuation of moisture į18O values

during transformation of last deglaciation is difficult to be well estimated. The exposure

and flooding of Sunda Shelf could bring an unexpected effect on regional atmospheric

circulation and alternation of moisture amount and source to our study sites.

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Figure 3-6. į18O records of Lekiraka stalagmites. Green, blue and orange line respectively denote į18O records of stalagmite MC110803-1, MC110803-2, and 090721-2MC. 230Th dates with 2ıġ error are color-coded with stalagmites. Vertical colorful bars indicate Heinrich event 1 (H1) stadial, Bølling-Allerød (B-A) interstadial, and Younger Dryas (YD) stadial defined in previous studies (Dykoski et al., 2005; Petit et al., 1999; Wang et al., 2001).

25

Chapter 4 Discussion

4.1 Fluctuation of hydroclimate in Australian-Indonesian monsoon territory since

the last 16,500 years

Modern (1952-1974 AD) climate data (Griffiths et al., 2009; National Directorate

of Meteorology and Geophysics, Timor-Leste), long-term (1981-2011) regional

climatology data (http://www.esrl.noaa.gov, Physical Science Division, Earth System

Research Laboratory, NOAA), and moisture-source trajectory modeling (Draxler and

Rolph, 2013) (Figs. 4-1 to 4-3) show the same hydrological condition in our Lekiraka

cave and published Liang Luar cave in Western Flores (Griffiths et al., 2009) (Figs. 4-1

to 4-2). The agreements indicate the rainfall change in Lekiraka and Liang Luar caves is

dominantly governed by same climatic condition under the Australian-Indonesian

summer monsoon (AISM). The minor offset between Lekiraka and Liang Luar records

could be attributed to different travel distance of moisture source and different

summer/winter moisture ratios (Figs. 4-3 and 4-4). Therefore, /HNLUDND į18O record is

highly consistent with that of Liang Luar (Griffiths et al., 2009), with similar peak at

Younger Dryas (YD) stadial, and relatively low į18O during the Holocene. However,

there is a prominent shift of 1‰ of į18O value during 5.5-5.7 ka, which could be

attributed to recrystallization process of the stalagmites.

26

Figure 4-1. Map showing site locations and moisture trajectories. Stars mark the cave locations of Lekiraka cave (yellow, this study), Liang Luar cave in Western Flores (orange) (Griffiths et al., 2009), Bukit Assam and Snail Shell caves in Gunung Buda National Park in Borneo (white) (Partin et al., 2007), and also a marine sediment core GeoB10053-7 in the eastern Indian Ocean (red) (Mohtadi et al., 2011). Solid lines represent five-year average (2007-2011 AD) moisture trajectories of Lekiraka cave that were constructed by the HYSLPIT moisture trajectory model (Draxler and Rolph, 2013).

Blue lines represent the moisture trajectories for rainy season (December – March), and red lines represent moisture trajectories for the other months from April to November.

27

Figure 4-2. Moisture trajectories for Laing Luar cave (orange star, Griffiths et al.,

2009). Stars mark the cave locations of Lekiraka cave (yellow, this study), Liang Luar

cave in Western Flores (orange) (Griffiths et al., 2009). Solid lines represent moisture

trajectories (September 2006 – April 2007) of Liang Luar cave that were constructed by

the HYSLPIT moisture trajectory model (Draxler and Rolph, 2013). Blue lines

represent the moisture trajectories for rainy season (December - March), and red lines

represent moisture trajectories for dry season (June - August) (Modified from Griffiths

et al., 2009).

28

Figure 4-3. Map showing site locations and seasonal climate information.

Remote-sensing SST data are averaged from January 2002 to February 2008 (Aqua MODIS, http://oceancolor.gsfc.nasa.gov). Stars mark the cave locations of Lekiraka cave (yellow, this study), Liang Luar cave in Western Flores (orange) (Griffiths et al., 2009), Bukit Assam and Snail Shell caves in Gunung Buda National Park in Borneo (white) (Partin et al., 2007), and also a marine sediment core GeoB10053-7 in the eastern Indian Ocean (red) (Mohtadi et al., 2011). Superimposed black arrows indicate the intensity and direction of scatterometer wind in (a) August and (b) February (Modified from Mohtadi et al., 2011).

a. August b. February

29

Figure 4-4. Present-day IPWP hydroclimate. Observed mean annual sea surface salinity (SSS) (Antonov et al., 2009). Solid black contour indicates the IPWP boundaries as defined by the annual mean sea surface temperature > 28ɗ (Reynolds, 2002). Dots denote the locations of marine proxy records used in DiNezio et al. (2013).

Bukit Assam & Snail Shell

GeoB 10053-7

Liang Laur Lekiraka

30

A prominent į18O shift of 1.8‰ between 16.5-11.5 ka and 5.7-0.4 ka in the

spliced Lekiraka record indicates a relatively dry glacial period and wet Holocene

in East Timor. This results generally correspond to the up-rising of eustatic sea

level since the last glacial maximum (Grant et al., 2012; Hanebuth, Stattegger and

Grootes 2000; Hanebuth et al., 2011; Sathiamurthy, 2006; Sidall et al., 2003).

However, in sediment records from core GeoB10053-7 (Mohtadi et al., 2011)

(Fig. 4-5), millennial-scale events left relatively clear signatures in its AISM

records, and the AISM strengthen rapidly in late Holocene. Lekiraka and Liang

Luar records have a constant of about 1‰ offset, which could be attributed to

different ratios of moisture (Fig. 4-1 to Fig. 4-4). The inconsistency between

ocean sediment records and stalagmite records could be attributed to complex

rainfall mechanism in this area (DiNezio et al., 2013; Griffiths et al., 2010;

Mohtadi et al., 2011). Compare Lekiraka and Liang Luar records to planktonic

foraminiferal Ʃ18O-inferred Australian-Indonesian winter monsoon (AIWM)

records of GeoB10053-7, highly consistent pattern could be observed (Fig. 4-5).

The anti-phasing relationship between GeoB10053-7 AIWM records and Liang Luar / Lekiraka į18O records could be attributed to the “pull-push” mechanism

between the AIM and the EAM (An et al., 2000; Rohling et al., 2009).

31

Figure 4-5. Paleoclimate proxy records over the past 18,000 years. D į18O record of NGRIP ice core, Greenland (North Greenland Ice Core Project members, 2004). (b) į18O record of Dongge cave, China (Dykoski et al., 2005). (c  į18O record of Liang Luar cave, Flores, Indonesia (Griffiths et al., 2009). (d į18O record of Lekiraka cave, East Timor (colored line). (e) (f) ǻ18O and Lithogenic/CaCO3 record of sediment core GeoB 10053-7, offshore Java (Mohtadi et al., 2011). (g) Sea-level reconstruction (Sidall et al., 2003). (h) Insolation intensity of 30oS (January).

32

4.2 Comparison with global and regional paleoclimate proxy records

4.2.1 Late Pleistocene --- From H1 to YD

A dry/cold YD condition shown by significant increase of į18O value in the Asian

monsoon (AM) territory stalagmite records (Dykoski et al., 2005; Hu et al., 2008; Jiang

et al., 2012; Wang et al., 2001) is absent in Lekiraka and Laing Luar records. Instead, a

slightly wet/warm YD condition could be observed in Lekiraka and Laing Luar records

(Griffiths et al., 2009), corresponded to intensification of the East Asian Winter

monsoon (EAWM) (Yancheva et al., 2007). Assuming monsoon moisture trajectories

were broadly similar to present time, a large proportion of summer monsoon trajectory

would have been occupied by land during late Pleistocene (Grant et al., 2012; Hanebuth

et al., 2011; Sathiamurthy, 2006; Sidall et al., 2003) in Maritime Continent region.

Limited moisture availability of source moisture greatly confined the development of

AISM, which suggests that southern displacement of the mean ITCZ position should be

responsible for increasing rainfall over research sites during YD, agreed with modeling

results (Dykoski et al., 2005; Griffiths et al., 2009; Yancheva et al., 2007; Zhang and

Delworth, 2005).

33

Figure 4-6. Simulation result of the fully coupled ocean-atmosphere global general circulation model (CM2.0) with the slab ocean model. Simulated annual mean precipitation anomaly (m/yr) base on thermohaline reduction scenario, a slightly positive precipitation anomaly can be observed over the Southern Indian Ocean and the Southern Pacific. Yellow star denote the location of Lekiraka cave (this study). The blue contour is the annual mean sea level pressure (SLP) anomaly with an interval of 0.4 hPa (Modified from Zhang and Delworth, 2005).

34

Millennium scale climate events such as YD, Heinrich stadial 1 (HS1) , and

Millennium scale climate events such as YD, Heinrich stadial 1 (HS1) , and

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