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The Empirical Model and Estimation Method

Educational Achievement and the Evaluation of the Nine-year Compulsory Education Policy: The Case of Taiwan

II. The Empirical Model and Estimation Method

In the literature, family background and living environment are important factors affecting individual’s educational attainment and thus they were widely examined in the empirical studies.5 However, in their survey article Haveman and Wolfe (1995) propose that a more comprehensive framework for determining children’s educational attainment should contain three primary factors,

4 Chu, Tsay and Yu(2005) and Chu, Xie and Yu(2005) also used PSFD data to investigate educational achievement, however, they do not include family educational resources and personal characteristics variables.

5 See, for example, Datcher (1982), Hill and Duncan (1987), Teachman (1987), Graham, Beller, Hernandez (1994), Ermisch and Franceconi (2000), and Aakvik, Salvanes, and Vaage (2005), among others. Ashenfelter and Rouse (1998) show that in their twins sample up to 60% of the cross-sectional variation in educational attainment can be attributed to

the choices made by the government, the choices made by the parents, and the choices made by children themselves. The part of children’s decisions such as ability, motivation, and values are mostly neglected in the literature.6 In this study besides family background and living environment factors we also include personal characteristics to measure individual’s heterogeneity.

The empirical model for educational achievement is specified as:

i

Where Y is for the year of education, FAM is for family background variable, CHR is for variables of personal characteristics, GEN is a dummy variable for gender (1 for female and 0 for male), UBN is a dummy variable for region (1 for rural and 0 for urban), ETH is a dummy variable for father’s ethnicity (1 for Taiwanese and 0 for mainland Chinese), COH is a variable controlling for cohort effect, and ε is the disturbance term.

In order to evaluate the impact of the Nine-year Compulsory Education policy, this paper first tests the policy impact on the educational achievement across gender, region, and ethnic groups, respectively. The empirical model for policy evaluation can be written as

i

Where Z stands for variables of personal characteristics, family background, and Cohort year, POL is a dummy variable for compulsory education policy (1 for those receiving compulsory education and 0 for those not). The coefficientα5 in equation (2) represents the policy effect of the compulsory education. In order to take policy intensity into account, we also multiply the policy dummy by the number of junior high school. The coefficient α6 in equation (3) represents the policy impact on the differences of educational achievement between women and men. If α6 is positive (negative), it implies that compulsory education reduces (enlarges) the educational gap between women and men. By the same token, the coefficients of interaction terms in equations (4)

6 Few exceptions include prior choices made by the child are religiosity in Hill and Duncan (1987) and school

and (5) represent the policy effects on the educational gap between regions and ethnic groups, respectively.

As the educational environment encountered by gender, region, and ethnicity groups might be different due to interactions between groups, estimations in equations (3)-(5) may be biased. To avoid the problem, we further perform multiple comparisons of policy effects on gender, region, and ethnic groups to dif

7

ferentiate the policy effects on particular groups (such as Taiwanese women, rural women, and rural Taiwanese) and also allow for the possible interactions between groups.

The model for policy evaluation is further modified as

i

For example, the coefficient α16 in equation (6) evaluates the policy effect on the educational achievement of rural Taiwanese women, the group that tends to have least education.8 The estimation results of equations (6) will enable us to verify the real effects of compulsory education policy on gender, region, and ethnicity.

teristics, those studies fail to precisely estimate educational achievement (Loah (2001)). This paper adopts the Panel Study of mia Sinica. PSFD collects extensive family information including spouse, parents, children, siblings of that individual,

III. Description of Variables and Data Analysis

In the previous analysis of Taiwan’s educational achievement, the most widely used data are either from the Manpower Utilization Survey or the Survey of Family Income and Expenditure.

However, due to the lack of information in kinship and personal charac

Family Dynamics, which has been conducted yearly since 1999 by the Acade

7 Additional comparison groups will reduce the importance of biases or random variation in a single comparison group.

See Meyer (1995) for a discussion of advantages using multiple comparison groups for policy evaluation.

8 In the samples of PSFD, the average years of education for rural Taiwanese women are 3.99, whereas those for urban

and

family socioeconomic status. Though family income refle

the parents/siblings of the individual's spouse.9 The 1999 pilot survey contained 1000 random samples aged from 36 to 45 (born between 1953-1964) in Taiwan, according to the household registration provided by the Ministry of the Interior. This paper uses a mixed sample of 4,110 individuals from the 1999, 2000, and 2003 PSFD surveys ((RI1999, RI2000, and RI2003). The 1999 survey contains 999 samples aged 35-46, 2000 contains 1959 samples aged 46-65, and 2003 survey contains 1152 samples aged 27-39.

In current literature, family background factors influencing an individual’s educational achievements include socioeconomic status, numbers of siblings, birth order, and location of childhood (Butcher and Case (1994); Greenhalgh (1985); Hauser and Kuo (1998); Haveman and Wofe (1995); Lillard and Willis (1994) and Huang (2000), among others). Among them, family socioeconomic status has been highly informative, and parents’ education, parents’ occupation, and family income have been used as proxies for

cts family resources and economic status, people are usually reluctant to report their true family income (it may be underreported or overreported). Thus, the data on family income are either unavailable, especially during their children’s years of study, or might be subject to bias or error.10 In contrast, the parents’ occupations are usually available and more credible in terms of stable occupational trend in observed worker’s life cycle. Moreover, PSFD contains data on father’s occupation during their children schooling years. Because women in the labor market consist a small proportion of the total female population during the early stages of Taiwan’s economic development, we use the father’s occupation to proxy the family socioeconomic status.

We also include variables like talent training, after-school supplementary education, family transfer to better school district, and incentive offer for academic performance by parents to capture extra educational resources provided by family.11 Another advantage to include family

mainland Chinese men are 13.36.

9 For a detailed description and the design of the PSFD, see the official website at http://psfd.sinica.edu.tw .

10 Another problem of using family income is that the short-run aspect of family income may not reflect the truth e the most permanent income of family. Carneiro and Heckman (2003) indicate that long-term income effects ar

important. Using data from Norway, Aakvik, Salvanes, and Vaage (2005) also find that permanent family income is much more important for educational attainment than is short-term credit constraint.

11 Teachman (1987) finds evidence that parents use resources to create a home environment like having an individual

educational resources is that family educational resources are more important than family income in determining children’s educational achievement and the control of family educational resources will also

filial duty and glory for the family in Chinese society.

Variable name Description

abstract the possible resources effect contained in family socioeconomic variables such as parents’ education and family income.

You can lead horses to river but you cannot force them to drink. Besides family background, individual’s heterogeneity represented by personal characteristics, like ability, attitude, and values of life, are also considered to be important factors driving individual’s educational achievement.12 Our variables include scholarship for academic performance, doing part time job during schooling, and two influential traditional values for

As the sample aged between 27 to 65 years old, additional cohort dummies are added to control for possible cohort effects derived from different macro environment.

Table 1 presents the description of all variables used in the paper, while Table 2 shows the summary of basic statistics of the variables.

Table1. Variable Description

Education level Eight levels: Illiterate and self-study, primary school, junior high school, senior high and vocational school, Junior college, University, Master’s degree, Ph.D. degree.

Years of education Years of education for vocational school, Juni

primary school, junior high school, senior high and or college, University, master degree, Ph.D. degree are specified as 6, 9, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, and 24 years.

Personal Characteristics:

Dummy variable: 1 for female, 0

Scholarship for performance

for obtaining scholarships based on academic

Scholarship for family

sed on low family income ith certain academic performance requirement during school years, 0 otherwise.

Gender for male.

Part-time job Dummy variable: 1 for having part-time job to earn money to support oneself or family during schooling years, 0 otherwise.

Dummy variable: 1

academic performance during school years, 0 otherwise.

Dummy variable: 1 for obtaining scholarships ba

poor w

Filial duty One’s opinion on the idea “one must sacrifice personal interests in order to

their children. ? also find that easy access to college and university has a positive effect on educational achievement.

12 Heckman (2001) finds that more able people also tend to be more efficient in schooling and learning. More

accomplish one’s parents’ wishes”: scale from 1 to 5, 1=not important, up to the

family lutely important.

Fam :

E ludes aborigines, Fujian, and

Hakka), 0 for mainland Chinese.

, 9, 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, and 24 years.

education

Father’s ations including professionals, administrators and workers is e reference group.

ks in Public sector

ining

Supplementary edial or supplementary

wise.

R Reward offered by parents for academic performance, increasing scale from 0

Family transfer

mily to a district with better education environment or N Number of siblings in the family.

Birth order brothers or sisters Coh

O Young

Dummy variable: Old = born before 1950, Middle-aged = 5=absolutely important.

Glory for Ones opinion on the idea “one must do something to glorify ones family”:

scale from 1 to 5, 1=not important, up to 5=abso ily background

thnicity Father’s ethnicity: 1 for Taiwanese (which inc Father’s

education

Years of education for primary school, junior high school, senior high and vocational school, Junior college, University, master degree, Ph.D. degree are specified as 6

Mother’s Same as above.

Dummy variables: occup

occupation executives, clerks, sales workers, services workers, agriculture related workers, production operators and laborers, and agriculture related

th

Father wor Dummy variable: 1 if the father works in the public sector, 0 otherwise.

Talent tra Dummy variable: 1 for attending talent training (such as studying piano, painting, calligraphy, dance, etc.) during school years, 0 otherwise.

Dummy variable: 1 for having after-school rem education

eward for

education, 0 other school

performance

to 3 (0=none, 1=seldom, 2=some times, 3=often)

Dummy variable: 1 for having the experience before age of 16 that parent deliberately moved fa

easy access to school, 0 otherwise.

umber of siblings

Ranking in birth order.

Number of Number of older brothers, older sisters, younger brothers, and younger sisters in the family.

Region

ort:

ld

Dummy variable: 1 for residency in an urban area before age 16, 0 otherwise.

Middle-age

born between 1951

Education policy ine years of compulsory education, 0

and 1960, and Young = born after 1961 (Old is the reference group).

Dummy variable: 1 for receiving n otherwise.

Table 2. Summery of Basic Statistics Samp

Variable le size Mean Variance

Educational attainment:

Illiterate and

self-study 3636 0.0842 0.2781

Primary school 3636 0.2770 0.4476

Junior high school 3636 0.1337 0.3403

Senior high or

vocational school 3636 0.2643 0.4410

Junior college 3636 0.1194 0.3243

University 3636 0.1004 0.3006

Master’s degree 3636 0.0182 0.1335

Ph.D. degree 3636 0.0028 0.0524

Years of education 3636 9.7063 4.6054

Personal

performance 3633 0.1214 0.3266

Scholarship for poor

Aborigine 3629 0.0215 0.1450

Fujian 3629 0.7812 0.4135

Hakka 3629 0.1144 0.3183

Mainland Chinese 3629 0.0829 0.2758

Father’s education 3623 4.9095 4.8118

Mother’s education 3630 2.9645 3.8363

Father’s occupation

Professionals 3598 0.0439 0.2049 Administrators

and executives 3598 0.0503 0.2186

Clerks 3598 0.0675 0.2510

Sales workers 3598 0.1226 0.3280

Services workers 3598 0.0584 0.2345

Agriculture

related workers 3598 0.4341 0.4957

Production

operators and

laborers 3598 0.2232 0.4164

Father in public

Talent training 3635 0.1356 0.3424

Supplementary

education 3633 0.2188 0.4135

Reward to school

performance 3635 0.0646 0.2459

Family transfer 3628 0.0510 0.2200

Birth order 2.0023

Num er

Cohort:

3635 3.0564

ber of old

brothers

ung 3635 1.0094 1.2149

Number of yo

brothers 3635 1.1568 1.1575

Number of older

sisters

nger 3635 1.0470 1.2680

Number of you

sisters 3635 1.0798 1.2510

region 3633 0.4646 0.4988

Old 3636 0.3650 0.4815

Middle-aged 3636 0.2998 0.4582

Young

riable 3636

3636 0.3353

0.4450 0.4721

0.4970 Policy va

Source: RI1999, RI2000, and RI20 3 surveys, Panel St0 udy of Family Dynamics, Academia Sinica.

From Table 2, regarding personal characteristics, 28% of people had part-time jobs to earn money to support oneself or one’ ily during their school years, 14% (0.485 for male and 0.515 for scholarships for either school performance or financial need. The average sca pt of filial duty and glory for the family are 3.42 and 3.81 (in a full scale of 5), respectively, implying that th traditional va widely rooted in Chinese society.

ily background verage the f ducation is years higher than years for the f and 3 years mother). T ively few years of

fathers’ occupations are work in the agriculture sector, consisting of 43.41% of the sample, followed by production operators or laborers (22.32%). In the early agriculture-oriented economy, most people were engaging in agricultural activities or jobs with low skill content. About 16.1% had fathers working in public sector and 45.88% whose mothers are also working. About 7.84%

children live in a single family house.

As for father’s ethnicity, the majority ethnic group is Fujianese (78.12%), followed by Hakka (11.44%), mainland Chinese (8.29%), and aborigines (2.15%). This ethnicity composition of the sample is fairly representative to that of Taiwan total population. In this paper, following conventional classifications, we define the Taiwanese as the summation of Fujianese, Hakka, and aboriginal ethnic groups.

The average number of children in a family is 4.77 people and the number for older brothers, older sisters, younger brothers, and younger sisters are 0.89, 1.00, 0.96, and 0.92. Among them, the proportion of first-born children is 5.25% and that of last-born children is 19.53%.

About 13.56% and 21.88% received latent training and after school supplementary education, respectively; while 6.46% and 5.10% experienced rewards for academic performance offered by parents and family deliberately transfer to a better school district, respectively.

The sample used in this paper consists of people born between 1934 and 1976. During this period of more than forty years, the economic situation and educational environment have changed tremendously. Thus, we also include a cohort dummy variable to control for the effects of age.

s fam female) received

le value for the conce

e two lues are

As for fam , on a ather’s e about 2

mother’s (4.91 ather for the he relat

parental education is expected as the age of the sample’s parents is above 45. The majority of

Acco

und.

On a

rding to birth year, we classify the sample into three cohorts: old (born before 1950), middle-aged (born 1951-1960), and young (born after 1961). The sizes of the samples are 36.5%, 30% and 33.5%, respectively. For robustness test, we also use birth year dummies to control for year effect.

Table 3 presents educational achievement by personal characteristics and family backgro verage, the duration of men’s’ education is 10.62 years, while women’s’ is 8.83 years. Except for primary school, the proportion of men is higher than that of women at all educational levels.

Table 3. Basic Data Analysis

Educational Achievement

Years of Primary Junior

school

Senior vocational

Junior University Master Ph.D.

Gender

education school high high and school Private sector 9.155 0.310 0.144 0.256 0.105 0.074 0.012 0.003 Father

Middle education 12.877 0.069 0.083 0.335 0.237 0.229 0.036 0.003 Higher education 14.144 0.038 0.019 0.260 0.202 0.351 0.115 0.005 Ethnicity

Aborigine 0.4827.376 0.176 0.200 0.035 0.000 0.000 0.000

(3.622)

ddle-age 0.30610.047 0.157 0.294 0.104 0.095 0.012 0.004 (3.934)

(2.705) Father’s workplace

Public sector 12.502 0.109 0.080 0.308 0.192 0.236 (3.776)

(4.537)

’s occupation

Professionals 0.18911.520 0.051 0.214 0.209 0.219 0.051 0.000 (4.783)

executives 12.297 0.146 0.059 0.274 0.210 0.164 0.096 0.014 (4.399)

Clerks 0.16711.548 0.103 0.267 0.160 0.221 0.036 0.000 (4.351)

(4.148)

Services workers 10.782 0.222 0.129 0.238 0.173 0.165 0.020 0.000 (4.399)

Agriculture related 7.311 0.427 0.150 0.180 0.049 0.029 0.002 0.003 Production

Sales workers 10.735 0.217 0.125 0.322 0.136 0.140 0.015 0.002

workers (4.342)

orers 10.568 0.222 0.143 0.344 0.151 0.090 0.012 0.002 (3.887)

Years of education for children whose father is low (primary school and below), l (junior high en h , and vocational school), and high (junior college

. This im hat ig e

one’ r is rea s e na vem ill

, if r la nes hil edu tta a s

am et ou pared with 10.58 years for children whose father 7 years for n w at

Furth th ort hig cat also r fo c

ther is mainl es t hild os r i ane T ,

ducational achievement between ethnic groups is considered to be evident.

s the economy d , t ng erat de ceiv ed

l on. The years of education fo d, m ec

r worke lic r, his ch ren tha e c

in secto The average years of education for the former are 12.5 and

’s education mid leve school, s ior hig school

and above) are 8.68, 12.88, and 14.14 years, respectively plies t the h her th educational level of s fathe ; the g ter one’ ducatio l achie ents w be.

As for ethnicity the fath is main nd Chie e, his c dren’s cation a inment verage 13 years, the highest ong all hnic gr ps, com

is Hakka, 9.2 childre hose f her is Fujianese, and 7.38 years for children whose father is an aborigine. ermore, e prop ion in her edu ion is highe r those hildren whose fa and Chin e anth hos ce ren wh e f thea s T iwa se. In aiwan e

A eveloped he ouy er eng ion tens d t reo e more ucation than the o der generati r ol iddle-age, and young people are 6.59, 10.05, and 12.78 years, resp tive .ly13

If the fathe d in pub s toec ild received more education n t osh hil ren d whose father worked pri ate v r.

13 ed reg ethn ws educational

a Further examination of thr, region, ity is igher for d than for ung peop . p between gende e years of

and ethnic ucation for each age by gender, ion, and icity sho that the

g h ol yo le

9. the latter. T ainly cau ople who worked in the public sector receiv

or ild d us r th of on.14 e s

s con n

d highest (12.3) years of education compared to the

lo i ho her in ultu tor e e

education em te am i r

The proportion of higher education is r, above 50%, for children whose father and exe tive or p ofession l.

ference in educ ch en en t. s

f education in urban a erage 10.8 yea s, while rural areas average 8.4 years. As for the impl

d policy for cross

ity, especially gender.

Amo

nd urban areas and its magnitude was greater for mainland Chinese than

policy effect reduces the educational gap between mainland Chinese and Taiwanese and its

16 for his is m be se pe ed

education subsidies f their ch ren an this th educed e cost educati Th father’

occupation, a proxy for family oc eio omic status, shows that when the father works as a a ministrator and executive, his children have the

west (7.31) years for those ch ldren w se fat worked agric ral sec . How ver, th deviations of ac ievh ent are modera ong children whose father wo edrk n o het

occupations. greate

is an administrator cu r a

Dif ational a ievem t betwe rural and urban areas is also apparen Year

o reas av r

ementation of the Nine-year Compulsory Education policy, before the policy, average years of education were 7.6 years and after the policy the average years of education were 12.4. The Nine-year Compulsory Education policy seems to improve educational achievement in Taiwan.

Table 4 further classifies educational achievement by gender, region, ethnicity, an

-table analysis. Before the compulsory education policy, the educational gap was the largest (5.1 years) between ethnic groups, then 4.44 years between gender, and 2.13 years between rural and urban region. After the compulsory education policy, the corresponding figures for the educational gap are 1.36, 0.4, and 1.45 years, respectively. Looking at the data, basically, the implementation of the Nine-year Compulsory Education policy in 1968 seems to have in some ways reduced the educational gap between gender, region, and ethnic

ng them, the educational gap for Taiwanese (vs. mainland Chinese) between rural and urban areas dropped from 1.73 (3.27) to 1.29 (1.68), which implies that the policy in effect shrunk the educational gap between rural a

for Taiwanese. Conversely, the educational gap between mainland Chinese and Taiwanese in urban (vs. rural) areas was reduced from 4.94 (2.40) to 0.99 (0.60) years, which implies that the

14 The educational subsidies in public sector are actually progressive along the educational levels, thus it provides extra

magnitude is greater for urban than for rural areas.

In term of gender differences in education, after the policy the reduction in the education gap between women and men was greater between mainland Chinese than between Taiwanese, and the scale was greater for mainland Chinese men than for mainland Chinese women. Regardless of gender, after the policy the reduction in the educational gap in urban areas was greater than that in rural areas. However, the largest increase in educational achievement before and after the compulsory education policy falls to women in rural areas, whose average years of education increased from 3.98 to 11.02 years.

In term of gender differences in education, after the policy the reduction in the education gap between women and men was greater between mainland Chinese than between Taiwanese, and the scale was greater for mainland Chinese men than for mainland Chinese women. Regardless of gender, after the policy the reduction in the educational gap in urban areas was greater than that in rural areas. However, the largest increase in educational achievement before and after the compulsory education policy falls to women in rural areas, whose average years of education increased from 3.98 to 11.02 years.

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