• 沒有找到結果。

7. Conclusion and Implications

7.1 Limitations and Future Study Direction

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

the banking industry as well as to further academic discussion of the topic. The research shows that previous methods that take into account only the figures without cross-refencing that data with industry professional for deeper discussion are inadequate. Only through a truly varied approach can the anomaly be understood across all its aspects, leaving clear lines of discussion for further insight in to the future of Taiwan’s banking industries influence internationally. Many of the original expectations of this paper have been confirmed in the reaseach however more importantly many have also been shown to have been misplaced.

Both the influence of the Chinese government and competitor financial centres were grossly overestimated, discoveries like this are the reason why such research is necessary, not only looking to prove one’s expectations as correct but also by being prepared to accept

expectations that were wrong and then exploring background to such realisations. Perhaps the most poignant realisation and implication of this research is that without strong leadership in the structural reformation of the banking system in Taiwan it will continue to have

disproportional international influence in relation to the strength of the Taiwanese

government. The paper finds that at this time government intervention is absolutely necessary before free market principle can begin to take effect.

7.1 Limitations and Future Study Direction

It must be acknowledged there were certain limitation in this study, one is the author lack of ability to sufficiently analyse local Chinese based data, this would add much more

perspective than using predominantly international English based sources. Another is the papers decision to focus on the main issues affecting the internationalisation of Taiwanese banks without looking deeper into specific issues. A future study would do well to look specifically at the issues of bank ownership and how this affect the internationalisation of Taiwanese banks. By separating the questionnaire data results by state and privately-owned

47 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

banks this could have been better considered. However, the author took the decision that this would warrant a whole new study that could not only consider SOB’s against POB’s but also look at those banks associated with the main business families in Taiwan. Overall the topic has been well analysed and has performed its foremost objective of highlighting areas that warrant further study.

48 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

REFERENCES

2016 list of global systemically important banks (G-SIBs). Basel: Financial Stability Board, 2016.

2016 Taiwan Salary Survey. Taipei: Robert Walters Taiwan, 2016.

Appel, H. "The Ideological Determinants of Liberal Economic Reform: The Case of Privatization", Cambridge University, 2000. .

Appelbaum, B. "Trump Nominates Randal K. Quarles to Oversee Wall Street Banks", Nytimes.com, 2017. [Online]. Available:

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/10/us/politics/trump-nominates-randal-quarles-to-oversee-wall-street-banks.html. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Banks and “too big to fail” Kash call, Economist.com, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21710258-veteran-financial-crisis-says-banks-need-much-more-capital-kash-call. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Basel III: international regulatory framework for banks, Bis.org, 2017. [Online].

Available: http://www.bis.org/bcbs/basel3.htm. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Borst, N. and Li, C. "Fixing Taiwan's Crowded Banking Sector", Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2017. [Online]. Available:

http://www.frbsf.org/banking/asia-program/pacific-exchange-blog/taiwan-banking-sector-reform/. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Branigan, T. "Taiwan court jails former president Chen Shui-bian for corruption", The Guardian, 2009. [Online]. Available:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2009/sep/11/taiwan-jails-former-president-corruption. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Buch, C. Buchholz, M. and Tonzer, L. Uncertainty and International Banking.

Amsterdam: De Nederlandsche Bank, 2014.

Cadwalladr, C. "The great British Brexit robbery: how our democracy was hijacked", the Guardian, 2017. [Online]. Available:

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/may/07/the-great-british-brexit-robbery-hijacked-democracy. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Chaturvedi, S. "Taiwanese banks venture overseas", Globalcapital.com, 2016. [Online].

Available: http://www.globalcapital.com/article/b10vbwt9b5ldt8/taiwanese-banks-venture-overseas. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Chen, H. Chuo, Y. Chang, J. and Yu, S. Does Banking Competition Improve Industry Performance? Evidence from Taiwan. Journal of Informatics and Data Mining, 2016, p.

https://datamining.imedpub.com/does-banking-competition-improve-industry-performance-evidence-from-taiwan.pdf.

Chen, P. and Liu, P. "Bank ownership, performance, and the politics: Evidence from Taiwan", Economic Modelling, vol. 31, pp. 578-585, 2013.

49 | P a g e

Chen, Y. "Taiwan Must Reform Its Economy", Taipeitimes.com, 2016. [Online].

Available: http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2016/02/22/2003639918.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

China’s stock market crashes—again, Economist.com, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.economist.com/news/business-and-finance/21685146-chinas-stocks-and-currency-start-2016-big-tumbles-chinas-stockmarket. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Chou, C. "Cabinet probes Mega Bank money laundering

allegations", www.ChinaPost.com.tw, 2016. [Online]. Available:

http://www.chinapost.com.tw/taiwan-business/2016/08/23/476331/Cabinet-probes.html.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Chow, P. Economic Integration Across the Taiwan Strait: Global Perspectives.

Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 2013.

Coggan, P. "That 2008 comparison (again)", Economist.com, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2016/09/financial-markets. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Cross-Strait Financial Businesses, Fsc.gov.tw, 2016. [Online]. Available:

http://www.fsc.gov.tw/en/home.jsp?id=99&parentpath=0,2,98. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Dean, J. "Fubon to Acquire Taipei Bank in $2.4 Billion All-Stock Deal", Wall Street Journal, 2002. [Online]. Available:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB1028828700960610960. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Doing Business in Taiwan, China - World Bank Group, Doingbusiness.org, 2017.

[Online]. Available: http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/taiwan-china.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Donald Trump’s anger at Asian currency manipulators misses target, Ft.com, 2017.

[Online]. Available: https://www.ft.com/content/d2aeb4bc-ef71-11e6-930f-061b01e23655?mhq5j=e2. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Donnell, J. "The EU is planning to make it a lot easier for British banks to Leave the UK", The Independent, 2017. [Online]. Available:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/brexit-latest-news-uk-banks-new-incentive-leave-london-eu-plans-european-central-bank-a7643081.html. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

EF 英語能力指標, Ef.com.tw, 2017. [Online]. Available: http://www.ef.com.tw/epi/.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Fitch: Taiwan Banks Pivot from China Has Lowered Contagion Risk", Reuters, 2017.

[Online]. Available: http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSFit988774. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Frankel, J. National Interest. London: Macmillan, 1970.

Freed, J. and Azhar, S. "Singapore's DBS pounces on ANZ assets to extend Asia private banking push", Reuters, 2017. [Online]. Available: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-anz-bank-asia-dbs-idUSKBN12V0YR. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

50 | P a g e

Glaser, B. "Tsai Ing-wen and DPP Win Big in Taiwan | Center for Strategic and International Studies", Csis.org, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.csis.org/analysis/tsai-ing-wen-and-dpp-win-big-taiwan. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Goodley, S. "Gold, fine wine, art or under the bed: what's the safest place for your cash?", The Guardian, 2011. [Online]. Available:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2011/jul/25/safe-havens-investors-cash.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Hwang, D. and Wu, W. "Financial system reform in Taiwan", Journal of Asian Economics, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 21-41, 2007.

Jennings, R. "https://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphjennings/2017/04/23/taiwans-once-

mighty-high-tech-sector-is-falling-behind-because-of-low-pay/#f2078407b431", Forbes.com, 2017. [Online]. Available:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphjennings/2017/04/23/taiwans-once-mighty-high-tech-sector-is-falling-behind-because-of-low-pay/#f2078407b431. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Laksai, L. "Taiwan’s Newest Political Party Was Co-Founded by a Tattooed Rockstar", Foreign Policy, 2015. [Online]. Available:

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/11/19/taiwan-politics-china-new-power-party-beijing-ma-xi-kmt-dpp/. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Lee, W. "Taiwan's Politics in the 21st Century: Changes and Challenges", Singapore World Scientific Publishing, 2010.

Leou, C. Financial Liberalisation under Democratisation: The Long Journey of the Reform on the State-Owned Banks in Taiwan. SOAS,University of London, 2006.

Lin, R. and Chung, J. "More students going abroad: data - Taipei Times", Taipeitimes.com, 2014. [Online]. Available:

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2014/03/04/2003584849. [Accessed:

15- Jul- 2017].

Lin, S. "Taiwan and the Advent of a Cross-Strait Financial Industry", University of Virginia, 2013.

Lin, S. National Identity, Economic Interest and Taiwan's Cross-Strait Economic Policy 1994-2009. [S.l.]: Open Dissertation Press, 2017.

M&A Deals since September 2004 (53 Deals). British Chamber of Commerce Taipei, 2017.

Nadeau, P. "Can Japan Lead Asia's Economic Order?", The Diplomat, 2017. [Online].

Available: http://thediplomat.com/2017/01/time-for-japan-to-lead-the-economic-order/.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

New Southward Policy, Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.moea.gov.tw/MNS/english/news/News.aspx?kind=6&menu_id=176&news_

id=54317. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Norfield, T. The City London and the Global Power of Finance. New York: Verso Books, 2016.

51 | P a g e

Overseas Business Risk - Taiwan - GOV.UK, Gov.uk, 2017. [Online]. Available:

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/overseas-business-risk-taiwan/overseas-business-risk-taiwan--2. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Paldam, M. "Economic Freedom and the Success of the Asian Tigers: an essay on controversy", European Journal of Political Economy, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 453-477, 2003.

Pan, J. "Group files corruption lawsuit against Ma over Fubon - Taipei Times", Taipeitimes.com, 2016. [Online]. Available:

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2016/10/19/2003657462. [Accessed:

15- Jul- 2017].

Prasad, E. "China overtakes eurozone as world’s biggest bank system", Ft.com, 2017.

[Online]. Available: https://www.ft.com/content/14f929de-ffc5-11e6-96f8-3700c5664d30?mhq5j=e2. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Saaty, T. "Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process", International Journal of Services Sciences, vol. 1, no. 1, p. 83, 2008.

Schuman, M. "State capitalism vs the free market: Which performs better? | TIME.com", TIME.com, 2011. [Online]. Available:

http://business.time.com/2011/09/30/state-capitalism-vs-the-free-market-which-performs-better/. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Shuster, S. "How Populism Is Splitting Europe", TIME.com, 2017. [Online]. Available:

http://time.com/time-person-of-the-year-populism/. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Smith, R. "London holds off New York to keep its title as world's top financial

centre", Cityam.com, 2017. [Online]. Available: http://www.cityam.com/261819/london-holds-off-new-york-keep-its-top-spot-worlds-number. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Soifer, H. "The Causal Logic of Critical Junctures", Comparative Political Studies, vol.

45, no. 12, pp. 1572-1597, 2012.

Taiwan Economy: 2016 Q3. British Office Taipei, 2016, pp.

http://www.bcctaipei.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Taiwan-2016-Q3-Economic-Report.pdf.

Taiwan Financial Services Conference, Investor Presentation. Taipei: Ministry of Finance Taiwan, 2005.

Taiwan Profile, CIA World Factbook, 2017. [Online]. Available:

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/tw.html. [Accessed:

15- Jul- 2017].

Taiwan Strait, Encyclopedia Britannica, 1998. [Online]. Available:

https://global.britannica.com/place/Taiwan-Strait. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Tan, A. "The Politics of Financial Reform in Taiwan: Actors, Institutions, and the Changing State", Asian Affairs: An American Review, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 201-212, 2009.

The Bank that failed, The Economist, 2007. [Online]. Available:

http://www.economist.com/node/9832838. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

52 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

The Man to Help with Financial Reform, Taipeitimes.com, 2016. [Online]. Available:

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2016/10/24/2003657790. [Accessed:

15- Jul- 2017].

Treanor, J. "Sadiq Khan warns hard Brexit will cost millions of jobs across UK", The Guardian, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/27/sadiq-khan-to-warn-hard-brexit-will-cost-millions-of-jobs-across-uk. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Treanor, J. Goodley, S. and Allen, K. "Pound slumps to 31-year low following Brexit vote", The Guardian, 2016. [Online]. Available:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jun/23/british-pound-given-boost-by-projected-remain-win-in-eu-referendum. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Vives, X. Competition and Stability in Banking. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2016.

Wang, C. "‘The future that belongs to us’: Affective politics, neoliberalism and the Sunflower Movement", International Journal of Cultural Studies, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 177-192, 2017.

Wang, H. The Financial Reforms in Korea and Taiwan. Asian Banking Association, 2003.

Winkler, S. "Taiwan’s UN Dilemma: To Be or Not To Be", Brookings, 2012. [Online].

Available: https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/taiwans-un-dilemma-to-be-or-not-to-be/.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Woo, J. Business and politics in Asia's key financial centres. Singapore: Springer, 2016.

Yao, W. "Why Asian Banks are Well Positioned for Basel III", Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2016. [Online]. Available:

http://www.frbsf.org/banking/asia-program/pacific-exchange-blog/why-asian-banks-are-well-positioned-for-basel-iii/.

[Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Yeandle, M. "GFCI 19 Asia/Pacific", Longfinance.net, 2017. [Online]. Available:

http://www.longfinance.net/global-financial-centre-index-19/982-gfci-19-asia-pacific.html. [Accessed: 15- Jul- 2017].

Zhu, D. Chen, Y. and White, L. "A study on profitability and marketability of Taiwanese bank firms before and after the Financial Holding Company Act", International Journal of Business Performance Management, vol. 15, no. 3, p. 207, 2014.

金融監督管理委員會-英譯法規內容(外部版), Law.fsc.gov.tw, 2014. [Online].

Available: http://law.fsc.gov.tw/law/EngLawContent.aspx?Type=E&id=1286. [Accessed:

15- Jul- 2017].

53 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

APPENDIX

No. Content Page

1 A copy of the bilingual AHP based questionnaire given out to industry professionals in Taiwanese banks.

52-56

2 AHP results from section 1 Main topics of the questionnaire. 57

3 AHP results from section 2 Political Issues of the questionnaire. 58

4 AHP results from section 3 Economic Issues of the questionnaire. 59

5 AHP results from section 4 Globalisation Issues of the questionnaire. 60

6 AHP results from section 5 Ease of Doing Business Issues of the questionnaire.

61

54 | P a g e

Which factors do you believe to be more important when considering the internationalisation challenges facing the Taiwanese banking sector?

你認為哪一個因素是比較重要的:當思考台灣銀行業面臨國際化的挑戰

Which factors do you believe to be more important when considering the internationalisation challenges facing the Taiwanese banking sector?

你認為哪一個因素是比較重要的:當思考台灣銀行業面臨國際化的挑戰

A1- Cross-Strait Relations - 兩岸關係 A3- Access to the Chinese Market - 進入中國市場 Most

A1- Cross-Strait Relations - 兩岸關係 A4- Domestic Party Politics - 國內政黨政治 Most

A3- Access to the Chinese Market - 進入中國市場 A4- Domestic Party Politics - 國內政黨政治 Most

Which factors do you believe to be more important when considering the internationalisation challenges facing the Taiwanese banking sector?

你認為哪一個因素是比較重要的:當思考台灣銀行業面臨國際化的挑戰

B1-Overbanking -銀行過度競爭 B3- Economic Stability - 經濟穩定 Most

B1-Overbanking -銀行過度競爭 B4- Access to Capital - 獲取資本 Most

C- Globalisation Issues - 全球化議題

Which factors do you believe to be more important when considering the internationalisation challenges facing the Taiwanese banking sector?

你認為哪一個因素是比較重要的:當思考台灣銀行業面臨國際化的挑戰

Q1

C1- Financial Regulations - 金融監管 C2- Strength of State Banks - 國家銀行強度 Most

C1- Financial Regulations - 金融監管 C3- Competitor Financial Centres - 競爭金融中心 Most

C1- Financial Regulations - 金融監管 C4- Innovation - 創薪 Most

C2- Strength of State Banks - 國家銀行強度 C3- Competitor Financial Centres - 競爭金融中心 Most

C3- Competitor Financial Centres - 競爭金融中心 C4- Innovation - 創薪 Most

Which factors do you believe to be more important when considering the internationalisation challenges facing the Taiwanese banking sector?

你認為哪一個因素是比較重要的:當思考台灣銀行業面臨國際化的挑戰

Q1

D1- English Proficiency - 英語能力 D2- Education Quality - 教學質量 Most

D1- English Proficiency - 英語能力 D3- Taiwanese Business Culture - 台灣商業文化 Most

D2- Education Quality - 教學質量 D3- Taiwanese Business Culture - 台灣商業文化 Most

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a

tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

60 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a

tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

61 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a

tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

62 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a

tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

63 | P a g e

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a

tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

64 | P a g e

相關文件