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Using Optimization Algorithms to Select Parameters of Support Vector Regression 楊舜麟、王正賢 ; 白炳豐

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Using Optimization Algorithms to Select Parameters of Support Vector Regression 楊舜麟、王正賢 ; 白炳豐

E-mail: 9509855@mail.dyu.edu.tw

ABSTRACT

Organized approaches in selection support vector regression (SVR) parameters are lacking. Furthermore, the determination of SVR parameters affects the prediction accuracy a lot. This research applied four algorithms, namely Ant colony system, Tabu search, Immune algorithm and Particle swarm optimization to choose SVR parameters. For each algorithms, the forecasting errors are treated as objective functions. In additional, many examples from real word are used to demonstrate the performance of the proposed models

Keywords : Support vector machine(SVM) ; Support vector regression(SVR) ; Ant colony system ; Tabu search ; Immune algorithm

; Particle swarm pptimization ; system

Table of Contents

封面內頁 簽名頁 授權書 iii 中文摘要 iv ABSTRACT v 誌謝 vi 目錄 vii 圖目錄 x 表目錄 xi 第一章 緒論 1 1.1 研究背景與動機 1 1.2 研究方法以及目的 2 1.3 研究資料 3 第二章 文獻探討 5 2.1 支援向量迴歸 5 2.2 啟發式演算法 8 2.2.1 禁忌搜尋法 8 2.2.2 螞蟻演算法 10 2.2.3 免疫演算法 11 2.2.4 粒子群體演算法 13 第三章 研究方法 16 3.1 支援向量迴歸 16 3.2 啟發式演算法結合 支援向量迴歸架構 22 3.2.1 禁忌搜尋法 23 3.2.2 免疫演算法 26 3.2.3 螞蟻演算法 28 3.2.4 粒子群體演算法 32 第四章 實例分 析 35 4.1 實例一-泰山收費站 35 4.1.1 支援向量迴歸 36 4.1.2 ARIMA方法 40 4.1.3 GRNN方法 41 4.1.4 整合比較各方法預 測結果 43 4.2 實例二-台灣電力用量 45 4.2.1 支援向量迴歸 46 4.2.2 ARIMA方法 50 4.2.3 GRNN方法 51 4.2.4 整合比較各 方法預測結果 53 4.3 實例三-系統可靠度資料 55 4.3.1 支援向量迴歸 56 4.4 實例四-Orland機場租車使用量 62 4.4.1 支援 向量迴歸 64 4.4.2 ARIMA方法 67 4.4.3 GRNN方法 68 4.4.4 整合比較各方法預測結果 70 4.5 實例五-複合材料疲勞試驗-

楊氏係數 71 4.5.1 支援向量迴歸 71 4.5.2 ARIMA方法 75 4.5.3 GRNN方法 75 4.5.4 整合比較各方法預測結果 77 第五章 結論 及未來研究 78 5.1 結論 78 5.2 未來研究 79 參考文獻 81

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參考文獻

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