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Government of Macao Special Administrative Region Statistics and Census Service

TOURIST PRICE INDEX

1

st

QUARTER/2011

No. 1

Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.

Statistics and Census Service

Alameda Dr. Carlos d'Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao Tel: 8399 5311 Fax: 2830 7825 Printed in April 2011

E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Website: www.dsec.gov.mo

Starting from the first quarter of 2011, the Statistics and Census Service released the new series of Tourist Price Index (TPI) rebased to October 2009 – September 2010.

TPI (112.88) for the first quarter of 2011 rose by 14.58% year-on-year; the increment was led by accommodation services that contributed 8.7 percentage points to the TPI increase. Price index of Accommodation (+32.05%); Miscellaneous Goods (+21.49%); Food, Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+10.21%) and Restaurant Services (+7.35%) recorded notable increase, attributable to soaring hotel room rate and charges for restaurant services during the Lunar New Year, as well as dearer prices of food and gold jewellery. On the contrary, price index of Entertainment & Cultural Activities; and Clothing & Footwear decreased by 0.92% and 0.87% respectively.

TPI for the first quarter of 2011 increased by 4.74% quarter-to-quarter, of which the price index of Accommodation; Food, Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco; and Restaurant Services increased by 12.43%, 6.21% and 4.73% respectively. On the other hand, price index of Clothing & Footwear decreased by 4.00%.

1 - TOURIST PRICE INDEX (TPI)

10/2009 – 09/2010 =100

Quarter-to-quarter Year-on-year Annualized Change Index Value

% 2010

1st Quarter 98.51 2.04 9.40 5.83

2nd Quarter 99.87 1.38 12.29 8.45

3rd Quarter 99.93 0.07 11.16 10.52

4th Quarter 107.77 7.84 11.63 11.13

2011

1st Quarter 112.88 4.74 14.58 12.45

The average TPI for the last 4 quarters ended the first quarter of 2011 increased by 12.45% from the previous period, with marked increase being observed in the index of Miscellaneous Goods (+22.12%) and Accommodation (+21.39%). However, index of Entertainment & Cultural Activities registered a decrease of 0.24%.

CHART 1 – CHANGE OF TOURIST PRICE INDEX

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00

Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011

% Year-on-year rate of change Quarter-to-quarter rate of change Annualized rate of change

(2)

2 - TOURIST PRICE INDEX

10/2009 – 09/2010 =100

Year / Quarter Global Index

Food, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco

Clothing and Footwear

Accommo- dation

Restaurant Services

Transport and Communi-

cations

Medicine and Personal

Goods

Entertainment and Cultural

Activities

Miscellaneous Goods

Weight 100.00 12.78 15.81 23.06 17.47 8.11 6.33 2.07 14.38

2 0 0 8 88.00 90.20 94.42 90.69 91.62 96.57 98.18 98.70 71.62 2 0 0 9 91.35 95.92 97.55 91.17 96.15 94.90 99.23 99.21 77.93 2 0 1 0 101.52 100.53 101.12 105.42 100.91 99.97 100.37 99.61 94.78 2 0 1 0

1 98.51 98.51 98.46 108.31 99.21 99.64 99.66 100.28 87.41 2 99.87 100.65 101.28 96.83 101.05 100.03 100.41 100.47 92.67 3 99.93 100.72 103.06 89.35 101.68 100.08 100.78 98.86 94.65 4 107.77 102.22 101.67 127.21 101.69 100.11 100.63 98.86 104.38 2 0 11

1 112.88 108.57 97.61 143.01 106.49 101.83 101.25 99.35 106.20

3 - CHANGES OF TPI BY SECTION AND GROUP

10/2009 – 09/2010 =100

Index Contribution to the change of

TPI Quarter-

to- quarter

Year- on- year

Annual- ized Change

Quarter- to- quarter

Year- on- year

Annual- ized Change Section and Group

Q1 2010

Q4 2010

Q1 2011

%

Global Index 98.51 107.77 112.88 4.74 14.58 12.45 100.00 100.00 100.00 Food, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 98.51 102.22 108.57 6.21 10.21 6.22 15.89 9.60 7.76

Pastries 97.70 102.60 110.98 8.17 13.59 5.95 13.97 .. ..

Alcoholic Beverages 95.88 100.37 101.22 0.85 5.57 4.70 0.10 .. ..

Tobacco 97.32 101.96 101.96 - 4.77 6.59 - .. ..

Clothing and Footwear 98.46 101.67 97.61 -4.00 -0.87 3.54 -12.58 -1.01 5.48

Men's Clothing 94.91 102.22 102.34 0.12 7.83 15.72 0.04 .. ..

Women’s Clothing 84.48 101.75 101.30 -0.45 19.90 0.42 -0.23 .. ..

Bags 102.38 100.62 91.00 -9.57 -11.12 -0.37 -10.53 .. ..

Accommodation 108.31 127.21 143.01 12.43 32.05 21.39 71.40 59.78 46.63 Restaurant Services 99.21 101.69 106.49 4.73 7.35 5.64 16.45 9.51 9.64 Transport and Communications 99.64 100.11 101.83 1.72 2.20 4.62 2.73 1.33 3.62

Local Transport 100.04 100.04 100.04 - - - - .. ..

Outbound Transport 99.62 100.14 102.48 2.34 2.87 5.20 2.73 .. ..

Medicine and Personal Goods 99.66 100.63 101.25 0.62 1.60 1.37 0.77 0.75 0.87

Beauty products 100.07 100.84 101.60 0.75 1.53 1.58 0.81 .. ..

Entertainment and Cultural Activities 100.28 98.86 99.35 0.50 -0.92 -0.24 0.20 -0.14 -0.05

Entertainment and Leisure 100.01 98.37 99.57 1.22 -0.44 -0.61 0.38 .. ..

Miscellaneous Goods 87.41 104.38 106.20 1.75 21.49 22.12 5.14 20.18 26.05

Jewellery 88.34 108.53 113.02 4.14 27.94 27.97 5.11 .. ..

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No. 1 DSEC 1st QUARTER/2011 TOURIST PRICE INDEX

METHODOLOGY

Chained index is applied in the compilation of the simple index of a product, i.e. change of the average price of a product between the current period (t) and previous period (t-1) is multiplied with the index value of the previous period.

Laspeyres Index is used in the calculation of the TPI of Macao simply by computing the weighted average of the simple indices, namely Item Index, Group Index, Class Index, Section Index and, lastly aggregated to the TPI as follows:

100

*

*

*

1

) ( ) ( 1

) ( ) (

) (

0 0

0

=

= N=

j

t t N

j

t t

t

qj pj

qj pj

I

or

*100

*

1 ) (

1 ( )

) ( ) (

) (

0 0 0

=

= = N

j t N

j t

t t

t

Wj pj Wj pj

I

where:

j - Specific goods or services (product) N - Number of goods and services

t

0 - Base period t - Current period

pj( )t - Price of product j at current period t

) (t0

pj - Price of product j at base period t0

qj( )t0 - Quantity of product j consumed at base period t0

) (t0

Wj - Weight of product j at base period t0

Formulas used in the compilation of the TPI:

Average price of goods or service

( )

t h

t

Pj

Pmj

()

=

() 1/

pmj( )t

- Average price of product j at current period t

pj

( )t

- Price of product j observed at each outlet at current period t h - Number of prices collected for product j

(4)

Simple Index

) 1 ( ) 1 (

) ( )

( *

= t

t t

t

Ij

pmj Ij pmj

Ij( )t

- Index of product j at current period t pmj( )t

- Average price of product j at current period t

) 1 (t

pmj - Average price of product j at period t-1

) 1 (t

Ij - Index of product j at period t-1

Item Index

=

= = n j

t n

j

t t

t

Wj Ij Wj Ii

1 ) ( 1

) ( ) ( )

(

0

0 *

)

Ii( t

- Item Index i at current period t

Wj

( )t

0 -Weight of each product j of item i at base period t0

n - Number of products of item i

Group Index

=

= = r i

t r

i

t t

t

wi Ii Wi Ig

1 ) ( 1

) ( ) ( )

(

0

0 *

Ig( )t - Group Index g at current period t

) (t0

Wi

- Weight of each item i of group g at base period t0 r - Number of items of group g

Class Index

Ic

Wg Ig

Wg

t

t g

y

t

t g ( ) y

( ) ( )

( )

*

= =

=

0

0

1

1

Ic( )t

- Class Index c at current period t

(5)

No. 1 DSEC 1st QUARTER/2011 TOURIST PRICE INDEX

Section Index

Is

Wc Ic

Wc

t

t t

c v

t c ( ) v

( ) ( )

( )

*

= =

=

0

0

1

1

Is( )t

- Section Index s at current period t Wc(t )

0 - Weight of each class c of section s at base period t0 v - Number of classes of section s

Tourist Price Index(TPI)

=

= = z

s t z

s

t t

t

Ws Is Ws TPI

1 ) ( 1

) ( ) (

) (

0

0 *

)

TPI(t - Tourist Price Iindex at current period t Ws( )t

0 - Weight of each section s of TPI at base period t0

z - Number of sections of TPI

(6)

以下統計表可在統計暨普查局網頁下載

Os quadros abaixo indicados podem ser consultados no website da DSEC The following statistical tables are available for download from DSEC website

1- 按大類計算之旅遊物價指數

Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções Tourist Price Index by section

2- 按大類計算之旅遊物價指數按季變動率

Variações trimestrais do Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções Quarter-to-quarter change of Tourist Price Index by section

3- 按大類計算之旅遊物價指數按年變動率

Variações homólogas do Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções Year-on-year change of Tourist Price Index by section

4- 按年率計算之旅遊物價指數的年變動率

Variações anuais do Índice de Preços Turísticos por secções

Year-on-year change of the annualized Tourist Price Index by section

5- 按商品及服務計算之旅遊物價指數

Índice de Preços Turísticos por bens e serviços

Tourist Price Index by section, class and group of goods and services

1 號刊

ÍNDICE DE PREÇOS TURÍSTICOS 1º TRIMESTRE / 2011 DSEC Nº 1

TOURIST PRICE INDEX 1st QUARTER / 2010 DSEC No. 1

(7)

1 號刊 統計暨普查局 2011 年第 1 季 旅遊物價指數

如欲索取進一步統計資料,可聯絡統計暨普查局文件暨資料傳播中心﹕

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電 郵 ﹕ i n f o @ d s e c . g o v. m o 網 址 ﹕ w w w. d s e c . g o v. m o

Para obtenção de mais informação, os utilizadores deverão dirigir-se ao Centro de Documentação e Difusão de Informação (CDDI) da DSEC, através dos seguintes contactos:

Alameda Dr. Carlos d’ Assumpção, nº 411-417, Edf. “Dynasty Plaza” , 17º andar, Macau

Tel : 8399 5311 Fax : 2830 7825

E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Website: www.dsec.gov.mo

Further statistical information can be obtained from the Documentation and Information Centre of the Statistics and Census Service:

Alameda Dr. Carlos d’ Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao

Tel : 8399 5311 Fax : 2830 7825

E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Website: www.dsec.gov.mo

統計服務全為您

A estatística ao serviço da comunidade Statistics are here to serve you

索 取 統 計 資 料

ACESSO À INFORMAÇÃO ESTATÍSTICA

ACCESS TO STATISTICAL INFORMATION

參考文獻

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