B. 4.3.2 非線性迭代解計算
5.6 成果討論
本研究以日月潭水社壩為例，配合現場監測資料的彙整與水壩周邊相關係數 的量測結果，規劃工程資料倉儲；並針對壩體結構探討潛勢危害因子，發展老舊 水庫健康診斷之專家知識庫基礎架構，建置水壩風險評估防災預警系統雛型。系 統中以對水壩主體進行巨觀分析數值模擬，發展臨界條件下之風險評估準則，並 依監測資料的傳輸與統計需求建立管理介面，提供統一格式存取功能，有助於整 合資料檔案進行微觀計算，提供水庫安全風險評估機制，規劃防災應變流程。而 在水庫日常營運時，可依此模式針對高風險潛勢破壞區域加強檢視維護，並對其 監測結果進行嚴謹評估，方能正確掌握大壩安全。
由本計畫所開發的RAORS 專家系統根據水社壩相關資料所建置的破壞模式 觀察，壩體因平時均有進行適當的維護，除非出現不可預期且難以抗拒的大型天 然災變或人為疏失，在自然條件下仍屬穩定結構，而借助資訊化的風險評估與資 訊管理模式，可有效率的提供水庫管理者決定優先改善順序。對於風險潛勢較高 的破壞模式，可透過降低發生的可能性、減少後果的嚴重性及增加偵測干擾的能 力等方式，以降低該潛在破壞模式的風險。除此之外，可參考此分析模式並加以 應用在評估整體日月潭水庫群，如頭社壩及培厚區、溢洪井、溢洪隧道、進出水 工、水工機械、拔社埔薄山脊及蓄水庫周邊範圍等，提供作為水庫營運更佳參考。
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六、參考文獻
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附錄－獲補助發表在學術期刊與研討會之研究成果
感謝國科會補助本計畫在執行期間所需之研發經費，並補助發表刊登學術論 文與出席國內外研討會，以下為獲補助之研究成果。
[1] H.-C. Lin, Y.-M. Hong, Y.-C. Kan, W.-P. Sung, “An Efficient Risk Assessment Model for Structure Safety of Aged Dam,” Disaster Advances, Vol.5(4), October 2012.
[2] 林雪淳, "老舊水庫遠距監測防災模型基礎建置," 第十一屆結構工程研討 會暨第一屆地震工程研討會(The 11th National Conference on Structural Engineering/The First National Conference on Earthquake Engineering), September 5-7, 2012.
[3] H.-C. Lin, Y.-M. Hong, W.-P. Sung, Y.-C. Kan, “Developing an Efficient Criterion for Failure Assessment of Aged Dam,” Poster in The 5th International Conference on Engineering Failure Analysis (ICEFA V), Hague, The Netherlands, July 1-4, 2012.
[4] S.-Y. Chiang, Y.-C. Kan, Y.-C. Tu, H.-C. Lin, “Activity Recognition by Fuzzy Logic System in Wireless Sensor Network for Physical Therapy,” In Proceeding of the 4th International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT 2012), May 23-25, 2012.
[5] S. -Y. Chiang, Y. -C. Kan, Y. -C. Tu, H. -C. Lin, “A Preliminary Activity Recognition of WSN Data on Ubiquitous Health Care for Physical Therapy,”
In Proceeding of 2011 International Conference on Data Engineering and Internet Technology, Volume 156, pp 461-467, 2013.
[6] 洪耀明, 甘堯江, 林雪淳, “崩塌地地錨荷重即時遠端傳輸系統-以霧社水 庫下游為例,” Conference on Computer Applications in Civil and Hydraulic Engineering 2011 (CCACHE 2011), September 01-02, 2011, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
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[1] Disaster Advances (SCI Paper)
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[2] The 11th/1st National Conference on Structural Engineering / Earthquake Engineering (Proceeding)
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[3] The 5th International Conference on Engineering Failure Analysis (ICEFA V, Presentation and Poster)
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[4] The 4th International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT 2012, Proceeding & EI)
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[5] 2011 International Conference on Data Engineering and Internet Technology (DEIT2011, Proceeding & EI)
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[6] Conference on Computer Applications in Civil and Hydraulic Engineering 2011 (CCACHE2011, Proceeding)
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國科會補助專題研究計畫成果報告自評表
請就研究內容與原計畫相符程度、達成預期目標情況、研究成果之學術或應用價 值（簡要敘述成果所代表之意義、價值、影響或進一步發展之可能性） 、是否適 合在學術期刊發表或申請專利、主要發現或其他有關價值等，作一綜合評估。
1. 請就研究內容與原計畫相符程度、達成預期目標情況作一綜合評估
■ 達成目標
□ 未達成目標（請說明，以 100 字為限）
□ 實驗失敗
□ 因故實驗中斷
□ 其他原因 說明：
2. 研究成果在學術期刊發表或申請專利等情形：
論文：■已發表 □未發表之文稿 □撰寫中 □無 專利：□已獲得 □申請中 □無
技轉：□已技轉 □洽談中 □無 其他：（以 100 字為限）
3. 請依學術成就、技術創新、社會影響等方面，評估研究成果之學術或應用價 值（簡要敘述成果所代表之意義、價值、影響或進一步發展之可能性）（以 500 字為限）
學術成就：
本研究以日月潭水社壩為例，配合現場監測資料的彙整與水壩周邊相關係數的量測結果，
規劃工程資料倉儲；並針對壩體結構探討潛勢危害因子，發展老舊水庫健康診斷之專家知 識庫基礎架構，建置水壩風險評估防災預警系統雛型。本階段計畫執行期間已發表一篇國 際學術期刊論文及兩篇研討會論文，另有下階段繼續進行的研究以有成果陸續投稿中。
技術創新：
系統中以對水壩主體進行巨觀分析數值模擬，發展臨界條件下之風險評估準則，並依監測 資料的傳輸與統計需求建立管理介面，提供統一格式存取功能，有助於整合資料檔案進行 微觀計算，提供水庫安全風險評估機制，規劃防災應變流程。而在水庫日常營運時，可依 附件二
此模式針對高風險潛勢破壞區域加強檢視維護，並對其監測結果進行嚴謹評估，方能正確 掌握大壩安全。
社會影響：
由本計畫所開發的 RAORS 專家系統根據水社壩相關資料所建置的破壞模式觀察，壩體因 平時均有進行適當的維護，除非出現不可預期且難以抗拒的大型天然災變或人為疏失，在 自然條件下仍屬穩定結構，而借助資訊化的風險評估與資訊管理模式，可有效率的提供水 庫管理者決定優先改善順序。
應用價值：
對於風險潛勢較高的破壞模式，可透過降低發生的可能性、減少後果的嚴重性及增加偵測 干擾的能力等方式，以降低該潛在破壞模式的風險。除此之外，可參考此分析模式並加以 應用在評估整體日月潭水庫群，如頭社壩及培厚區、溢洪井、溢洪隧道、進出水工、水工 機械、拔社埔薄山脊及蓄水庫周邊範圍等，提供作為水庫營運更佳參考。
國科會補助計畫衍生研發成果推廣資料表【無】
日期： 年 月 日
國科會補助計畫
計畫名稱：
計畫主持人：
計畫編號： 領域：
研發成果名稱
（中文）
（英文）
成果歸屬機構 發明人
(創作人)
技術說明
（中文）
（200-500 字）
（英文）
產業別
技術/產品應用範圍
技術移轉可行性及預期 效益
註：本項研發成果若尚未申請專利，請勿揭露可申請專利之主要內容。
附件三
國科會補助專題研究計畫移地研究心得報告 【無】
日期： 年 月 日
一、移地研究過程 二、研究成果 三、建議 四、其他
計畫編號 NSC － － － － － 計畫名稱
出國人員 姓名
服務機構 及職稱 出國時間 年 月 日至
年 月 日 出國地點
附件四國科會補助專題研究計畫出席國際學術會議心得報告
日期：101 年 10 月 31 日
一、參加會議經過
IDT 研討會為智慧決策科技國際研討會，該國際學術研討會由 KES International 與日本名古屋 大學(Nagoja University)主辦，為整合資訊工程技術與智慧決策管理相關應用之國際研討會，歷屆 均吸引全球各地優秀學者及實務界人士參與盛會，發表論文以學術及資料與資訊決策技術為主，
本次於會中發表之研究成果被分類在智慧互動系統個人化(Personalization of Intelligent
Interactive Systems)相關主題，會中除聽取來自世界各地的學者專家的專題演講，並與專家先進們 交換意見，以使未來的進階研究執行時更臻於完善。
二、與會心得
本次研討會之議題以資訊科技與智慧型決策技術為主軸，從學理的演算方法到實作的分析探 討，將現代化資訊技術應用到電子、資料、生醫、管理、社會、教育等各種不同領域，涵蓋面甚 廣。主要包含兩大主軸：A.智慧型決策科技(Intelligent Decision Technologies, IDT)，B.智慧型互動 式多媒體系統與服務(Intelligent Interactive Multimedia Systems and Services, IIMSS)，計有以下主題：
計畫編號 NSC100－2625－M－039－001－
計畫名稱 建立水壩塊體變位應力分析模型與健康診斷知識庫之
(英文)The 4th International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT 2012)
發表題目
(中文)應用於物理治療之無線感測網路模糊邏輯系統行為辨識
(英文) Activity Recognition by Fuzzy Logic System in Wireless Sensor Network for Physical Therapy
附件五
IDT 部分
1. Bio-Inspired Computing for Decision Support Theories and Applications Information 2. Decision Making in a Changing Financial and Social Environment
3. Strategic Behavior Model in MCDM Applications 4. General Track for IDT
5. Knowledge Engineering and Soft Data Analysis
6. Operations Research through Soft Computing Methodology 7. Innovative Applications of Computational Intelligent Systems 8. Manufacturing Intelligence for High-Tech Industry
9. Optimization Models in Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management 10. Rough Sets and Granular Computing (RSGrC)
11. Decision Making Theory
12. Informatics Medicine as a option in the Medical Practitioners intervention toolkit 13. Computational intelligence in management controlling
14. Knowledge-Based Intelligent System and Application
15. Intelligent information processing for Knowledge management and mining
16. Mathematical Decision Making under Various criteria and Its Application to Urban Problem 17. Bilevel Programming Theory, Algorithms, and Applications
18. A New Frontier of Hybrid MCDM Model and its Application 19. Fuzzy Rule-Based Systems
20. Advanced Progress in Management Engineering 21. System Efficiency in Business and Service Computing IIMSS 部份
1. Service and Knowledge Sharing through Interactive Media 2. Knowledge Media for Learning and Creativity
3. Kukanchi-interactive human-space design and intelligence 4. Intelligent Human-Computer Interaction
5. Intelligent Network Service
6. Nonverbal Communication Technology for Human-Computer Interaction 7. Interactive Learning / Educational Systems, Services, and Environments 8. Student-Centred e-Learning
9. Social Intelligence in Human Community 10. Risk and Cognition
11. Personalization of Intelligent Interactive Systems
研討會中有三場專題演講，首先是 Dr. Skowron 主講的“Rough Sets and Reasoning about Complex Vague Concepts”，探討應用在複雜模糊觀念分析中的粗糙集計算方法；還有 Dr. Chien 演說
“Manufacturing Intelligence and Data Mining: From Yield Enhancement, Production Management, to Manufacturing Strategy in Semiconductor Manufacturing”，探討半導體製造業所面臨的挑戰與策略；
另一場則是由 Dr. Tanaka 報告 “Handmade Satellite NIWAKA (FITSAT-1)”，介紹自行研發的迷你人 造衛星以頻率 5.48GHz 及 115.2kbps 速率快速傳送一般解析度的畫面。從資訊科技的角度而言，這 些經驗背後所導入的分析模型代表著跨領域整合的應用上。
三天的會議中共設近 40 個場次，共一百多篇論文發表，本人及合作團隊所發表的論文被歸類 在智慧互動系統個人化相關應用(Personalization of Intelligent Interactive Systems)，報告時原先是歸 屬在模糊系統(Fuzzy Rule-based System)範疇，但因大會太晚公佈時程致使無法與原訂班機配合，
而與其它有相同問題的報告者改分配到人因互動應用場次。此一場次之其他研究主題主要為智慧
政府部門鼓勵節能減碳，連公車等紅綠燈時都熄火，甚至溫度不到時車上也沒有冷氣，但全民共 體時艱的作法也頗值得學習。
政府部門鼓勵節能減碳，連公車等紅綠燈時都熄火，甚至溫度不到時車上也沒有冷氣，但全民共 體時艱的作法也頗值得學習。