Professor
Graduate Institute of Development Studies National Chengchi University
Abstract
This study constructs a global climate change trend index based on principal component analysis. It also evaluates the effectiveness of countries’
policies toward global climate change, particularly China in details. This study covers 92 countries from 1971 to 2007.
There are two key findings in this study. First, China is the most deteriorated while the United States has the most improved record in contributing to global climate change during the period of the study. Second, in the Tenth Five-Year Plan and Eleventh Five-Year Plan, China proposed the establishment of legislation and promoted policy objectives for climate change, but did not restrict influential factors of climate change, such as reduction of CO
2 emission. Therefore, these policies were not effective in improving the overall climate change trend in China.
Keywords: principal component analysis, global climate change trend index, Tenth Five-Year Plan, Eleventh Five-Year Plan
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