• 沒有找到結果。

The empirical findings are reported in Tables 2 and 3. Table 2 shows the effect of the

distance to MRT station on housing prices within 1.5 km. Model (1) indicates that distance

to MRT stations, the age of the house, size of the house and Taipei are statistically

significant. More importantly, distance has a negative effect on housing prices. The

estimates show that when the distance to MRT station increases by 1 km, the housing

prices decrease by $NT120,300 per ping.

Model (2) demonstrates that when the distance to MRT station decreases by 1 km, the

housing prices in Taipei is $NT81,540 per ping higher than Kaohsiung. It means that the

MRT system in Taipei has a greater impact on housing prices, compare with Kaohsiung.

Model (3) shows the relationship of the distance to MRT stations on housing prices

between Taipei and Kaohsiung. According to the coefficient of distance2, we can

conclude that the relationship between the housing prices and distance is a U shape.

Model (4) is our main model. The estimates indicate that when the distance increases

by 1 km, the housing prices decrease by $NT158,432 per ping in Taipei, and decrease by

$NT97,732 per ping in Kaohsiung. The relationship between housing prices and distance

is U shape as well.

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Table 2. The Effect of Distance on Housing Prices: Distance to MRT station ≦ 1.5 km)

Independent Variable

Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)

Model (4) Model (5)

distance -12.030(4.946)*** -11.496(8.530)*** -35.482(18.845)** -29.065(12.987)* -26.428 (17.022)

distance2 12.485 (12.235)* 10.887(12.558)* 11.273 (12.273)

distance×Taipei -8.154(10.433)** -6.070(10.707)* -15.794(12.656)

distance2 ×Taipei 13.992 (16.566)

age_house -.411(.148)*** -.392(.124)*** -.390(.124)*** -.386(.124)** -.385(.124)***

age_house _missing 6.943(5.205)*** 5.537(4.295)** 6.002(4.320)* 5.950(4.322)* 5.960(4.322)*

size_house -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)*

Taipei 5.474(4.421)*** 12.692(8.425)** 6.243(3.578)* 10.750(8.878)* 17.256(9.246)

building higher than 11 floors -13.756(6.453)** -12.835(5.295)** -12.014(5.340)** -12.027(5.341)** -13.087(5.412)**

building lower than 10 floors -10.233(7.904) -10.743(6.687) -9.316(6.235) -9.421(6.579) -10.743(6.687)

condominium 1.347(6.983)* 1.068(6.004)* 1.458(5.912)* 1.165(5.963)* 1.068(6.004)*

studio apartment -3.573(8.260)* -5.224(7.313)* -3.287(7.156)* -3.754(7.211)* -3.004(7.313)*

14

Notes: 2017 = 0, Single-family house = 0, Kaohsiung = 0.

*** Significant at 1% significance level. ** Significant at 5% significance level. * Significant at 10% significance level

Refer to Table 2 (continued)

storefront 12.964(12.431) 8.561(10.350) 9.775(10.303) 9.419(10.324) 9.516(10.205)

commercial building -8.847(16.990) -7.907(9.129) -5.791(8.887) -6.869(9.089) -7.907(9.129)

others -5.754(10.897) -8.448(8.899) -6.990(8.822) -7.127(8.832) -5.844(8.899)

2012 2.521(8.489) 4.239(7.405) 3.318(7.340) 3.606(7.388) 4.239 (7.405)

2013 13.814(6.067)** 12.569(5.144)** 12.304(5.128)** 12.173 (5.135)** 12.569 (5.144)**

2014 11.257(5.607)** 10.233(4.744)** 9.950(4.678)** 9.642(4.719)** 9.033(4.744)**

2015 5.549(5.716) 5.813(4.873) 5.790(4.865) 5.658(4.872) 5.083 (4.873)

2016 2.051(5.584) 2.274(4.742) 2.292(4.741) 2.224(4.743) 2.217 (4.744)

N 1790 1790 1790 1790 1790

F-value 34.061 33.204 32.973 32.448 32.206

R2 .206 .208 .205 .206 .208

15

Model (4) also shows that the impact of MRT system in Taipei on housing prices is

greater than that in Kaohsiung when the distance increases by 1 km. The housing prices

in Taipei decline an additional of $NT60,700 per ping. Due to small sample size, the

coefficients of distance,distance2, distance×Taipei and distance2×Taipei are not

statistically significant in Model (5).

When we look at Model (1), the housing prices drop by $NT4,110 if the age of the

house increase by one year. As Model (2) shows, when the age of house increases one

year, the housing prices decrease by $NT3,920. Model (3) indicates that the housing

prices drop by $NT3,900. Model (4) reveals that the housing prices decrease by $NT3,860

when the age of house increase on year and Model (5) suggests than the housing prices

decrease by $NT3,850 when the age of house increase on year

Moreover, the size of the house has a significant effect on housing prices. All five

models suggest that when the size of the house increases by 10 pings, the housing prices

decrease $NT100. Meanwhile, when we look at Taipei, the estimate infers that the

housing prices in Kaohsiung are less than Taipei.

The housing prices in the year 2013 are higher than in other years. The reason might

be the implementation of the capital gain tax on the stock market in 2012 which redirected

the capital flow to the real estate market and causes the housing prices to rise. However,

16

the government implemented the Combined Housing and Real Estate Tax in 2015;

consequently, the housing prices declined significantly.

Table 3 shows the effect of the distance to MRT station on housing prices when we

limit the sample to those within 3 km from the MRT stations. Model (1) shows that the

distance to the MRT station, the age of the house, size of the house, and location of the

house are all significant determinant of housing prices. Distance to MRT stations has a

negative effect on housing prices, which means that when the distance increases, the

housing prices decrease and this result consists of the previous studies. The results suggest

that when the distance increases by 1 km; the housing prices decrease by $NT50,000/ping

Model (2) shows the different impact of the distance to MRT station on housing prices

in Taipei and Kaohsiung. The result indicates that when the distance increases by 1 km,

the housing prices in Taipei decrease by an additional $NT17,773 per ping, as opposed to

Kaohsiung.

Based on Model (3), Distance2 is statistically significant and the result indicates that

the rate of the decrease in housing prices declines as the distance increases. Model (4)

is our major model. When we have partial housing prices over partial distance, the

estimates indicate that when the distance increases by 1 km, the housing

17

Table 3. The Effect of Distance on Housing Prices: Distance to MRT station ≦ 3 km

Independent Variable

Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)

Model (4) Model (5)

distance -5.105(2.278)*** -4.540(3.853)*** -23.087(8.105)*** -23.694(9.070)*** -16.428 (14.672)

distance2 7.719 (3.106)** 7.249(3.142)** 4.496 (5.363)

distance×Taipei -1.7773(4.569)** -1.098(4.595)** -10.123(17.699)

distance2 ×Taipei 4.213 (6.625)

age_house -.298(.105)*** -.295(.106)*** -.318(.106)*** -.320(.106)*** -.318(.107)***

age_house _missing 8.776(3.575)*** 9.523(3.584)** 8.527(3.573)** 8.899(3.629)** 8.344(3.635)**

size_house -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)* -.001(.002)*

Taipei 10.253(2.891)*** 11.847(5.142)** 8.752(2.960)*** 11.110(5.217)** 13.184(9.685)

building higher than 11 floors -9.532(4.398)** -10.891(4.407)** -9.170(4.396)** -9.414(4.443)** -9.344(4.432)**

building lower than 10 floors -7.877(5.656) -8.045(5.660) -7.731(5.560) -7.822(5.664) -7.992(5.669)

condominium 1.596(5.119)* 1.337(5.112)* 1.849(5.115)* 1.155(5.152)* 1.627(5.139)*

18

Notes: 2017 = 0, Single-family house = 0, Kaohsiung = 0. Standard errors are in parentheses.

*** Significant at 1% significance level. ** Significant at 5% significance level. * Significant at 10% significance level

Refer to Table 3 (continued)

studio apartment -2.783(6.257)* -3.480(6.255)* -2.079(6.528)* -2.709(6.296)* -2.617(6.316)*

storefront 10.581(8.591) 10.661(8.660) 10.489(8.528) 10.469(8.569) 10.103(8.615)

commercial building -3.677(7.919) -3.865(7.890) -3.38(7.899) -5.510(7.899) -4.382(8.073)

others -5.406(6.846) -4.657(6.858) -5.472(6.856) -5.472(6.856) -5.340(6.872)

2012 4.477(6.376) 4.533(6.384) 3.841(6.385) 4.533(6.384) 3.699 (6.411)

2013 12.048(4.458)** 12.010(4.462)** 11.537(4.459)*** 12.010 (4.462)*** 11.491 (4.464)***

2014 9.632(4.056)** 9.552(4.906)** 9.513(4.075)** 9.552(4.593)** 9.435 4.098)**

2015 3.276(4.078) 3.238(4.084) 2.839(4.079) 3.238(4.084) 2.722 (4.090)

2016 1.574(4.152) 1.534(4.153) 1.761(4.149) 1.534(4.158) 1.769 (4.156)

N 2244 2244 2244 2244 2244

F-value 34.755 33.953 33.670 33.285 30.397

R2 .272 .276 .277 .275 .279

19

prices decrease by $NT119,467per ping in Taipei and decrease by $NT108,487 per ping

in Kaohsiung. The relationship between the distance to MRT stations and housing prices

is a U shape.

Moreover, the interaction term distance×Taipei is negative. It means that the distance

to MRT station in Taipei has a greater impact than that in Kaohsiung. It is because,

compared with Kaohsiung, Taipei has complete MRT systems; thus, people in Taipei are

more dependent on the MRT system. On the contrary, the MRT system in Kaohsiung is

less complete. Therefore, people would choose to ride a scooter instead of taking MRT.

The coefficients of distance, distance2, distance×Taipei and distance2×Taipei in

Model (5) are not statistically significant. This might be the outcome of the small

sample size. When we look at Model (1), the housing prices drop by $NT2,980 if the age

of house increases by one year. As Model (3) shows, when the age of the house increase

one year, the housing prices decrease by $NT3,180. Model (4) indicates that if the age of

house increases on the year, the housing prices drop by $NT3,200 and model (5) shows

that the housing prices decrease by $NT3,180 when the age of house increase one year.

The size of the house also affects the housing prices. All the models suggest that when

the size of the house increases by 10 pings, the housing prices per ping decrease by

$NT100. In addition, the housing prices in Kaohsiung are lower than in Taipei. The

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housing prices in the year 2013 are higher than any other years in our sample, which

suggests that the housing market hit the record high in 2013 in Taiwan.

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