• 沒有找到結果。

0

2006 2011 201 6

2021

2026 203 1

2036 2041 2046 2051 2056 2061 2066 2071 2076 2081 2086

2091 2096 Year

Frequency & maxDHWs values

圖二十五、CGCM2 模擬 SRES A2 情境的水溫預測值,評估自 2001 至 2100 年,台灣南 部海域的 DHWs 值(紅線)、超過水溫閥值次數(藍線)與超過閥值 1℃以上次數(綠線)。

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附表一、CGCM2 SRES A2 情境下,2001-2100年,台灣北部、澎湖與南部海域海水表 面溫度超過珊瑚白化溫度閥值1℃的次數與該年DHWs最大值。

Northern Taiwan(A2) Penghu Island(A2) Southern Taiwan(A2)

次數 DHWs 次數 DHWs 次數 DHWs

續附表一

2063 14 5.95 2063 12 2.18 2063 16 14.68

2064 11 0 2064 14 0 2064 18 0

2065 13 0 2065 8 0 2065 16 0

2066 12 0 2066 12 1.03 2066 18 1.00

2067 17 14.07 2067 12 3.54 2067 18 9.64

2068 16 0 2068 18 0 2068 18 0

2076 19 15.07 2076 16 17.48 2076 22 22.43

2077 16 5.59 2077 20 10.73 2077 21 10.48

2078 18 3.66 2078 16 0 2078 18 3.46

2079 18 10.89 2079 20 17.34 2079 21 16.91

2080 16 2.19 2080 15 1.01 2080 18 4.40

2081 16 10.12 2081 14 3.33 2081 17 8.81

2082 17 11.38 2082 18 13.81 2082 19 15.75

2083 17 11.47 2083 17 10.14 2083 18 13.62

2084 18 14.25 2084 18 14.60 2084 22 22.38

2085 17 4.58 2085 21 7.99 2085 20 12.60

2086 19 14.38 2086 19 6.17 2086 22 16.35

2087 17 12.47 2087 18 7.06 2087 19 9.58

2088 18 14.93 2088 20 5.65 2088 20 3.64

2089 20 4.45 2089 20 3.35 2089 24 8.34

2090 21 20.92 2090 22 17.99 2090 24 22.84

2091 18 13.79 2091 20 10.20 2091 22 19.22

2092 17 11.40 2092 20 17.28 2092 21 17.85

2093 18 11.29 2093 19 13.13 2093 23 17.20

2094 22 20.01 2094 23 21.98 2094 25 24.28

2095 20 24.49 2095 23 24.54 2095 24 27.10

2096 18 18.98 2096 24 17.05 2096 24 22.31

2097 24 24.71 2097 23 22.95 2097 26 27.13

2098 21 23.59 2098 22 26.01 2098 22 28.46

2099 19 14.58 2099 22 20.49 2099 23 20.99

2100 22 16.58 2100 23 14.83 2100 24 19.69

附表二、CGCM2 SRES B2 情境下,2001-2100年,台灣北部、澎湖與南部海域海水表 面溫度超過珊瑚白化溫度閥值1℃的次數與該年DHWs最大值。

Northern Taiwan(B2) Penghu Island(B2) Southern Taiwan(B2)

次數 DHWs 次數 DHWs 次數 DHWs

續附表二

2088 16 11.89 2088 16 3.43 2088 19 15.42

2089 16 0 2089 14 0 2089 18 1.01

附表三:IPCC 第三次評估報告中,1985 年到 2100 年,SRES A2 與 B2 在二氧化碳排放 上的差異。

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