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Chapter 4: Discussion

4.6. Strengths and limitations

This study is the first to perform head-to-head comparison between MIRU-VNTR and WGS quantitatively using hospital-based data in Taiwan. Most of the studies perform the analysis of VNTR first, then they use WGS to analyze the result of MIRU-VNTR [10, 26]. In these studies, they reported that WGS had higher resolution by using some validation data, and it was helpful to exclude transmission events identified by MIRU-VNTR. Nevertheless, it is seldom to analyze all samples by two genotyped methods simultaneously in one study probably due to limited resource and cost. As a result, the result of clusters always lacks the part which is identified by WGS, but MIRU considers not as the cluster. Besides, the addresses of activity places in our study were not only residential, but also more places were recorded, such as work. The more detailed information of activity places is recorded, the more we are possible to understand the potential transmission location.

There were still a few potential limitations of this study. Our population was collected from the specific hospital system, not all TB patients of Kaohsiung were included in 2017,

which may cause selection bias. Besides, the study period was only nearly one year, it was difficult to understand complete transmission in Kaohsiung. These problems might lead to an underestimation of clusters of TB transmission. However, we planned to conduct a population-based study to collect all cases from all hospitals in Kaohsiung for over one year in the future. Our epidemiological data based on contact investigation was difficult to record all the epidemiological links. Hence, epidemiological links were possibly missed some parts of links between cases, and it also had the problem of recall bias when interviewing patients. Several limitations of WGS technologies and analysis tools were challenged that the workflows had various criteria, and lacked standardization and validation. There was no international standard for the cut-off of SNP, although many studies use the number of SNPs to define WGS cluster. The SNPs cut-off as adequate cluster definition still needed to take some factors into account, such as the TB incidence, the characteristic and mutation rates of MTB in this area, the duration of transmission, and so on.

In conclusion, with decreasing costs of next-generation sequencing (NGS) technologies, WGS will become an essential tool in routine use of identifying clusters.

Moreover, our results also support that the cases of WGS clusters match more with epidemiological information than clusters by MIRU-VNTR. Although WGS has potential

ability to replace routine typing MIRU-VNTR [13], some challenges remain such as how to compare among different studies when WGS applying, and how to better define clusters of recent or reactive TB transmission by SNP thresholds in different conditionally area. Besides, workflow of WGS has various criteria, and lacks standardization and validation. It should be validated and established an algorithm as general standard for meeting public health needs in the future.

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Appendix

Figure 1. Flow chart of sample collection. The samples were the isolates of TB patients.

Table 1. The baseline descriptive characteristic of patients in Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital from March 2017 to December 2017.

Age in years, n (%)

Table 2. The consistence of clustered pairs between 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS from 155 isolates of patients.

The 163 patients excluding Case 18, 19, 32, 67, 77, 103, 138, 143). (+) was mean the number of pairs identified as the cluster by the tool; (−) was mean the number of pairs identified as non-cluster by the tool.

WGS (+) WGS (−) Total

8 80 88

15 11832 11847

23 11912 11935

24-loci MIRU-VNTR (+) 24-loci MIRU-VNTR (−)

Total

Figure 2. The distribution of patient locations by lineages.

Figure 3. The distribution of Cluster A patient locations.

Figure 4. The distribution of Cluster B-D patient locations.

Figure 5. Network of WGS-clustered cases.

Figure 6. Neighbor joining tree of Cluster A.

Figure 7. Network of MIRU-clustered cases with geographical correlation.

Figure 8. Neighbor joining tree of Cluster P.

Figure 9. The relationship of variation between 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS.

Figure 10. The relationship of variation between 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS (under 50 SNPs).

Figure 11. Venn diagram of 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS typing of 155 MTB isolates from Kaohsiung and geographical correlation.

Supplement

Table S1. The characteristic of patients between WGS-clustered and Unique.

Male

Table S2. The characteristic of patients between MIRU-clustered and Unique.

Table S3. The consistence of clustered pairs between 8-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS from 158 isolates of patients.

(+) was mean the number of pairs identified as the cluster by the tool; (−) was mean the number of pairs identified as non-cluster by the tool. Patients were excluding Case 19, 32, 77, 138, 143.

WGS (+) WGS (−) Total

8 157 165

15 12223 12238

23 12380 12403

Total

8-loci MIRU-VNTR (+) 8-loci MIRU-VNTR (−)

Table S4. The consistence of clustered pairs between 10-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS from 158 isolates of patients.

(+) was mean the number of pairs identified as the cluster by the tool; (−) was mean the number of pairs identified as non-cluster by the tool. Patients were excluding Case 19, 32, 77, 138, 143.

WGS (+) WGS (−) Total

4 39 43

19 12341 12360

23 12380 12403

Total

10-loci MIRU-VNTR (+) 10-loci MIRU-VNTR (−)

Table S5. The consistence of clustered pairs between 28-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS from 155 isolates of patients.

(+) was mean the number of pairs identified as the cluster by the tool; (−) was mean the number of pairs identified as non-cluster by the tool. The patients were excluding Case 18, 19, 32, 67, 77, 103, 138, 143.

WGS (+) WGS (−) Total

4 23 27

19 12044 12063

23 12067 12090

Total

28-loci MIRU-VNTR (+) 28-loci MIRU-VNTR (−)

Table S6. The consistence of clustered case number between 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS from 158 isolates of patients.

(+) was mean the number of pairs identified as the cluster by the tool; (−) was mean the number of pairs identified as non-cluster by the tool. Patients were excluding Case 19, 32, 77, 138, 143.

WGS (+) WGS (−) Total

8 31 39

3 113 116

23 144 155

24-loci MIRU-VNTR (+) 24-loci MIRU-VNTR (−)

Total

Table S7. The Hunter Gaston discriminatory index of each loci.

Bold was the locus of 24-loci international standard.

Loci Loci Loci

Table S8. The number of pairs in different SNP-definition.

(+) was mean the number of pairs identified as the cluster by the tool; (−) was mean the number of pairs identified as non-cluster by the tool.

82 81 80

Figure S1. The relationship of variation between 8-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS.

Figure S2. The relationship of variation between 10-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS.

Figure S3. The relationship of variation between 28-loci MIRU-VNTR and WGS.

Figure S4. The relationship of variation between MIRU-VNTR and WGS in Lineage 1 (N=56).

Figure S5. The relationship of variation between MIRU-VNTR and WGS in Lineage 2 (N=63).

Figure S6. The relationship of variation between MIRU-VNTR and WGS in Lineage 4 (N=36).

Figure S7. Network of MIRU-clustered cases.

Figure S8. The number of pairs in the different group of SNPs.

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