• 沒有找到結果。

In table 12, we shows the how workers in some industries concentrate in specific counties. We use the year 2010 data. In each county, we

Table 8: The Impact of ODI and Trade on Male’s Labor Market (2SLS)

unemployment lnwage

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

ODI 0.003∗∗ 0.005 0.008∗∗∗ 0.006∗∗ -0.011∗∗∗ -0.027∗∗∗ -0.018∗∗∗ -0.024∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) ODI*Skilled labor -0.002∗∗∗ -0.007∗∗∗ -0.012∗∗∗ -0.010∗∗∗ 0.004∗∗∗ 0.001 0.003 -0.002

(0.000) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.003) (0.005) (0.004)

Net export -0.002 -0.003∗∗ -0.002∗∗ 0.010∗∗∗ 0.006∗∗ 0.008∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.003) (0.002)

Net export*Skilled labor 0.003∗∗∗ 0.007∗∗∗ 0.006∗∗∗ 0.002 0.002 0.003

(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.003) (0.002)

Skilled labor -0.002 -0.003 -0.001 -0.003 0.206∗∗∗ 0.206∗∗∗ 0.202∗∗∗ 0.205∗∗∗

(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) 6 years of edu. -0.007 -0.007 -0.007 -0.007 0.149∗∗∗ 0.149∗∗∗ 0.149∗∗∗ 0.154∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) 9 years of edu. -0.010 -0.010 -0.010 -0.010 0.233∗∗∗ 0.234∗∗∗ 0.234∗∗∗ 0.243∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) 12 years of edu. -0.021∗∗ -0.020∗∗ -0.020∗∗ -0.020∗∗ 0.281∗∗∗ 0.282∗∗∗ 0.282∗∗∗ 0.296∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)

>12 years of edu. -0.032∗∗∗ -0.032∗∗∗ -0.032∗∗∗ -0.032∗∗∗ 0.408∗∗∗ 0.408∗∗∗ 0.408∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.009) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017) (0.017)

Age 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.036∗∗∗ 0.036∗∗∗ 0.036∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) Age squ. -0.000∗∗ -0.000∗∗ -0.000∗∗ -0.000∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Spouse -0.036∗∗∗ -0.036∗∗∗ -0.036∗∗∗ -0.036∗∗∗ 0.118∗∗∗ 0.118∗∗∗ 0.118∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)

Full-time job 0.292∗∗∗ 0.292∗∗∗ 0.292∗∗∗ 0.291∗∗∗

(0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.004)

Experience 0.020∗∗∗ 0.020∗∗∗ 0.020∗∗∗ 0.021∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)

Experience squ. -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)

Endogenous variables ODI ODI Net export Both ODI ODI Net export Both

Observations 218,698 218,698 218,698 218,698 182,260 182,260 182,260 182,260

Adjusted R2 0.019 0.020 0.019 0.020 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.354

Standard errors in parentheses. p < 0.1,∗∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗∗ p < 0.01. Year effects, county effects and industry effects are included in all estimations. The dummy of under 6 years of schooling is used as the control group.

Table 9: The Impact of ODI and Trade on Male’s Labor Market (2SLS)

unemployment lnwage

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

ODI 0.003∗∗ 0.005 0.009∗∗ 0.006 -0.011∗∗∗ -0.028∗∗ -0.017 -0.024∗∗

(0.001) (0.005) (0.004) (0.005) (0.002) (0.011) (0.009) (0.010) ODI*Skilled labor -0.002∗∗∗ -0.007∗∗∗ -0.013∗∗∗ -0.010∗∗∗ 0.003∗∗∗ 0.003 0.002 -0.002

(0.000) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.009) (0.009) (0.012)

Net export -0.002 -0.004∗∗ -0.003 0.010∗∗ 0.006 0.008

(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.005) (0.004) (0.004)

Net export*Skilled labor 0.004∗∗∗ 0.007∗∗∗ 0.006∗∗∗ 0.000 0.001 0.003

(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.006) (0.005) (0.007)

Skilled labor -0.002 -0.002 -0.001 -0.002 0.205∗∗∗ 0.205∗∗∗ 0.202∗∗∗ 0.205∗∗∗

(0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.004) (0.017) (0.016) (0.017) 6 years of edu. -0.009 -0.009 -0.009 -0.009 0.154∗∗∗ 0.154∗∗∗ 0.154∗∗∗ 0.154∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.017) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) 9 years of edu. -0.014 -0.014 -0.014 -0.014 0.243∗∗∗ 0.243∗∗∗ 0.244∗∗∗ 0.243∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.017) (0.022) (0.022) (0.022) 12 years of edu. -0.029∗∗∗ -0.029∗∗∗ -0.029∗∗∗ -0.029∗∗∗ 0.296∗∗∗ 0.296∗∗∗ 0.297∗∗∗ 0.296∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.017) (0.023) (0.023) (0.023)

> 12 years of edu. -0.043∗∗∗ -0.043∗∗∗ -0.043∗∗∗ -0.043∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗

(0.009) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.017) (0.026) (0.026) (0.026) Age 0.001∗∗∗ 0.001∗∗∗ 0.001∗∗∗ 0.001∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) Age squ. -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Spouse -0.037∗∗∗ -0.037∗∗∗ -0.037∗∗∗ -0.037∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)

Full-time job 0.292∗∗∗ 0.291∗∗∗ 0.292∗∗∗ 0.291∗∗∗

(0.004) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008)

Experience 0.021∗∗∗ 0.021∗∗∗ 0.021∗∗∗ 0.021∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)

Experience squ. -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)

Endogenous variables ODI ODI Net export Both ODI ODI Net export Both

Observations 218,698 218,698 218,698 218,698 182,260 182,260 182,260 182,260

Adjusted R2 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.016 0.354 0.354 0.354 0.354

Standard errors adjusted for 23 clusters in county in parentheses. p < 0.1,∗∗ p < 0.05,∗∗∗p < 0.01.

Year effects and county effects are included in all estimations. The dummy of under 6 years of schooling is used as the control group.

Table 10: Robustness Check on Male Samples

unemployment ln(wage)

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

ODI 0.008 0.008 0.006 0.006 -0.029 -0.024∗∗ -0.024∗∗ -0.023∗∗

(0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.015) (0.011) (0.010) (0.011) ODI*Skilled labor -0.011∗∗∗ -0.011∗∗∗ -0.010∗∗∗ -0.011∗∗∗ -0.004 0.015 -0.002 -0.001

(0.002) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.013) (0.010) (0.012) (0.011)

Net export -0.004 -0.003 -0.002 0.012 0.007 0.008

(0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.007) (0.005) (0.005)

Net export*Skilled labor 0.007∗∗∗ 0.006∗∗∗ 0.006∗∗∗ 0.002 -0.008 0.003

(0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.008) (0.006) (0.007)

Skilled labor -0.003 0.002 -0.002 -0.003 0.286∗∗∗ 0.186∗∗∗ 0.205∗∗∗ 0.205∗∗∗

(0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.018) (0.013) (0.017) (0.017) 6 years of edu. -0.008 -0.010 -0.009 -0.009 0.138∗∗∗ 0.139∗∗∗ 0.154∗∗∗ 0.154∗∗∗

(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) (0.019) 9 years of edu. -0.016 -0.016∗∗ -0.014 -0.014 0.196∗∗∗ 0.200∗∗∗ 0.243∗∗∗ 0.243∗∗∗

(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.020) (0.021) (0.022) (0.022) 12 years of edu. -0.028∗∗∗ -0.032∗∗∗ -0.029∗∗∗ -0.029∗∗∗ 0.248∗∗∗ 0.250∗∗∗ 0.296∗∗∗ 0.296∗∗∗

(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.023) (0.022) (0.023) (0.023)

> 12 years of edu. -0.036∗∗∗ -0.043∗∗∗ -0.043∗∗∗ 0.422∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗ 0.439∗∗∗

(0.008) (0.008) (0.008) (0.026) (0.026) (0.026)

Age 0.005∗∗∗ 0.001∗∗∗ 0.001∗∗∗ 0.001∗∗∗ 0.039∗∗∗ 0.035∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗ 0.037∗∗∗

(0.002) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.004) (0.001) (0.002) (0.002) Age squ. -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Spouse -0.044∗∗∗ -0.041∗∗∗ -0.037∗∗∗ -0.037∗∗∗ 0.123∗∗∗ 0.119∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗

(0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.006) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005)

Full-time job 0.307∗∗∗ 0.307∗∗∗ 0.291∗∗∗ 0.291∗∗∗

(0.010) (0.007) (0.008) (0.008)

Experience 0.020∗∗∗ 0.022∗∗∗ 0.021∗∗∗ 0.021∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)

Experience squ. -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)

Sample age> 40 unskilled H.K. 3IV age> 40 unskilled H.K. 3IV

Observations 103,646 149,791 218,698 218,698 92,591 124,123 182,260 182,260

Adjusted R2 0.016 0.015 0.016 0.016 0.338 0.271 0.354 0.354

Standard errors adjusted for 23 clusters in county in parentheses. p < 0.1,∗∗ p < 0.05,∗∗∗p < 0.01. In the third and eighth column, the values of net export include Hong Kong. The fourth and eighth column report the results of estimates with three IV.

Table 11: The Impact of ODI and Trade on Female Labor Market

unemployment ln(wage)

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

ODI 0.003∗∗ 0.005 0.002 0.003 -0.002 -0.022∗∗∗ -0.015∗∗ -0.021∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.005) (0.006) (0.005)

ODI*Skilled labor -0.002∗∗∗ -0.004∗∗∗ -0.001 -0.002 0.000 0.007∗∗ 0.008 0.004

(0.000) (0.002) (0.003) (0.002) (0.001) (0.003) (0.006) (0.004)

Net export -0.002 0.000 -0.000 0.013∗∗∗ 0.010∗∗∗ 0.012∗∗∗

(0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003)

Net export*Skilled labor 0.001 -0.001 -0.000 -0.005∗∗ -0.005 -0.003

(0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003)

Skilled labor -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 0.240∗∗∗ 0.240∗∗∗ 0.238∗∗∗ 0.240∗∗∗

(0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) 6 years of edu. -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 -0.001 0.068∗∗∗ 0.068∗∗∗ 0.069∗∗∗ 0.068∗∗∗

(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) 9 years of edu. -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 -0.003 0.148∗∗∗ 0.149∗∗∗ 0.149∗∗∗ 0.149∗∗∗

(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) 12 years of edu. -0.005 -0.005 -0.005 -0.005 0.251∗∗∗ 0.252∗∗∗ 0.252∗∗∗ 0.252∗∗∗

(0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011)

<12 years of edu. -0.016∗∗∗ -0.016∗∗∗ -0.016∗∗∗ -0.016∗∗∗ 0.446∗∗∗ 0.447∗∗∗ 0.447∗∗∗ 0.447∗∗∗

(0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) (0.011) Age -0.002∗∗∗ -0.002∗∗∗ -0.002∗∗∗ -0.002∗∗∗ 0.024∗∗∗ 0.024∗∗∗ 0.024∗∗∗ 0.024∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) Age squ. 0.000∗∗∗ 0.000∗∗∗ 0.000∗∗∗ 0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Spouse -0.031∗∗∗ -0.031∗∗∗ -0.031∗∗∗ -0.031∗∗∗ -0.005∗∗ -0.005∗∗ -0.005∗∗ -0.005∗∗

(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002)

Full-time job 0.236∗∗∗ 0.235∗∗∗ 0.235∗∗∗ 0.235∗∗∗

(0.007) (0.007) (0.007) (0.007)

Experience 0.022∗∗∗ 0.022∗∗∗ 0.022∗∗∗ 0.022∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)

Experience squ. -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗ -0.000∗∗∗

(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)

Endogenous variables ODI ODI Net export Both ODI ODI Net export Both

Observations 154,481 154,481 154,481 154,481 114,702 114,702 114,702 114,702

Adjusted R2 0.017 0.017 0.017 0.017 0.414 0.415 0.415 0.414

Standard errors in parentheses. p < 0.1, ∗∗ p < 0.05,∗∗∗ p < 0.01. Year effects and county effects are included in all estimations. The dummy of under 6 years of schooling is used as the control group.

Table 12: Industry Concentration

County 1stindustry 2stindustry 3stindustry

Taipei County wholesale & retail trade electronic equipment construction

Yilan wholesale & retail trade primary industry construction

Taoyuan electronic equipment wholesale & retail trade construction

Hsinchu County electronic equipment construction wholesale & retail trade

Miaoli wholesale & retail trade electronic equipment primary industry

Taichung County wholesale & retail trade electronic equipment fabricated metal products

Changhua wholesale & retail trade primary industry fabricated metal products

Nantou primary industry wholesale & retail trade construction

Yunlin primary industry wholesale & retail trade construction

Chiayi primary industry wholesale & retail trade construction

Tainan County wholesale & retail trade primary industry electronic equipment

Kaohsiung County wholesale & retail trade construction primary industry

Pingdon primary industry wholesale & retail trade construction

Taidon primary industry wholesale & retail trade construction

Hualin primary industry wholesale & retail trade human health activities

Keelung wholesale & retail trade transportation & storage construction

Hsinchu City electronic equipment wholesale & retail trade construction

Taichung City wholesale & retail trade accommodation & food service construction

Chiayi City wholesale & retail trade human health activities construction

Tainan City wholesale & retail trade accommodation & food service electronic equipment Taipei City wholesale & retail trade financial & insurance activities professional scientific & technical activities Kaohsiung City wholesale & retail trade construction accommodation & food service

list the top three industry.

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