• 沒有找到結果。

The flaws in estimation process may produce bias derived from overestimation of the mean (Bird et al., 2014). Samples obtained from lower survey effort often leads to overestimation of the mean, such as lower duration, fewer individuals. The results showed that nearly three times (3.25) of eBird checklists were reported a bias >1 after Chao1 species richness estimation at 60-minutes. Among species richness estimations, the Chao1 estimator is especially sensitive to the number of singletons from a reference sample. When restricting duration of between 36 to 60 minutes from both BBS and eBird datasets, the median of percentage of singleton was 21.4 and 26.2, respectively (Figure S10). Percentage of singletons in the eBird dataset was significantly higher than in the BBS dataset (W = 1688300, p < 0.001) (Figure S10).

It has been found that a low sampling effort may result in more singletons than larger sampling effort (Lopez et al., 2012). Chao1 estimator specifies the number of singletons in a sample with rare or undetected species (Chao & Chiu, 2014). This might result in biased estimation when a large number of singleton species appear in a reference sample. I investigated the relationship between the number of singletons and bias from the eBird dataset. The results showed that as the number of singletons increased, the outcome value of bias increased as a response (Figure S11 and Table S4). This confirms that the number of singletons may determine the probability of overestimation by the Chao1 estimator. Therefore, Chao1 may overestimate the true species richness when singleton species are abundant.

The number of singletons is likely to present an issue, especially in unstructured citizen science. Soroye et al. (2018) explored the accuracy of the species richness estimation derived from unstructured citizen science – eButterfly. When using eButterfly to predict the regional species richness in which rare species were excluded, species richness estimation was more accurate than including rare species (Soroye et al., 2018).

A reliable estimate needs to take the effect of the number of singletons into account, particularly in unstructured citizen science.

One way to decrease the number of singleton species is by increasing the sampling intensity and sampling effort (Lopez et al., 2012). This would reduce the possibility of overestimating the true species richness. Therefore, I applied a linear regression analysis to examine the relationship between duration and percentage of singleton species derived from each eBird checklist. The percentage of singleton species had a significant negative relationship with duration (Table S3). In other words, as duration increased, the

analysis. The results showed that the value of bias had a significant positive relationship with percentage of singleton species, indicating as percentage of singleton species increased, the value of bias increased as a response (Table S4 and Figure S11). Generally, large sampling efforts will produce more accurate predictions than small sampling efforts (de Caprariis et al., 1981).

Although non-parametric approaches of species richness estimation methods make no assumption on distribution of species abundance, variable species abundance distributions present in samples can still affect the performance of these estimators (Bunge & Fitzpatrick, 1993; Soberón & Llorente, 1993). This is probably also due to the number of singleton species. As mentioned above, the number of singleton species affects the value of bias. In addition, the survey duration over which samples are collected might influence the shape of species abundance distributions (Magurran, 2007). Low-duration samples have an increased probability of containing singleton species, which will in-turn influence the shape of species abundance distributions. Finally, I suggest the future use of species richness estimation on unstructured citizen science data should increase sampling effort (e.g., duration, number of individuals), to decrease the bias in estimates of species richness. Another way to increase power and reduce the uncertainty around associated results is to combine datasets or checklists. Additional observations may improve our ability to detect more individuals of a species and species count within the data (Soroye et al., 2018). Thus, we may compile more than one eBird checklist, or combine them with BBS dataset to decrease bias in the results.

Nevertheless, insufficient checklists will still be common in some inaccessible or distant areas (Tulloch & Szabo, 2012; Klemann-Junior et al., 2017). And further, checklists collected in unstructured citizen science exhibit a considerable spatial bias towards more densely populated regions or interesting sites (Boakes et al., 2010; Lin et

al., 2015; Kamp et al., 2016). In this study, I set up a minimum requirement that each BBS site contained at least six eBird checklists. From a total of 457 BBS sites, only 204 BBS sites (45%) met the requirement. Thus, more than half of the BBS sites were located in places that eBird volunteers appeared unwilling or uninterested in visiting. This clearly complicates the strategy of using species richness estimates from eBird to make up for missing BBS data.

In summary, unstructured citizen science has become a prominent mechanism for collecting biodiversity information in recent decades. But, the results from my study showed that eBird surveys failed to record the same number of species as BBS. This discrepancy might result from the number of BBS survey points located in various habitats, from weather conditions, from surveyor skill levels, and from the time of day that samples were taken. Chao1 performed the best among all estimators examined, and increased the number of recorded species from 66% to 86% in the eBird dataset. I also found that the number of singletons present in a dataset may bias estimates of species richness. Finally, I conclude that species richness estimates derived from unstructured citizen science studies should always account for imperfect detection probability. When applying Chao1 estimation in the eBird dataset, more attention should be paid to the biased result derived from the number of singletons, particularly in the low-effort samples.

Once the species richness is estimated, and the effect of singletons are dealt with, better conservation strategies can be established for the areas where biodiversity has been impacted.

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Appendixes

Table S1 Summary of a total of 204 BBS sites from this study, including the number of points, time of visits, and total time of duration recorded from 2009 to 2017. “A” denotes sites located in low-elevation (<1000 meters a.s.l.); “B” denotes sites located in mid-elevation (1000–2500 meters a.s.l.); “C” denotes sites located in high-mid-elevation (>2500 meters a.s.l).

Table S1 (continued)

Table S1 (continued)

Table S1 (continued)

Table S1 (continued)

Table S1 (continued)

Table S2 Bird species reported from the Breeding Bird Survey Taiwan (BBS) and eBird datasets. I included BBS dataset recorded from 2009 to 2017; and included eBird dataset recorded from 2008 to 2018.

*Note: Where “1” represents the species reported from the datasets, “NA” represents the species that were not reported from the datasets.

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird

Barred Buttonquail Turnix suscitator 棕三趾鶉 1 1

Long-tailed Shrike Lanius schach 棕背伯勞 1 1

White-bellied Erpornis Erpornis zantholeuca 綠畫眉 1 1

Large Cuckooshrike Coracina macei 花翅山椒鳥 1 1

Gray-chinned Minivet Pericrocotus solaris 灰喉山椒鳥 1 1

Taiwan Yellow Tit Machlolophus holsti 黃山雀 1 1

Gray-throated Martin Riparia chinensis 棕沙燕 1 1

Table S2 (continued)

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird

Bronzed Drongo Dicrurus aeneus 小卷尾 1 1

Black Drongo Dicrurus macrocercus 大卷尾 1 1

Black-naped Monarch Hypothymis azurea 黑枕藍鶲 1 1

Japanese

Paradise-Flycatcher Terpsiphone atrocaudata 紫綬帶 1 1

Rufous-capped Babbler Cyanoderma ruficeps 山紅頭 1 1

Black-necklaced

Woodpecker Yungipicus canicapillus 小啄木 1 1

Common Kingfisher Alcedo atthis 翠鳥 1 1

Crested Myna Acridotheres cristatellus 八哥 1 1

Oriental Skylark Alauda gulgula 小雲雀 1 1

Taiwan Barwing Actinodura morrisoniana 紋翼畫眉 1 1

Morrison's Fulvetta Alcippe morrisonia 繡眼畫眉 1 1

Taiwan Hwamei Garrulax taewanus 臺灣畫眉 NA 1

White-eared Sibia Heterophasia auricularis 白耳畫眉 1 1

Table S2 (continued)

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird Rusty Laughingthrush Ianthocincla

poecilorhyncha 棕噪眉 1 1

Rufous-crowned

Laughingthrush Ianthocincla ruficeps 臺灣白喉噪眉 1 1

Steere's Liocichla Liocichla steerii 黃胸藪眉 1 1

Slaty-legged Crake Rallina eurizonoides 灰腳秧雞 1 1

Ruddy-breasted Crake Zapornia fusca 緋秧雞 1 1

Taiwan Yuhina Yuhina brunneiceps 冠羽畫眉 1 1

Swinhoe's White-eye Zosterops simplex 斯氏繡眼 1 1

Lowland White-eye Zosterops meyeni 低地繡眼 1 1

Greater Painted-Snipe Rostratula benghalensis 彩鷸 1 1

Taiwan Barbet Psilopogon nuchalis 五色鳥 1 1

Rufous-faced Warbler Abroscopus albogularis 棕面鶯 1 1 Yellowish-bellied Bush

Table S2 (continued)

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird Taiwan

Whistling-Thrush Myophonus insularis 臺灣紫嘯鶇 1 1

Vivid Niltava Niltava vivida 黃腹琉璃 1 1

Plumbeous Redstart Phoenicurus fuliginosus 鉛色水鶇 1 1 White-browed

Bush-Robin Tarsiger indicus 白眉林鴝 1 1

Taiwan Shortwing Brachypteryx

goodfellowi 小翼鶇 1 1

Collared Bush-Robin Tarsiger johnstoniae 栗背林鴝 1 1

Scaly Thrush Zoothera dauma 虎斑地鶇 1 1

Eurasian Wren Troglodytes troglodytes 鷦鷯 1 1

Cattle Egret Bubulcus ibis 黃頭鷺 1 1

Cinnamon Bittern Ixobrychus cinnamomeus 栗小鷺 1 1

Yellow Bittern Ixobrychus sinensis 黃小鷺 1 1

Table S2 (continued)

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird

Chinese Crested Tern Thalasseus bernsteini 黑嘴端鳳頭燕

鷗 NA 1

Crested Goshawk Accipiter trivirgatus 鳳頭蒼鷹 1 1

Besra Accipiter virgatus 松雀鷹 1 1

Black-winged Kite Elanus caeruleus 黑翅鳶 1 1

Black Eagle Ictinaetus malaiensis 林鵰 1 1

Black Kite Milvus migrans 黑鳶 1 1

Mountain Hawk-Eagle Nisaetus nipalensis 熊鷹 1 1

Crested Serpent-Eagle Spilornis cheela 大冠鷲 1 1

Pheasant-tailed Jacana Hydrophasianus

chirurgus 水雉 1 1

Russet Sparrow Passer cinnamomeus 山麻雀 1 1

Table S2 (continued)

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird

Asian Emerald Dove Chalcophaps indica 翠翼鳩 1 1

Ashy Wood-Pigeon Columba pulchricollis 灰林鴿 1 1

Philippine

Cuckoo-Dove Macropygia tenuirostris 長尾鳩 1 1

Black-chinned

Fruit-Dove Ptilinopus leclancheri 小綠鳩 NA 1

Spotted Dove Streptopelia chinensis 珠頸斑鳩 1 1

Oriental Turtle-Dove Streptopelia orientalis 金背鳩 1 1 Red Collared-Dove Streptopelia

Scaly-breasted Munia Lonchura punctulata 斑文鳥 1 1

White-rumped Munia Lonchura striata 白腰文鳥 1 1

Large-billed Crow Corvus macrorhynchos 巨嘴鴉 1 1

Gray Treepie Dendrocitta formosae 樹鵲 1 1

Eurasian Jay Garrulus glandarius 松鴉 1 1

Eurasian Nutcracker Nucifraga caryocatactes 星鴉 1 1

Taiwan Blue-Magpie Urocissa caerulea 臺灣藍鵲 1 1

Flamecrest Regulus goodfellowi 火冠戴菊鳥 1 1

Golden-headed

Cisticola Cisticola exilis 黃頭扇尾鶯 1 1

Table S2 (continued)

Common Name Scientific Name Chinese

Common Name BBS eBird

Zitting Cisticola Cisticola juncidis 棕扇尾鶯 1 1

Striated Prinia Prinia crinigera 斑紋鷦鶯 1 1

Yellow-bellied Prinia Prinia flaviventris 灰頭鷦鶯 1 1

Plain Prinia Prinia inornata 褐頭鷦鶯 1 1

Black-naped Oriole Oriolus chinensis 黃鸝 1 1

Maroon Oriole Oriolus traillii 朱鸝 1 1

Black-throated Tit Aegithalos concinnus 紅頭山雀 1 1

House Swift Apus nipalensis 小雨燕 1 1

Silver-backed Needletail

Hirundapus

cochinchinensis 灰喉針尾雨燕 1 1

Taiwan Rosefinch Carpodacus formosanus 臺灣朱雀 1 1

Taiwan Rosefinch Carpodacus formosanus 臺灣朱雀 1 1

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