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CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

OCTOBER / 2004

No. 10

Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.

Statistics and Census Service

17th floor, “Dynasty Plaza” Bldg., 411-417 Alameda Dr. Carlos d’Assumpção, Macao Tel: 3995311 Fax: 307825 Printed in November 2004

E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Homepage: http://www.dsec.gov.mo

Since January 2001, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been calculated using October 1999 to September 2000 as the base period. The consumption pattern has been derived from the Household Budget Survey 98/99. In this CPI series, housing rent includes both private and welfare housing. Furthermore, CPI(A) represents 54% of the households with an average monthly expenditure of MOP3,000 to MOP9,999 and CPI(B) accounts for 26% of the households with an average monthly expenditure of MOP10,000 to MOP19,999.

TABLE 1:CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - OCTOBER 2004

10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100

Unit Composite

CPI CPI(A) CPI(B)

Monthly index

95.26 96.69 94.86

Annual rate of change ending in October 2004 %

0.32 0.56 0.30

Month-to-month rate of change %

0.05 -0.07 0.08

Year-on-year rate of change %

2.19 2.16 2.25

o : Less than half of the unit employed

CHART 1 - MONTHLY RATES OF CHANGE OF COMPOSITE CPI BY SECTION

%

Global index +0.05%

In October 2004, Composite CPI was 95.26, up 0.05% over September. Rising prices in new arrivals of winter clothing and footwear, coupled with surging international oil prices that resulted in upward adjustment of the fuel clause of electricity charges and LPG prices, indices of Clothing and footwear and Rent and housing expenses went up 2.43% and 0.76% respectively over September. On the other hand, lower prices in fresh vegetables and air tickets led to decrease in the indices of Foodstuffs and beverages (-0.86%) and Transport and communications (-0.23%).

Composite CPI in October showed a notable year-on-year increase of 2.19%. For the 12 months ended October 2004, the average Composite CPI rose 0.32% over the previous period. Average Composite CPI for the period of January to October 2004 went up 0.65% compared with the same period of 2003.

Compared with September, CPI(A) fell 0.07% whereas CPI(B) increased 0.08%.

Foodstuffs and beverages -0.86 Transport and communications -0.23 Clothing and footwear 2.43

Rent and housing expenses 0.76 Other goods and services 0.18 Tobacco and alcoholic beverages 0.18 Education and leisure 0.12 Health 0.06 Household goods 0.02

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TABLE 2:TIME SERIES OF THE COMPOSITE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100

Year / Month Global index

Foodstuffs and beverages

Clothing and footwear

Rent and housing expenses

Tobacco and alcoholic beverages

Household

goods Health

Transport and communi-

cations

Education and leisure

Other goods and

services

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Weight 100.00 31.35 5.26 29.93 1.23 3.22 2.42 9.81 10.89 5.89

2003

10 93.22 94.98 69.90 92.13 105.01 88.63 100.61 94.28 98.69 95.32

11 93.12 94.68 71.67 92.04 105.05 88.63 100.61 93.75 98.69 95.05

12 93.08 94.80 71.04 91.73 105.03 88.47 100.49 94.43 98.63 95.04

2004

1 93.59 95.48 69.98 91.66 104.97 88.55 100.66 95.67 98.89 98.65

2 93.60 96.79 69.15 91.82 105.16 89.76 100.70 94.09 98.69 94.04

3 93.42 96.10 71.17 91.95 105.01 88.82 100.78 93.74 98.70 93.33

4 93.66 96.19 73.29 92.03 105.06 88.97 100.76 94.22 98.71 93.66

5 93.74 95.55 76.01 92.47 105.30 88.94 100.76 94.31 98.77 93.50

6 93.98 96.18 76.40 92.22 105.31 89.11 100.79 94.68 98.91 94.07

7 94.34 97.31 73.63 92.38 105.57 89.22 100.72 94.97 99.15 94.83

8 94.58 97.75 72.37 92.43 105.66 89.51 100.87 96.08 99.17 95.37

9 95.22 99.10 73.52 92.54 105.56 89.52 100.86 95.41 101.10 95.01

10 95.26 98.26 75.30 93.24 105.75 89.54 100.93 95.19 101.22 95.18

TABLE 3:PRINCIPAL RATES OF CHANGE OF THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX AT SECTION LEVEL OF GOODS AND SERVICES

% Rates of change

Jan. - Oct. 2004 /

Jan. - Oct. 2003 Oct. 2004 / Oct. 2003 Oct. 2004 / Sept. 2004

Contribution to rate of change in global index Goods and services

Composite

CPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CompositeCPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CompositeCPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CompositeCPI CPI(A) CPI(B)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Global index 0.65 0.87 0.64 2.19 2.16 2.25 0.05 -0.07 0.08 100.00 100.00 100.00 Foodstuffs and beverages 1.92 2.19 1.79 3.46 3.58 3.38 -0.86 -1.15 -0.70 -599.00 630.35 -274.92 Clothing and footwear 2.39 2.69 2.12 7.73 7.63 7.38 2.43 3.49 2.13 211.64 -134.23 123.17 Rent and housing expenses -0.84 -0.50 -0.93 1.20 0.76 1.16 0.76 0.79 0.76 472.84 -382.23 240.68 Tobacco and alcoholic beverages 0.18 0.05 0.21 0.70 0.44 0.76 0.18 0.20 0.17 5.36 -4.82 2.85

Household goods 1.24 0.72 1.15 1.03 1.52 0.94 0.02 0.07 0.01 1.39 -1.40 0.47

Health -0.16 o -0.08 0.31 0.59 0.45 0.06 0.04 0.09 3.52 -1.42 2.56

Transport and communications 0.51 0.19 0.72 0.97 0.81 1.77 -0.23 -0.12 -0.11 -48.61 14.67 -13.46 Education and leisure 1.18 1.51 1.00 2.56 2.79 2.35 0.12 0.06 0.13 30.08 -11.35 18.51 Other goods and services -0.48 -0.81 -0.19 -0.15 -0.20 -0.21 0.18 0.19 o 22.77 -9.59 0.14

o : Less than half of the unit employed

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TABLE 4:TIME SERIES OF CPI (A)

10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100

Year / Month Global index

Foodstuffs and beverages

Clothing and footwear

Rent and housing expenses

Tobacco and alcoholic beverages

Household

goods Health

Transport and communi-

cations

Education and leisure

Other goods and

services

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Weight 100.00 35.05 3.34 32.88 1.48 1.47 2.33 7.91 12.16 3.38

2003

10 94.65 94.58 70.32 93.58 105.18 88.93 101.90 93.51 102.90 95.82

11 94.46 94.03 72.35 93.46 105.22 88.89 101.91 93.23 102.90 95.45

12 94.40 94.17 72.04 93.15 105.19 88.68 101.80 93.56 102.83 95.15

2004

1 94.80 94.95 70.93 93.07 105.13 88.85 101.90 94.31 103.04 98.48

2 95.18 96.51 69.92 93.28 105.32 89.31 102.01 93.50 102.85 94.37

3 94.92 95.65 71.12 93.42 105.14 89.32 102.06 93.33 102.84 93.55

4 95.11 95.84 73.13 93.47 105.16 89.39 102.10 93.56 102.86 94.19

5 94.93 94.97 75.87 93.54 105.39 89.49 102.11 93.58 102.91 94.05

6 95.11 95.67 76.04 93.19 105.36 89.76 102.13 93.84 103.00 94.37

7 95.62 97.00 73.85 93.37 105.48 89.82 102.16 93.98 103.12 95.16

8 95.86 97.52 72.70 93.43 105.56 90.26 102.44 94.63 103.13 95.58

9 96.76 99.10 73.13 93.55 105.44 90.22 102.47 94.38 105.71 95.45

10 96.69 97.96 75.68 94.29 105.64 90.28 102.50 94.27 105.77 95.63

TABLE 5:TIME SERIES OF CPI (B)

10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100

Year / Month Global index

Foodstuffs and beverages

Clothing and footwear

Rent and housing expenses

Tobacco and alcoholic beverages

Household

goods Health

Transport and communi-

cations

Education and leisure

Other goods and

services

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Weight 100.00 31.50 6.22 27.13 1.26 3.51 2.16 10.13 11.54 6.55

2003

10 92.78 94.98 69.83 92.45 105.08 88.80 101.13 93.05 96.55 95.25

11 92.74 94.77 71.58 92.36 105.12 88.78 101.12 92.74 96.54 94.94

12 92.66 94.88 70.91 92.06 105.11 88.61 100.99 93.09 96.47 94.84

2004

1 93.19 95.54 69.89 91.99 105.05 88.68 101.21 94.15 96.83 98.59

2 93.21 96.76 69.19 92.15 105.22 89.86 101.27 93.29 96.57 94.07

3 93.05 96.13 70.78 92.28 105.10 88.92 101.35 93.11 96.53 93.55

4 93.28 96.19 72.99 92.36 105.15 89.08 101.32 93.56 96.59 93.52

5 93.37 95.61 75.28 92.76 105.39 89.05 101.33 93.64 96.63 93.48

6 93.62 96.18 75.64 92.49 105.41 89.22 101.35 94.09 96.82 94.27

7 93.96 97.21 73.50 92.67 105.72 89.35 101.26 94.24 97.07 94.95

8 94.18 97.63 72.44 92.72 105.78 89.63 101.46 95.08 97.06 95.58

9 94.79 98.88 73.41 92.82 105.70 89.62 101.49 94.80 98.69 95.05

10 94.86 98.19 74.98 93.53 105.88 89.63 101.58 94.69 98.82 95.05

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TABLE 6:AVERAGE RETAIL PRICES OF SELECTED FOOD ITEMS

MOP Average retail prices

2003 2004

Items Unit

October May June July August September October

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Rice

Packaged rice from Thailand kg 6.14 6.45 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.51 6.49

Salt-water fish, fresh

Golden thread kg 29.38 25.98 26.29 30.79 28.17 29.90 29.65

Promfret kg 71.31 71.07 73.09 75.77 66.00 69.54 67.28

Sole kg 85.29 79.34 83.99 85.69 91.04 84.63 84.87

Fresh-water fish, fresh

Grass carp kg 18.87 18.85 18.84 18.88 19.08 19.32 19.20

Snake head kg 21.53 21.01 21.16 21.16 20.64 20.54 20.38

Head of big head fish kg 32.82 29.87 29.75 30.17 30.46 30.46 30.52

Fresh pork

Lean cut kg 30.22 31.92 31.88 31.41 34.95 34.95 34.95

Pork chop kg 29.75 31.41 31.41 31.41 35.30 35.42 35.42

Fresh beef

Shin beef kg 38.61 38.25 38.25 37.78 37.78 37.78 37.78

Beef kg 39.20 38.72 38.72 38.72 38.72 38.72 38.72

Live poultry

Chicken kg 25.50 25.74 25.74 25.74 25.71 25.74 25.74

Duck kg 18.84 …aaaaaa

Fresh vegetable

White cabbage kg 7.32 5.45 6.05 7.18 7.45 9.59 6.47

Flowering cabbage kg 8.10 6.57 7.36 8.41 8.42 10.32 8.03

Chinese lettuce kg 7.11 5.00 5.73 7.39 8.40 10.01 6.73

Broccoli kg 15.09 14.47 12.91 15.10 15.28 14.26 14.79

Tomato kg 6.92 6.67 7.12 7.26 7.19 7.74 7.74

Potato kg 5.88 5.95 5.84 5.69 5.73 6.12 6.39

Onion kg 7.19 8.29 8.10 8.12 7.74 7.83 7.30

Fresh fruit

Orange each 2.87 2.76 3.05 3.21 2.97 3.16 3.23

Apple each 2.73 2.72 2.65 2.83 2.98 3.09 2.89

Banana kg 7.07 6.74 6.67 6.69 6.75 6.72 6.66

Egg

Hen egg each 0.69 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.67 0.69 0.68

aNo relevant live poultry imported.

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CHART 2 – MOVEMENTS OF THE COMPOSITE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

CHART 3 – MOVEMENTS OF CPI(A)

CHART 4 – MOVEMENTS OF CPI(B) -2.00

-1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00

October2003 December February 2004 April June August October

% Rate of change compared with preceding month

Rate of change compared with same month of previous year

-2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00

October2003 December February 2004 April June August October

% Rate of change compared with preceding month

Rate of change compared with same month of previous year

-2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00

October2003 December February 2004 April June August October

% Rate of change compared with preceding month

Rate of change compared with same month of previous year

(6)

The following statistical tables can be downloaded from our website

1G - Time series of the Composite Consumer Price Index at section level 1A - Time series of CPI(A) at section level

1B - Time series of CPI(B) at section level

2G - Month-to-month rates of change in the Composite Consumer Price Index at section level 2A - Month-to-month rates of change in CPI(A) at section level

2B - Month-to-month rates of change in CPI(B) at section level

3G - Average rates of change in the Composite Consumer Price Index at section level during the last 12 months

3A - Average rates of change in CPI(A) at section level during the last 12 months 3B - Average rates of change in CPI(B) at section level during the last 12 months

4G - Index and principal rates of change of the Composite Consumer Price Index at section, class and group levels of goods and services

4A - Index and principal rates of change of CPI(A) at section, class and group levels of goods and services

4B - Index and principal rates of change of CPI(B) at section, class and group levels of goods and services

5 - Average retail prices of selected food items

7G - Movements of the Composite Consumer Price Index at section level 7A - Movements of CPI(A) at section level

7B - Movements of CPI(B) at section level

參考文獻

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