• 沒有找到結果。

第五章 結論與建議

5.2 建議

1. 順向坡造成之堰塞湖比例佔全球堰塞湖比例很高,本研究因為 沒有蒐集到適當之順向坡山崩潛感故在此無法進行此山崩型態 之堰塞湖形成潛感運算,但在未來應可以進行順向坡造成堰塞 湖形成之相關研究。

2. 地震造成之堰塞湖模式比降雨造成堰塞湖模式更為複雜,需考 慮地震對於地表之加速度影響或地層隆起形成堰塞湖,未來若 要考慮地震為觸發因子進行堰塞湖潛感分析需要考慮更多地震 相關因子。

3. 未來可納入世界所發生之堰塞湖案例進行迴歸得到山崩後堰塞 湖形成潛感模式。

4. 建議可將中央地質調查所(2009)的岩屑崩滑潛感區(鄭伊婷,

2013 所引用)無法預測出的已形成小型堰塞湖,故建議進行大比 例尺的落石或岩屑崩落的潛感分析。

5. 因岩屑滑動及岩體滑動目前仍無法有效以量化機率代表其山崩 潛感,爾後可進行相關研究。

6. 未來可補充 25 年、50 年、100 年及 200 年之重現雨量及流量來 製作堰塞湖形成潛勢圖。

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