• 沒有找到結果。

本研究旨在針對 HIRT 提出無參數型的參數估計方法與等化同時估計法,並 擴充 de la Torre 與 Hong (2010) 的參數型的參數估計方法於多因子 HIRT 模式的 參數估計,同時藉由模擬不同情境(人數、題數、能力分布與試題架構)與臺灣學 生學習成就評量資料庫的實徵分析,探討新的參數估計方法於估計量尺分數、迴 歸參數與試題參數之估計精準度。

藉由模擬研究與實證資料之分析,所獲得的結論與建議如下 一、具備 HIRT 結構的資料時,模式誤用對參數估計精準度有何影響

透過與 UIRT 與 MIRT 模式的估計結果相比較,可發現當資料具備 HIRT 結 構時,使用 MIRT 模式估計領域量尺分數與試題參數其結果近似於使用 HIRT 模 式的估計結果;然誤用 UIRT 模式估計總體量尺分數與試題參數時,則會產生嚴 重的偏誤。且該現象於題內多向度測驗結構時更為明顯。

該結果意味著分析具備 HIRT 結構的測驗時,應避免使用忽略試題間多項度 特值的 UIRT 模式估計總體量尺分數與試題參數;然,MIRT 模式於領域量尺分 數與試題參數的估計結果則無此現象。

二、HIRT 無參數型估計方法

基於分析量尺分數不來自常態分布之模擬資料的情境,比較 HIRT 參數型估 計方法與 HIRT 無參數型估計方法於量尺分數、迴歸參數與試題參數之估計精準

度─RMSE 指標,比較結果顯示兩者在量尺分布服從標準常態分布時,其估計精

準度無顯著上的差異;然,當量尺分數非服從常態分布時,則以無參數型估計方 法有較高的參數估計精準度。該結果除顯示所提出的 MH-within-Gibbs sampling 於 HIRT 模式無參數型估計法能正確估計量尺分數、迴歸參數與試題參數外,亦 顯示量尺分數非來自於常態分布時,參數型的估計方法會產生估計的偏誤。

三、HIRT 等化同時估計法

藉比較 UIRT、MIRT 模式與所提出之 HIRT 模式等化同時估計方法於模擬資 料的估計結果,於試題參數之比較結果顯示 UIRT 模式與 HIRT 模式估計精準度 相似;然,總體量尺分數之比較結果顯示,HIRT 模式因考慮高層次與領域量尺 分數間相關,會有較高的估計精準度。該現象,與單組測驗架構下 UIRT 模式與 HIRT 模式於各參數之估計精準度比較的結果雷同。此外 MIRT 模式與 HIRT 模

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式的比較,亦可發現兩者對於量尺分數、試題參數有相似的估計精準度,且兩者 的估計精準度並無顯著上差異。於此,除顯示所提出 HIRT 模式等化同時估計法 可在等化過程中正確估計量尺分數、迴歸參數與試題參數外,更可顯示在等化過 程中,模式誤用亦會對總體量尺分數會產生估計精準度下降的現象。

四、實徵資料分析

透過實徵資料所獲得的試題參數而進行的模式檢定指標之研究,可發現 AIC、 BIC 與 DIC 三種較為常用的模式檢定指標,可正確區辨出 UIRT、MIRT 和 HIRT 模式間差異。此外,透過模式指標檢定與估計標準誤之呈現,亦顯示 TASA 實證資料確實宜用 HIRT 模式進行量尺分數、迴歸參數與試題參數之估計。

簡言之,HIRT 模式目前漸受重視,本研究主要是基於 MH-within-Gibbs sampling 和 核平滑化法等方法,提出 HIRT 模式無參數型的參數估計方法與等 化同時估計法,並輔以 TASA2006 小四數學科測驗資料為例,提供理論與實務之 驗證。然,後續一些相關議題仍需進一步探究,以求 HIRT 模式能夠在測驗資料 分析中,獲得更為完整的應用與發展。

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