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Tropical cyclogenesis, the process of a tropical cloud cluster transforming into a

quasi-stable, long-lasting mesoscale vortex, is a multiscale and finite amplitude process

(Emanuel, 1989). During the last few decades, different theories were proposed to

explain the processes involved in tropical cyclogenesis, which can be divided into two

main school of thoughts. “Top-down” development proposes that low-level cyclone

develops by the down-transport and merger of vorticity that source from mesoscale

convective vortices (MCV, Bister & Emanuel, 1997). The “bottom-up” development

theory (Hendricks et al., 2004; Montgomery et al., 2006) proposed that rotating deep

convection, which they called vortical hot towers (VHT), are main coherent structure

embedded in the MCV. The existence of MCV creates vertical wind shear, hence

horizontal vorticity components. These VHT forms by tilting of horizontal vorticity

through updrafts, and are able to spin up the vortex through multiple diabatic merger

events. The merger of VHTs have two major contributions to vortex spin up: (1) the

contribution in stretching term in vertical vorticity equation through intense helical

motions and (2) diabatic merger collectively heating up the lower troposphere near the

center of the incipient vortex, creating a secondary circulation due to radial gradient of

diabatic heating.

The collective effects of diabatic heating from the deep convection near the regions of

high inertial stability induces a toroidal secondary circulation, which could be explained

from the RHS in the balanced Sawyer-Eliassen Equation on a cylindrical coordinate

A, B and C represents static stability, baroclinity and inertial stability respectively. g is

gravitational acceleration and 𝜃0 is a reference value of potential temperature. 𝑄 is the

diabatic heating rate and 𝜓 is the mass stream-function on (r,z) plane. The amplification

in this secondary circulation induces increased low-level inflow that precedes wind

induced surface heat exchange (WISHE, Rotunno & Emanuel, 1987) to spin up the

incipient vortex.

Although the exact framework leading to genesis remains uncertain, column

saturation is commonly observed to precede tropical cyclogenesis. According to many

studies (Dunkerton et al., 2009; Nolan, 2007; Wang, 2018), it is evident that the region

near the center of incipient disturbance will reach and remain near column saturation

prior to the cyclogenesis. The sustained moisturization will “lock” the development of

convection in the inner region close to the vortex center, preventing gravity waves from

dissipating energy to the quiescent environment and continue to moisturize the

environment through diabatic heating.

Recent advances in high resolution cloud modeling opened an opportunity to marry

these two school of thoughts. Raymond and Sessions (2007) uses a two-dimensional

cloud model to study the evolution of convection in different magnitudes of stabilization

of thermodynamic profile through adding different magnitudes of potential temperature

perturbation at 3000m and 10000m into a background environment under

radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE). Their result revealed that a more stable potential

temperature profile will lead to a convective vertical mass flux that is concentrated in the

lower-middle troposphere, which is “bottom-heavy”, as opposed to the “top-heavy”

convective vertical mass flux profile in a environment under RCE. This allows vorticity

convergence in lower troposphere and ventilation of high entropy air into the

atmospheric column through mass convergence and detraining the lower entropy air in

the mid-troposphere. In addition to numerical studies, observational studies

(Gjorgjievska & Raymond, 2014; Raymond et al., 2011) using data from THORPEX

Pacific Asian Regional Campaign/Tropical Cyclone Structure Experiments

(TPARC/TCS-08) also showed an evolution of convection from “top-heavy” to

“bottom-heavy” prior the genesis of tropical storm Nuri, and showed that the “bottom-heaviness”

of convection in the environment is related to the stabilization of environment.

Additionally, they found that the stabilization of environment is inversely related to the

saturation fraction, and proportional to the vorticity at mid-levels.

Based on these results, Raymond et al. (2014) proposed a framework to explain how

the existence of a mid-level vortex can provide a favorable environment for the

intensification of a surface vortex. First they discussed that the early misconception that

“direct down (up) transport” of mid-level vorticity or any rotating systems on different

scale appearing in both “top-down” and “bottom-up” theories to amplify the surface

vortex is not possible, postulated by Kelvin’s Circulation Theorem. Alternatively, the

role of MCVs is the supply of a stabilized saturated entropy (s*) environment due to

thermal wind balance, and the stabilized environment can promote “bottom-heavy”

convection, inducing sustained feedback of environment moisturizing, which creates a

positive feedback through stretching to increase low-level vorticity. This conclusion is

intriguing due to the attempt to marry the “top-down” meso-𝛽 environment triggering a

“bottom-up” upscale cascade of vorticity by convective scale aggregations.

This study aims to supplement the framework of Raymond and Sessions (2007).

First, we want to test if their hypothesis from two-dimensional configuration and

horizontally homogeneous potential temperature perturbation is also valid in a

three-dimensional environment. We use a different approach, implanting idealized,

axisymmetric vortices in a three-dimensional cloud resolving model and let the

thermodynamic environment adjusts to the vortex to achieve the stabilization analogous

to their initial condition. Second, since heating/cooling of the troposphere can produce

different MCV structures, we want to test if different vertical profiles of initial MCV

influence the evolution of the low-level vortex. Chapter 2 describes model and the

experiment setup. Chapter 3 analyzes the evolution of environment in these experiments.

Chapter 4 presents the evolution of convection under different environments.

Concluding remarks and future work are discussed in Chapter 5.

Chapter II. Methodology

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