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The dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates in four Asian economies : Evidence from panel VAR metho 張朝銘、梁晉嘉

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The dynamic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates in four Asian economies : Evidence from panel VAR metho

張朝銘、梁晉嘉

E-mail: 347909@mail.dyu.edu.tw

ABSTRACT

In this paper we investigate the dyanmic relationship between stock prices and exchange rates among Japan and three emerging economies: Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. Daily data spanned from 1996/3/8 to 2011/3/10 are used. We employ the Panel VAR approach to estimate the panel data model. Furthermore, the causal relationship between stock prices and exchange rates is tested carefully. Evidence based on the data from the four Asian economies indicates that in the short run there is uni-directional causality from stock prices to exchange rates. Our finding emphasizes important implications for policy makers of these governments.

Keywords : Panel VAR approach

Table of Contents

第一章  緒論................... 1   第一節  研究背景與動機............ 1   第二節 研究目的............... 3 第三節 研究架構與流程............ 4 第二章   文獻回顧................. 6   第一節 匯率波動對股價指數相關文獻探討... 6   第二節  物價變動對股價指數相關文獻探討... 17 第三章  研究方法................. 26 第一節  Panel單根檢定............. 27   第二節  Panel共整合檢定及FMOLS估計.... 31 第四章  實證 結果分析.............. 35 第五章  結論................. 40 參考文獻....

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