第五章 彈性航路模擬與分析
6.2 建議
以下分別對網路模擬模型參數設定與本研究尚未探討之內容提出數點建議。
1. 網路模擬模型參數設定
(1) 本研究將盤旋基本時間設定為 150 秒之定值，建議後續研究可以將盤旋 基本時間設定為可變動之區間值，其基本時間可依照航機不同高度、速 度作調整，增加模型之彈性。
(2) 建議可將航機速度設為一變數，在一定之速度限制範圍內，航機可以依 不同情形動態調整其速度避免衝突，若航機與前機之隔離時間大於限制 之安全隔離時間時，航機可在速度限制範圍內增加其速度；反之，若航 機與前機之隔離時間小於限制之安全隔離時間時，航機可在速度限制範 圍內降低其速度，以避免與前機衝突。改善目前僅能在交管點控制速度 之缺點，使模型可以更彈性應用。
(3) 本研究之模擬模型將航機間安全隔離時間設定為 120 秒之定值，因此無 考慮不同機型之間隔差異，建議後續可依機型差異，改變航機間安全隔 離時間，使模型能夠彈性運用。
2. 本研究由於模擬資料數不足，因此模擬二利用亂數抽樣增加 20%運量方式，
模擬彈性航路在運量較高時所獲得的效益。若未來可蒐集運量較高之資料，
建議可依運量作不同情境之分析，使結果更加完整。
3. 模型中僅針對 AU1A 到場程序進場之航機進行模擬，而未考慮離場航機及 過境航機可能對彈性航路上航行之航機造成影響，因此若能加入離場航機與 過境航機於模型中，將能使模擬更趨近現實狀況。
4. 本研究未能將高度變數納入探討，因此無考慮航機在不同高度空層之變化，
建議後續研究可加入高度變數，分析不同空層下之管理方式，可使得模擬模 型更有彈性與應用價值。
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