第六章 結論與建議
6.2 建議
1. 目前本研究是使用 30 米與 40 米之數值地形模型進行山崩發生 後其崩落土石運移至堵塞的過程相關運移因子運算，但由於數 值地形模型精度問題使得無法順利使用斜坡單元進行岩屑崩滑 堰塞湖形成潛勢圖的繪製，改以集水區單元替代，未來可能可 以更改為挑選具代表性(山崩潛感較高)的斜坡單元或以更高精 度之數值地形模型進行岩屑崩滑堰塞湖形成潛勢圖的繪製。
2. 本研究是利用地理資訊系統(ESRI Arc GIS)中的水文運算模組 (Arc Hydro)的流動路線計算(Flow Path Tracing)進行運移路徑計 算，但其實三種山崩型態當中，只有土石流比較適合以此模組 推估運移路徑，後續可以考慮以地形、坡向對於岩屑崩滑與岩 體滑動的運移路徑進行計算應更加準確。
3. 因為山崩類型對於堰塞湖形成之影響頗大，若能蒐集更多山崩、
堰塞湖之山崩型態相關資料將有助於未來提出更完善之堰塞湖 形成潛感。
4. 順向坡造成之堰塞湖比例佔全球堰塞湖比例很高，本研究因為 沒有蒐集到適當之順向坡山崩潛感故在此無法進行此山崩型態 之堰塞湖形成潛感運算，但在未來應可以進行順向坡造成堰塞 湖形成之相關研究。
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5. 地震造成之堰塞湖模式比降雨造成堰塞湖模式更為複雜，需考 慮地震對於地表之加速度影響或地層隆起形成堰塞湖，未來若 要考慮地震為觸發因子進行堰塞湖潛感分析需要考慮更多地震 相關因子。
6. 未來可納入世界所發生之堰塞湖案例進行迴歸得到山崩後堰塞 湖形成潛感模式。
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