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第五章 結論與建議

第三節 研究建議

本節將依序對公司經營者與後續研究者提出相關建議。

一、對公司經營者之建議

實證結果發現企業宣告股票買回的確可以產生宣告效果,使宣告買回後的股 價回升,因此企業可以利用股票買回作為一項傳遞訊息的有效工具。其中若兩次 買回之間距超過五個月,則股價的反應不會受到買回次數的影響,因此企業計畫 實施多次股票買回時,為了確保兩次股票買回事件不交叉影響則可調整間隔之期 間。本研究中也發現市場對企業僅單次宣告股票買回或選擇多次宣告股票買回會 有不同強度的反應,其中市場較偏好企業採單次宣告股票買回。此外,宣告買回 比率愈高者,股價反應的程度也越高。因此企業在面對股票買回的決策時,在宣 告買回比率以及宣告買回次數上可有所斟酌。

二、對主管機關之建議

買回後所產生的宣告效果使得股價上漲,將可能成為企業宣告股票買回的誘 因,使企業蓄意操縱股價。由於台灣股票買回法令僅規定在買回期間兩個月屆滿 後才公告實際買回股數,因此企業可能利用宣告股票買回而不實際買回誤導市 場,使股價上漲,主管當局需留意此現象以避免與當初庫藏股制度之立意背道而 馳。

二、對後續研究者之建議

1.本研究中發現部分產業在股價反應部份與多數樣本有所差異,甚至出現相 反的股價反應,然而由於台灣庫藏股實施的年限較短,依產業取樣樣本數不 足,可能因此造成結果的不同,後續研究可以進一步探討各產業間的股票買 回現象。而在多次宣告間異常報酬之差異也由於樣本數不足,研究範圍有 限,後續研究者亦可朝此方向研究。

2.本論文經實證研究後發現宣告買回比率愈大者,其宣告後異常報酬愈高,

然而宣告買回比率的大小與企業後續營運績效的改善程度並無顯著關係,與 國外學者的研究結果有所差異,顯示國內企業僅用宣告股票買回比例向市場 發射股價被低估程度深淺的訊息,並未利用宣告買回比率發射預期未來營運 績效改善程度的訊息。而究竟是甚麼原因影響企業的宣告股票買回比率大 小,以及國內股票買回事件中與後續營運績效是否尚有其他影響因素存在則 待後續研究者探討。

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