• 沒有找到結果。

研究限制及研究建議

本研究雖然考慮了雙指標以及外部公司治理變數,但是仍有以下研究限制,

往後學者若能排除研究限制,必能產生較佳之模型。

一、本研究排除金融業及公共事業以外之上市公司,但是在該期間內金融票券業 事實上發生危機者不在少數,有討論之價值與必要,然受限於行業特性將之排除 在外,就研究而言不免有遺珠之憾。且各產業其產業特性皆有不同,僅排除金融 業及公共事業超嫌不足,如果可以再將產業別細分,將類似產業分為群體,或許 可以提高預測能力。

二、公司可藉由會計方法之變動操弄損益情況而影響到財務比率的數字,故會計 報表數字是否忠實表達為一大漏洞。本文無法排除公司操弄財務報表的情況。

三、就財務分類方式而言,企業發生財務危機雖為發生或不發生之零與一事件,

但仍有可能介於發生與不發生之輕微財務危機公司,近來已有學者細分為嚴重財 務危機公司、輕微財務危機公司、財務正常公司,較符合實際狀況。但本研究仍

為二分法,建議往後學者可以加以考慮。

四、企業經營之好壞除了公司層面的非系統性風險以外,亦受景氣循環、政府政 策、等系統性風險的影響。如果可以將總體經濟指標或是系統性風險加以量化加 入模型之中,必能提高模型的預測準確度。

參考文獻 參考文獻 參考文獻 參考文獻

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