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第二節 建議

由於地理加權迴歸的技術和相關研究尚未臻完善,故此領域尚存許多空間 有待探索,關於地理加權迴歸時使用的頻寬選擇即為值得深究的議題,由於此 迴歸方法為地方性迴歸,對於空間動態變動極為敏感,若能由人為基於對該研 究地區的深入了解而手動設定頻寬,或許能夠得到更好的解釋效果。

此外,本研究考量空間特徵屬性對住宅市場的影響,結合地理資訊系統設 置與捷運場站和公園距離兩變數,而其中與公園距離變數卻偶爾呈現不顯著情 況,或許是因為本研究所採用的公園標的並無區分等級,故建議後續研究將住 宅的空間特徵變數再依等級細分,做更細緻的研究,畢竟不同規模的公共設施 代表不同的外部效果,就捷運站而言,臺北車站和其餘普通場站的載運量和效 用明顯不同,若能依等級再做分類,甚至納入更多元的空間特徵屬性,包括學 區、嫌惡設施等等,相信能使模型解釋力再提升。而其餘變數亦能進行更深入 之研究,探討其形成各種空間不穩定性的原因。

最後,國內較缺乏以地理加權迴歸運用於不動產大量估價的研究,此迴歸 能考量空間相依性、異質性和地方特徵的特性實在難得,相信於大量估價或各 類價格指數的編制上都能有極大幫助,例如政府對於地價區段的劃設、實價登 錄價格指數的建制等。

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