中共建構國際政治經濟新秩序分析

全文

(1)r:p:tl; lrJHm ~ i& 7& Ml! ~~~ J1: f.t tIT. 31. (NT$). t=ft~m.B1~ifiiti*!.. stage. 56. *Jja*Jttrf. 56. 55. 55. T. 55. ti. '0. ;5. 10 ~o. ;5 ;5 ~O. •. ( iiltfti&tl;*.II.IMtIll~!JF:reCP'C.' ~=i1:reffi/jlJ!JF~ft ). S5. ;5. :1j<.. ~. ~~~~~~~~~~~,t~~*~M~~*~~~~f~.~'# M~~~ ~M4·tA.~ •• E+I.~.~~ ~'~*~.~. ••. •• •• ~A~ •• 4~.~.kff~.~·.~f4-kAA .4a~ili'~~M~.~~~ •••• ~'~M4.~~~a~~.~·. .Mm4.~'. t~a~~.~~n*'~~~I.~.~'~~.~~~~.~.* 1:;ij">lH~#· t~-mil~~~~.~~4F;)~: (l)*1il~~.:;ij"~fUUl*~ ~ ~~~a~' ~ *4;m~f*4E •• ~~.~~~a ~ ~.~~.~'~~~~#m~*~~M.~~~~f~~~F;)a~. ••• ••. •• ••. •• ~z.t'*~#.'~~~4'f.~*'Z~.. :5. .~;rn~~~~. 5. ~;~~~ ••••• ~f~~ •• _~'~~ ••• ~h'~~~h~A ~ ; (5) ~~ ~~*'J'5i~~.:;ij".f.f..~WJil1'i~Jt~~*. 0. 5. o. IUIIUi\I:. ~~aia~,t.~.~, ~f~4EJ$Jl'j. . ~~~.~, ~f~.~·. ......ftSt. 5. 5. '". 5. '". '". (). [). -. ...J-4.. .. 1Jtl. -== .p. ~.~~.M'm~~.-@~.*~,m§~_E~m~~.,.~.re~~ ~~~~~~.~~~m.m1'~~m~~.~~®o~~~~~~r~~~~g~,. tt® Quansheng Zhao, Interpreting Chinese Foreign Policy: The Micra-Macro linkage Approach (Hong Kong: Oxford University Press, 1996). p. 5..

(2) ~m. •• ~ ••• ~.·~~m~m~~.~®_m~~m' •• ~~.®~Ho~. H.fi~~oJ~.m.w~~~·~m~~~~·x~~§~_.mm.®~~ffi. ~@<>q:. if,f •. ~tI. •• m®o.m§~~-~A~~~~~~~w~m*m®.~~m'~.A~~~. ~l1!liil¥. ¥*~m~m~B*~~~~®r~M~mJ@o. :h:ht1f. r ~mifi:~* ®m~fi.ili~m~~~~.®<>~m&~M~~ •• ~~A§M.M®~~m •• fiJlJfiue:aiA:fl · ili& :aiA:~~m~:f!1f~f4~tJ: (Kosovo) 'Jf1jm~tf:;'f®iA:.. *~15- J. 0. ,~::1:~[E. ~mfP]:@:~*m7)(. (Goa). tl:1f::1:i!.!. _.~EPm~f!j*m7)(®m.~~~fP]·~m~~zp:~a~~7.M~~M®@Mo. ~m.j. ~m~mf9j.;ffjm:$M~ (ZbigniewBrzezinski) ~~~®l¥Ii1l~:. (East Timor) tJjHI~~m.M'~zp:$~. ~~~-ftftA~§R ®~W. 0. m-~-. 0. ftEP~~f!j:!j~JiiJ. •• ~M~~~~ •• a®.m·~.~~m~~.~7.~. •• I!i~ • ~~ § ~.1JDA r ~wj(~m. J. (World Trade Organiz. ~A~:tl. ~Ai'iJ.t;,. ~fd. · 7:18mH:I:l~~m~~:15~f'F. ~o.*h. ®lIW"'JIm J rID ~5i- · ;ffjm:$M~9i. · ~m®~m~Htf&HRr,:e~~iit§*~ (Eurasian) ®~ ~W.'~W~~®Mm~~n.·~~- ••• ~.®~ft.~oK.~m.~§ *;fg~T · .mft~~®~f~n1~¥UIim~ · ~ •• t£n1~¥UKliifiiH ~.nf~n1~ • • §~~ • • :f!®~*•• ®m~n.Z-t~B~~~m.ftiitR·B*®.~ ®~.o~~n.z~ •• *t~~~W7~~~®~~n.®~.o.~~.M. ~ •• ~B~nm._.®~~ft~mt~n •• ~.iit§_.®tJ.zp:~®<>. -m.=.q:. S-+:tL. ~A~~~~5i-~~m.:f!fB1It.~~~~~®.~t~~.~®-.t£,m~. iJl5i-A±. <> rul/J\Zfi~.~~m=ft~~~ft®li.~~A t f& ®- § -fi:¥6)-f}J.~~m=ft~~~ft$. r ~ ( IJ'Zfi ) mrr ( 7f~) mJ <> ~/J'Zfi5i-~.~!GJ,~.rul/j'ZP:9i~~~mM~1±1!J::1:~:f!fB1I~M® •• *1l~$. -;f-5iU.. ation • fiiffij WTO) ®~tJ • .fB1I~~.~tJJ:V::tI~Ofi11 0. 0. E!:jjl'l.~~A®~jH8t!iUE~®. ~mJ~.ti!. ~Gtf~1¥:. ~mt£~. 1*&$;1. &'IMI~,*. 5i-~m;. f¥;~M. .Iltm~ tt~ tffjt' i1jE~~1:.IIii. '. Iillflll!c:pIIIIIJlglU!fjl!fASi~. ( ~~J?- : ~.l:I1!:&tt '. ~~fi®. -7t7t7t~) 'Ji~'. lI!® ~;t}Robert. S. Ross, "The Geography oithe Peace: East Asia in the Twenty-first Century,· International Security, vol. 23, no. 4(Spring 1999), pp. 81-118; Thomas J. Christensen, "China, the U.S.-Japan Alliance, and the Security Dilemma in East Asia,· International Security, vol. 23, no. 4(Spring 1999), pp. 49-80; David Shambaugh, "China's Military Views the World: Ambibalent Security,·. International Security, vol. 23, no. 3(Winter 199912000), pp. 52-791; Zbigniew Brzezinski, • living With China: The National Interest, Spring 2000, pp. 5-21.. tt@ Zbigniew Brzezinski,lbid., p. 8.. 'AtfliJjJf!Iii!:Wi~11~:tB7Uf!:.~~:It!!P-IlTI' 8 *~.4!l!Mij**. 7!M:}l;'81ift~*fI]fIl#~;t}!I' 'At~8*iiJlrmf.']~~%1f'~rp{l. '. jJij~m. (Rockefeller Plaza) , <i':r1'9~. ~A!M8*A.~mti~~ • • ~~~7~~·. ttrID Ibid., p. 7.. lI!® Ibid., p. 5.. lI!® Quansheng Zhao, op. cit., p. 79 ; Jl!'t{~ (Nathan, Andrew J'> &~fBm (Robert S. Ross) 'I' ' aJl~ , l\;!Ii2jQ~IJUt-c:pII.*i:~B9tilll ( ~~tjfJ : iffEl:I1!:&tt ' :lti£fII:ltftRfi ' ~mJ\ +-I::;~) , Ji-O- ; Michael Yahuda, • Deng Xiaoping: The Statesman," The China Quarterly, no. 135 (Sep.. w*. 1993), pp. 551-552.. >3"~. ]..El_. ~~i'iJ?t. ~5iUfil¥: '8f!"j~~.

(3) n. ~~~mm~.~~~~a~~fi. {ii~. 0. tii. )f@. 0. 1fl~.I¥J+-m. Ifl~"j;).*,. I¥JIjI{i:il1!/fo/,. r.... ffii_§Jl!:~Jjf:\i:1¥J. ~. 0. I¥Jflj-€Sffi. .·~~·M~·ft.·~ft·. AJ!§H~~. ~~fill¥J~jffilm. ~~Hlt~*. *~15- J. il~ • •. IIA~~a5l::iJr#lli\{lfllJffIJ.fJlf±"~~fJl~ftl¥JlEfil~.. 0. ~1lt~Ifl~. 1¥J~.o. JM,~ftli'iJ1lt~Ifl~.RfDlJij1~!jf!j~ilil~*l¥Jftf\lJ\ZP:~.. '. ffii&~7.1UI¥J~.~g~f91~. rr (Goa). f±... ~ftl¥JiW~fD$~r~M. I¥JIEI§ilio. 1fl~~~l¥Jifll!~. mT.-rz. ~A~U:tEf&~.I¥J~~m=~:&(!jf!j~~)m~~.x.~o. J. ®. ••. ·~~.&liIJjW~~~~I¥JJjfi~~.'ffii~. Ilfff'F~Ifl~m=~Ifl~~2f~.I¥J:ftiGj~~AfflJ/J\ZP:~. 0. ftftt~mMm'ffif&mE.I¥J~.M~Ifl~Ifl~ • • ~·~.~.a.~~r. ~. r .Rm~f'F.m=€.:f4iUGttl{I¥J.~fD~~l¥JfflJ/J\ZP:~.. Iflfentl:. 0. fflJ/J\ZP:~.~1lt~. 0. ~1¥J.w,; R;,~,~ft. '. ~m~1fl. , .R~m,~R;. '. R;,~,~ft:tE. J @fflJ/J\ZP:IHI~~~:&~~~IIIti,~,;tR1'F.mffIJ/J\ZP:~.I¥J-$ffi'. '. (l(~m'J\zp3tmm=. Organiz. ' ~~I¥J~IHIIfl~~~I¥J.jffi , f'F-~WI¥J~%,f[I~®'tI¥JUff ~®'t~, m'J\.2fS.3tmm=· =-~~~AfflJ/J\zp:§-fttJ\~+-~~Ifl~.I¥J+ - lfl~itiW:9I¥JIfl~If'Fit.l:I¥J~iliS ' ftft=~fl1:tEj\~ • ~:l:JII • ~mt •. ~Jjil1'F. ~. I¥Jflj mlilliit!:l. l:mt.~m~lJij1l¥J~iliS~-8~+~.~IjI'~Ifl~~it~~~~~A·~~A±·. IHI{*JJ!~. ~~tt&.it.l:I¥J~MU:&~Ifl~~~Jj. *fD#X~. .o/$)f~'M*~~~~~~~W'ffii~~ffi.~.I¥J~IjI~.~)ffi~~m.U. ian). 0. re~.I¥J~M~~+~.,~~m~~~.:&mt~.AI¥J~M~+-.,:tE.Ifl~· .A.I¥J~M~~+t.om~~IjI'. IHIt*_m:. :&r¥liffilflilQ*~~~~.I¥J@. '@o. 8-+ft.~IjI)ffi'~ft+t.~ft. 1fl~IHI.fD~~~m't+~.~~~~~. 'fg: , ~~. :tt~A±I¥J~M. 0. ~A'f&. -~~m:.I¥J~~~IIIti·JjfiW~.ott~:IHI~&~a~~ft·~M~~§. J. ~~.;IHI~WZP:fi~~~.~~*~M;IHI~.~fDZP:~.E~.~~~~~ifa. 0. :~UI1~$. '. fnternationaJ ~. U.S.-Japan. 10.. 4(Spring. Security, •. ski, 'Uving ~$'. ),. rm%{m. ~'fp~. fN~Ifl~*~~*~~m'J\zp3tmm-~ffTJ&~$. x~~~~r~m$.@. ~ ; 1HI~.fJ~~r#l:IiX ; I' ' m;JJJ!{1 , ..... 0. I{~o. 0. IHI~-~~*,J. I¥J~. , flttlliti , ~Ifl. m-~9U~~IJij1~!jf!j~fD8!iJYil¥J~t~'fg:I¥J,~,;tl{fD.lij. ili~;Jiffillji~:. r. , .~lflilQl¥J~~~IIIti~.W~~~.,~,;tl{. ~/f~)f*,JI¥J8!.m.I¥J~tlm~$)f. ;. ~=. ,. ~fflJ/J\ZP:~. ' fflJ/J\ZP:t!I±lI¥JIHI~IJij1~~ml¥JlImW. *~ifl¥J~~~.~~'/f~~~¥~~ • • ffl'ffii~~. ~./f.fflo~~,. 1:;1rJ~j;).fflJ/J\ZP:~~~I¥J.~Ifl~,~,;tRW.t.fIJij1~jlfj,' mw.mJmI¥J~ft. • mw.~~. 1I.t@ mlRi!f' r ~fJtliff~ • i!ll!A~*BIl/J\2ji?l-5C'UIHU!l! ? J 'lltelllltllllii' -;/1.;/1.I1.!lfJ::;jl:::W) • I{= 1I.t® r :tE:iit~ , i!ll!!JIj , fA;fIi ' l:fIi~.tt!ll¥JlllIl~~1& J • lII'j,.q;:ltiJUI'=:" ( ~tJj{ : A~W~tt • -;/1.;/1.:=: q::) 'I{:=:-t:-. 0. tiilJiiJ'. ~:ll:.'. r .1¥J+n:*tH!I!/J\2jiJ!l!.~I¥Jiif!fflfD~.1ji J. ~:M~*.W.tt·-;/1.;/1.;/1.fJ::). 0.135 (Sep.. 1HI~~~~m.l¥J~ft.Itf¥.~. ' t!1±l T. ~:tEifl¥Jn~IJij1M~.~~I1'F~~ • • *~:il1!~UW • • •I¥J@o. it@. ,s) :;: , f<il* ,+-t:fJ::) ,. ;. fflJ/J\ZP:~W)ffi~~ffj.l¥J~ft. •. ,UUil:i:1i '. lII'j,.q;ilIIIUQ.Utac~1l. (1*. 'I{-I1.!l:=:.. 1I.t@ mlRi!f' iliji:llx ' I{=-:=: 1I.t@ ~:lltl:, r ~BIl/J\2jiI¥J?l-5C~~J!l!.~'&iif!fF j ''i1! 1:1:i:1i ' lII'j,.q;B99f.3(I!.lQ ftWWl'iitt • -;/1.;/1.~fJ::) 'I{1I.t@ A~8.·-;/1.;/1.:=:fJ::+="A8·.-.· 0. 0. W. ( ~.1I : mrmn:.

(4) ~tft¥::t J§~ffm. '. r *(!:!f~~t J ~f..'l.~~~ ; m - ,. ~~~:t:. •• B~~~T$.~~~~~,a~~a •••• m~B'. ~P'J$~. iif.fmIMl7H1T~~*. ~~~~~~~~~R. '. ~lIfi. ' ffHlB J ®*fni3tflT51tl~ftIi$BII' : (1) ulHfEIII/J\ZFJtm~fiftii ' *7H1T~~~~~il&7&~tft¥~~~ , J;)'}j111B5n ' A;Jt~~~~~~il&7&~tft¥~~ ; U)fl~~~~~~il&7&~tft¥,a •• §M.ffHl.~~~.*'ft*ffm.~~~ M*;¥1B~~~ ~5n~~tl~B~mm-~.*± •• ~~~~~il&7&~. 71t'!~J~~. tft¥~~fni@. Ifft~Wf[. :.tE.d~ilfflB. 0. 0. ~:.tE~~ ~r&1m. 0. 2. f~. .~~~. *fnilT@. ®ZP 1. f~8Ut:v:~~~tft¥fi~f¥. 0. ~~-t«5[M'f#lff~~~.~~::f0IE. '. ::f-a~~. ~~.~f¥®iif.f~M~o~~ •• m-*~~*~~m~:V:~~~il&7&~tft¥~f¥~ ~~±.M~~~~~~,~~mil&7&~~~oB:.tE~tft¥L~m~~g~.*~.*. f#lff~m~~M~~ •• ':.tEil&7&L~~~~*~:.tE~~L~.m~mo.T~~m m::f0IE'::f-a~~~~.~f¥'m=~~~~iif.fT~M.~~M~o i\1Z91f:~fl. '. t+tllf#l~~~~ (Group 77) ~jt!HI:.tEm-Jm~-a~. .~ffm~.JLa~Trt+t~W. J. r'li. '.*.~~.~:v:~~~-a~ma,~. ~~5nBf#l~~~~~~~~~~.~f¥;~1f:+fl$f.f~::f~~~~~~~.' *.mT~:V:~~~~fi~f¥~D.o-fttlZ91f:lZ9fl'mi\Jm~~~~m*~ Bf#l'm=~~~~~.~~.*:v:~~n.~f.f~~~~~~tft¥.~f¥'~:V:~~. ~~fi~f¥°~1B.*f#lff~~~~~~±~'~~-.~7*n5[M'°~:.tEm*~ }jg~*~ L ' f'F.~~~.III1~~W/J\ZF~.~~JlaJl' r m=~!f.~~~r.!~.* ~~§Mmm~::f~~~~~~tft¥~~,~g.mT~~~~~~¥~.o~~il&~. ®~~AMM~.~~.~5[M'm=~~.m~-WIE.±~oJ@-ftAA. fl. B'. W/J\~:.tE~ ~EflI~UW~til:1f~. • iftm (RajivGandhi). ~tt~:&.Jlt.. 0. 1m. ~, rH~~~~~fi~f¥'~:.tE-fttlZ91f:a:.tE~-a~ff~~'~fflTm~~OO. mil~momll~ma~-t«:.tE.,~~~~ •• oJ®:.tE~~~m=~~m~~~ ~gnT'mi\.~~~*U1B.~T~rt+tm.IIJE.~r~1B~:V:fi~m ~~~~f¥wgJ~r~:V:fi~~~~tft¥~f¥f.f~M.J o~.~~.m~Bf#l~~. ftjj3ijJl¥;. 7&~tft¥ii. ~~m~. fllEift:l~. }:m~±fI. ~M~1i1. W'J'. 1ft~fl~. 1I"~;f@. ~~~1t1. milfi!!. IIAIWlMl' ~tt~,. ®~~. ~*~I¥;. W/J'. M!Jl5I1JJI 1mmm:. *i~Ff[jf. n:fi'1?Sl ~®. ~@. liiIiJlJt, }i{-. *fflJ' r tj:lilB9i1I\!';U!(~'@~.liff~ : !161ft ' mtl '. &fl%~. ~:IiI:~'. :±I~ J. ''iltIJl::U;'. ~'~B9g.(.~:.~:±I~ll·-AA=~) .}i{=~=;~~~.. M1!UcB9~U.t----cpliIIliIIllJnll rtj:lilil~~~~~liff~B9~. .~mJ ·.tj:l~~.'IiII.~~~.~.acpliII(L~:L~A~:±I~ll·-AAA~). '}i{--=. 1\ • ~@. rtj:l.A~jUllilf\:~IIII11:1i1:!flI/J\zp::(Em1\Jm~*¥.JEg*.LB9ft11f J. 'ANeta,. -A-t;~~~Fl+. 8·m-~· ~®. r .t:lf1lZP:*IJI1iJjltIlIJm$JiIJit1LiI~ff~1¥ J. •. IIIJj'2FJtl.llM'=:& ' JI=/\=- =/\= •. fl.

(5) ° V=--¥=-lil. ·1ll&!1gJ·. ° ::f-=-lil • ~&![gJ @~ o::f-=--¥--lil'lllWIgJ @lll r~ilr"lr.:rIll.¥'hl.31:J. ·¥O--~O-lil·lll&!lgJ· r~~¥~~~ffi~~~~DM~~J ·::f-=-lil·~&iM' r~iI~TIII.¥.~.31:J. ~lll. @lll ®lll. ~~~·.q~~~~Q*~~.q4~~~*~~.q~~MmQ~~~.fuL~. .q~.~~.mo~¥Mm»~.,*a~u. •••• !~.~.~M'~%~~. .'M.L.~.m, •• ~~.~~~qa~•• ~o~~~.~m.~M,.q ~~~.~».'~m~~~~'~~£~ •••• Q~¥»~m~~'~¥»~~ ' ~¥»~Yfig , ~¥»~¥~~~.»M~¥Mmu (I) : Itlmw £:3 ' ~¥»~~tP. o~~~*W.qM.~~~mGm~.q4~M.q~~Mm~·~G~~.~~~ ¥~ tP~ftj¥ Mm~~jt~. , ll'=W~~D:t~[l'IJkII~-*I'.E»nJl4 1:1fu ItlM~'r/lllj o¥f.~~¥M. m~=~~~~dg'¥f.~~~OOkll*~~~»~*~ftj~~~o@~~*»~~~. Mm.M'~~fu»~.~Mm~~~¥~~~~OOkll*~~'ll'=WItl~'m~~ ~~m~~~.~. ••. *~L~~·ftj~L.u*aBW.~tP~.~oL.~?. .~'*~~~Q*-.a.~.,~u?~.umw.~tPQ@~~Itl~uwm ~~.,~~~~~~,~,m,~*~~~~=,=,-W&'*~~~~~~. o.~~~ffM'~~fu~~.~ •• m-~u~~tP*~~ro*~~~~~tiW =~o •• ~BOO~~M.~~.~ti~-~Q~ti~ •• ~~~~'~~»m* ~~~ , ~u~»~rlt~ftj~:If~~~UVIff '~1:1~~tP=~-+~ • .J : .~'r/lllj otP:?:' ~lHiiI~:jt W~ ftj~~~~' •• E»q~m.q~w~.~,~~ •• ~~~¥~~~W!.~~~ W~'~~~~.± •• ' •• ~~~.~.~~Wo •• ~~ •• ~~,.W§~ '~~.§ • • '~~~.M~~o •• ¥D~~~Mm~~,~~.~~~~~. .*jt.~~ •• ~~~w*~ •• m~~~~~'-~'.M~mo~~~ •• ~ ~~~~~,~~ ••• ~~~~~~m~·.~¥.~~%.,.~~~~m~e ' •• DtP.H~~~I'. •• ~M~~~ •• 'B~~~kII.~~~M~~. *••. o. !i~ ~~ ~~. im[l'lJk. Wo =+ f}J~. ~a .~.i ~!i7. ~¥. '.. ~~4. ¥ltIfi .~¥i ~li£~. @~ll'=¥. .~~~B~¥~~Mm~l'.~r~~M~~.J~m®r'~~*»~~~Mm~M. '~afu»~.~Mm~~~¥~~~~OOkll*~~.JLItl.'~.~B~~~M.~ ~ll'=iI. M¥.L~~ftj~~~'W~~ov~*~~o~o~~~~~~~~~.a~. .~1). ~~~L~~ ,:rimjt~~~*jtM~Mm4rI'.~GY~rm~~~'r/ili ,~:u~~r~~. , !ii~. ~~.~~~~~~.~ •• m~-~.~ •• ~NLItl •• ~Bm, •••• ~tP •• ~~~~~~'~~~~.~.. ! ~iI. JHlrrJ~. o. .~ft.~~Wkll-~o~~~~4~~~~~. ~tP~~:?:,oq,ftj$m~~:jt~~.q.~~~B~.~tP~~~m,~mq~~..

(6) .=~~,a~~~lli.~.~~~o.~~~~AC~~~AC~~~Z~'~~. :It~lt=t. *~~~~o.~~~'~ffl~~,*~§a~~~*'w~~~~~.~ff~o~. r ~:±J. @~~n.~~~~ffl~~~~~~~~*,.~n~'~~~~~~~!B*A~. pg$.J1. ~*~~~~o~~A~lli~*~~~~o~~M~~~~~~n.~?~~~~~M. 1I~~l¥. 7~*~~*~~~g,~~-ftn~*,~~~~~~~~~oR~~~'~ffl*. ~~7t~. ~~~~'~.~~A~~.~,~~.n~~*o.~~M~~~~~~&'A~. .lfflaiiJ. ~~*~~,&~~~~o~~A~·~~A~lli~~~M~~~aO)~~fiMH.. flalli~. ~~~~~'~~'MH~~~fi~~~~wB~~lli,~.m~,~~~~·~~·. zrFl'~~. :jt:~~~~*~~~~~*tm~~g~~.~f~@. P)'~~'.6~~~tJJIl:~fn/J\~~J\. mm~fj. •• m~~~e~.~~~.~Mffi.~~~«'~~~R.. .@~rt. r~~-@~~*~,m~~~~~~~~~*~~~m~~~m~,~:jt:~.~~. m~ii!~. ~~'~~~.~ffl~~'~~~~~~~M •• ~~ •• ~~~ffim.a. ~pm~i. +~«~.e~lli~'. ~AJ\ O~«P).*. 0. ' P)'~~IUl{*,~~JL'~*~:nIUl{*, ' WP).iWli!!~~~f.fm~:±. Wfifilt. _~~~~OOfi~Wf.fM~:±,.@~~m~~m.~~.~'m~~~~:n~~~. .m~=t. •• fi.m~ •• '~$~~~~~~'~~~~~~~~~ff ~o~7 •• ~~~~,~ ••• ~~.~~ •• ~~~o._·~.ff~~~.~. ~fjl.ffl. ~~~~. ~.g~.*~~~~~m~~*M.~~.~~.~~'~f.fA.~~~~'M~. ~~~~. ~.=~~~~~.*~wo~~e~~~*~m~~.~~.~~H.~~~.W. 1Y37~ZJS. ~~W~&~~K'. .*~~~~*. ~RX;~J!t~*~~~~lJXifJJll!. ~IIt'm. ' :f±fl*M1tmrgr& ' i¥i~tZrFl'~. •• m~~.*o~7~~~~&~~~~~~'~••• ~~.~~.~~~~o fn/J\~~ •• {~IUftrr~.~~fi~~~~~ , xmlli 7J&.ll:~ •• ~fi~~~:±~ ,. m~zp~. ~~~~.~.~W~fio.~-ftAA~+=R~$~.g~~~.*fl~~'fn. ~:#. '. .~~:flJmm~~:fIJ~:fD~~.:Ifl:!:jl*. ~o-:f1. o~~Mm.~~?~~~$~~~~+A.AC'~~~.AC~~Z. ~pg~:. IJ\~~~~EfJ~~f.fA.~-@~~~.Hf ~~§. '. ~~o~~: r~~.~~~~~,&~tm~~.m~~fi •• 'J&.ll:fi~~.~~o. ··.. ··~~~m~~~f!f.m~~~1Iit ' -1I~~.ll:~ ••~fi~~ , -@~~.ll:~. ~~fi~~. 0. J @-ftJ\ft~+R '~~fl~~~.g.~. (Chatichai Choonhavan). ~'N*mlli: r.fi-@~M,a~*~~.~~M~~~'~~~.ll:~.~~fi ~~ ~. 0. , .~i¥i~trJ]m,. ~~~~.ll:~ •• 1tlfi~~'. ~'8IRJ~.~~fi~~fE)~. J @. 3. ~~~~~Mfrj.. '. ~~fJtIH'fUJJ~.ll:~ •• ~~~fi~~. IZ3(~t8:~1:j}]iAlLrmMl. '. mlf*~fI1J~. tt@ liiJ91Jtt, ;:lIE!. MJ. 0. W-ftJ\ft~3f. , ~~~- , ~Jlj}jI!~3(.]L. '. r~zp:~ft/JU!:iI~t!!:n~PIii*r<llaJ ,It-Olm--O~;. ~.n. rtE.~.**lt.t.~lilII. · I t - - t ; r~~M~~~m.ttm.~*J 'J{==_; rftmn~~m~PliiOO~*~J 'It. =lmft; r~.M~~m.~·~m*fl~~J ·It=-fto tt@ r P)'~Zfj1(IiI1i/ij{llIJm~I'lIJ@tllml!fiUfi~fi' J • IiiJRlitt ' It=/\ ilt@. ~ • •t€:. r tt1!t:1:.iI9~ml/lEtBlllml'T. J. 'IiiJRlitt· J{==/\. 0. 0. ~&~!N. ,*~ .~'m im~)E1!l.

(7) ·E¥E.'D.~· r~~~~W • • ~&~".J ·fijjfijjE.'D.~. ·~fijjE.'D.~· r.~~~~~'.~.~~~J o'l.{=E.'D.~. +M.~o~~~~~MmW~ti· ~~W.~Mm~J .MT~~M. eD @D @D ®:n. ••• ili~MMm**~~.*.UY·~~.. :mm*.o.M~.~M.m~~~~~#~L~~OO~·*. •• *M.¥*~~Y~~~~#~·B. m.~~ilil~~~~!%'V~¥c~*~~ (S) : .fl~~C(~'r:i~. --~~ ¥¥ o®§&*Mm~~@1! · c(~~~1iD*.!!L! · ~1IIJ. B~~Uili~~.liD •• ~~~!M~~~·W~~ili·.~.~·.#~*·. .~~.liD~~.~(~:~.M~~~W~±*~~W~.W~¥. ffiti~~M. !iHl*~ ~~~ ( UBAB. ~~7;i: o~~. iii '. ~~~~~~M~m.~~~.~.~~~~~~'Wffi~~O¥~U.#~. *iftl!ffl. ~M~m~~~~~~~L~~.~T.¥~~.~~*~#~·~O¥¥-o~. -~~. m(Z). ! l1r,*.t:![]Ug~. ,. m~M2 ij iiififlM~~~.Nf.~~.~IID~ (1) : ~~. o~~~~M§~Nf~,®r~MW~~J · r~~~~~m~~~. 7;i:illAfiEfiW~ J ~!%ili'r/ili ~~~~~MB~~~7;i:il~rUM~i? · ••• ili~~. .~~ ~1IIJ~NmlID-4r5£ · ~rrJ¥~ID ••• iliD~Mm ' mm:§t-ili'f/ili · ~M. o~.~N •• ~m§¥~IDME.W~YMm~·.fl~.~~~~m ••• ili~L~. ~~Ctt-ID~Y!1 • ;Y.!II±5!iiOOEijk~.~~~~if · *m~5!ii~M~~}¥ff~~ ••. ~.~~~M •• ~R~.W*¥~~'.ili.c(~~M.L.U·B1IIJ~W.~~. $~m·~~~B~~IID~~~·.~~m~m!%"~~.ro~.~,~ ••• ~. •• IID.~~~·Mm* •• ~¥.om5!ii.* •• ~,m.~*MM~fu*.S~. ~~~J :~Wo~.~~· •••• ~~M~.~Mm~·.~~~.~.~~.!!L!. · ~1J:.~M~WHftl~~· ~lf*~}~~ • • C(m~Ii~~.¥.c(M~~~~$di.f · !iiti.~:I:f~~M~m ~~!~• • ~}¥ff~~LYf~~.!!L! · .WM•• ~}.~~.~$ ~WMmL mmlJ*ili'f/ili@ r M.~.tH~~~IID· MMm:=~ , U~lIDii •• ~~.-W~fuoE¥~ •• ~~m 0. 0. 0. M~WIID-o~~~BX~~IID~~~·L. ' •• ~~E*.J Mm:=~. :mm·~~M~~.~.~.~.MmU~~m·~~M~~. •• ~u~'.~~~~~~LYf~w@rom~.!%,.~m.wm~.. ~~~~U~~~·.~~~~~¥~.~m.J ~~~~@o~~m.&U.~ID·Mm!llfi. ~m!%'WmoL~~lM~~'Mm* ~~~~.~~m~l~m~L m~ili'r/ili. :~X®roL*m~B~~.~. •• ~.~BU~IID~~~·.~~m. ~¥.~IID~¥~J :~W'!II~M~~.. · ~}~~IiIDM~m.~:I:f~~M~. M.~~.~~.~.~.~~±'~DMrm~~~mYJ'. .u~~·m~m!%~.~m.Y. rmYJ. 0. §&*~~. ,r~~J. •• w~~~~~.~~oU~~~~~*~M.. ~'i. •• ~ o~~. ~MLrJ:. *~~fi ~gti. '. jUf(,i. it~?iJ-. MmMf ~~¥.ff ~:=i!H n~t:f:::r~. V~ili' ,~~.. wffM!J ~y,. .(. *gf~ tM'~~~ ~Y~E o. jl~. ±~,. -;.

(8) ~~~~~B~~~'**~~~~~ • • ~~'.~±.W~~~~~~W~fi~. IIJ@ilm4. j(g~ " ~/J\L¥!f!:t£-:tLj\j\~§ttml±l. ±~.. ~~~fffkr¥@. '. JJi:t£iI~ij!:v:~~~~fffkr¥. '. tP.iI~ij!:V:~. ff15"jf.. ". jipJ~mrni;t:tnR. ia~. ~m·. ~~jipJ~m~~~~:t£-OO~~*~M~mft,g-OO~~*~n.ffi~~~~m~. II~. r'ft~~'~~:t£~~m~m~n~~~.*r~-~m~ow~~~,~~mw~. lItllt~. ~~~ft;~'ft!i. ; ~~fff3lt;tiJ1fP~lI~i9j. ~~J.li. .,~~~~.~±~.~~nft.~*~A~~~tt~ ••• 'ffi~ia~'W~~. ffi~~. ~~~ft~,ij!:V:ff~~~~~~~fkr¥°~wrn~*~~~,~~~.,~~~~. rn~l1. ±.~~~~.lI,:t£$~.~~_.~M.$~~T~.~mW~~·$~~~~. jl:v:~. '. '. tt:!J,ItiJ~~{t;'ft!i. '. tP.mij!:V:~~$JTfkr¥mmTffflJf~ftj:. 1!t~~~ ..t.~~flWffilf 1i'<if B ~WW. 0. ~~. q:. ~~~ r~"~~~-Jt71~' ~n~if.Ul~~~~ft;JU~i.fltm~~~, ~"~relJt1M~~. :t£ffffi. ~~:t£~i.f~fIJ~~f.1L. ~~~. ~liW~j:J&f±.±.~1fP~~-~7IJr~&~;t!;fi.~mfBW1iI. 1M~fIJ~f~ftj::t:f:t£~. 0. ... ~..t.m~.Mt~m~. Q. '. m~. , ~/J\L¥ml±l '. ······~1rrarfIJm~T~:t:f:t£~. • t1\g~:t:f:t£~ • r",~&~~'if~rew. "J. • ~~. ®. . --. ~*~ Jl~'. *J!m. ff-~1... 1. WL¥~~1i:lJlIJ.lUllJ : ~~mW~Aff.m~}tf,f~~~*"1JT~M ' mwltiJ{ilJ ~:t:. • ~flHf;f-JU1!t~~fU1itfD'ft!i ' mL§.Hf;f .Am~ • • W1fP~·~~~e~~T • • ~~tl.$.~Htt~.~o.~.~~ ~.fkr¥~515*~ • ~~jl:v:ff~~~~~~~fkr¥B~*~ffijfl , A{"ffiltiJ ' ~ '. jl:V:fti.ffl~mWmrniW~~fkr¥. ~~ae.~~·M1M"~~~·mI±lT1!t.H~ij!:V:~~fffkr¥~REoa$~~ ~~~·rnM-~~~~·~515.~fi~£~~~~fffkr¥·~A~~tto ~~~t!flJj$:t£7l£WTlItllt.wmj]&af~. world order ). <$l. 0. -:tL:tL-~[gF3. , -Rfl§llM!fij!:V: r ffmWfkr¥ J (new. +=- B ' 1Jj~:t£~~Irt!Tt5LE3~1iH'H:fHtHIJ~.lIt.~. F<iJil1Jllto. 1It@ . ~;lfffi.l!Eim, ~fJ.JJt~nf. • ~ntll'f-----"it:i1nllj:lB9tt1:W@. ( ..tlfi : ..tlfitt*~.~m~tt. ,]!{--t ° r llj!gjf~~~Ni.lHJ!fr.ll1l J 'BI!,j\2!5JtiIUR=:* ( ~tJ5f. ' -i1.. i1.i1.~). 1It~. :. A~m~tt. ' -i1.i1.'=:'~) • ]!{'=:'liJ1!l °. -i1.li'=:'~+=~'=:'+-B,~~.a~$~Il~e~Il~ •• ~F<iJ$.~~.~II~~"~.2.· ~$ •• R~.m: r~~Il.n.~~nT~~~$~Il~.~.~'~~mlim.m~±~.'li ~~m'li~~.~.' .~.. •• ~E~~.A~~~~J. o~m~.A~li~.~5m~ •••• ·~;If. r.~Ilj!g~a~~~~~MJ ·~re.~.~(~.) ·-i1.i1.-~J1!l~·]!{A-. : ••. ~. r~Ilj!g~a~~*.~*&x.m¥~J '~R'~'.(~.) '-i1.i1.-~'=:'~']!{i1.. 1It@ T~m·. ~WZf. 1MJJ!1. ~rJ*f~. ffi • fI. r¥fD~. ~.1IIl. ~ff~. 2.. W~~. 1It@ . 1It®. A'~. r ~1l.U·f:iIi<t~. r t!IJ'f~a~ J m~J. . IIIIII'nJt~·. ~iE+'i'UH-Wl. • ~Il)\ +iF+. ~·]!{=li-'=:'*:*WR· r.fr.Rr~w~a~~mJ~.~J '~llm~Il~~.~.m.,. ••~~~aSIlllIl(~ ••• m~tt·-i1.i1.=~) ·]!{Ali-i1.=o. W~.

(9) ~~.~~~.~~~~~~~fi. B. FJ!:fi1'. ~~~$~r~mw.~~Jr7~~(J'g-~~.:. iitv=~. !lB1ifflJ. •• ff':li!~~.~~~~-~.ff(J'g ~n~'~ •• m •• ·.~~~·~.~&~.o •• ~~~n~t*.~~~. ~mt~~-.~~~~.~H~,~~~mw.m*.~o~.~~:li!~ •• ~~m· ~M-B!im •• ·~.&m~.m·&0.!iMffiW~.oJ@$.*A.$.M •• ~:li!~~~(J'gm-~~~ ~Pff~B''1tI1!El3:li! : (1) .M.(J'g~~OO~1':li!~iJm!im (J'g~tII!.~;W~tII! ••• 7.*(J'g~~t-B•• +=.~ '~ ;O) ffiW~ •• ~A&!i ••• (J'gfi~8oB*~5~~ ••• 1'~.~~(J'g~.t.W. ~~mi. El3~~*~~~~*mw.(J'g~~~~~tm~~n~ffi~~~A~*~.mw..~,. ~J#&:tj. ~~~~*~.-~*r(J'gffi~~~~~~~-~L'W:li!-B(J'g~o. o~:li!. ~m17L t!!w.~. iJ(J'gitlj. r~mw.~~1':li!.~~~(J'g~~. ~.'.W.~~(J'g~~oB:li!~~~~(J'g-. •• ••••. 0. '!i~. $~.$'~~~5n~~~m(J'g~~~~~':li!1'0~'1'~tII!(J'g~~fi~~. II'1N~. ~~~~r(J'g~~~OO;1':li!.*~.$~.-~~.~~mw.LffiW~~.~~.. '!i~. (J'g~~~~~oAO~~*~*'El3~mw.~~.~7.*~ft,m~mw.~.~w. ----. .*~~~~fi~~'~~.~0~·~tII!(J'g~~~~~o$~ff$m=mw. Jl~. , $7t.Wj;J~.~J#&li.~ftlJ$;~Hl~~~~~~~~. .~~_~~~W~M.mW' e(J'gn~oa~n~'~. ff.rtuM. 8.0f* :mmf~ ~,. $. p~~. 0. -tL)\I2Y~. •• ~. , BB/J\.~. rJ#&tII!~.~~~(J'gH~'~.~.li.~~:li!.. r*~BJn~'. r~n~~Jn. , .~WiJm*~lfPn(J'g. :li!~.~.li.~~oJ®-tLAA~'~~~$ •• tII!~~ •••M*mW' r~ ~a.m~.~J#&li.~~ff$m~~~H~(J'g.~o~~~~~tl ••• ~~~ ftlJ*1~~~~Hf* J ®• • BB/J\.(J'g~. ' $$Wl~.M.~(J'g r~~~rm0~J ~. , .ltm*~~ , If{ft~~fflj~. r.~a~Jn~,. 0. ~M~~Hf*(J'g.~. 0. .·~.~J#&li.~~:li!.e~.~H~(J'ga*m.~~'~:li!~~~~a~~~ ~~~~~~~~~(J'ga*m~~~@o~.~~~'B~~.'~&5n*~!i$. (new ~~.. jtJUf!!$IJ.~. , BBtJ\.£iJmlilffl.~lit.~.j;J~ZP:~J#&li.JJ.ii:ftIH'F$4'~~~a~~. ~~~~(J'g.ftIJ. 0. 2.~1'f_~a:li!~~~~~(J'g.~o~ffi. •• ~.~.±%~'~1'.m,~. .~~~~zp:~.:li!a~;.~~~:li!a.tII!~~H~nOO(J'g.ffl.°$~.$.4'm. I: • -;/L. IZp;j,. tI'!i • o~"!t :1It~. ;/L- ~+. ffili'. W.:li!-~ff~4Hit~~(J'g~f:ftmw.. 0. ~~~rdl1'fJtl.$IJ.1'~. , 1Imfl~~ • •. it:!:@ Lawrence Freedman, "The Gulf War and the New World Order: Survival, vol. 33, no.3, MaylJune 1991, pp. 195-209. it:!:@ Ibid . it:!:~ ~"!tI'Jlfijro:J'. Ff3llll'. r i1!i1l:1l1D:',:i!llI'iIiT~~ttJ±~ j. i!I.~i!lII'iIIl1.~~ffi.'. ;. 1I11l7:k'. r. B *ttJi!llI'iIiT~~f£1II j. • • ~.~~~~B(~~:p;j$W.tl·-;/L;/L=~). l1!l ; Toshiki Kaifu, "Japan's Vision: Foreign Policy. no. 80 (Fall 1990), pp. 28- 39. n:.® r fOZP:~~W-llIHllHm*ttJ~I=.JflljJ j 'III/J\2jS.::ltIl~=tl&, it:!:® 1ilJit:!:@· .=/\=.. it:!:@ AIU3f1i' -;/LJ\J\~+=Fl=+l1!lB . ~-. 0. 0. Ji{;/L~. 0. •. 51 El r:p. '.-=li--~.

(10) mfl~:f4. '. ffiiillf!JI;:f~Hift. *~f~fQJ. '. '. )(ft~iH!?tf11!*~Jjg. 0. Rtfjj(~~J!t;~1<lJ. ·. ,~ • • *ft~,. • •~.,~effi~o~ffii~ft • • ~ • • m~*~,~ .M~~.bMm' • • • ffaft~.~' • • • ~'~.D*~.~mfl·~~tt ~.M~.~·.ffft~~.~o~ • • ~~~~ • • · • • ~tfH~ • • ffM.~ $IHl ~tt ' BB/J\ZP:t~lli' r ~~Hf*,iff!,\:fJ;~Jll:±.~JJjUIIJ ' JJ!~:Ji!:~T7!VJj~~ ~~ft'~T7!V~~~tt • • ~o *~tt~ffltf~.fi~~ , '~~.~:Ji!: 0. m~¥u~. ft. 0. 0. ....... ;JF1ffl*1t-*Jl.~.f.!~~~3I~~V.~.*Jj!1 ~. J @MmIW5/3 '. ~O.~f!jT7!VJjU~~ft. '. T7!VM~~~. ~.51~~~JiU~lbill.. '. !jI;lgtl:Ji!:~E:'. tt~~.*~.~Ib.oM • • 5/3tt~~~~~.~IbIb.'.~~~ • • •:± .~ • • ft~,.§.~J!t;~.,reM~MA~a~~bfi~o~. .~~b~Ib~*b5tf!j. ,. -:tLJ\:tL~~tJi!.~7IbilL. ~.5/3~. j!JiJMI.18tZP:~1i. '. j:).~~. .:±~~~I~*.m.~~**.ff.~o**.mj!~0~T7!V*~*~~ft. *~ fJ;@lc. ~ffm 'BBtJ\ZP:~BJ17**ftJ&toA~~. ~,. ~.lL~. 0. 0. M.m5/3~t±.:±. ~lbilL~:1E:f111IHoZP:iji~B9.:f~1JI!:f±.:±.~.~.B9~~m,L\. *~.tt.:±. ~.~~Ib.~.m*tt~tt~N.o~tt,. 1<lJ:f±.$IJ~~~.~1i~J~JIIj~~~~ZP:*~ #~~gg~ ~ilL. 0. , t~1ift~ ,. 0. ~.~. M.15-5/3,. r.-B9lli.':Ji!:~. ffii~~T~Jjg~~ft. '. J @. ' '§1IfflM r :±tlr~ft J . r A.~[jj:±. J .~~'~.m~m.:f~.w~~:±.,mm~~.±,.¥~ab.abffi • • ' ffi~aMm.@~a. o~[jj*~:±.~a.:±.-.~~m=tt~~.B9ff~'. BB/J\zp:P).**mf7lJ15-~*IW~OO.*~ • •lIfA'. r ~*~~tt-~ • • *B9*~ ,. fi~tf~~:±m·~.lL~.~~mB9ff~,m~m=tt~~.*~.~~~.lL·:±m B9ff~~OO~ • • • ~JiUOOoJ~tJi!Ib.ZP:~.~~'M~*IWB9B*~A.'. r. ~1b.~~OO~.7a~o~.B9:±m'~.B9~~.MH~~m-moJ@MVBJ1' f~~BJjll~B9tIJ~. ~.~~~.:±m~.±~m'*~I<lJ.~m,t±.:±.~.~.. ,. :±m~.±. 0. J@. .n~~~.*~ • • • ~~~ • • m.,a:±• • ~.~[jjeoo.~.~m~ ~ • • • f!,\:fJ;'~OO.*~ • • ff.m~M.o. • • ~~~mJiUOO'~ • •.lL tlj~~~ • •iff!,\:fJ; ZP:.1itlJ~.ftU ' ~[jjt6h~~~• • Hf*,~ • • •f'Fm **ni!l!IF~.~.BB/J\ZP:~,'!I,. ' ~~ZP:*~1i~1JjUIIJ~ ~ pJT~~ttMil: ' &a ~~~iff!,\:fJ;*ffl~B9fFm.ff7tftt5 ' t~lli' r ~T7!V~ft~~ZP:~~1i~.ftlJ to~~iff!,\:fJ;~~IL\ , 1iffi~.:±f'HI].±~m ' 1il'f~~B ' ~W~Zrfl'~zp:*~ , 0. lIt@ l!t@. 1. tl:±~. .mt ~j;:2. 5/3tt~.(:] ~~ft~ • • ~~ft. r*~.~~~. 1. ~. r~~~±.~~~~~~~ffm-mj ·~~lIt·~=~t-=~fto ~l!t@)'Jl==)\-. ~*I Jjj{ ftlJj. H~j. ~~l. ~~j. ZP:W: lli 7~. ~tt:. fl~. ~*. 0. Nyer4.

(11) ~ :3UIHf4. m~iJ5(Ttl*' rJ!f#Tf3\: r¥7H1T. 1I.i!t;:f1iiJ '. :iiI;@:li.~~~~.~~~I¥J£~'ZfS~1f~;@:~ZfS;!:tHlli.~RlJtEHI. 19*~'~. OOI¥J.~oJ@. ~. ,. ~~AJLt. 41. ••• ~.n. f':riJP5.mi1. $;!:t•••• , •• f&1f'}tE~~ll&.I¥J.d~~'~ZfS~HlliJfl~~MffiT •• *1¥J~.~ •• ~'~~.~~ •• I¥J*e~m~'.~T~~~.~ ••*.I¥JM .o.~\ZfS.WtE~ZfS~Hlli.m~£~~.:U:~.ll&~ •• ~~~I¥J~.' ••T. ~. M~~~~~'~W~*~.~~~*~~~~m~~Q. fffJ!JiUO I¥J m;rt;@: ~ f& 1f'} I¥J P:J ij:}Jtl ~= HMiIHI±. llEJ " ~ ~ i!t ~.j;}~~ a9 flj ~. ~~fl!in~. t,. ~X~~. ~*~P'3ll& ~~~~II!. rfl!in'tE j~ , ~:f. tl~P'3ll&. '. t~±1IJ. ];f~~" '. , :l1¥J*~ , ii:U: ' ±. ,~, r:iiI Rl¥JfJ~. jj)f&§BJI ' ~~~:ffj~. 1~*UJlj~ t:U:ZfS~1f. :Jlj. jlm1.~\ZfSI¥J~.~IIIli,l;§t.. $~. '. $~~.gciI~~tE$~.I¥J+[9*~liH5$1~W. '. .tE~ZfS;!:tHlli.m~I¥J£~~'.:U:~ZfS'~~'0rr·~.I¥J~.~~. ~@°:iiI-~~~~ffi.:U:ZfS~1f~I¥J~ ••• ~~~o.~~:iiI-m*W.~l¥Jff. , tE.iWlI.*n~fJ~XrIf'F : 1.~M~~ •• ±~~ ••• ~o~ •• :U:I¥J~ •• ~~~~.@m.*~I¥J. .±~*O~m11ll&~.£~1¥J Q.'J\ZfS1~W' r .~lf5l*OZfSlitt&:,m:~~.11±~ , ~~ ••• ~QJ ••••• ~.fl!in~~I¥JM.'~ •••B~l¥Jm~.~'m*~~ :f~ZfS' •• ±.~ ••• ~~.#tE'~ZfS.~~m.OO~M •• ~Q.T.~:iiI .*~~,~m: •• ~~&mm~I¥J •• ±.~ ••• ~'~lf5l.:U:~~.;!:tHlli. mrRIJ.£~I¥J~.~~~ Q.iW$~~~=~~~~IiiJJ:X~~.1tI¥Jfl!inB~~~~ , ~~.:U:~~~I¥J~.~~~I¥JM~' •• ~;@:~~~;@: •• ~~~ •• ~~I¥JM~' ;@:~~~;@: •• ~~ •• ±.~ •• ll&~I¥JM~orr;@:£~~**~.m.I¥J.A~ ;fITfDf4~HUl ' ~tE-tLtLOif:=f1 (.~" •••• ~fFJmllipwif:l¥Jlf,¥ra') '.'J\ ZfS!JiH~tii$;!:t$*jU.AI¥J~ffi5$ , ~~.l!j:m.M.f~**~~I¥J~tiftm. ' f'F WT~~~.$' rft1f'}~~ •• ~~ •• '~-.;@:~~ ••±.· •• ll&~'~ ~~~~.;~-.;@:.:U:~ •• ~~~~~ •• ~~~oJf&.~' rm••• ~ .~oJ®m •• ~mw.~·ffi1f~#I¥J'~ZfS.~~~.:U:~ •• ~•• ~~~1¥J .*§.'W•• :U:~.~~~'.~~ZfS.~.'X~m:~~ •• ±.~.m.~o .'J\ZfS•• ~~.tl±~:f;@:-f4~~I¥J$ , &:,~J{~M:ftfW:tt!!~~M~ -tLJ\ tLif:+ f1' f&tEfJ Jl:J:l1~f8~ (Tanzania) $.±~ Itm (Julius Kambarage Nyerere) ~mw ' EE~~~M~±~ , .11±.~.11±~~:1FlJtil¥J~WUlt~~~J ~. 0. 0. !tii ' &;!'t 3iJflDiU11J ZfS;!:tHl'. tt@. r*••~~~.~~fi • • ~~.~+ •• e***~~~~J. ·A~a.'-hh~.~~=+A. 8,;g-~o. tt@. a:l*~' r1Jll~i$(.oot&~m~;t;ijl;lilt?t~·. .llJl:fi,*,I!!Ir.tt!rtt*:E• • ~~l!*mfIJ-~,*,ISI~iI. .;g+~*~~~.**~~~~J ·A~a.·-hh=.+~+=8,;g-~·. tt.. r mlllt!l:w~ •• mffl!!lp;jijl;lilt J. it:t@ i<lJit:t@·"J\!{:='fi:='o. •. lIl /j'2JS:JtiIUI.=:••. Ji!{fi~. °.

(12) m'~R~.~.a~ • • ~~ • •. n•• ~~,~.~~~m~.M.om~~~. ~.l ~~:. 1!t:W m ~ JtiJ ~ ~ ft.:l'ftll ' t&t! j)J IHI:::t iU1l5iHIi& rtI ~;ttW tf9 ~ r~HI ~F¥ ' ij!:llJ~J~ .~~li • • ~~;ttW~~~~~F¥'B~.~mM,~~~ • • ~~.m~,m~ m!j\.3UIHf:l ' m1El±lm~~~.fl:::tiU1H!\HIi&rt1 ' ~~fig~~.~~ 1E&tt.fl:::t~~iMilli&rtI~M;P!f:t ' m!j\.+j1i±~M;P~1IIt! ' re.J'lIJ~~JE. ~~). I~W~IIIt!~.mtt~~~~~~*'~~~M;P'~~~M;Po1E~~&.tf9~~,. ~:$J:. M~:::t_~OO.*Rm_'.R.~,;pn~~'~m~~,m~~.'.mn~~. .¥U!. ~~.~~~~.o~1E-ftA~.-R*~m5~~ftMW~a~,. rft~.ft&. ~~;. • • ~.,ft~ • • ~' • • ~;P~.lI' ft~.&tt°ft~~ • •M• • • *~.t&~~.om~~~~~ • • N~tt'ft~ .tIt~ , .~~.~m J ®-ft)\)\. ' ~tt*f!1j~~~.l:t~ (Mozambique) ~iit 1fflilifi (Joaquim Alberto Chissano) ~, ril!N-.~.' ~.reI3Bf.I~t-.tM~fi. ~~i. 0. tt.lI:::t.·.~1!t:W~.~*Ri&~o. 0. 4'8: ~.I. .HI &z m~tr. ~~li~wo.~m.~~~~Rtt'~~~A.m~nR~'1EnR~~~~!f:tm. ~BA. flj~.. 0. 1!t:W1. 0. ~. J ®jjM*alffl ' 1t;j1am Tm!j\• • J'lJJttw.m'~:fEl~~~tt*~IIIt!~~ 1IIt!}~t~ ~rm.~~ , ~ttt5Jjtt!f:t~Di§1JDtf9iMi*ltb ' m'J,.-JjOOiMiWIB!f:t~@~ n~., • • ~ft~~lil3:::t·~m$·~w.~m.,~-JjOO~5~~'~.Z ~fl ' ft~tt5Jj~.ji~~tf.ftt* .~ji.R ' f.EJ.,C.'!f:t.~~ *lXjlJ~ , .~ _II ' 5Jj1JD~ttft.Di§iIiIJ. ' oott~JIt.~tf9JmOO ' m'J'.iMiWIB r !f:t~*~~*m ~~A~.~i&J~~~,~*ml±l' r • • *IX·.~I±lT~m' • • 5Jj+~. .ft~,ft~~~-.Jj~,~.~ • • nR~'.tf.f~.,~.~ • • nR~'. tf.f~.'~8*·IXR~.& • • nR~'.tf.f~.o Jj~,-~.&~~. 0. 0. ~.1. J:J:f§~. f~IC.,:t. iW.~. tl~F. ~m~. ~oJ.~ji.~,ft~1E.~li.~~~.~'.&~W'.&~.D'~~.~ ~li • • J'lJj~ftrJjm. .t'£~. 0. ~.r",'. .~1. ' • • rl'l~m~i¥J~trJjm ' ;tt;!f:tf¥j~trJjIH~:~Jc.\r",~m ~.t&~~~~~ ' ~7t~.~f¥j~t~f*rQ~m ' ~~.jjRn~~~1JD5~i¥Ji¥JZrdj~~fF i¥J~t~f*. iffim1 ilft. ~mtf9.~1E~'9~BOO.~.~.~~~~.~F¥,g~1!t~~~m.,~.m. i¥J~t~. .~M.~.,~m~. ~~1. 2. f.IEili¥J~tttlffl. '. 1JlliMii¥Ji¥J~f'P. 0. m,J'.HHil '. 1Ett4'~RM*rJjm!f:t. m~*5r",~m. ~F¥. '. 0. .... 0. *~.!f:t~.o~~~.~I3Btf9~~'.bJtiJi¥JJj" m'J'.iMiWIBi¥J~trJjm1E§iW. ~~1. , iffi~1E1I* ' ~tJjBOO.Il?l*~*~lr ' i¥J Jj~.!f:t~.~*~ilJ ~W6~ , i¥J~tr",'m~.~ , §!tflttJl1l1!t~~~~.Bl-m* AtmlHI jj~~~1Et±*ft.*5:E~B.Bl:fEltt~~4'~ , 1!t~~~~~~B~~~. ttlffl!. a. ~~~~-.~~~~a,m-~.~~~.Bl.1E~~~~~n~~1!t~~~~~. J:J~~. ~te;~, t'£mH~~~~~.!f:t~.~~~m~.~~ft.. +j19@1±l '. 0. i¥J~tzrdj~~m~~1E~'J' 0. 0. tt. I&Jtt@'A=:l1!!l1!!o n~ r *.ww:miliS J '1I!/J'lI"JtllM"=:4' A-1i~ ° n~. r~~~~'~M~~J 'l&J~n'A=~Oo. ttl®l I&Jtt@'A=:1itL°. *. 0. 1. o..

(13) ~~. ~~~. j:).1I1 , ffi j:).. ... ~~.~.~.~~~fi. a. " tlD*i¥i:1irl,lj(m~¥U~1i 'm1J~t:1i 1m~rl,lj(ili~J:iJtigm¥u~*l¥J~1i' (Z;l t1$ ~t 1:1 rl,l j( l¥J Ji *~ lli lI1rm JMfH~ , ~if~f'Ft1$ ri Ji ~ ffi*DUf~ iff ~ l¥J i¥.i 1:1 ~ j( " 1RJ~1i. ~BJi*~.BH~rl,lj(~~l¥J.*~~-~~1i.M~~'~~~~~~'.~lI1. ~ttJm. " fllllj'2filE~1fE1I:t~1!t~~~;lj1H~B ••* ' ~AA ~.~~Ba~~'&rl,lZOO~~.~l¥Jffili.if~~•• m-~~~~m.lli~' .Mmllii¥i:1i~.l¥J~~'~.~Rm~rl,l ••• jtm·~~.Ml¥J~~'Wg~1Ul •• ~@1!t~·~.Amn.O~l¥J*~~"Mm' r~are~~~~ •• ~Aml¥J .M*.~'.1fEm •• M~ •• ~~lI1.~~~"R~m.,~ttJ~~~1i~~ • ~H~tprl,l.13 Bl¥J"f:E ' ili~ B~~~.l¥J.f:E " J ~.?&~~~i¥i~t9:1il¥J~1RJ .f:E ' m1J~5if.t~lI1itf'F*.~i¥i~t;f J'ifj , it:ll:rl,l~fIf~1:f ' 13 ?&~:lUfl¥J:1iA " JXZ ' i¥i~t~:1itlD*~J&f.ttJLIDA ' RttJf.t&I3l¥J~1i~~*IJ ffij:)'flll,J'2fm ' .~ i¥i~tr<1~~ , a?&."i¥i~tf.t~~ ~JltIRJIli¥ ' ftl!?1n!11~¥tli¥i~trJj~m •• ~ , (Z;lt1$Bf ~B~mBA ' ~~.Ml¥J~.~~1i1ft ~JIt ' ."i¥i~tf.t~iI~fj , iI.1Jo5im= 1!tWrl,l. Z ra' l¥J itf'F ' • ~ 5ii¥i i¥.i itf'F *31 !lib i¥.i ~ t iii f~ l¥J ~ ~ f.t~i¥ii¥iitf'F ' flll,j\2fi1jf7m:*l¥J~mll11i!~ " Mm, r iltiMm.Jl!m=1!t~l¥J ~ •• llii¥.ii¥iit~~~om~~*m=1!t~~-~~~'&rl,l~~-~~l¥J*~'J:iJ ~ffili~.lI1it~'~J:iJnl¥J.~~'~5im~it~~n.~-~~~oJ8M •• ®0_m~'m=1!t~rl,l •• 5iffili~.'ffili•• 'ffiliit~'J:iJ~.~~~~~'. +~$lJ. n.~m~l¥Jo.z'i¥.ii¥.iit~f.t~.~m=1!t~rl,l.l¥J.lli~:ll:'~.~~~~'. jfl':lf.b. ••i¥i :1i ~ i¥.i ~ t f.t~ tp l¥J i'tB U1: ' 31 !lib i¥i ~ t15m f~ l¥J ~ ~ , flE im rl,l ~ fIf~ 1:f l¥J@:ll: ' ~jl ~m.f'Fffl " 3. @.m=1!tw~.tJKttlli¥~ , fl~13 a ' 15m.~fl1i~~ " flll;J'2fiimt1$f:EfiiJ. ~~tp~j(l¥Jjtj:J1&~~Wffilill¥J. l¥J~)E. IRJ~' ,m~~. $fjJX • tI,. 'ilt1l'l )~m. MJtR~. fgtp. ~lI1m rl,lM!~. ~1f~. 'fi~. ~JifJ1£ 1I12fi~. 0. 0. 0. 0. .1fE.~~.lI1.M~.mlli~.alli*l¥Jrl,l.'.~m.lEl¥J.lli~:ll:'~.Bh lI12fir<1~. •• jtm"m~~j(~:ll:mOO~l¥J§.ff~.~fl~~.'~~jt~1&ml¥JOO~"?&. ~~~. wm~l¥Jrl,l~.~1:f.mrnw~m~1!tW~~l¥J~~"t1$~~mM~OO'H~tp~j(. ~tlUlf~. imfj7•• l¥JM.'~ffl7&MM.IDA'~5if.t~.~;fJ'ifj~~~tpz-"m~~ i¥.i ~t ~:1i" h f.t l:tJMH~;f~lI1B H~ rl,l j( l¥J. 1m g $lJ ' i¥i ~t f.t~*D itfFJ&m l¥J ~ * m:p '. iiZ:llnfl i¥i:1i" fEEHiU. 'i¥i. ~~.~1:f&~m*~~,~:pIm~tp~.l¥J~~O~illfi~~~BH~rl,lj(~tp'. . Uft§.iff~lI1riJi~ffi " ~~JIt ' flll'J'2fi~)Ei¥i~t fi~Rit~l¥JIRJ~,.~mlli,.m.~,a1l'l."~B* •• jtm'.l3a~~~ ftl!1l'l.?&~ BIm~rl,lj(l¥J,**'t~_. ~~*. *"M~m'. ~~i'tB. aOJ@ftl!~**~l¥Jm=1!tWrl,l.~~A·.tJKtt~~ID.m~~lI1,m~*~J:iJ. ?!fl¥J~. ~.Mm-~~l¥J~2firl,l~.~*~~l3a; itt~. itt~. r~."l3a'IRJIli¥~.MIiII3~'J:iJ~~1:100~M~'.~~fi~~. fi1I[t@, Jl::J\FaJ[t®, Jl1i". •• ~tJKtt~.itmm.tp~,~ ••. 0. 0. [t8 r~~$$~m' • • ~.~ffJ 'fi1IMtt·.::O· itt@ fi1Iitt@'Jl::J\::o.

(14) ~~~®;~m.*~~~#~n~~~~~~m,m~~~~~'~~~ftA~~ ~1i!iJ~1.J. '. ~~m~¥u~~®. jjfjf ,. f. tt!HI• • *~j(gjRJ~J{lIM~~~~~mcp~~~~. i&=-J. ~'~M.ti~~fimM~o~~-ftft=~.*Bmm$~.~cpmlli'~~tt~. f*~J!. ~,~~§e,~.~~~~~,.~ti~~~~A~~'mli!iJ.~~m~.*~~. ~~~. cp~*o. ~,. 0. 4. cp~ §ft)Ef3'l.f.$~=tlt~iIt*~~* tI~t&. '. flE~m~tti~. 0. ftB/J\~M~CP~n8~J5{tillHl:±~~~. , 1J[J~mm~f'F~JEdiNJJ~~*'f:f!kF¥~9:l.ll.t. '. f'FlliJ!!~~1t. *o.f.$~.fi.-~'~.~~~~.fi~*~~~'~m9:lm.n~J!!*~ •• ~~:. r~~~~I~Hfn)jcp~~f'Fm~*tJ\' ~~~~§a~milm_.~*tJ\. 0. ~. · ¥lJm~ · ~*~~1.J. ~~~*~*. ••*7 ' PJ~J.f.$A~.~~~.m ' ~m~m~tr~II!$OO. PJ~.~~~~1.J.~o~~m~~*~~~4tlt~~~'. ¥!jj;f:g. ~. '~.~~~~~~~'~~1.J.~*~*.~~. ~m •• ~*oJ.~m~fiT-.tlt~~E+~'~~M.ficp.. (6) ~. )Ew:~. o. .ft~~*~~7'~~fte~.7'ft~~~~ •• cp~~m •• *om~~~~. ~~ •• cp~~~m~1'tJ\'. E. ~~:f!kF¥~r~ •. :f!kF¥ ~ :II'L' r. terniza. ~tm. .ll. cp~'E. *'fJ ' •• lli7~.·X.lli7m~o~=tlt~A~~~~fi~E*·.f.$~~~~~ ElJimUW~~~.t.iI.ll~~ , .)E , 0IE ' ~J!I!I¥J~~*'f:f!kF¥ifff~Ii!iJIH'. :f!kF¥'. 0. ~m~. ~~~. t!' ' it. Jj. ~~~~~~~~t&ft*W:f!kF¥~~·~~~~~~~t&.ll~'$~&J!I!~~Ii!iJ· iffffi1'Ii!iJ~~~o~~~~~~~~*~'*~$~~ti~~~~:f!kF¥~~II!IE.cp ~. r ~!llM'~ J. (paradigm shift) ®~rft'HM. CP~.~I¥J~~~:f!kF¥;~-tl~. fi~~. 1'm:J1I. ,. ftf* '. ~m:±.~r.~.tlft*JeoM~ifff. ~J:lU ~. 0. § ~tltff.!§tTiiNtI~~*'f:f!kF¥~~~. 7JO ji tt® llt® it:t@. r~~~~~~~-~&¥~~J '~OOtt'~=to·. ~it:t@, ~=J\:tt.-=:tt.o. r I3AljtfJJfj~Wt.fBf J. if:) it:t~. it:t®. tegratt. •. 'BI!/J\ZjSJt.II=. ( -:tt.tli - -:tt.J\=if:). (~~g: A~t±lnfiti. ' -:tt.J\:='. '~=Oll!l·. «l. .~li. r &¥~~~rpll~IEr.sJUil* J ~IUiW~'. 'BI!/]\ZjSJt.II:=.., ~=:=.:=. • iI"'UI.ll!.·---"fU!U.15)~.lI9 • • (a~t: *1Wt±lnfiti'. '8~~. ~IIJ\+:='if:) ,~-:=... (Thomas S. Kuhn) t£;Jt~H.¥$lI9i!i.-.rptJi.!t±l7*:stfJ!lUB (paradigm). ".iIi·. fL!! i&;;;mW'. : ooM ",,-1IUiifJl "J!-M""re;tI-M"J!'" ~-flftfJ1iHIW' ..... . ( !lI!:*B"fJ) ( fIf!ll!:*B ) ( B:fii!ll!:*B) aR!!.*'"""ft~ • • W-.M"J!m~~~~ft.~-.M""m~~~'MmM""tfJm~r.s~.~ !lI!:*B*m~tfJ°1-~tfJ~*Bm~*1-~tfJMmr.s~'""J!"'~;Jt • • •!lI!:*BtfJ"fJo it:te #-:ilJ Charles Krauthammer, • The Unipolar Moment,· Foreign Affairs, vol. 70, no. I, Winter 1990/91). ft~tfJt~ta:!lllr. pp. 23 - 33; William C. Wohlforth, • The Stability of a Unipolar World,· International Security, vol. 24, no. 1 (Summer 1999), pp. 5- 41 ; T,xlit' r ~ti1!£~lItfJ*till3 : iI!:IT.8!'HIIII~Zilllti J .~*ft'.+~ • • =M'~IIA+J\.I.~'.-~---J\O·. '. ~~r.:.

(15) ~#~~~~.~~.~a~~~. 6. ~®. ~. .~. ~=+~~*'~$~ili~~15~~~~~~®~~o:tE~=+~$'$~®~~~. ,. :tE$~j;Jm!J\t¥~~iL\®m=~~~~fHI&j;Jn:~~~~iL\®m.:::tt~~~fHI::E. tt:~. f~®1J!~W.~. mgf1. ~®~~~m. f[]~. (6) rm~~~mg1b:f[]1JJ\tt:~til,. ®J!f §tto o tI[] 1M:tE. ftj:jf:$~ El a®m:~. ~,. ~®. ®* :1500. fill .~~. B*'. '. ,. tI[]~. : (1). 15~fI]mU~1J. ~~~~::Efl§. ; (3). ,. ~1~HfJfJf[]1!trf.;f§r.u®~tff. ~~$~~m.:::1!trf.~~®~m. ; (4). ; (2). ~~$. rm~$~~~. ~I\®~m; (5)~~.~lRlf~lijjJ11J&$~JjlWf!UiM' *1t~~®15~;. f11.iEla ; (7) 1Rl~15i:Jj:3tIi~fl:;' If}j.ttfl]~iJil!' ~ ; (8) rm~ r f[]~ttt- , -~~$IJ J ®15~t ; (9) 1Rl~$~®~~. JEfll~. , ~~w~m¥.a*Jm*m/J\~®~~"~WJiSI\;m1@ §A~~$~~~®fi.f1m'$~* • • b~~~_m®.~~&• • ~~~ fgeFf:j;J~liIJt~~flJ~ ; ~~§ A ilif1m$~*.~m~Jlp;j,L\Ii1t.~-f!!~tI~ , :faiL' r -fHlfl:;J (integration) , r :3t~{I:;J (globalization) :!:~~ r~15f1:~J (Wes rem~M~) , rfl]~iJil!J ,rru.~$~Ela®M.'.~~~ • • • ~®*.®o ~tID-fLfL;\~;\F1 r ~~.\t J (The American Assembly) ltIiro~$~*.~ , -fll *~'g j\PJT~: r $~DlRliL\®~ El a®~p;jf1.fjt , rru~~DlRliL\®:fi!~1**ftftj:~~ f9cFf:,~~,a1M® • • 8.~~o$~fI]~m~~®~~~~~~'.~m~:fi!$ mJJ1.:tE~~~-OO:tE:3t~::ij~:3toofJj~®!JHE:3t~tt*~ , ~~~tJif § lW:tE~~5tftj: l¥g1§.f!!m ~tiltpJfI] ~ ~l1!!~1J $ i'iJ1Ji~®fIJ~lRlf~fl3~~/J\ m.:fi!~f!!~1JlIE:tEf1~09: 'I! ' ffij ii II~HIU' f1 ~ I!fl:;o J @l 0. 0. ,. .~. JJ1.:tE'.~15A~Jt~~mA.~$~®~~fI]$~m.~A~~tiltpJ~~~~ ~®.ti.~~'~1Mtttt~m~f!!.~151*'ffij~~f!!.~ • • $~~m.~~.. ~$. ~~.'ili~i'iJ.~.*.~~om-f!!~1*:fi!'tID.$~IT.~~~~ • • ®IE~. 1*, t¥rru. '3{* '. l.J\'::::. §tt£\~Jt~oom~.~ljfl]l1!!J'!IJfi.. ~f!!~~\tlL.IlP51~$~®~9:. m£$IJn® .~IJ?~1*®~~l1!!~~m~1*W.lWE5t~_m®~~m.~®~mz~~* • • }JU? ~~.~IJ\t~l!$~®Ml5rru~fi~09:~~? m-f!!~~~ , $~£\~Jt riHAJ (in ~grd~)~~.~Ff:$*omm'$~X • • ~B\t~~~.'.09:I!'Wft.~M 0. 0. '8'®f1jim~;ftl1!!l¥gm1!ft:!1t~o. Itff$~tJ[JAm.tiltpJ®.tlJ~~~m~l1!!¥lrJ®~.$. ,. ¥.~1!.®-15~~.. ~tpJ&Jtm~~®~.l1!!~~09:~Ela®ff~W§;ft,~ffij-f!!~.::ij~.®.1*~. ,?tiel.. .~~-~~.®~fl§:$~fI]§lW®~~ • • tIDW~.ffili.~,~~:tE:3t~~~. Ust"J: RI@ «'JJiHfi' r fiIi<¥Wlq,~7!-5t:rn1JJ,%U!!-B!l/J\ZP:7!-5t:,1&U~1 j 'JlIW' iHHJL1:1\i '. '*'1II*3HJTM. (~tJR. :. ~.~.WEft'-~AA~) 'R-~~--t.::::o. ):1£ Ell. tt® ~5m'~~x'~~~~*'.III~~~ •••. (~9:a#A~WEft'-~~=~) 'R-t~-. -~=o. tt@l David M. Lampton, • A Growing China in a Shrinking World: Beijing and the Global Order,' in. '/91), , vol. ~J. '. Ezra F. Vogel, ed., Living With China: US.-China Relations in the Twenty-First Century (New York : W.W. Norton, 1997), p. 121. tt@> Ibid., p. 122..

(16) ••• &~.~~~ff~W~? !:f:l:ttMH~R£~3::~tt*~ · '8~mj}J!11!!J~~~'U~*jf!!* · ¥J1JI]..t.~tEt1fi~ El a$::fI ~ ~ tt!!flllD JI • m.®~Itl ,*~tlD * i!!: W-il.tilUIJ ~ ~ $ JlIJ JH.lHlflI Wffl • iltt~Ji ~!:f:l:tt.~'!:f:l:tt*.~.~~~!:f:l •• ~*~Wffl®o~W·!:f:l:tt~Am.®~~. ~~~~~!:f:l:tt®~~~.~~'8~ •• lliT~.:tt~~~~:.-'!:f:l:tt~~~~ •• ~.~·~.®.~ •• Mn~'~.*.~m.®.m?~~!:f:l~~~~'!:f:l~~ m~~*'8~~~m.®.~~.n~.!:f:ltttt~ ••• ~fiWWfflo.-'!:f:l~*g ~.~('8~~.,~m~~*~'8.~~M).§M.,e.#~~~.®iI. ••• ~~.~m.~w.-.®~~.?~*•• ~M·R ••• m.~ ••• ~~~·w. Mlli~~~.~~~§~. At. BR.M~*?~~.!:f:l~Z.'~:fI~'8~~~.*~*~Am.®m.·W'8~*. •• ~.~~. ~.&.~~~~~.?W •• ffj}J.~.®~~M •• ?R~.~~ffi- •• ? ~*.%n~A~.~~mW~.~~A.~~~~o.~,~~iI.. .~, 1f!.M~I~ft;~.!1!:f:l~~.~m~ft;j@~~I!ffl~~.X~Tft.fR (~*:fI. ? f1IJtlD ' ret~1f!.M~I~ft;~.~R£Ttt!!~.§~!4l:~1ig1.J~.!ltfg~~r.u1M ' !:f:l~*g •••••• §n~~~~$W~Mlli~3::$~••?~~• • ~~~ • • ~ ~.liIti~"~JUiim~ft;~I!ffl~~. ' ••fflft•• ~~].~~*.~mffl~.®ti~ ®? ~ ••• ~M.·~~..t.~.s®~.Sil..m&3::~m.W~.~ •• lli~~ *, •• ~.~,~.~.~'m.~•• !1!:f:l~~.!lt°m~Ari!!:W- •• m.J~ ~·!:f:l~-fll~~.m.~!1~~ •• ~~~~, r!:f:l~~~~m.!:f:lm~.-.r ~~ J (learner) ,~~.-. r ~~~.~f$f-¥ J (full partner) • ~.!lt~.~~. ~~~~~*R!:f:l~~~.~.~&.~1Mfi-.j@* •• ~.~oJ@ ~M). the P:. of th. Acco. prove and. t. of 19 new i the d. condi. the n4 the rii. '". '". '". with are th the b coun1 comn. one a temal shoul count. tt® ~'tfWilliam H. Overholt, The Rise of China: How Economic Reform is Creating a New Superpower. tt® tt@. (New York: W. W. Norton & Co, Inc., 1996); Richard Bernstein and Ross H. Munro, The Coming Conflict With China (New York: Alfred A Knopf, Inc., 1997). David M. Lampton, op. dt., pp. 122-123. Ibid., p. 123.. as eq. Keyv Peace. hegel.

(17) $~~.~~.~~~.a~~fi. ~~§. itm U~fjf. l~ft J~{E. An Analysis of the New International. Political and Economic. Order Advocated by the PRe. g*M! IUJ!~. , iffi :;f'Jif IJ(fJEf &0,15 ? :[]*1i ~. 1Uj1jj , ~:m-3B. :t2:tXii 1:ll¥J~. IlJ. m. ~Jr¥ !!l~'f. ~rpower. ;::oming. Yong-kang Ting. Abstract At a time when the old world structure is being replaced by a new one, the PRC has become more and more concerned about the peace and development of the world in the future, especially the question of a new world order. According to Beijing, the past history of more than five decades has already proven and the future history will continue to prove that in the end hegemonism and big-power politics will not work. Deng Xiaoping pointed out at the end of 1988 the necessity of building a new international economic order and a new international political order. The PRC believes that the collapse of the bi-polar world structure and the development towards multi-polarization have already created favorable conditions for the establishment of a new world order. The main contents of the new international order as advocated by Beijing are: (1) every country has the right to choose its own political, economic, and social systems in accordance with its specific conditions; (2) the Five Principles for Peaceful Coexistence are the criteria for establishing a new world order; and all countries, especially the big ones, must strictly abide by the principle of noninterference in other countries' internal affairs; (3) All countries should respect one another. seek common ground while reserving differences. coexist on friendly terms, treat one another as equals. and develop mutually beneficial cooperation; (4) in ternational disputes should be reasonably resolved by peaceful means and should not be settled by force or by threatening the use of force; and (5) all countries-no matter big or small, strong or weak-have the right to participate as equals in consultations for the settlement of world affairs. Keywords: international political and economic order; Five Principles for Peaceful Coexistence; new world order; peace and development; uni-polar hegemony. ~.

(18)