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Transformations of Taiwanese People’s State Identity

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Transformations of Taiwanese People’s State Identity

APSA 2016 “Conceptualizing Difference”

Frank C.S. Liu, NSYSU, Taiwan

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• Whose Flag?

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Taiwan, a nation-state (yet)?

The concepts of nation and state should be clarified

first.

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Taiwanese people have multiple views about

• state: Taiwan or ROC?

• nation: Taiwanese, Chinese, Both, or something else?

• future relationship with PRC: separation, unification, or

status quo?

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So we have a good number of measurements,

But few discussion about the concept-measurement

connections

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How to measure state identification?

“Chinese/Taiwanese”? or

“unification/independence”?

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Research Questions

• Are the measurements properly conceptualized?

• Do the major concepts find their measurements?

• How sure are we when we associate the measurements with concepts (national/ethnic and state/country identification)?

• How to conceptualize the most commonly used survey question—unification/independence preference?

• Could we find the right indicators for the concept of national/ethnic identification?

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Main Ideas

• Revisit the Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) approach

• Explore with Multiple Correspondence Analysis (MCA) techniques

• Double check patterns with multiple datasets

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Data Sets

• F2F Survey: Taiwan Social Change Survey 2013 (n=1,952)

• CATI Telephone survey 2015 (n=1,100)

• Web panel 2015-2016 (n=468)

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ca &

FactoMineR

Two R packages:

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Main Findings

• We have many survey questions but not many concepts.

• Another emerging but neglected dimension is associated with acknowledging or rejecting the legacy of the Republic of China.

• The commonly used measurement

“unification/independence” preference cannot be

well conceptualized.

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TSCS2013

TSCS2013

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ID201

5

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Webpanel

2015-2016

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TSCS2013

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ID2015

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Webpanel

2015-2016

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Summary (1): Measurements of National Identification

• “Do you consider yourself as Taiwanese, Chinese, or both?"

• “ The Chinese people consist of various ethnic groups, and those groups should not be isolated from one another

perception about Chinese nation.”

• “Taiwan has developed very different cultures that should no longer be regarded as part of Chinese culture.”

• “The Chinese people consist of various ethnic groups, and those groups should not be isolated from one another.”

• “Taiwanese people’s forefather is the Yellow Emperor (also called as Huang-di) from China, and we must inherit such an original and history."

• “As the descendants of the Yellow Emperor, we should try our best to promote Chinese culture in the international community.”

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Summary (2): Measurements of the 2

nd

Dimension

• ”End of the Ching Dynasty and establishment of the Republic of China is an important historical event and should be remembered by the next generation and forever.”

• " The victory of the Second Sino-Japanese War is an

important historical event and should be remembered

by the next generation and forever.”

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Summary (3): Conceptualization Failure

• The commonly used simple "unification/independence”

question can NOT be grouped into any of the top 10 dimensions.

• Even the conditional unification/independence questions are NOT measurements of state but national

identification:

• “If the independence of Taiwan would not lead to war, we should declare independence.”

• “If the economic, social and political development in China is more or less the same as development in Taiwan, there should be a cross-strait unification.”

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Conclusions

• MCA is a promising tool for conceptualization.

• It is likely that most commonly used survey questions regarding Taiwan’s political future are linked to one concept: national/ethnic identification.

• The concept of state/country identification has been under- studied and its measurements are worth exploration.

• Time to Taiwan’s identity politics onto a radar with at least two axes,

• national identification: (Taiwanese-Chinese) and

• state identification: (accepting-rejecting) the legacy of ROC.

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Discussion: unsolved puzzles

• There are at least two survey questions that may compose the third concept:

• “Do you believe the status quo with respect to Taiwan already constitutes independence?”

• “Do you believe the people of Taiwan already have their own country?”

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PRC vs. ROC? China vs

Taiwan?

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Not really. The issue in Taiwan is more close to a quarrel

between “two nations” (Chinese nation vs. Taiwanese nation)

Are we talking about two states?

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