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Basic Business Statistics

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Chapter 19

Data Analysis Overview

Basic Business Statistics

11

th

Edition

(2)

Learning Objectives

In this chapter, you learn:

The steps involved in choosing what statistical methods to use to conduct a data analysis

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Good Data Analysis Requires

Choosing The Proper Technique(s)

Choosing the proper technique(s) to use requires the consideration of:

The purpose of the analysis

The type of variable being analyzed

Numerical

Categorical

The assumptions about the variable you are willing to make

(4)

Questions To Ask When Analyzing Numerical Variables

Do you seek to:

Describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)

Draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in a population

Determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable differs depending on the group

Determine which factors affect the value of the variable

Predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables

(5)

How to Describe the Characteristics of a Numerical Variable

Develop tables and charts and compute

descriptive statistics to describe the variable’s characteristics:

Tables and charts

Stem-and-leaf display, percentage distribution, histogram, polygon, boxplot, normal probability plot

Statistics

Mean, median, mode, quartiles, range, interquartile range, standard deviation, variance, and coefficient of variation

(6)

How to draw conclusions about the population mean or standard deviation

Confidence interval for the mean based on the t-distribution

Hypothesis test for the mean (t-test)

Hypothesis test for the variance ( test)

(7)

How to determine whether the mean or standard deviation differs by group

Two independent groups studying central tendency

Normally distributed numerical variables

Pooled t-test if you can assume variances are equal

Separate-variance t-test if you cannot assume variances are equal

Both tests assume the variables are normally distributed and you can examine this assumption by developing boxplots and normal probability plots

To decide if the variances are equal you can conduct an F-test for the differences between two variances

Numerical variables not normally distributed

Wilcoxon rank sum test

(8)

How to determine whether the mean or standard deviation differs by group

Two groups of matched items or repeated measures studying central tendency

Paired differences normally distributed

Paired t-test

Paired differences not normally distributed

Wilcoxon signed ranks test

Two independent groups studying variability

Numerical variables normally distributed

F-test

continued continued

(9)

How to determine whether the mean or standard deviation differs by group

Three or more independent groups and studying central tendency

Numerical variables normally distributed

One Way Analysis of Variance

Three or more groups of matched or repeated measurements

Numerical variables normally distributed

Randomized block design

Numerical variables not normally distributed

Friedman test

continued continued

(10)

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable

Two factors to be examined

Two-factor factorial design

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How to predict the value of a variable based on the value of other variables

One independent variable

Simple linear regression model

Two or more independent variables

Multiple regression model

Data taken over a period of time and you want to forecast future time periods

Moving averages

Exponential smoothing

Least-squares forecasting

Autoregressive modeling

(12)

How to determine whether the values of a variable are stable over time

Studying a process and have collected data over time

Develop R and chartsX

(13)

Questions To Ask When Analyzing Categorical Variables

Do you seek to:

Describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)

Draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population

Determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group

Predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables

Determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time

(14)

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category

Summary tables

Charts

Bar chart

Pie chart

Pareto chart

Side-by-side bar charts

(15)

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest

Confidence interval for proportion of items of interest

Hypothesis test for the proportion of items of interest (Z-test)

(16)

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group

Categorical variable has two categories

Two independent groups

Two proportion Z-test

for the difference between two proportions

Two groups of matched or repeated measurements

McNemar test

More than two independent groups

for the difference among several proportions

More than two categories and more than two groups

test

test

(17)

How to predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables

Logistic regression

(18)

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time

Studying a process and data is taken over time

Collected items of interest over time

p-chart

(19)

Data Analysis Tree

Numerical & Categorical Variables

Numerical Variables Numerical Variables

Categorical Variables Categorical Variables

Possible Questions

How to describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in the population?

How to determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable differs depending on the group?

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable?

How to predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the values of the variable are stable over time?

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population?

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group?

How to predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time?

Possible Questions

How to describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in the population?

How to determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable differs depending on the group?

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable?

How to predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the values of the variable are stable over time?

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population?

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group?

How to predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time?

(20)

Data Analysis Tree Numerical Variables

How to describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in the population?

How to determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable How to describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in the population?

How to determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable

continued continued

Create Tables &

Charts

Calculate Statistics

Mean

Variance / Standard Deviation

Mean Variance Create Tables &

Charts

Calculate Statistics

Mean

Variance / Standard Deviation

Mean Variance

Stem-and-leaf display, percentage distribution, histogram, polygon, boxplot, normal probability plot

Mean, median, mode, quartiles, range,

interquartile range, standard deviation, variance, coefficient of variation

Confidence interval for mean (t or z) Hypothesis test for mean (t or z)

Hypothesis test for variance

Pooled t test (both variables must be normal, variances equal)

Separate variance t test (both variables must be normal)

Wilcoxon rank sum test (variables do not have to be normal)

F-test (both variables must be normal)

Stem-and-leaf display, percentage distribution, histogram, polygon, boxplot, normal probability plot

Mean, median, mode, quartiles, range,

interquartile range, standard deviation, variance, coefficient of variation

Confidence interval for mean (t or z) Hypothesis test for mean (t or z)

Hypothesis test for variance

Pooled t test (both variables must be normal, variances equal)

Separate variance t test (both variables must be normal)

Wilcoxon rank sum test (variables do not have to be normal)

F-test (both variables must be normal)

test)

2 independent groups

2 matched

(21)

Data Analysis Tree Numerical Variables

continued continued

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable?

How to predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the values of the variable are stable over time?

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable?

How to predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the values of the variable are stable over time?

Two factors to be examined

One independent variable

Two or more

Independent variables Data taken over time to forecast the future

Studied a process and taken data over time Two factors

to be examined

One independent variable

Two or more

Independent variables Data taken over time to forecast the future

Studied a process and taken data over time

Two factor factorial design

Simple linear regression

Multiple regression model Moving averages

Exponential smoothing Least squares forecasting Autoregressive modeling

Develop and R charts Two factor factorial design

Simple linear regression

Multiple regression model Moving averages

Exponential smoothing Least squares forecasting Autoregressive modeling

Develop and R chartsX

(22)

Data Analysis Tree Categorical Variables

χ2

continued continued

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population

How to determine

whether the proportion of How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population

How to determine

whether the proportion of

Summary tables Bar charts Pie charts Pareto charts Side-by-side charts

Confidence interval for the proportion of items of interest Hypothesis test for the proportion of items of interest

Two proportion Z test

test for the difference between two proportions McNemar test

test for the difference among several proportions Summary tables

Bar charts Pie charts Pareto charts Side-by-side charts

Confidence interval for the proportion of items of interest Hypothesis test for the proportion of items of interest

Two proportion Z test

test for the difference between two proportions McNemar test

test for the difference among several proportions Two categories & two

independent groups Two categories & two matched groups

Two categories & more than two independent Two categories & two independent groups Two categories & two matched groups

Two categories & more

than two independent χ2

(23)

How to predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables

How to determine

whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time

How to predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables

How to determine

whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time

Data Analysis Tree Categorical Variables

continued continued

Logistic Regression

p-chart

Logistic Regression

p-chart Studying a process

and collected items of interest over time Studying a process and collected items of interest over time

(24)

Chapter Summary

Discussed how to choose the appropriate technique(s) for data analysis for both

numerical and categorical variables

Discussed potential questions and the associated appropriate techniques for numerical variables

Discussed potential questions and the associated appropriate techniques for categorical variables

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