An Investigation of the Development and Analysis of an Assessment Framework of Supply Chain Risks
李昀育、陳欽雨
E-mail: 9415981@mail.dyu.edu.tw
ABSTRACT
Nowadays the corporate's business strategies tend to develop an intensive network relationship on designing and operating its supply chain. Although the network relationship has the advantages of resource sharing, resource complementarity, transaction costs reduction, and focusing on core competency, it may inevitably encounter the risks and uncertainty accompanied by the network.
However, so far it still lacks a systematic investigation on the sources, categories, and impacts of uncertainty of a supply chain. The purpose of current study is to explore the risks of a supply chain, and define these risks and their categories. Besides, the method and the tool of risk analysis are proposed to measure the value at risk. Finally, an integrated assessment framework of supply chain risks is developed. The study referred to the related literature and the viewpoints of experts so as to objectively develop the framework of supply chain risks and their sources. A two-step survey was conducted to the leaders or decision-makers from logistics department in electronic industry, which can be used to collect the data concerning the sources and their importance of various risks. A fuzzy analytic hierarchical process (FAHP) is adopted to calculate the weights of given risks representing their seriousness. The study proposed a framework including the category of risks, the items of risks, and their weights. A risk matrix is displayed, where the value at risk were obtained by multiplying the possibility of risk and its seriousness score. The findings of this study can serve as a reference tool for the companies to assess their supply chain risks and help the managers make the decisions on logistics management.
Keywords : Supply Chain Risk; Risk Assessment; Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchical Process Table of Contents
封面內頁 簽名頁 授權書---iii 中文摘要---v 英文摘 要---vi 誌謝---viii 目
錄---ix 圖目錄---xii 表目 錄---xiii 第一章 緒論---1 1.1研究背 景---1 1.2研究動機---2 1.3研究問 題---4 1.4研究目的---5 第二章 文獻探 討---6 2.1 供應鏈與供應鏈管理---6 2.2 供應鏈風險分 析---8 2.2.1 風險---8 2.2.2供應鏈風
險---10 2.3風險評估工具---16 2.4 研究方法理論基 礎---20 2.4.1 AHP法---20 2.4.2 模糊理
論---21 2.4.3 模糊分析層級程序法---22 第三章 研究方 法---24 3.1研究樣本及限制---24 3.1.1研究範
圍---24 3.1.2研究限制---24 3.2 供應鏈各類風險來 源---25 3.2.1外部供應鏈風險說明與來源---25 3.2.2 內部供應鏈風險說明與來 源---26 3.2.3 相關網絡風險說明與來源---28 3.3 研究架
構---30 3.4研究方法---31 3.4.1 相關文獻整 理---31 3.4.2 模糊德菲法---33 3.4.3 模糊分析層級 法---35 第四章 研究結果---41 4.1 第一階段問卷分析結 果---41 4.2 第二階段問卷分析結果---45 4.2.1相對嚴重性程度之評 估---45 4.2.2發生風險來源可能性之評估---48 4.2.3評估各項風險來源之風險 值---50 4.3 供應鏈風險評估架構及風險矩陣---51 第五章 結論與建 議---55 5.1 研究結論---55 5.2建議及未來研 究---56 參考文獻---57 附
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