CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
SEPTEMBER/ 2004
No. 9
Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.
Statistics and Census Service
17th floor, “Dynasty Plaza” Bldg., 411-417 Alameda Dr. Carlos d’Assumpção, Macao Tel: 3995311 Fax: 307825 Printed in October 2004
E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Homepage: http://www.dsec.gov.mo
Since January 2001, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been calculated using October 1999 to September 2000 as the base period. The consumption pattern has been derived from the Household Budget Survey 98/99. In this CPI series, housing rent includes both private and welfare housing. Furthermore, CPI(A) represents 54% of the households with an average monthly expenditure of MOP3,000 to MOP9,999 and CPI(B) accounts for 26% of the households with an average monthly expenditure of MOP10,000 to MOP19,999.
TABLE 1：CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - SEPTEMBER 2004
10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100
Unit Composite
CPI CPI(A) CPI(B)
Monthly index
95.22 96.76 94.79Annual rate of change ending in September 2004 %
0.01 0.28 -0.02Month-to-month rate of change %
0.67 0.94 0.64Year-on-year rate of change %
2.12 1.96 2.17o : Less than half of the unit employed
CHART 1 - MONTHLY RATES OF CHANGE OF COMPOSITE CPI BY SECTION
%
Global index +0.67%
In September 2004, Composite CPI was 95.22, up 0.67% over August, which has increased for six consecutive months. For the 12 months ended September 2004, the average Composite CPI rose 0.01% over the previous period, marking the end of the 5-year long deflation since 1999.
Due to upward adjustment of school tuition fees in the new academic year and rising prices in men’s clothing and footwer, fresh vegetables and fruit, the indices of Education and leisure, Clothing and footwear and Foodstuffs and beverages rose by 1.94%, 1.59% and 1.38% respectively over August. On the other hand, lower prices in air tickets and outbound package tours after the summer peak season led to decreases in the indices of Transport and communications (-0.70%) and Other goods and services (-0.38%).
Composite CPI in September showed a notable year-on-year increase of 2.12%. Average Composite CPI for the first three quarters of 2004 went up 0.48% compared with the same period of 2003.
CPI(A) and CPI(B) increased 0.94% and 0.64% respectively over August.
Transport and communications -0.70 Other goods and services -0.38 Tobacco and alcoholic beverages -0.10
Health -0.01
Education and leisure 1.94 Clothing and footwear 1.59 Foodstuffs and beverages 1.38 Rent and housing expenses 0.11
Household goods 0.02
TABLE 2：TIME SERIES OF THE COMPOSITE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100
Year / Month Global index
Foodstuffs and beverages
Clothing and footwear
Rent and housing expenses
Tobacco and alcoholic beverages
Household
goods Health
Transport and communi-
cations
Education and leisure
Other goods and
services
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Weight 100.00 31.35 5.26 29.93 1.23 3.22 2.42 9.81 10.89 5.89
2003
9 93.24 95.74 67.66 92.13 105.13 88.92 100.51 93.91 98.62 94.24
10 93.22 94.98 69.90 92.13 105.01 88.63 100.61 94.28 98.69 95.32
11 93.12 94.68 71.67 92.04 105.05 88.63 100.61 93.75 98.69 95.05
12 93.08 94.80 71.04 91.73 105.03 88.47 100.49 94.43 98.63 95.04
2004
1 93.59 95.48 69.98 91.66 104.97 88.55 100.66 95.67 98.89 98.65
2 93.60 96.79 69.15 91.82 105.16 89.76 100.70 94.09 98.69 94.04
3 93.42 96.10 71.17 91.95 105.01 88.82 100.78 93.74 98.70 93.33
4 93.66 96.19 73.29 92.03 105.06 88.97 100.76 94.22 98.71 93.66
5 93.74 95.55 76.01 92.47 105.30 88.94 100.76 94.31 98.77 93.50
6 93.98 96.18 76.40 92.22 105.31 89.11 100.79 94.68 98.91 94.07
7 94.34 97.31 73.63 92.38 105.57 89.22 100.72 94.97 99.15 94.83
8 94.58 97.75 72.37 92.43 105.66 89.51 100.87 96.08 99.17 95.37
9 95.22 99.10 73.52 92.54 105.56 89.52 100.86 95.41 101.10 95.01
TABLE 3：PRINCIPAL RATES OF CHANGE OF THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX AT SECTION LEVEL OF GOODS AND SERVICES
% Rates of change
Jan. - Sept. 2004 / Jan. - Sept. 2003
Sept. 2004 / Sept. 2003
Sept. 2004 / Aug. 2004
Contribution to rate of change in global index Goods and services
Composite
CPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CompositeCPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CompositeCPI CPI(A) CPI(B) CompositeCPI CPI(A) CPI(B)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Global index 0.48 0.72 0.46 2.12 1.96 2.17 0.67 0.94 0.64 100.00 100.00 100.00
Foodstuffs and beverages 1.75 2.04 1.61 3.51 3.67 3.40 1.38 1.63 1.28 66.50 61.99 65.02 Clothing and footwear 1.81 2.15 1.54 8.65 7.77 8.55 1.59 0.59 1.35 9.52 1.60 10.03 Rent and housing expenses -1.07 -0.64 -1.16 0.44 -0.13 0.39 0.11 0.13 0.11 4.81 4.30 4.56 Tobacco and alcoholic beverages 0.12 0.01 0.15 0.40 0.16 0.46 -0.10 -0.12 -0.08 -0.19 -0.21 -0.17 Household goods 1.26 0.63 1.17 0.68 1.18 0.64 0.02 -0.04 -0.01 0.08 -0.06 -0.07
Health -0.21 -0.06 -0.14 0.35 0.67 0.46 -0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.02 0.06 0.08
Transport and communications 0.46 0.12 0.60 1.60 1.13 2.11 -0.70 -0.26 -0.30 -10.31 -2.18 -4.76 Education and leisure 1.03 1.36 0.85 2.52 2.75 2.28 1.94 2.50 1.68 32.94 34.98 31.09 Other goods and services -0.52 -0.88 -0.19 0.82 0.91 0.66 -0.38 -0.13 -0.56 -3.32 -0.47 -5.78 - : Magnitude zero
TABLE 4：TIME SERIES OF CPI (A)
10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100
Year / Month Global index
Foodstuffs and beverages
Clothing and footwear
Rent and housing expenses
Tobacco and alcoholic beverages
Household
goods Health
Transport and communi-
cations
Education and leisure
Other goods and
services
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Weight 100.00 35.05 3.34 32.88 1.48 1.47 2.33 7.91 12.16 3.38
2003
9 94.90 95.59 67.86 93.67 105.27 89.17 101.78 93.33 102.88 94.59
10 94.65 94.58 70.32 93.58 105.18 88.93 101.90 93.51 102.90 95.82
11 94.46 94.03 72.35 93.46 105.22 88.89 101.91 93.23 102.90 95.45
12 94.40 94.17 72.04 93.15 105.19 88.68 101.80 93.56 102.83 95.15
2004
1 94.80 94.95 70.93 93.07 105.13 88.85 101.90 94.31 103.04 98.48
2 95.18 96.51 69.92 93.28 105.32 89.31 102.01 93.50 102.85 94.37
3 94.92 95.65 71.12 93.42 105.14 89.32 102.06 93.33 102.84 93.55
4 95.11 95.84 73.13 93.47 105.16 89.39 102.10 93.56 102.86 94.19
5 94.93 94.97 75.87 93.54 105.39 89.49 102.11 93.58 102.91 94.05
6 95.11 95.67 76.04 93.19 105.36 89.76 102.13 93.84 103.00 94.37
7 95.62 97.00 73.85 93.37 105.48 89.82 102.16 93.98 103.12 95.16
8 95.86 97.52 72.70 93.43 105.56 90.26 102.44 94.63 103.13 95.58
9 96.76 99.10 73.13 93.55 105.44 90.22 102.47 94.38 105.71 95.45
TABLE 5：TIME SERIES OF CPI (B)
10/1999 - 9/2000 = 100
Year / Month Global index
Foodstuffs and beverages
Clothing and footwear
Rent and housing expenses
Tobacco and alcoholic beverages
Household
goods Health
Transport and communi-
cations
Education and leisure
Other goods and
services
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Weight 100.00 31.50 6.22 27.13 1.26 3.51 2.16 10.13 11.54 6.55
2003
9 92.77 95.63 67.64 92.47 105.21 89.05 101.02 92.84 96.49 94.42
10 92.78 94.98 69.83 92.45 105.08 88.80 101.13 93.05 96.55 95.25
11 92.74 94.77 71.58 92.36 105.12 88.78 101.12 92.74 96.54 94.94
12 92.66 94.88 70.91 92.06 105.11 88.61 100.99 93.09 96.47 94.84
2004
1 93.19 95.54 69.89 91.99 105.05 88.68 101.21 94.15 96.83 98.59
2 93.21 96.76 69.19 92.15 105.22 89.86 101.27 93.29 96.57 94.07
3 93.05 96.13 70.78 92.28 105.10 88.92 101.35 93.11 96.53 93.55
4 93.28 96.19 72.99 92.36 105.15 89.08 101.32 93.56 96.59 93.52
5 93.37 95.61 75.28 92.76 105.39 89.05 101.33 93.64 96.63 93.48
6 93.62 96.18 75.64 92.49 105.41 89.22 101.35 94.09 96.82 94.27
7 93.96 97.21 73.50 92.67 105.72 89.35 101.26 94.24 97.07 94.95
8 94.18 97.63 72.44 92.72 105.78 89.63 101.46 95.08 97.06 95.58
9 94.79 98.88 73.41 92.82 105.70 89.62 101.49 94.80 98.69 95.05
TABLE 6：AVERAGE RETAIL PRICES OF SELECTED FOOD ITEMS
MOP Average retail prices
2003 2004
Items Unit
September April May June July August September
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Rice
Packaged rice from Thailand kg 5.83 6.19 6.45 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.51
Salt-water fish, fresh
Golden thread kg 30.13 27.77 25.98 26.29 30.79 28.17 29.90
Promfret kg 66.16 75.83 71.07 73.09 75.77 66.00 69.54
Sole kg 87.10 76.58 79.34 83.99 85.69 91.04 84.63
Fresh-water fish, fresh
Grass carp kg 18.98 18.75 18.85 18.84 18.88 19.08 19.32
Snake head kg 21.63 20.97 21.01 21.16 21.16 20.64 20.54
Head of big head fish kg 32.82 29.75 29.87 29.75 30.17 30.46 30.46
Fresh pork
Lean cut kg 30.22 31.49 31.92 31.88 31.41 34.95 34.95
Pork chop kg 29.75 30.87 31.41 31.41 31.41 35.30 35.42
Fresh beef
Shin beef kg 38.72 38.49 38.25 38.25 37.78 37.78 37.78
Beef kg 39.20 39.08 38.72 38.72 38.72 38.72 38.72
Live poultry
Chicken kg 25.50 25.74 25.74 25.74 25.74 25.71 25.74
Duck kg 18.84 …a …a …a …a …a …a
Fresh vegetable
White cabbage kg 9.79 6.96 5.45 6.05 7.18 7.45 9.59
Flowering cabbage kg 10.84 8.40 6.57 7.36 8.41 8.42 10.32
Chinese lettuce kg 10.10 6.06 5.00 5.73 7.39 8.40 10.01
Broccoli kg 25.95 15.75 14.47 12.91 15.10 15.28 14.26
Tomato kg 7.00 7.20 6.67 7.12 7.26 7.19 7.74
Potato kg 5.60 6.08 5.95 5.84 5.69 5.73 6.12
Onion kg 7.25 8.43 8.29 8.10 8.12 7.74 7.83
Fresh fruit
Orange each 2.77 2.77 2.76 3.05 3.21 2.97 3.16
Apple each 2.61 2.69 2.72 2.65 2.83 2.98 3.09
Banana kg 6.89 6.72 6.74 6.67 6.69 6.75 6.72
Egg
Hen egg each 0.70 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.67 0.69
aNo relevant live poultry imported.
CHART 2 – MOVEMENTS OF THE COMPOSITE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CHART 3 – MOVEMENTS OF CPI(A)
CHART 4 – MOVEMENTS OF CPI(B) -2.00
-1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00
September2003 November January 2004 March May July September
% Rate of change compared with preceding month
Rate of change compared with same month of previous year
-2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00
September2003 November January 2004 March May July September
% Rate of change compared with preceding month
Rate of change compared with same month of previous year
-2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00
September2003 November January 2004 March May July September
% Rate of change compared with preceding month
Rate of change compared with same month of previous year
