建議

對於配銷系統及轉運方面的問題有更多的認識後，深深覺得此一領 域還可以發揮的空間很大，在此簡單陳述可供繼續研究的課題，除了給 自己一個方向，也期望能提供有興趣研究者一些有用資訊。

1.單期多次需求預防轉運模式建構

預防轉運較緊急轉運複雜；在緊急轉運的環境中，轉運時機的判斷 為有零售商發生缺貨時，但在預防轉運時，轉運時機依據對系統的 要求不同而有所差異。預防轉運的實施旨在預防缺貨，在單期單次 顧客需求環境中，預防轉運目的在防止未來的一期發生缺貨。至於 在單期固定多次與單期變動多次的需求環境中，仍有很大的研究空 間。

轉運問題旨在擬定一轉運政策，包括決定轉運啟動的時機與啟動轉 運後，轉運量與轉運優先次序的決定。如第三章所言，預防轉運牽 涉的因素有許多，列出重要的三項說明如下：

A.週期剩餘時間

當週期剩餘時間愈長，表示供應源願意提供的存貨愈少，因為預留 以避免缺貨的存貨與剩餘時間長度正比。

B.轉運前置時間

轉運前置時間與零售商計畫保留的存貨數量有關，計畫保留的存貨 數量與轉運前置時間成正比；同理，會與願意提供的轉運量成反比。

C.顧客需求的分配與需求率

顧客需求的分配與需求率影響存貨的消耗速率以及存貨所能提供服 務的時間。期望需求量與期望到達率的乘積愈高，表消耗率愈大，

能提供服務的時間愈短；以此類推，顧客需求的變異則影響著消耗 率及提供服務時間的變化。

2. 發展以延遲時間來衡量服務水準的績效指標

根據供應鏈作業參考模式(Supply Chain Operation Reference Model, SCOR)的定義，衡量供應鏈績效指標有多種；由文獻探討的結果也 得知，研究轉運的文獻中多是以成本及數量來衡量服務水準或系統 績效，以延遲交貨時間來衡量者則較少見到。實務上以延遲時間來 衡量績效或作為缺貨處罰成本計算依據者卻相當普通。也因此，發 展以延遲時間來衡量績效的指標也是一個研究方向。

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附錄一：五個零售商之配銷系統的基本模擬結果

S1 5386 24.56 5385 8.29 1745 2599 13958 16557 0.3373 0.3239 S2 5367 25.00 5372 3.03 414 693 3308 4001 0.1214 0.0770 G1 S3 5363 1.00 5370 4.99 401 684 3206 3890 --- 0.0746 S4 5382 25.06 5384 6.53 1151 1441 9207 12259 0.2602 0.2135 S5 5365 25.01 5372 0.49 235 376 1884 2425 0.0197 0.0438 S6 5362 1.00 5370 0.00 310 456 2481 3011 --- 0.0578 S1 5415 24.53 5379 8.35 2603 7781 20823 28603 0.3403 0.4838 S2 5349 25.00 5372 7.80 2299 6171 18391 24561 0.3120 0.4279 G2 S3 5347 1.00 5369 3.01 2297 6165 18376 24541 --- 0.4278 S4 5395 25.04 5379 7.59 2025 4961 16198 22332 0.3030 0.3762 S5 5351 25.01 5372 6.69 2103 5058 16828 22426 0.2677 0.3916 S6 5363 1.00 5369 0.16 1171 2329 9371 12459 --- 0.2182 S1 5486 24.53 5379 7.35 3075 16171 24599 40770 0.2995 0.5715 S2 5603 25.00 5372 7.35 2959 13458 23669 37128 0.2939 0.5508 G3 S3 5598 1.00 5369 2.45 2951 13441 23609 37050 --- 0.5496 S4 5412 25.04 5378 6.65 2323 9795 18584 29483 0.2656 0.4317 S5 5270 24.86 5336 5.98 2301 9808 18404 28942 0.2391 0.4292 S6 5396 1.00 5369 0.35 1889 7340 15110 23630 --- 0.3519 S1 16476 74.69 16098 21.96 9315 41789 74519 116308 0.2939 0.5786 S2 16530 75.00 16068 20.93 8728 37886 69827 107713 0.2790 0.5432 G4 S3 16568 1.00 16069 2.61 8751 37831 70007 107838 --- 0.5446 S4 16148 75.15 16098 20.23 7383 29472 59061 90973 0.2692 0.4586 S5 15910 75.01 16068 18.93 7685 33016 61482 95763 0.2523 0.4783 S6 16208 1.00 16069 0.28 3985 12986 31883 47316 --- 0.2480 S1 16088 74.69 16095 18.42 3890 5931 31118 37050 0.2466 0.2416 S2 16036 75.00 16065 9.75 1917 3441 15335 18776 0.1300 0.1193 G5 S3 16038 1.00 16069 4.88 1960 3485 15684 19168 --- 0.1220 S4 16074 75.15 16095 10.20 2711 3574 21689 27762 0.1358 0.1684 S5 16029 75.01 16065 2.40 1294 2030 10350 12945 0.0320 0.0805 S6 16039 1.00 16070 0.00 1291 2062 10330 12790 --- 0.0804 S1 16242 74.69 16100 24.76 7874 19415 62990 82404 0.3314 0.4890 S2 15931 75.00 16069 21.18 6548 15798 52384 68182 0.2824 0.4075 G6 S3 15923 1.00 16070 3.24 6575 15873 52601 68474 --- 0.4092 S4 16090 75.15 16100 22.92 6545 14890 52363 69363 0.3049 0.4065 S5 16100 75.01 16070 20.40 6373 14450 50987 66402 0.2719 0.3966 S6 16107 1.00 16070 0.10 2169 4179 17348 22433 --- 0.1349

模擬設 S1 26953 124.64 26782 39.51 12452 31952 99612 131564 0.3170 0.4649 S2 21235 125.25 21523 29.24 9042 32183 72333 104515 0.2924 0.4201 G7 S3 26563 1.00 26769 3.09 11357 29243 90856 120098 --- 0.4243 S4 26775 125.13 26781 34.73 10561 24791 84489 112458 0.2775 0.3943 S5 27237 125.00 26758 35.61 11050 24720 88401 115193 0.2651 0.3894 S6 26677 1.00 26663 0.14 4634 8984 37074 48901 --- 0.1737 S1 27414 124.63 26788 36.53 15550 66833 124399 191231 0.2931 0.5804 S2 26890 125.00 26765 32.38 13488 59156 107907 167063 0.2590 0.5040 G8 S3 26938 1.00 26770 2.78 13516 59126 108129 167254 --- 0.5049 S4 27157 125.13 26788 34.42 12729 48502 101835 153940 0.2751 0.4751 S5 26291 125.00 26766 31.01 12193 51417 97544 150717 0.2481 0.4555 S6 26830 1.00 26663 0.25 5147 17474 41176 61079 --- 0.1931 S1 26772 124.63 26784 29.86 6332 8147 50652 58799 0.2396 0.2364 S2 26743 125.00 9.31 1819 3119 14549 17668 0.0745 0.0680 G9 S3 26739 1.00 26769 5.00 1793 3098 14345 17443 --- 0.0670 S4 26749 125.12 26786 16.53 3949 4662 31589 39525 0.1321 0.1474 S5 26732 125.00 26763 1.90 1086 1721 8689 10905 0.0152 0.0406 S6 26735 1.00 26770 0.00 1368 2022 10944 13295 --- 0.0511

26763

附錄二：轉運法則成效–相對法一

2.10 個零售商

3. 20 個零售商

次 數

附錄三：轉運法則成效–相對法二

2. 10 個零售商

3. 20 個零售商

附錄四：正規化值–比值法

1 0.952 0.945 0.982 0.994 0.961 0.962 0.974 0.969 0.974 0.969 0.932 0.931 0.994 0.994 0.985 0.985 0.909 0.915 2 1.000 1.000 0.828 0.849 0.951 0.961 0.956 0.957 0.956 0.957 0.935 0.938 1.000 1.000 0.897 0.879 1.000 1.000 3 0.676 0.689 0.637 0.678 0.603 0.759 0.623 0.635 0.623 0.635 0.509 0.624 0.925 0.926 0.616 0.614 0.591 0.658 4 0.979 0.978 0.837 0.843 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.989 0.988 0.894 0.881 0.954 0.961 1 5 0.925 0.918 1.000 1.000 0.990 0.990 0.976 0.972 0.976 0.972 0.933 0.933 0.999 0.999 0.998 0.986 0.989 0.988 6 0.471 0.484 0.649 0.687 0.601 0.750 0.578 0.590 0.578 0.590 0.463 0.557 0.912 0.911 0.658 0.661 0.655 0.695 7 0.951 0.944 0.987 1.000 0.974 0.974 0.929 0.924 0.929 0.924 0.956 0.956 0.992 0.991 1.000 1.000 0.994 0.993 8 0.677 0.690 0.637 0.674 0.600 0.755 0.611 0.621 0.611 0.621 0.499 0.612 0.923 0.924 0.625 0.620 0.574 0.643 9 0.664 0.673 0.650 0.693 0.566 0.716 0.650 0.661 0.650 0.661 0.429 0.541 0.932 0.933 0.619 0.617 0.617 1 0.973 0.951 0.982 0.978 1.000 1.000 0.982 0.955 0.987 0.962 1.000 1.000 0.996 0.988 0.989 0.991 0.995 0.992 2 0.966 0.948 0.934 0.930 0.961 0.962 0.974 0.951 0.979 0.958 0.947 0.952 0.997 0.993 0.943 0.931 0.993 0.991 3 1.000 1.000 0.881 0.916 0.651 0.672 0.995 0.992 1.000 1.000 0.647 0.680 1.000 1.000 0.843 0.882 0.801 0.802 4 0.967 0.948 0.941 0.928 0.956 0.952 0.978 0.954 0.983 0.961 0.959 0.962 0.999 0.993 0.942 0.925 1.000 1.000 2 5 0.971 0.946 0.997 0.990 0.988 0.982 0.986 0.958 0.992 0.965 0.995 0.999 0.998 0.993 0.992 0.992 0.993 0.992 6 0.850 0.813 0.888 0.918 0.558 0.561 0.971 0.950 0.976 0.957 0.609 0.629 0.977 0.966 0.860 0.886 0.836 0.828 7 0.971 0.948 1.000 1.000 0.997 0.995 0.987 0.959 0.992 0.967 0.995 0.999 0.998 0.992 1.000 1.000 0.997 0.999 8 0.983 0.982 0.894 0.932 0.644 0.664 1.000 1.000 0.859 0.958 0.647 0.681 0.996 0.996 0.844 0.876 0.802 0.801 9 0.977 0.978 0.877 0.908 0.589 0.596 0.992 0.992 0.856 0.961 0.618 0.645 0.990 0.987 0.847 0.881 0.772 0.767 1 1.000 0.993 0.989 0.984 0.998 1.000 1.000 0.996 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.995 0.991 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 2 0.999 0.994 0.944 0.930 0.967 0.962 0.999 0.995 0.949 0.934 0.971 0.963 1.000 1.000 0.960 0.937 0.999 0.999 3 0.997 1.000 0.917 0.954 0.778 0.748 0.978 0.982 0.902 0.957 0.795 0.778 0.956 0.947 0.881 0.906 0.883 0.856 4 0.997 0.991 0.947 0.925 0.979 0.969 0.996 0.990 0.940 0.922 0.974 0.967 0.991 0.987 0.951 0.926 0.990 0.987 3 5 0.996 0.986 0.993 0.988 1.000 0.995 0.996 0.990 0.997 0.997 0.985 0.978 0.988 0.982 0.996 0.989 0.990 0.987 6 0.770 0.653 0.922 0.953 0.626 0.543 0.892 0.831 0.911 0.941 0.754 0.710 0.899 0.856 0.883 0.892 0.922 0.901 7 0.995 0.986 1.000 1.000 0.998 0.993 0.998 0.992 0.992 0.993 0.979 0.968 0.983 0.977 0.999 0.998 0.992 0.991 8 0.975 0.973 0.920 0.958 0.762 0.727 0.988 1.000 0.901 0.947 0.787 0.765 0.962 0.958 0.890 0.920 0.884 0.856 9 0.975 0.979 0.912 0.949 0.700 0.641 0.961 0.965 0.904 0.949 0.757 0.724 0.944 0.931 0.889 0.921 0.871 0.842 1 0.940 0.907 0.999 0.945 0.938 0.930 0.943 0.891 0.994 0.954 0.966 0.961 0.984 0.981 0.981 0.972 1.000 1.000 2 0.948 0.920 0.975 0.915 1.000 1.000 0.946 0.897 0.961 0.914 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.951 0.930 0.970 0.958 3 0.980 0.980 0.976 0.985 0.533 0.475 0.996 0.989 0.957 0.997 0.537 0.489 0.923 0.918 0.924 0.981 0.701 0.639 4 0.942 0.912 0.982 0.924 0.936 0.925 0.933 0.878 0.955 0.905 0.933 0.924 0.986 0.983 0.950 0.929 0.965 0.951 4 5 0.943 0.914 1.000 0.944 0.953 0.942 0.948 0.898 1.000 0.961 0.945 0.937 0.985 0.983 1.000 0.992 0.963 0.948 6 0.804 0.697 0.987 1.000 0.441 0.355 0.925 0.855 0.956 0.971 0.552 0.500 0.835 0.778 0.913 0.954 0.767 0.720 7 0.949 0.921 0.999 0.944 0.952 0.942 0.942 0.889 0.999 0.957 0.954 0.948 0.993 0.992 0.989 0.982 0.960 0.945 8 0.989 0.996 0.980 1.000 0.519 0.458 1.000 1.000 0.954 0.991 0.529 0.478 0.925 0.923 0.934 0.999 0.701 0.640 9 1.000 1.000 0.981 0.984 0.465 0.386 0.971 0.949 0.965 1.000 0.488 0.423 0.894 0.869 0.937 1.000 0.664 0.588 1 0.886 0.884 0.969 0.974 0.967 0.969 0.966 0.964 0.396 0.399 0.936 0.934 0.981 0.981 0.995 0.997 0.944 0.947 2 0.991 0.991 0.883 0.892 0.955 0.966 0.988 0.988 0.343 0.346 0.932 0.935 1.000 1.000 0.989 0.998 1.000 1.000

0.543

5 個零售商 10 個零售商 20 個零售商 Group 法則

F-N F-Q V-N V-Q S-N S-Q F-N F-Q V-N V-Q S-N S-Q F-N F-Q V-N V-Q S-N S-Q 3 0.705 0.708 0.706 0.733 0.589 0.733 0.667 0.668 1.000 1.000 0.537 0.656 0.906 0.906 0.684 0.695 0.584 0.651 4 0.992 0.993 0.897 0.899 1.000 1.000 0.991 0.991 0.336 0.341 1.000 1.000 0.999 0.999 0.976 0.984 0.990 0.992 5 5 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.989 0.989 1.000 1.000 0.404 0.408 0.933 0.933 0.966 0.965 1.000 1.000 0.980 0.981 6 0.481 0.484 0.710 0.738 0.379 0.514 0.535 0.536 0.254 0.266 0.463 0.575 0.906 0.905 0.721 0.741 0.625 0.672 7 0.941 0.940 0.986 0.986 0.976 0.978 0.967 0.966 0.395 0.398 0.947 0.945 0.981 0.981 0.996 0.998 0.982 0.984 8 0.728 0.731 0.697 0.728 0.549 0.694 0.651 0.652 0.237 0.248 0.504 0.617 0.894 0.893 0.681 0.700 0.582 0.646 9 0.746 0.750 0.737 0.765 0.458 0.594 0.676 0.678 0.244 0.256 0.453 0.574 0.909 0.908 0.686 0.703 0.562 0.633 1 0.986 0.970 0.996 0.983 1.000 1.000 0.960 0.947 0.994 0.994 0.985 0.984 0.984 0.967 0.995 0.970 0.999 0.996 2 0.986 0.969 0.982 0.975 0.976 0.974 0.961 0.954 0.965 0.975 1.000 1.000 0.983 0.967 0.984 0.961 0.993 0.991 3 1.000 1.000 0.971 0.997 0.640 0.659 0.988 1.000 0.932 0.981 0.643 0.670 0.996 0.991 0.967 0.982 0.789 0.788 4 0.982 0.966 0.985 0.973 0.967 0.960 0.959 0.948 0.965 0.972 0.962 0.959 0.975 0.957 0.976 0.949 0.999 0.998 6 5 0.981 0.963 1.000 0.985 0.983 0.977 0.959 0.948 1.000 1.000 0.981 0.978 0.977 0.959 0.997 0.970 0.995 0.994 6 0.891 0.848 0.971 0.993 0.548 0.549 1.000 0.987 0.960 0.999 0.625 0.639 0.955 0.941 0.959 0.969 0.829 0.821 7 0.982 0.964 0.991 0.973 0.987 0.981 0.960 0.949 0.986 0.984 0.972 0.968 0.984 0.967 1.000 0.976 1.000 1.000 8 0.995 0.996 0.969 1.000 0.623 0.638 0.982 0.994 0.942 0.989 0.642 0.666 0.991 0.988 0.975 1.000 0.794 0.792 9 0.996 0.991 0.979 0.999 0.578 0.582 0.967 0.971 0.946 0.992 0.604 0.618 1.000 1.000 0.962 0.977 0.759 0.751 1 0.877 0.843 1.000 0.977 0.834 0.903 0.903 0.877 0.995 0.974 0.898 0.895 0.971 0.948 0.996 0.981 1.000 1.000 2 0.882 0.852 0.979 0.958 0.973 1.069 0.915 0.895 0.969 0.951 1.000 1.000 0.969 0.946 0.969 0.959 0.927 0.920 3 0.969 0.972 0.975 0.993 0.392 0.394 0.987 1.000 0.947 0.975 0.380 0.394 1.000 1.000 0.951 0.986 0.611 0.605 4 0.873 0.841 0.977 0.956 0.802 0.788 0.907 0.883 0.972 0.954 0.876 0.873 0.969 0.946 0.970 0.959 0.928 0.923 7 5 0.875 0.841 1.000 0.978 0.842 0.826 0.910 0.885 1.000 0.981 0.901 0.898 0.975 0.954 0.989 0.974 0.929 0.924 6 0.845 0.802 0.975 1.000 0.349 0.343 1.000 0.993 0.972 1.000 0.365 0.372 0.957 0.936 0.953 0.984 0.668 0.663 7 0.872 0.838 0.994 0.969 0.833 0.820 0.905 0.879 0.998 0.979 0.908 0.904 0.977 0.956 1.000 0.989 0.930 0.925 8 0.937 0.935 0.980 0.999 0.392 0.396 0.982 0.995 0.947 0.974 0.373 0.384 0.998 0.998 0.960 1.000 0.609 0.602 9 1.000 1.000 0.967 0.976 0.361 0.357 0.982 0.989 0.949 0.977 0.352 0.358 0.993 0.986 0.958 0.998 0.578 0.563 1 0.940 0.886 0.992 0.954 0.984 0.982 0.926 0.858 0.994 0.974 1.000 1.000 0.998 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 2 0.933 0.874 0.979 0.943 1.000 1.000 0.918 0.847 0.974 0.954 0.994 0.994 0.992 0.994 0.967 0.960 0.985 0.979 3 1.000 1.000 0.970 0.988 0.568 0.502 1.000 1.000 0.952 0.989 0.587 0.529 0.955 0.974 0.923 0.966 0.762 0.707 4 0.938 0.884 0.985 0.950 0.979 0.974 0.922 0.852 0.973 0.950 0.995 0.997 1.000 1.000 0.955 0.943 0.965 0.953 8 5 0.939 0.885 1.000 0.963 0.979 0.972 0.923 0.856 0.996 0.976 0.988 0.988 0.989 0.989 0.985 0.984 0.966 0.954 6 0.828 0.709 0.977 0.998 0.483 0.391 0.929 0.854 0.960 0.985 0.550 0.475 0.882 0.844 0.892 0.905 0.811 0.768 7 0.942 0.888 0.988 0.951 1.000 1.000 0.925 0.857 1.000 0.982 0.987 0.986 0.982 0.979 0.993 0.989 0.968 0.956 8 0.971 0.961 0.965 0.976 0.572 0.511 0.996 0.996 0.957 1.000 0.580 0.519 0.953 0.971 0.923 0.967 0.758 0.701 9 0.982 0.961 0.983 1.000 0.507 0.422 0.925 0.857 0.961 0.996 0.536 0.459 0.932 0.938 0.918 0.960 0.725 0.653 1 0.976 0.974 0.999 0.997 0.954 0.937 0.898 0.895 0.874 0.872 0.938 0.937 1.000 1.000 0.977 0.975 0.953 0.951 2 0.982 0.982 0.930 0.936 0.947 0.947 0.964 0.963 0.815 0.818 0.962 0.966 0.990 0.990 0.979 0.986 0.955 0.958 3 0.729 0.731 0.748 0.767 0.583 0.583 0.649 0.647 0.573 0.588 0.517 0.622 0.897 0.896 0.711 0.721 0.596 0.653 4 0.914 0.913 0.971 0.976 0.976 0.976 0.948 0.946 0.843 0.847 0.955 0.955 0.997 0.997 0.979 0.987 0.954 0.956 9 5 0.950 0.949 1.000 0.996 0.969 0.969 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.960 0.960 0.996 0.995 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 6 0.478 0.478 0.753 0.771 0.364 0.364 0.533 0.532 0.625 0.641 0.469 0.569 0.908 0.906 0.758 0.768 0.635 0.677 7 1.000 1.000 0.997 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.984 0.983 0.934 0.933 1.000 1.000 0.995 0.995 0.984 0.982 0.982 0.980 8 0.758 0.760 0.730 0.748 0.548 0.548 0.636 0.634 0.570 0.585 0.505 0.616 0.896 0.895 0.714 0.722 0.587 0.646 9 0.755 0.758 0.799 0.823 0.439 0.439 0.641 0.640 0.597 0.608 0.439 0.556 0.910 0.909 0.723 0.733 0.565 0.631

附錄五：變異分析

2､系統觀測值：效益成本比值(以達交次數衡量)

D R 控制變數 法則 1 法則 2 法則 3 法則 4 法則 5 法則 6 法則 7 法則 8 法則 9 需求次數 0.2255 0.2194 0.2456 0.2214 0.2169 0.2678 0.2201 0.2392 0.2359 5 需求變異 0.1500 0.1487 0.1365 0.1489 0.1413 0.1378 0.1457 0.1338 0.1303 分配比例 0.1500 0.1492 0.1385 0.1494 0.1419 0.1399 0.1461 0.1359 0.1336 前置時間 0.4745 0.4826 0.4794 0.4802 0.4999 0.4545 0.4881 0.4911 0.5002 需求次數 0.2179 0.2124 0.2392 0.2152 0.2116 0.2556 0.2120 0.2422 0.2393 F 10 需求變異 0.1571 0.1519 0.1439 0.1566 0.1519 0.1558 0.1493 0.1435 0.1475 分配比例 0.1574 0.1523 0.1454 0.1568 0.1523 0.1568 0.1496 0.1452 0.1497 前置時間 0.4676 0.4834 0.4715 0.4713 0.4842 0.4318 0.4891 0.4691 0.4636 需求次數 0.2719 0.2714 0.2826 0.2707 0.2731 0.2767 0.2715 0.2840 0.2799 20 需求變異 0.1317 0.1313 0.1322 0.1298 0.1329 0.1308 0.1313 0.1326 0.1330 分配比例 0.1337 0.1339 0.1340 0.1324 0.1354 0.1321 0.1341 0.1344 0.1339 前置時間 0.4627 0.4634 0.4511 0.4671 0.4586 0.4603 0.4631 0.4490 0.4531 需求次數 0.2421 0.2372 0.2630 0.2363 0.2398 0.2852 0.2394 0.2691 0.2805 5 需求變異 0.1387 0.1385 0.1392 0.1412 0.1400 0.1757 0.1379 0.1446 0.1564 分配比例 0.1479 0.1530 0.1394 0.1493 0.1492 0.1754 0.1467 0.1448 0.1559 前置時間 0.4713 0.4713 0.4585 0.4733 0.4710 0.3638 0.4761 0.4414 0.4071 需求次數 0.2355 0.2299 0.2601 0.2299 0.2340 0.2674 0.2319 0.2649 0.2748 S 10 需求變異 0.1542 0.1549 0.1482 0.1578 0.1539 0.1501 0.1540 0.1500 0.1449 分配比例 0.1645 0.1673 0.1489 0.1669 0.1640 0.1520 0.1643 0.1503 0.1452 前置時間 0.4458 0.4479 0.4428 0.4453 0.4481 0.4305 0.4497 0.4347 0.4351 需求次數 0.2435 0.2418 0.2845 0.2416 0.2406 0.2798 0.2417 0.2864 0.2886

0.1365 0.1399 0.1429

0.7041 分配比例 0.1460 0.1510 0.1380 0.1469 0.1493 0.1438 0.1502 0.1355 0.1322 前置時間 0.4732 0.4628 0.4410 0.4716 0.4673 0.4354 0.4642 0.4441 0.4480 需求次數 0.5386 0.5745 0.7059 0.5618 0.5333 0.5428 0.7204 0.6701 5 需求變異 0.0160 0.0069 0.0006 0.0063 0.0163 0.0009 0.0147 0.0006 0.0006 分配比例 0.0076 0.0036 0.0067 0.0169 0.0035 0.0156 0.0041 0.0033 前置時間 0.4299 0.4110 0.2899 0.4252 0.4335 0.2915 0.4269 0.2748

需求次數 0.2839 0.2857 0.2668 0.2839 0.2819 0.3186 0.2848 0.3087 0.3038 需求變異 0.2159 0.2183 0.1679 0.2143 0.2061 0.2135 0.2130 0.2146 分配比例 0.2137 0.2160 0.1696 0.2174 0.2121 0.2026 0.2113 0.2097 0.2115 前置時間 0.2865 0.2800 0.3957 0.2790 0.2917 0.2727 0.2904 0.2686 0.2701 需求次數 0.5662 0.5542 0.7371 0.5550 0.5585 0.6996 0.7391 0.7360 20 需求變異 0.0137 0.0075 0.0005 0.0075 0.0140 0.0011 0.0146 0.0007 0.0003 分配比例 0.0165 0.0035 0.0113 0.0168 0.0039 0.0176 0.0027 0.0031 前置時間 0.4036 0.4272 0.2589 0.4263 0.4107 0.2955 0.4024 0.2575 0.2606 V 10

3､系統觀測值：服務水準(以達交數量衡量)

控制變數 R D 法則 1 法則 2 法則 3 法則 4 法則 5 法則 6 法則 7 法則 8 法則 9 F 0.9950 0.9973 0.9954 0.9958 0.9969 0.9961 0.9979 0.9957 5 V 0.9694 0.9548 0.9108 0.9510 0.9683 0.9140 0.9666 0.9107 0.9083 S 0.9479 0.9040 0.9082 0.9494 0.9482 0.8364 0.9485 0.8954 0.8684 F 0.9961 0.9959 0.9972 0.9965 0.9965 0.9942 0.9967 0.9971 0.9952 前置時間 10 V 0.9598 0.9503 0.9445 0.9501 0.9665 0.9221 0.9643 0.9006 0.9055

S 0.9187 0.8890 0.9959 0.9181 0.9183 0.9891 0.9147 0.9965 0.9964 F 0.9969 0.9965 0.9957 0.9967 0.9963 0.9978 0.9959 0.9959 0.9969 20 V 0.9808 0.9681 0.8981 0.9698 0.9800 0.9242 0.9826 0.8968 0.8957 S 0.9472 0.9603 0.9937 0.9606 0.9607 0.9883 0.9617 0.9940 0.9964 F 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0004 0.0004 0.0029 0.0006 0.0009 0.0020 5 V 0.0234 0.0333 0.0499 0.0341 0.0245 0.0456 0.0243 0.0484 0.0533 S 0.0326 0.0551 0.0305 0.0251 0.0276 0.0667 0.0256 0.0390 0.0440 F 0.0011 0.0015 0.0024 0.0010 0.0012 0.0053 0.0010 0.0024 0.0033 分配比例 10 V 0.0098 0.0119 0.0136 0.0119 0.0093 0.0270 0.0093 0.0295 0.0292 S 0.0547 0.0702 0.0037 0.0531 0.0540 0.0090 0.0566 0.0032 0.0023 F 0.0029 0.0033 0.0036 0.0031 0.0036 0.0019 0.0038 0.0035 0.0021 20 V 0.0094 0.0136 0.0261 0.0112 0.0084 0.0191 0.0077 0.0251 0.0236 S 0.0359 0.0282 0.0058 0.0279 0.0276 0.0102 0.0272 0.0055 0.0033 F 0.0007 0.0012 0.0012 0.0010 0.0010 0.0002 0.0007 0.0008 0.0022 5 V 0.0071 0.0088 0.0215 0.0098 0.0071 0.0223 0.0087 0.0251 0.0191 S 0.0000 0.0007 0.0272 0.0009 0.0010 0.0497 0.0012 0.0332 0.0431 F 0.0007 0.0010 0.0004 0.0008 0.0008 0.0004 0.0007 0.0004 0.0011 需求變異 10 V 0.0142 0.0191 0.0200 0.0190 0.0111 0.0280 0.0119 0.0351 0.0325 S 0.0002 0.0003 0.0002 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0003 0.0001 0.0005 F 0.0001 0.0000 0.0005 0.0000 0.0000 0.0003 0.0000 0.0005 0.0008 20 V 0.0062 0.0072 0.0233 0.0078 0.0079 0.0228 0.0065 0.0229 0.0283 S 0.0004 0.0002 0.0000 0.0004 0.0004 0.0001 0.0003 0.0000 0.0002 F 0.0030 0.0030 0.0006 0.0032 0.0027 0.0000 0.0026 0.0004 0.0001 5 V 0.0001 0.0031 0.0177 0.0050 0.0001 0.0181 0.0003 0.0158 0.0193 S 0.0194 0.0402 0.0342 0.0246 0.0232 0.0472 0.0246 0.0324 0.0445 F 0.0021 0.0015 0.0000 0.0017 0.0016 0.0000 0.0016 0.0000 0.0005 需求次數 10 V 0.0162 0.0187 0.0218 0.0189 0.0131 0.0229 0.0145 0.0348 0.0329 S 0.0264 0.0405 0.0001 0.0287 0.0274 0.0016 0.0284 0.0002 0.0008 F 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001 0.0000 0.0003 0.0002 0.0001 20 V 0.0037 0.0110 0.0526 0.0111 0.0037 0.0339 0.0032 0.0553 0.0523 S 0.0164 0.0113 0.0005 0.0111 0.0113 0.0014 0.0108 0.0005 0.0001

0.9955

4､系統觀測值：效益成本比值(以達交數量衡量)

D R 控制變數 法則 1 法則 2 法則 3 法則 4 法則 5 法則 6 法則 7 法則 8 法則 9 需求次數 0.2135 0.2088 0.2290 0.2103 0.2046 0.2387 0.2081 0.2232 0.2200 5 需求變異 0.1529 0.1520 0.1425 0.1523 0.1441 0.1465 0.1486 0.1398 0.1354 分配比例 0.1530 0.1526 0.1447 0.1528 0.1449 0.1488 0.1490 0.1422 0.1390 前置時間 0.4805 0.4866 0.4837 0.4846 0.5064 0.4660 0.4943 0.4948 0.5056 需求次數 0.2074 0.2022 0.2232 0.2052 0.2010 0.2354 0.2010 0.2259 0.2243 F 10 需求變異 0.1601 0.1552 0.1502 0.1598 0.1548 0.1623 0.1523 0.1496 0.1528 分配比例 0.1606 0.1559 0.1523 0.1602 0.1554 0.1638 0.1529 0.1519 0.1556 前置時間 0.4719 0.4867 0.4743 0.4747 0.4888 0.4385 0.4938 0.4726 0.4673 需求次數 0.2443 0.2442 0.2526 0.2431 0.2457 0.2459 0.2440 0.2540 0.2504 20 需求變異 0.1402 0.1397 0.1414 0.1383 0.1415 0.1401 0.1397 0.1419 0.1423 分配比例 0.1431 0.1432 0.1443 0.1418 0.1449 0.1420 0.1435 0.1447 0.1438 前置時間 0.4725 0.4729 0.4616 0.4768 0.4679 0.4719 0.4728 0.4594 0.4635 需求次數 0.4366 0.4553 0.5752 0.4439 0.4347 0.5714 0.4428 0.5902 0.5422 5 需求變異 0.0347 0.0242 0.0123 0.0220 0.0335 0.0131 0.0328 0.0115 0.0122 分配比例 0.0340 0.0236 0.0135 0.0210 0.0342 0.0147 0.0335 0.0145 0.0121 前置時間 0.4947 0.4968 0.3990 0.5131 0.4975 0.4008 0.4908 0.3838 0.4334 需求次數 0.2721 0.2735 0.2523 0.2722 0.2701 0.2973 0.2724 0.2973 0.2936 V 10 需求變異 0.2186 0.2212 0.1733 0.2223 0.2169 0.2107 0.2162 0.2146 0.2159 分配比例 0.2164 0.2188 0.1742 0.2200 0.2148 0.2076 0.2141 0.2116 0.2132 前置時間 0.2929 0.2866 0.4002 0.2855 0.2982 0.2844 0.2973 0.2766 0.2773 需求次數 0.4477 0.4258 0.5977 0.4244 0.4414 0.5515 0.4466 0.5967 0.5961 20 需求變異 0.0393 0.0278 0.0134 0.0288 0.0384 0.0166 0.0408 0.0140 0.0119 分配比例 0.0437 0.0330 0.0180 0.0341 0.0432 0.0220 0.0454 0.0176 0.0172 前置時間 0.4692 0.5133 0.3709 0.5128 0.4770 0.4099 0.4672 0.3718 0.3747 需求次數 0.2277 0.2219 0.2352 0.2217 0.2247 0.2512 0.2240 0.2394 0.2462 5 需求變異 0.1417 0.1411 0.1533 0.1434 0.1423 0.1829 0.1402 0.1577 0.1678 分配比例 0.1528 0.1578 0.1553 0.1533 0.1533 0.1841 0.1508 0.1598 0.1692 前置時間 0.4778 0.4791 0.4562 0.4816 0.4796 0.3817 0.4851 0.4432 0.4168 需求次數 0.2231 0.2180 0.2292 0.2188 0.2217 0.2311 0.2200 0.2326 0.2341 S 10 需求變異 0.1575 0.1579 0.1553 0.1607 0.1571 0.1549 0.1572 0.1570 0.1525 分配比例 0.1696 0.1721 0.1576 0.1714 0.1689 0.1586 0.1692 0.1589 0.1545 前置時間 0.4499 0.4520 0.4578 0.4490 0.4523 0.4554 0.4535 0.4515 0.4589 需求次數 0.2172 0.2177 0.2361 0.2167 0.2164 0.2365 0.2177 0.2364 0.2352 20 需求變異 0.1440 0.1500 0.1468 0.1463 0.1484 0.1488 0.1494 0.1453 0.1433 分配比例 0.1544 0.1579 0.1504 0.1547 0.1562 0.1538 0.1571 0.1489 0.1462 前置時間 0.4845 0.4744 0.4667 0.4823 0.4791 0.4609 0.4757 0.4694 0.4753

5､系統觀測值：轉運次數

R D 控制變數 法則 1 法則 2 法則 3 法則 4 法則 5 法則 6 法則 7 法則 8 法則 9 需求次數 0.4424 0.5710 0.5835 0.5763 0.5694 0.5917 0.5699 0.5930 0.5175 F 需求變異 0.0795 0.0631 0.0385 0.0760 0.0942 0.0273 0.0927 0.0367 0.0385 分配比例 0.0003 0.0030 0.0156 0.0007 0.0080 0.0142 0.0096 0.0099 0.0574 前置時間 0.4778 0.3629 0.3623 0.3470 0.3285 0.3668 0.3278 0.3603 0.3867 需求次數 0.7752 0.8772 0.9526 0.8920 0.7898 0.9610 0.7829 0.9581 0.9586 5 V 需求變異 0.0054 0.0087 0.0017 0.0088 0.0087 0.0028 0.0063 0.0030 0.0030 分配比例 0.0147 0.0226 0.0169 0.0205 0.0167 0.0108 0.0162 0.0120 0.0117 前置時間 0.2047 0.0915 0.0289 0.0788 0.1849 0.0254 0.1946 0.0269 0.0266 需求次數 0.0963 0.2337 0.2262 0.1611 0.1340 0.2500 0.0980 0.2361 0.5337 S 需求變異 0.0026 0.0024 0.0856 0.0060 0.0080 0.2500 0.0017 0.0819 0.1526 分配比例 0.1179 0.1673 0.1606 0.1595 0.1572 0.2500 0.1733 0.0196 0.1366 前置時間 0.7832 0.5966 0.5276 0.6734 0.7007 0.2500 0.7270 0.6625 0.1772 需求次數 0.5029 0.4993 0.5595 0.5005 0.4745 0.3699 0.4610 0.5509 0.4974 F 需求變異 0.0843 0.0758 0.0535 0.0869 0.0872 0.0903 0.1028 0.0515 0.0837 分配比例 0.0066 0.0053 0.0158 0.0010 0.0061 0.0368 0.0072 0.0139 0.0367 前置時間 0.4063 0.4197 0.3712 0.4116 0.4323 0.5030 0.4291 0.3837 0.3822 需求次數 0.9215 0.9461 0.8121 0.9443 0.9207 0.9480 0.9187 0.9313 0.9344 10 V 需求變異 0.0222 0.0132 0.0414 0.0137 0.0234 0.0068 0.0242 0.0135 0.0092 分配比例 0.0311 0.0226 0.0414 0.0256 0.0306 0.0132 0.0297 0.0302 0.0323 前置時間 0.0252 0.0181 0.1051 0.0165 0.0253 0.0320 0.0274 0.0250 0.0241 需求次數 0.2139 0.3789 0.1255 0.3580 0.2143 0.3226 0.1976 0.1461 0.6110 S 需求變異 0.0172 0.0096 0.0341 0.0144 0.0069 0.0495 0.0043 0.0319 0.0836 分配比例 0.2202 0.2697 0.0405 0.1780 0.2113 0.3409 0.2904 0.0576 0.2250 前置時間 0.5486 0.3418 0.7999 0.4495 0.5675 0.2870 0.5078 0.7644 0.0804 需求次數 0.2500 0.2406 0.2941 0.2428 0.2489 0.3482 0.2492 0.2981 0.2826 F 需求變異 0.0668 0.0727 0.0961 0.0734 0.0653 0.0918 0.0600 0.0879 0.1113 分配比例 0.0631 0.0616 0.0335 0.0587 0.0665 0.0291 0.0685 0.0384 0.0125 前置時間 0.6200 0.6252 0.5764 0.6252 0.6193 0.5310 0.6223 0.5756 0.5936 需求次數 0.5177 0.5886 0.8102 0.5949 0.5125 0.9219 0.5130 0.8148 0.8318 20 V 需求變異 0.1010 0.1068 0.0211 0.0999 0.0967 0.0146 0.0899 0.0199 0.0171 分配比例 0.1274 0.1270 0.0198 0.1329 0.1285 0.0048 0.1366 0.0175 0.0173 前置時間 0.2539 0.1775 0.1490 0.1722 0.2623 0.0587 0.2605 0.1478 0.1339 需求次數 0.0585 0.0368 0.1266 0.0301 0.0310 0.0404 0.0250 0.1047 0.1736 S 需求變異 0.0181 0.0199 0.0420 0.0233 0.0195 0.0254 0.0142 0.0619 0.1175 分配比例 0.0877 0.0547 0.1475 0.0543 0.0458 0.0096 0.0475 0.1482 0.2996 前置時間 0.8358 0.8886 0.6838 0.8923 0.9037 0.9247 0.9133 0.6852 0.4094

6､系統觀測值：缺貨次數

D R 控制變數 法則 1 法則 2 法則 3 法則 4 法則 5 法則 6 法則 7 法則 8 法則 9 需求次數 0.3766 0.3744 0.4396 0.3840 0.3779 0.5504 0.3742 0.4263 0.4284 5 需求變異 0.0725 0.0728 0.0696 0.0697 0.0705 0.0541 0.0722 0.0729 0.0728 分配比例 0.0772 0.0766 0.0649 0.0751 0.0760 0.0467 0.0768 0.0686 0.0587 前置時間 0.4737 0.4762 0.4258 0.4712 0.4756 0.3488 0.4768 0.4323 0.4401 需求次數 0.3568 0.3503 0.4114 0.3512 0.3498 0.4780 0.3486 0.4169 0.4095 F 10 需求變異 0.0723 0.0761 0.0699 0.0739 0.0762 0.0584 0.0756 0.0683 0.0596 分配比例 0.0812 0.0817 0.0738 0.0827 0.0811 0.0617 0.0826 0.0725 0.0740 前置時間 0.4896 0.4919 0.4449 0.4922 0.4929 0.4019 0.4931 0.4423 0.4569 需求次數 0.4910 0.4969 0.5170 0.4901 0.4915 0.5137 0.4927 0.5183 0.5133 20 需求變異 0.0549 0.0574 0.0552 0.0546 0.0573 0.0570 0.0582 0.0549 0.0567 分配比例 0.0718 0.0676 0.0657 0.0711 0.0692 0.0635 0.0682 0.0654 0.0650 前置時間 0.3823 0.3781 0.3621 0.3842 0.3819 0.3658 0.3808 0.3614 0.3649 需求次數 0.6686 0.7129 0.8199 0.6901 0.6615 0.8150 0.6777 0.8297 0.8005 5 需求變異 0.0538 0.0482 0.0344 0.0515 0.0506 0.0352 0.0505 0.0319 0.0367 分配比例 0.0838 0.0799 0.0608 0.0851 0.0852 0.0627 0.0801 0.0581 0.0673 前置時間 0.1938 0.1590 0.0849 0.1733 0.2027 0.0872 0.1917 0.0803 0.0956 需求次數 0.6257 0.6679 0.7010 0.6599 0.5802 0.8066 0.6046 0.8210 0.7976 V 10 需求變異 0.0329 0.0331 0.0149 0.0367 0.0433 0.0218 0.0403 0.0135 0.0169 分配比例 0.0499 0.0424 0.0351 0.0455 0.0608 0.0277 0.0539 0.0254 0.0295 前置時間 0.2916 0.2566 0.2491 0.2579 0.3156 0.1439 0.3013 0.1400 0.1560 需求次數 0.7150 0.7250 0.8345 0.7283 0.7108 0.8094 0.7148 0.8342 0.8297 20 需求變異 0.0474 0.0437 0.0266 0.0445 0.0511 0.0333 0.0487 0.0288 0.0305 分配比例 0.0822 0.0816 0.0633 0.0803 0.0794 0.0694 0.0815 0.0628 0.0635 前置時間 0.1553 0.1497 0.0757 0.1470 0.1586 0.0880 0.1550 0.0742 0.0763 需求次數 0.0009 0.0067 0.0332 0.0003 0.0004 0.2220 0.0006 0.0556 0.1256 5 需求變異 0.0006 0.0018 0.0021 0.0002 0.0004 0.1138 0.0001 0.0015 0.0161 分配比例 0.0001 0.0062 0.0649 0.0000 0.0003 0.0396 0.0000 0.0505 0.0113 前置時間 0.9984 0.9854 0.8998 0.9995 0.9989 0.6246 0.9993 0.8923 0.8470 需求次數 0.0017 0.0057 0.0342 0.0018 0.0022 0.0529 0.0023 0.0529 0.0818 S 10 需求變異 0.0029 0.0050 0.0001 0.0025 0.0029 0.0063 0.0035 0.0063 0.0013 分配比例 0.0022 0.0098 0.0395 0.0025 0.0019 0.0204 0.0024 0.0204 0.0416 前置時間 0.9933 0.9796 0.9263 0.9932 0.9929 0.9204 0.9918 0.9204 0.8754 需求次數 0.0001 0.0032 0.0519 0.0022 0.0020 0.0598 0.0017 0.0560 0.0598 20 需求變異 0.0043 0.0009 0.0020 0.0028 0.0013 0.0004 0.0009 0.0013 0.0017 分配比例 0.0021 0.0008 0.0766 0.0025 0.0013 0.0336 0.0016 0.0932 0.1045 前置時間 0.9935 0.9951 0.8695 0.9925 0.9954 0.9062 0.9958 0.8495 0.8340

7､系統觀測值：缺貨數量

控制變數 R D 法則 1 法則 2 法則 3 法則 4 法則 5 法則 6 法則 7 法則 8 法則 9 F 0.4459 0.4476 0.4340 0.4449 0.4475 0.4069 0.4481 0.4327 0.4375 5 V 0.2845 0.2714 0.2132 0.2769 0.2866 0.2134 0.2849 0.2070 0.2271 S 0.4831 0.4918 0.4272 0.4856 0.4812 0.4089 0.4822 0.4286 0.4152 F 0.4554 0.4589 0.4402 0.4597 0.4612 0.4261 0.4596 0.4359 0.4353 前置時間 10 V 0.3363 0.3218 0.3070 0.3269 0.3551 0.2586 0.3457 0.2338 0.2422 S 0.5021 0.5089 0.4306 0.5123 0.5063 0.4134 0.5085 0.4269 0.4182 F 0.3971 0.3938 0.3921 0.3977 0.3961 0.3995 0.3954 0.3902 0.3960 20 V 0.2615 0.2719 0.1852 0.2728 0.2642 0.2096 0.2622 0.1842 0.1875 S 0.4620 0.4614 0.4144 0.4594 0.4632 0.4171 0.4618 0.4116 0.4096 F 0.4144 0.4123 0.4412 0.4190 0.4144 0.4825 0.4116 0.4383 0.4326 5 V 0.6021 0.6160 0.6880 0.6054 0.6011 0.6883 0.6013 0.6967 0.6665 S 0.3926 0.3675 0.4476 0.3941 0.3937 0.4844 0.3918 0.4510 0.4684 F 0.4060 0.3986 0.4377 0.3998 0.3959 0.4575 0.3979 0.4420 0.4366 需求次數 10 V 0.5815 0.6002 0.6396 0.5920 0.5505 0.6801 0.5665 0.7140 0.7026 S 0.3595 0.3395 0.4499 0.3550 0.3554 0.4634 0.3496 0.4532 0.4616 F 0.4955 0.4983 0.5054 0.4951 0.4960 0.4926 0.4959 0.5066 0.4990 20 V 0.6455 0.6290 0.7340 0.6273 0.6387 0.7000 0.6442 0.7348 0.7286 S 0.4091 0.4149 0.4734 0.4140 0.4080 0.4697 0.4111 0.4760 0.4764 F 0.0667 0.0644 0.0535 0.0637 0.0645 0.0469 0.0659 0.0552 0.0509 5 V 0.0654 0.0672 0.0574 0.0699 0.0653 0.0558 0.0649 0.0543 0.0635 S 0.0267 0.0191 0.0556 0.0267 0.0258 0.0451 0.0269 0.0530 0.0510 F 0.0628 0.0631 0.0517 0.0639 0.0639 0.0480 0.0647 0.0511 0.0504 分配比例 10 V 0.0478 0.0464 0.0228 0.0483 0.0544 0.0363 0.0501 0.0312 0.0322 S 0.0209 0.0220 0.0490 0.0197 0.0209 0.0448 0.0208 0.0504 0.0504 F 0.0463 0.0450 0.0434 0.0454 0.0449 0.0480 0.0445 0.0436 0.0474 20 V 0.0483 0.0530 0.0416 0.0518 0.0489 0.0443 0.0473 0.0415 0.0409 S 0.0265 0.0296 0.0436 0.0305 0.0317 0.0392 0.0315 0.0441 0.0467 F 0.0731 0.0757 0.0713 0.0725 0.0735 0.0638 0.0745 0.0738 0.0791 5 V 0.0479 0.0454 0.0414 0.0478 0.0469 0.0424 0.0489 0.0420 0.0429 S 0.0976 0.1217 0.0697 0.0936 0.0993 0.0616 0.0991 0.0673 0.0653 F 0.0758 0.0795 0.0704 0.0766 0.0790 0.0684 0.0778 0.0710 0.0777 需求變異 10 V 0.0344 0.0316 0.0306 0.0327 0.0400 0.0249 0.0377 0.0210 0.0230 S 0.1175 0.1296 0.0706 0.1130 0.1174 0.0785 0.1211 0.0695 0.0698 F 0.0611 0.0628 0.0591 0.0617 0.0631 0.0598 0.0642 0.0596 0.0576 20 V 0.0448 0.0461 0.0393 0.0480 0.0482 0.0461 0.0462 0.0396 0.0430 S 0.1024 0.0941 0.0685 0.0961 0.0971 0.0739 0.0956 0.0684 0.0674

在文檔中 二階存貨配銷系統轉運之研究 (頁 92-116)