• 沒有找到結果。

第六章 結論與建議

6.2 建議

1. 本研究指出垂直異質性導水度分佈,影響縱向傳輸之污染團移動速度與濃度

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值,對於風險評估的影響不一致,建議可將場址污染傳輸模擬與風險評估考 慮垂直異質性導水度之影響,再據以評估監測井導水度調查所需之精度和評 估結果合理性。

2. 本研究假設條件也為影響導水度變異性模擬結果之差異。如假設場址與 BCA 場址其假設條件不同,如污染源種類、數目、注入量、導水度值,導 水度變異性程度,使得兩個場址導水度變異性模擬結果與風險的影響不同。

導水度異質性對於含氯有機溶劑污染場址健康風險評估之影響程度,可能都 將存在其他水文地質參數之影響,如孔隙率、水力梯度、降解率,吸附係數,

延散度。

3. 污染場址中其他水文地質參數的變異性也可能影響健康風險評估之差異,如 橫向延散度和水帄向導水度變異性都將影響污染團橫向傳輸範圍與水帄向 優勢路徑的形成。參數變異性的模擬結果與評估都有助於水文地質調查中佈 設之參考。

4. 本研究指出污染場址中降解作用和吸附作用對於污染傳輸和健康風險評估 之影響甚大,可延伸模擬其變異性影響程度。若能清楚得知地下水氧化還原 環境影響原污染物降解的速率,和土壤有機質含量的多寡,造成各關切污染 物遲滯速度的差異,有助於判定實際場址污染擴散範圍與影響程度。

5. 本研究健康風險評估為模擬污染源起始 24 年之間的危害風險,若是場址使 用時間和污染調查時間的不同,可能導致風險提高或降低,且導水度的變異 性也可能因評估模擬時間和污染調查時間的不同,而影響其風險差異。

6. RT3D 降解模式為一階降解反應,而 SEAM3D 包含水中離子與含氯碳氫化 合物生物降解反應,未來可使用如 SEAM3D 模擬水中離子與含氯碳氫化合 物電子轉換之生物降解反應。實際上地下水氧化還原環境為主要影響降解之 因素,若場址地下水質調查配合數值模擬,有助於判斷含氯有機污染物氧化 還原能力,與符合實際模擬結果。

114

7. 本研究為 DNAPL 溶解相污染傳輸模擬,然而 DNAPL 自由相移動之路徑與 DNAPL 池都深受導水度變異性之影響。導水度變異性和水文地質參數對於 DNAPL 自由相之影響為未來可研究之方向,可以使用如 TMVOC 和

UTCHEM 等模式模擬 DNAPL 多相流中其水文地質參數之影響。

115

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附錄一

健康風險評估計算流程,以情境一均質導水度 1 號觀測井模擬 24 年 PCE 濃度與 時間分佈之風險計算為例:

致癌風險暴露劑量計算

情境一均質導水度1號觀測井 PCE 24年每年350天,共8400天之總暴露濃度

ED

water oral water oral water

4850 0.75 17.14

0.0369

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4. 使用地下水作為洗澡或日常清洗用途,水中關切污染物經皮膚接觸吸收之暴 露劑量,公式(2-22) (2-23):

4850 0.000062 1 17300

0.00308

water oral water oral water

CF 1000 12.73

3000

CF 1000 10.18

3000

1000 0.679 0.75

1000 0.51 307937 21.6 0.15

water

122

0.0000423 1 17300

0.0119

0.00862 0.051 0.000440

oral oral water oral

RIntake SF   

2. 吸入吸收途徑之致癌風險:

-water(total) 0.0725 0.0142 0.00103

inh inh inh

RIntakeSF   

3. 皮膚接觸吸收途徑之致癌風險:

0.00308 0.051 0.000157

dermal dermal water dermal

RIntake SF   