後續研究建議

因個案公司製作 ITO 導電玻璃約六年，但資料紀錄時間不長，使得本研究中 實際良率的原始資料只有從 2006 年 10 月至 2008 年 3 月，其區間太短，雖然可以 找出其線性趨勢，但無法在線性趨勢中加入季節因子來表示良率對季節的關係，

為研究上的一大限制。

故針對本研究，在此提出後續研究之建議

1.若能收集至兩年以上的歷史資料，進行季節因子分析後加入線性趨勢中作 為修正，以反映季節因子對良率預測的準確度

2.本研究利用定量法中時間序列的預測方法作為良率預測，建議進一步利用 迴歸分析與其他可能影響良率的相關因子比較，或是使用定性法找出直接影響良 率的相關因子，

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附錄 A：A 產品的歷史資料

表 二十五：A 產品的歷史資料

Date Yield Rate Date Yield Rate Date Yield Rate 2006/10/15 0.678571429 2007/6/9 0.78817734 2008/2/15 0.529715762 2006/10/15 0.770833333 2007/6/9 0.86636698 2008/2/16 0.353159851 2007/1/19 0.662824207 2007/6/10 0.5078125 2008/2/17 0.428832117 2007/2/4 0.93 2007/6/10 0.587920898 2008/2/17 0.422077922 2007/2/5 0.784671533 2007/6/11 0.837115482 2008/2/18 0.483259634 2007/2/5 0.774378585 2007/6/11 0.881202463 2008/2/19 0.626373626 2007/2/6 0.647537473 2007/7/13 0.674157303 2008/2/19 0.526315789 2007/2/6 0.820093458 2007/7/14 0.653669725 2008/2/19 0.644104803 2007/2/7 0.814512254 2007/7/14 0.728689276 2008/2/20 0.608614232 2007/3/18 0.870967742 2007/7/15 0.634414832 2008/2/20 0.458685751 2007/3/18 0.837988827 2007/7/15 0.721804511 2008/2/21 0.404312668 2007/3/19 0.737100737 2007/8/16 0.830824804 2008/2/21 0.601202405 2007/3/31 0.599250936 2007/8/17 0.780309544 2008/3/5 0.400728597 2007/3/31 0.68923821 2007/8/17 0.70802005 2008/3/6 0.474226804 2007/4/1 0.763582966 2007/8/18 0.45935412 2008/3/6 0.631034483 2007/4/1 0.410065238 2007/8/18 0.700636943 2008/3/7 0.42687747 2007/4/2 0.660377358 2007/8/18 0.451612903 2008/3/8 0.694323144 2007/4/2 0.411764706 2007/10/29 0.463022508 2008/3/9 0.463258786 2007/4/3 0.585197935 2007/10/29 0.581061693 2008/3/10 0.615789474 2007/4/3 0.442105263 2007/10/30 0.605524079 2008/3/14 0.73630137 2007/4/4 0.839033288 2007/10/30 0.457549568 2008/3/15 0.735770477 2007/4/4 0.73630925 2007/10/31 0.634057971 2008/3/15 0.806864754 2007/4/5 0.839779006 2007/11/4 0.592972182 2008/3/16 0.609856263 2007/4/5 0.76744186 2007/11/4 0.62886143 2008/3/16 0.575757576 2007/4/6 0.587837838 2007/11/5 0.589330025 2008/3/17 0.682074408 2007/4/6 0.67768595 2007/11/5 0.54887218 2008/3/17 0.791539468 2007/4/7 0.753846154 2007/11/6 0.52173913 2008/3/18 0.730058585 2007/4/7 0.62035316 2007/12/9 1 2008/3/18 0.625420309 2007/4/8 0.769230769 2007/12/9 0.486862442 2008/3/20 0.875 2007/4/11 0.538057743 2007/12/12 0.425181279 2008/3/20 0.610761028 2007/4/12 0.563271605 2007/12/12 0.80141844 2008/3/21 0.448717949 2007/4/13 0.407854985 2007/12/13 0.731707317 2008/3/21 0.680453636 2007/4/13 0.665280665 2007/12/13 0.598455598 2008/3/22 0.735849057 2007/4/14 0.75385494 2008/1/11 0.561719834 2008/3/24 0.428571429 2007/5/12 0.764832023 2008/1/11 0.793450882 2008/3/27 0.83253128 2007/5/12 0.72079314 2008/1/12 0.846774194 2008/3/28 0.650826446 2007/5/24 0.792207792 2008/1/12 0.43202033 2008/3/28 0.792792793 2007/5/25 0.833333333 2008/1/13 0.592032967 2008/3/29 0.84006462 2007/5/25 0.915642221 2008/1/28 0.574236937 2008/3/30 0.696452037 2007/5/26 0.784810127 2008/1/29 0.638621389

2007/5/26 0.896892655 2008/1/29 0.747978437 2007/5/27 0.539014374 2008/1/29 0.970588235 2007/5/27 0.895657419 2008/1/30 0.773371105 2007/5/28 0.810888252 2008/2/14 0.892116183 2007/6/8 0.829015544 2008/2/14 0.424300868

附錄 B：B 產品的歷史資料-1

表 二十六：B 產品的歷史資料-1

D ate Y ield Rate Date Y ield Rate Date Yield Rate 2006/8/9 0.511727079 2006/10/7 0.540540541 2006/12/7 0.62633833 2006/8/10 0.751341682 2006/10/8 0.730337079 2006/12/7 0.64516129 2006/8/10 0.687928308 2006/10/8 0.527131783 2006/12/8 0.667556742 2006/8/11 0.624092888 2006/10/9 0.427419355 2006/12/8 0.699421965 2006/8/11 0.731818182 2006/10/9 0.517985612 2006/12/9 0.770609319 2006/8/12 0.693355345 2006/10/10 0.544871795 2006/12/9 0.735294118 2006/8/12 0.680021086 2006/10/10 0.661375661 2006/12/10 0.767138194 2006/8/13 0.782747604 2006/10/11 0.583684951 2006/12/10 0.656316916 2006/8/13 0.798507463 2006/10/11 0.553030303 2007/1/11 0.707317073 2006/8/14 0.736972705 2006/10/12 0.447004608 2007/1/11 0.708737864 2006/8/14 0.754189944 2006/10/12 0.474137931 2007/1/12 0.805251641 2006/8/15 0.761070111 2006/10/13 0.647058824 2007/1/12 0.66581306 2006/8/15 0.701200253 2006/10/13 0.690140845 2007/1/13 0.735849057 2006/8/16 0.536585366 2006/10/14 0.602764642 2007/1/13 0.780537253 2006/8/16 0.814814815 2006/11/1 0.695652174 2007/1/14 0.635869565 2006/8/16 0.846153846 2006/11/2 0.5 2007/1/14 0.75 2006/8/17 0.776 2006/11/2 0.630673674 2007/1/14 0.701643489 2006/8/17 0.670157068 2006/11/3 0.706521739 2007/1/15 0.710352423 2006/8/18 0.745530146 2006/11/3 0.872093023 2007/1/15 0.893442623 2006/9/9 0.57337884 2006/11/4 0.594439118 2007/1/16 0.887363938 2006/9/10 0.541935484 2006/11/4 0.782975137 2007/1/16 0.877270713 2006/9/10 0.82382763 2006/11/5 0.44 2007/1/17 0.89748954 2006/9/11 0.923076923 2006/11/5 0.915966387 2007/1/17 0.683890578 2006/9/11 0.876256281 2006/11/6 0.459102902 2007/1/18 0.620689655 2006/9/12 0.77689243 2006/11/6 0.471264368 2007/1/18 0.668073136 2006/9/12 0.75 2006/11/7 0.4 2007/1/30 0.745762712 2006/9/13 0.861858191 2006/11/7 0.836734694 2007/1/30 0.930703085 2006/9/13 0.748440748 2006/11/8 0.46875 2007/1/31 0.826359833 2006/9/14 0.84 2006/11/8 0.732824427 2007/1/31 0.934703348 2006/9/14 0.682248895 2006/11/9 0.380496054 2007/2/1 0.825688073 2006/9/15 0.821705426 2006/11/9 0.450858779 2007/2/1 0.853333333 2006/9/15 0.865233351 2006/11/22 0.535117057 2007/2/2 0.860655738 2006/9/16 0.658536585 2006/11/24 0.733333333 2007/2/2 0.928424758 2006/9/16 0.843712334 2006/11/25 0.564814815 2007/2/3 0.864963504 2006/9/17 0.730994152 2006/11/25 0.770833333 2007/2/3 0.889664195 2006/9/17 0.356037152 2006/11/26 0.476900149 2007/2/4 0.756021409 2006/9/18 0.488888889 2006/11/26 0.619834711 2007/2/4 0.858480749 2006/9/18 0.786155748 2006/11/27 0.823076923 2007/3/6 0.759868421 2006/9/24 0.477707006 2006/11/27 0.62601626 2007/3/6 0.677852349 2006/9/25 0.407103825 2006/11/28 0.782258065 2007/3/7 0.570469799 2006/9/25 0.52672956 2006/11/28 0.651851852 2007/3/7 0.797468354 2006/9/26 0.427536232 2006/11/29 0.736 2007/3/8 0.777886497 2006/9/26 0.44245648 2006/11/29 0.642946317 2007/3/8 0.738847584 2006/9/27 0.467153285 2006/11/30 0.536585366 2007/3/9 0.681063123 2006/9/28 0.317040951 2006/11/30 0.371352785 2007/3/9 0.572519084

資料來源：本研究整理

附錄 B：B 產品的歷史資料-2

表 二十七：B 產品的歷史資料-2

D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate 2007/3/11 0.782312925 2007/5/31 0.694635488 2007/7/20 0.853595447 2007/3/12 0.907965194 2007/5/31 0.660308144 2007/7/20 0.744956027 2007/3/12 0.963810931 2007/6/1 0.73630137 2007/7/21 0.452209661 2007/3/13 0.911245153 2007/6/1 0.660989457 2007/7/21 0.744435917 2007/3/13 0.903225806 2007/6/6 0.880345769 2007/8/14 0.689655172 2007/3/14 0.922293474 2007/6/6 0.848472337 2007/8/14 0.856995354 2007/3/14 0.652841782 2007/6/7 0.873786408 2007/8/15 0.721603563 2007/3/15 0.864300626 2007/6/7 0.824873096 2007/8/15 0.854853072 2007/3/15 0.873637602 2007/6/8 0.844033084 2007/8/16 0.815731974 2007/3/16 0.820895522 2007/6/23 0.71680376 2007/8/19 0.784662265 2007/3/16 0.788732394 2007/6/24 0.802437786 2007/8/19 0.855590765 2007/3/17 0.747621205 2007/6/24 0.799373041 2007/8/20 0.720949958 2007/3/17 0.787535411 2007/6/25 0.784090909 2007/10/31 0.8 2007/3/18 0.523255814 2007/6/25 0.861122837 2007/10/31 0.511571255 2007/4/8 0.67294751 2007/6/26 0.85360257 2007/11/1 0.861169102 2007/4/9 0.465116279 2007/6/26 0.832980076 2007/11/1 0.273816315 2007/4/14 0.6 2007/6/27 0.732020548 2007/11/2 0.718085106 2007/4/14 0.792613636 2007/6/27 0.707792208 2007/11/2 0.656401945 2007/4/15 0.750773994 2007/6/28 0.636545182 2007/11/2 0.335085414 2007/4/15 0.854572714 2007/6/28 0.652579242 2007/11/6 0.881828979 2007/4/16 0.896817743 2007/6/29 0.800072569 2007/11/7 0.8329718 2007/4/16 0.865384615 2007/6/29 0.669045495 2007/11/7 0.845959596 2007/4/17 0.737279335 2007/6/30 0.638872226 2007/11/8 0.821629213 2007/4/17 0.748148148 2007/6/30 0.743220623 2007/11/8 0.660553311 2007/4/18 0.648351648 2007/7/1 0.707006369 2007/11/9 0.684210526 2007/4/18 0.658783784 2007/7/1 0.696092114 2007/11/9 0.436241611 2007/5/4 0.921428571 2007/7/8 0.521673387 2007/11/10 0.475352113 2007/5/5 0.917960089 2007/7/8 0.820823245 2007/11/10 0.42578356 2007/5/5 0.912250217 2007/7/9 0.786604361 2007/11/11 0.244242847 2007/5/6 0.945187743 2007/7/9 0.783350569 2007/12/5 0.849303136 2007/5/6 0.894122551 2007/7/10 0.71395881 2007/12/5 0.632267442 2007/5/7 0.880035026 2007/7/10 0.640625 2007/12/6 0.732997481 2007/5/7 0.900726392 2007/7/11 0.62628866 2007/12/6 0.757575758 2007/5/8 0.864719447 2007/7/11 0.754716981 2007/12/7 0.748358862 2007/5/8 0.918884664 2007/7/11 0.678513732 2007/12/7 0.719557196 2007/5/9 0.829145729 2007/7/12 0.557515337 2007/12/7 0.747126437 2007/5/10 0.945040214 2007/7/15 0.75 2007/12/8 0.607758621 2007/5/11 0.923076923 2007/7/16 0.721088435 2007/12/8 0.371577575 2007/5/11 0.813131313 2007/7/16 0.763358779 2007/12/9 0.566146736 2007/5/28 0.358208955 2007/7/17 0.794655415 2007/12/14 0.715302491 2007/5/28 0.705128205 2007/7/17 0.764802632 2007/12/14 0.358974359 2007/5/29 0.794621027 2007/7/18 0.719525959 2007/12/14 0.383631714 2007/5/29 0.729833547 2007/7/18 0.71969697 2007/12/15 0.378218884 2007/5/30 0.728070175 2007/7/19 0.762915499 2008/1/8 0.696969697 2007/5/30 0.848760042 2007/7/19 0.779859485 2008/1/8 0.900744417

資料來源：本研究整理

附錄 B：B 產品的歷史資料-3

表 二十八：B 產品的歷史資料-3

D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate 2008/1/9 0.833678971 2008/3/14 0.785824345

2008/1/9 0.800653595 2008/3/14 0.735483871 2008/1/9 0.538641686

2008/1/10 0.857605178 2008/1/10 0.840248963 2008/1/11 0.688976378 2008/1/30 0.433604336 2008/1/30 0.778301887 2008/1/31 0.592200289 2008/1/31 0.728971963 2008/2/1 0.723076923 2008/2/1 0.858050847 2008/2/1 0.489678349 2008/2/2 0.528776978 2008/2/2 0.735694823 2008/2/21 0.833333333 2008/2/22 0.717391304 2008/2/22 0.467461045 2008/2/23 0.621727749 2008/2/23 0.140734949 2008/2/24 0.143403442 2008/2/24 0.325598802 2008/2/25 0.661016949 2008/2/27 0.546558704 2008/2/28 0.515433896 2008/2/28 0.797583082 2008/2/29 0.84605598 2008/2/29 0.800936768 2008/3/1 0.537459283 2008/3/1 0.149171271 2008/3/1 0.645013724 2008/3/2 0.616232465 2008/3/2 0.295081967 2008/3/3 0.743923611

2008/3/3 0.216

2008/3/3 0.848056537 2008/3/4 0.417246175 2008/3/4 0.296577947 2008/3/5 0.530216648 2008/3/11 0.672131148 2008/3/12 0.712699822 2008/3/12 0.752595156 2008/3/12 0.971223022 2008/3/13 0.669117647 2008/3/13 0.774647887

資料來源：本研究整理

附錄 C：C 產品的歷史資料-1

表 二十九：C 產品的歷史資料-1

D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate 2006/9/1 0.49070632 2007/1/8 0.822429907 2007/4/25 0.905813429 2006/9/1 0.776640578 2007/1/9 0.875 2007/4/26 0.896921017 2006/9/2 0.88028169 2007/1/9 0.83499006 2007/4/26 0.924324324 2006/9/2 0.862068966 2007/1/23 0.452830189 2007/4/27 0.936037441 2006/9/3 1.063303189 2007/1/24 0.926829268 2007/4/27 0.80952381 2006/9/3 0.926902788 2007/1/24 0.893801057 2007/4/28 0.715754833 2006/9/4 0.900735294 2007/1/25 0.888157895 2007/4/28 0.855614973 2006/9/4 0.931034483 2007/1/25 0.893886967 2007/4/29 0.880503145 2006/9/4 0.88794926 2007/1/25 0.896414343 2007/4/29 0.505617978 2006/9/5 0.848888889 2007/1/26 0.688 2007/4/29 0.887573964 2006/9/5 0.772433597 2007/1/26 0.7960199 2007/4/30 0.883711975 2006/10/18 0.791075051 2007/1/27 0.809859155 2007/4/30 0.458181818 2006/10/18 0.913705584 2007/1/27 0.786829599 2007/5/1 0.750782065 2006/10/19 0.654545455 2007/1/28 0.514705882 2007/5/22 0.267379679 2006/10/19 0.870599429 2007/1/28 0.751753156 2007/5/22 0.88289393 2006/10/20 0.863523573 2007/2/9 0.933997509 2007/5/23 0.825267448 2006/10/20 0.910714286 2007/2/9 0.884557721 2007/6/18 0.8 2006/10/21 0.813333333 2007/2/10 0.884450785 2007/6/19 0.351366425 2006/10/21 0.907202828 2007/2/10 0.922048998 2007/6/19 0.521436848 2006/10/22 0.877358491 2007/2/11 0.785123967 2007/6/19 0.825806452 2006/10/22 0.9 2007/2/11 0.913043478 2007/6/20 0.371176776 2006/10/23 0.830357143 2007/2/12 0.864430798 2007/6/20 0.722891566 2006/10/23 0.439924314 2007/2/12 0.774834437 2007/6/21 0.530973451 2006/10/24 0.726708075 2007/2/13 0.739914163 2007/6/21 0.702486304 2006/10/24 0.774577954 2007/2/13 0.90699462 2007/7/25 0.967741935 2006/10/25 0.513663733 2007/2/14 0.905957656 2007/7/26 0.758314856 2006/12/17 0.720496894 2007/2/14 0.899398108 2007/7/26 0.821656051 2006/12/18 0.376106195 2007/2/14 0.617647059 2007/7/27 0.62403698 2006/12/18 0.791489362 2007/2/15 0.894023104 2007/7/27 0.939393939 2006/12/18 0.934844193 2007/2/15 0.917101828 2007/7/28 0.391304348 2006/12/19 0.82278481 2007/2/15 0.968992248 2007/7/28 0.506792676 2006/12/19 0.887850467 2007/2/16 0.836940837 2007/7/29 0.250260688 2007/1/1 0.913160251 2007/2/16 0.891434263 2007/7/29 0.149700599 2007/1/2 0.818181818 2007/2/17 0.9 2007/7/30 0.086580087 2007/1/3 0.835443038 2007/2/17 0.898488121 2007/7/30 0 2007/1/3 0.472320975 2007/3/23 0.476923077 2007/7/30 0.674955595 2007/1/4 0.705882353 2007/3/23 0.671031097 2007/7/31 0.515672396 2007/1/5 0.844221106 2007/3/24 0.634584876 2007/7/31 0.633245383 2007/1/5 0.936626281 2007/3/24 0.531428571 2007/8/1 0.596954315 2007/1/6 0.851258581 2007/3/25 0.856610801 2007/8/2 1 2007/1/6 0.892512077 2007/3/25 0.606995885 2007/8/3 0.809160305 2007/1/6 0.598006645 2007/3/26 0.678925035 2007/8/3 0.822259136 2007/1/7 0.786255096 2007/3/26 0.774193548 2007/8/4 0.867768595 2007/1/7 0.91775326 2007/3/27 0.852526172 2007/8/4 0.818858561 2007/1/8 0.790258449 2007/4/25 0.861244019 2007/8/5 0.585791442

資料來源：本研究整理

附錄 C：C 產品的歷史資料-2

表 三十：C 產品的歷史資料-2

D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate D ate Y ield R ate 2007/8/5 0.857142857 2007/9/29 0.855565777

2007/8/6 0.739773716 2007/9/29 0.67839196 2007/8/6 0.848656294 2007/9/30 0.688647746 2007/8/7 0.901639344 2007/9/30 0.893023256 2007/8/7 0.853485064 2007/10/1 0.610375671 2007/8/8 0.768651093 2007/10/1 0.776371308 2007/8/8 0.909090909 2007/10/2 0.790983607 2007/8/8 0.744571773 2007/10/2 0.874635569 2007/8/27 0.293706294 2007/10/3 0.53164557 2007/8/28 0.478087649 2007/10/3 0.552825553 2007/8/28 0.821917808 2007/10/4 0.725689405

2007/8/29 0 2007/10/4 0.78125

2007/8/29 0.433604336 2007/10/5 0.817790531 2007/8/30 0.340659341 2007/10/5 0.888800635 2007/8/30 0.815939279 2007/10/5 0.86102719 2007/8/31 0.548333333 2007/10/6 0.821774194

2007/8/31 0.747508306 2007/10/7 1

2007/8/31 0 2007/10/7 0.798548094

2007/9/12 1 2007/10/8 0.929432014

2007/9/13 0.857142857 2007/10/8 0.941477688 2007/9/13 0.781163435

2007/9/14 0.848007414 2007/9/14 0.853462158 2007/9/15 0.751658069 2007/9/15 0.523648649 2007/9/16 0.794366197 2007/9/16 0.843938379 2007/9/17 0.875232775 2007/9/17 0.567711413 2007/9/18 0.811258278 2007/9/18 0.826239359 2007/9/19 0.791878173 2007/9/19 0.966209081 2007/9/20 0.763983629 2007/9/20 0.902255639 2007/9/21 0.657142857 2007/9/23 0.845070423 2007/9/24 0.832904884 2007/9/24 0.889049512 2007/9/25 0.93625498 2007/9/26 0.76433121 2007/9/27 0.606808091 2007/9/27 0.861664713 2007/9/28 0.711150132 2007/9/28 0.901793339

資料來源：本研究整理