全球化背景下的兩岸關係與台商角色

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(10) ft lit" ~~ fj r:p , 5$* ffJ t±* ' i§ f~fAi& 1t JaHjl!!~ r ~~t~i( § :± J tm5fIJ~[IIflIffJ~* ' ~flU~Jj~~19-tmjftij~5fIJ~[IIflI*¥ ~~ffJ~m ' 0. '~flU ~JHt 1?c~ IJ<¥~~i&m. '. *~ti~~~,m~~~19-tmtl*b.fi.~.@o. ~~z. ' ¥-f.~1t:ffJ~:±a!z1i!i ' /f1'§'~~~Ti1.I¥J~~§:±It1 ' tB~"T~~~. ~~[IIflI~ffJmb~~'~~i1~~~~~.~°litm~ft=oo. ~~~~~r:p'. ~m+~~M'~T~.i1~~tij,~*~~g~~~~A'19-§mlli~mi1~ffJ19tmi&m:~ • • mlli~*~m,1t • • ~~m~~*~~,a~~*jf~§~ft~·. , g.i1~t~~t±*m5fIJ~ JIij.~flJJ;fjj=O 0 ~ ~~ fi E3 *~i1~.* r ~lJ~~ J m~r:p , "lli~*i&mffJIi*5fU ~ , P3~Wi iIt.*/J\=ill1A~{£* • fflHm~~1J!~1t: • *~i1~~m«lf* ' ~~&~~~~Wf r ~ ~f;ii1~.ffl;&~~mA~ji-PJTf~ffl;. ~f~JE~~t] J. 0. (DBU) 1-\1}ff r ~~~idl!1!~fE~1T J (OBU) ~fE ' ~i1lf1l~i4!~~ID. ~Jmi1~jf~~trr:pJ[J\ffJ~1S. 0. ~lit/f.~lli. E3 ?tf:t±*ffJi1~t±U '. JEj:J.~~1iiJtm5$. *ffJi&m~.bo ~~'~A~~.HffJ~~~i1~~a,. sm~Jm~.i&m~1S~(~~r~. 'PJT J6 ~Jj ~ tT ffJ r 111 a f.6 M J (alliance groups) ~ PJT 51 ~ ffJ r [II a Jf (countervailing groups) ~fj@(J) M1Kt~ffij ~ , flIJi1~ffJi&m~~ , B*~~rPJ. 5f1J ~ ~ flI J. vt J. ). 0. ti*'-E®mn*~.~W/f~ffJtl*lI1a'.Jm~.m~o~E®'~~¥-f.~ ~. ,. tB.~m& i1lf1ltm{;}t±m:ffJ~#~5fIJ~-f§lJtzDa~~~~jf~~~lr~~ffJmft'3t. .~(~~I·.~~)®-~~.Jm:±~~M~*~I¥J • • tt*°1t~,lit.~P3 i&t&~bffJ1[~. ,. ~/~l.~. ,. ~1t:.*+. '. ~M~tzOfiiJ~~. , 1JJ~f!f~ A¥-f.~t.t@. 0. r *~~fli&mtBl'Ntj : ~~~Hiltl¥J1f!fJJ J ,Jt 232- 240' ,1.:) &.. T~IJ~W : Tse-Kang Leng, .. State, Business, an Economic Interaction across the Taiwan Strait," Issues & Studies, vol. 31, no. 11 (Nov. 1995), pp. 40- 58; Tse-Kang Leng, .. Economic Interdependence and Political Integration between Taiwan and Mainland China: A Critical Review," Chinese Political Science Review, no. 26 (June 1996), pp. 27 - 43; Tse-Kang Leng, .. Dynamics of Taiwan-Mainland China Economic Relations: The Role of Private Firms," Asian Survey, vol. 38, no. 5 (May 1998), pp. 494 - 509; Tse-Kang Leng,op. cit., pp. 16 - 36. 93 Q Joseph Wong, .. Dynamic Democratization in Taiwan," Journal of Contemporary China, vol. 10, no. 27 (2000), pp. 339 - 362.. [t(~ (4;-~IJIiJUf1J1tlNfaili&~miA' ~~;tt$51. (4;-flIJIilJIJ, $51Jt ltt 191» :fH6ft11± tzn fill g ?t.{ 2:F'~ I¥J r. ltt~. *". m. 1tI .1J it J (countervailing power) , PI ~ ~ John Kenneth Galbraith, American Capitalism: The Concept ofCountervailing Power (Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin, 1956). ltt@ ffrm~~tf~fif1~rqi&7tllWilll®ltH'~' PI~IJl'lJfkIfl ' ~~., r ~1¥~fi.R:!fJJ~ • •i&ffllWilll : m~t" ~~~I¥J:fi::F? J • rg'lItijif~ 42 ~m 6 Wl (2003 ~ 11/12 J1 ~) ,Jt 1- 27 J1t?l-9t-ar ~~ Tun-Jen Cheng, .. Doing Business with China: Taiwan's Three Main Concerns," The Woodrow Wilson Center Asia Program, no.118 (Feb. 2004), pp. 12-18. ltt@ f:frm~I¥¥.::l!fi'~ frtBi&ttlftl¥ ' -ar ~~ Shu Keng, .. Understanding the Impacts of Non-Official Contacts across the Taiwan Strait: Towards A New Analytical Framework," presented for the 32nd Annual Sino-American Conference on Contemporary Chinese Affairs on "Democratization and Its Limits in Greater China: Implications for Governance and Security in East Asia" (Philadelphia, PA, September 18-19,2003). ·5351JfkIfl' r r _liRA j 1$we r If.A j ? *J:mj:1!!"~f4~fr~I¥J~~lfefS.l J 'fl~ tn-~**~i&ili~:±J}jH~=Jffii&th~1ilimiff~1. ( :Fi:JIi : 1~**~±m 2002 ~ 4 J111-12 B ). ·m. 0. '.

(11) ~~1~1rS: ~ffJ~~1U]1*,¥MiljYjff:JfE.. ~1J~J1~&~ .~§:.i&m. '. II. Uft~~,~.~.tl*E8~~~~'~fi§~~h.m'tlFmtlME8~.h'. teJ. a *ru:* '. fB.~~iTIf§:'E8f1JLMa. ' =!t1LI:?1F:::fQJ,J\. ' ~1J;f§1:L~hE8*E* ' R!#f1~ji~~mzp:~ &:iililt. ' ~$Um;l~H~ , ~~f~ , ~8JH~~?ltm~th ' CP*~ .$:litlFmz~gh ' f~¥fYjlQ~J~lli a~~f~E8m~ ~!It ' **ft.~ r J ffi.~.E8i&~~.'~:::fm~tl.1JOO~~ • • o 0. "T~*!/i! *Jtjl~cp. ,. mtlFmE8~. §EBtmth, 1B=OO. 0. 3. i5.~HI r iE¥J r~~aB{j~m~ ~OOCP. E8~ffl • • 'B.*:::f~~'. E8.~aM,m.~g~CPE8. ~'P3~ti. m.aM,cp~*.E8CP~~fi,m~~~QJ.E8~.'.E~ho~!It,cp*~. $~~ r ~i-. RtlFm,~~=!t~~~E8~.h,m:::fQJ$ • • ~o. ~iJ!~tl~. ~tlffi~'. ~t1f!fOJM~. .1JOOlt!lt~~~~?~. ( ,. %,tl• • ~~QJ~.f1tlFmmm$~ • • '~M • • m.(~m~ m*"m) '.fJh.~ iiII~) ,mflJm~ ( ~Dmf#~1f ' &~1JOOE8~fJh) , J:J. ~ 1& tl Fm E8 (rij JL' WW61BJ $ ' :fA ~ • ~ f~:::f 1i ~ -=:::m ~ ~ rim tl Fm E8 ~ 00 ~ .,~ra~cp~,m.tl.Jz~,~ • • ~~r~N.tlJ 'QJ~~tlFmrffl 0. (~~. r. m1:t:. E8 r IIHiltt. ~f~ J. :;fi*?&~(rij. =!t* ' tl• • ~PJXm r ~fYjf~J §~E8~.*~Jirlmf~ , ~~~D!It--f!JrEiJf~tl.1J 1liif1g~nf.~tJjf~~DtlFm~~ItM ' 1iflJJ::t$ , WPJTlfXf~ff~ , J:J.~=!tmJE~B! i&jftz~~~:tf ~~IJ ' tl• • ~ FE§~:;fi~~~tlt r mcpflJ~lI1a J 'fflf'FB!f1W5fH~ ~0~ • • '?1F~m~m.E8~~~tJjf~~mo~*r~fYjf~J§~E8tlFm~~'tl .1Joo:::fm:::fB!.~~~~~'&B!"iTIf • • • • wmfJhtlFm'~1B • • ~fJhE8~@ cp , f1=!t~1:rM\~E8 r mm~tJjf J 'ftJ:J.7tmlli{OJtlQJ~g~lt-¥fU~~ § , ~D.tIt1J~. j£~f;f.5. ~E8m1f~ ,!It~~P3. rlma:@. 0. {232- 240' J:J 'aiwan Strait, ... Iterdependence binese Political .iwan-Mainland 5 (May 1998), emocratization. 0. 0. ftMcp*f3.E8~~ltm. 0. (=) *!lfPii5* EI tf$a9~. §~~rlmtlFm~~~.E8~~,~.cprlma:=!taOO~B!'~¥B&m~r ~Jt.I~. , $~fnBtl~.?£~~=!tmt~~~m ' _*51 $ tlFm~~E8~~if!~@) J1tmfnB~E8fR*~1.!li ' 1f=!t~gAng.~m (John C. Harsanyi) PJTa~E8 r WJ*tl~~ J (the blackmailer's fallacy) ztp@ ~~m.1:LthE8~*,*~ljz-~: r & ~1:L.E8&m~ft'~:::fQJ~#1f • • E8~ffl~.oJ@lt~1JiTIf~'~ • •Ji1f@ J. E8ffl~. 0. 0. leth Galbraith, . Mifflin, 1956).. rtlJl&!II : ~~t~. Fm~. .00~~r1:L.J'. oJ1t9l-W\PJ~~. i&~ ftBm. The Woodrow. ffifiH'f*fT '. '. r~.J. ,. °m:;fiff~-1Jft!ltr. ~1j=!t&\~~iijt~*i~fU~E8*rll{jHltt. f~¥~f=¥ _/~'. '. JE8~tm'.D~1JE8. fU~fl~z T. '. !It~~m~:rj. ,. 0. )fficial Contacts Ie 32nd Annual nd Its Umits in PA, September. ;ti:® John C. Harsanyi, Rational Behavior and Bargaining Equilibrium in Games and Social Situations. ~Wt[TIJJ. lit@. ,~~. 1-12 E::l). 0. tt@. EMJ1tPJ~~*W:.mi~f.fEm~jit¥J~LI' 4Bt~~t¥J>m~. ,. Q~ EBP~~. , 20021f: 9 ~ 26. I::J '. m2 Jt6(. 0. (Cambridge & New York: Cambridge University Press, 1977), pp. 186-189. R. Harrison Wagner, "Economic Interdependence, Bargaining Power, and Political Influence," In. ternational Organization, vol. 42, no. 3 (1988), p. 481..

(12) tz§lit ' RP1l!:fji#1¥J r ~lt~{&il J *5t¥J ' fil.ltt:rflm~~U ' {1l.:g: A:tEiifikilWx l¥J~m~f¥9=t ' {}J@~~~tJlt~IQ]JI&~3B~/1i*1¥J r ±.~ffl J (utility/prefer e~) '~-iifi •• ~~'~littJ.:tEM*JI&~lt.l¥J~fi9=t'fil ••• ~tJ~. 1¥J~~o~litW§'~A~~§ool¥J~m,.:g:A~.~m'~t:r~~A~l¥Jr~m~. .J~~'$~7~*@.lt9=t~.m~MI¥J •• ,tz§W*.ITm9=t~ltt:r~.I¥J~ *oM~oo~,~~r@mM.JMffi~ •• ~·~ffl~~fl~·.~*~ •• '~ :jtm:tE~ft+jtfl~JR ~J:jt.~. 0. WH '. ~"~t:r~~M*@Wtl~lt**9=t1¥J. rA'ffi J ,ftlJlit r A. •• ~M*~~·tl~~h.~I¥J~.,.:g:A~~.~fttJ~ftm~@o. :jt*,~~t:r~~r~¥Jl¥Jm.r3B.~.tz§J.~'~~*.filW~~9=t~:tEOO tiJ&@.hll¥J~~M~~'. tz§lit' It*I¥JJ&ili*~' ME;Jp:J1JlK§tm ' It*I¥JJ&~:R~ , JrftlJB fIfftlJ ' t:rtllJ&JfflF-#i% f3tfflGJL' · t±frlttfLllHttlQ] ~.jfgtfL. 001i 1m. (trade-off) ® i!JJfft~. m,. 0. r.m~~J&rJ&ili~.J~I¥JM.~rg.~~J. 0. 0. A~.~m'm.r~.~$J. ·~~t:rtlll¥J~.,:jt.ili.~~fl~°t:r. tIltJOOW~K~~reA~*'*5*:tE@.JI&~LM*~~,m~~~~.·m~~ ~1¥J9G~o. M~oo~m§,§oo~lt~*lt~~t:r~rJI&ili~~JI¥J.~'±W.9=t~.~. tlDW!l~A'ffi~. 'OOlt~~~U.' 1:tfFlt*~tlJt:r.I¥JI~. m&,J~fiJL'~fS~. , {ll~~{)f~*lttJti~h ' -tJoomtJiU~~t:r~ , "~:jttl~m:tE~. 0. L~MOO. '. rm~t:r.. §.*~'~~~~m:RA.;gtJoo~~mt:r~I¥J&~~.,*.mA~ wrm~. , ~~litfl~~{tlt*:sL~I¥J1f~ , {tl-:I$)JBt:rtJ~~W. 0. 1i~§mitifi~l¥J.. ~~~fl~'fF~~Rlit.t:r~~~,~.jt~rfF~.#I¥Jt:r~J~&rfF~~~. 1¥Jt:r~JM.~'~~ii-~jt~~~I¥J~*o. (-) it:• • i$ aCJ i:t iii ~.*.ili~~.I¥J@m~M't:r~*.~ii'MEm!llt*ill •••I¥J@mrm ~'*5*:tElt*ill ••• l¥Jr~tJJI&JffJ~rm:Rt:r~J~~'~~~~-mrR. ff@ :ffJlt,z,~~-ml¥Jjj!. r A'N J. I¥JlEiID~*. ' lItfijgfjJllJWJf=f!Jiffl '. .JEWJf=f!rnlf~. 0. :ttfFJfH~. Oliver E.. Williamson, .. Credible Commitments: Using Hostages to Support Exchange," American Economic. Review, vol. 73, no. 4 (Sept. 1983), pp. 519 - 540; Oliver E. Williamson, .. Credible Commitments: Further Remarks," American Economic Review, vol. 74, no. 3 (Jun. 1984), pp. 488 - 490. Williamson ~~l¥Jm~:ff~~~Rffl'~~~ff-I¥J~~,m~lItf~~I¥J~~~~~~~'~U~tlWJf=f!~~OO~'~ ~~mAR~~~~al¥J~~~.o.JltWW'fFArA.Jl¥Jti~'.HM~~f=f!~~~.(ti.~ B~.~~'*~~B.~&.) ,~ftfjJllJ.M.~W~~~o. tt® Wagner, ibid, pp. 461- 483.. r.

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(15) ~,*ft~:tjrFIl9P'fiJWrmf,*WaftijfijfS. .il~tlt t3 !lm~W ~ J$: ~ Ii I¥J J1:~@. ':l1tjJi:. r m:±HlitO J. ~,:l1tjJ. ~rll&lli. 7J1f1*.~. ~J~~~'~~~W~mftl¥J~~I3.n~o. -~A~-=OO~~~.m.*~~. •• &X~W~. ( fflfli :. if: Ii:. atllf5i:1i. 7i-1i~.. 1989. 15,479. 339,257. 4.56. *~7~#i~~. 1990. 22,240. 348,711. 6.38. illlir!*i. 1991. 46,641. 436,634. 10.68. 1992. 105,050. 1,100,751. 9.54. 1993. 313,859. 2,751,495. 11.41. 1994. 339,104. 3,376,650. 10.04. 1995. 316,155. 3,752,053. 8.43. ~~~'ill5. 1996. 347,484. 4,172,552. 8.33. 1)] 11 ¥J:pff ~ ~. 1997. 328,939. 4,525,704. 7.27. OOf**~gl5. 1998. 291,521. 4,546,275. 4.61. r t~. 1999. 259,870. 4,031,871. 6.45. It1ft {W- UJ. 2000. 229,628. 4,071,481. 5.64. r~'IJ:im. '. 2001. 297,994. 4,687,759. 6.36. J1:~W~IJ~. ,. 2002. 397,064. 5,274,286. 7.53. 2003. 3,648,800*. 50,147,100*. 7.28. 281,900. 5,378,100. 5.24. J. '1Z9 ffij iU&. ~I¥J~~' ~. 0. ~:tt!r1J I¥J13. MtIZ91ftt&~. ). 0. ~o. ~ (gff~~~. f'P ~ mJi! ' 1ft JtJ$:*~mrp , JtJJt'iltlll5. 2004,. .. *'t*~ :. m~ I¥J. "exit" mechanism) 'UJ~l~lf-ftm!lffijll&' tlDJ1tl5f={;~l r "f$ftgt~ J. (. ft=. mE.3t:f-. , g 1500 illii WtB {f(?&f* fj Hirschman. 15. 1~1O. r:p~iWiJ9Hm*MM. ~lB:: *2003 ~~~gt.*",. (www.mofcom.gov.cn). ;J;~7G. ). ( %). 0. 0. ~~~~~,. ~~1ftmt~l5 ~F&,~I¥J r ~. .lIi11fi Jm ~f::t< lIi~l5OOJlrm. ~lf!PIf-f~iil¥J. lB:~ hiWi~.~· fr1E~~fi. tt~ . •• ~~~.~.~MOO.~'~~fi•• ~~~·h.firM* •• J~eafi-~~. 0. film Albert O. Hirschman ~. , 2001. ~). 0. 53PJ~=,!. miitB~~~m~. ,. PJ~=,!.~~~. , iltti ' "'8lQil.1Ii. (~tJi!. : .~~. Albert O. Hirschman, Rival Views of Market Society and Other Recent. Essays (New York: Viking, 1986), pp. 77 -101; Albert O. Hirschman, .. Exit, Voice, and the State," World Politics, vol. 31, no. 1 (Oct. 1978), pp. 90-107; A. H. Birch, .. Economic Models in Political Science: The Case of 'Exit, Voice, and Loyalty'," British Journal of Political Science, vol. 5, no. 1 (Jan. 1975), pp. 69-82. film Hirschman. m~~l[]filJHlm~M*~f*' PJ~=,!. Shu Keng, "Managing. the Political Impacts of Economic Integration: 'Exit' and 'Voice' across the Taiwan Strait," presented for the 19th. Sin~European Conference on Europ~Asia Cooperation in the New Era. (Taipei: Institute of International Relations: Oct. 22-23, 2002)..

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(21) 3:;:~ft1flfF®~~lHlf~Wai16ji'jfS. 21. o ~t~ , q:.. ti~.'. :1J~m89t1D. *'~*.~~.89g.:{flliD$M,~q:.X~.M~~mm~'.:1i • • ~q:.~.. ,q:.~*~. • • • F~. :J. (supply. 1Btt*~z.. ~~tUff. '. !~{]}i1i1. 0. ••. '&*±~~~.89.~ • • T'#.~:1i*.89~# • • ~~:1Jo~. ' • • • @.~:1i°.~~'=OO=~#.89lliD{]}m'8~q:.~*~ mD•• 894~%o~*89*.a~.q:.'~~OO%89.~*~1B#.,m~ • • m $iI*M!~~7 70 %ft:i:i89.T~~<all ~1ft ' #.ftl1'iJf,f.%ift1ftIi~~ , tlD1ft~ ~ • • ~*.fi.f/tfM.89~*o.~,#.nOOili1'iJH1ft~.~~~.,~ffij~., ~1tq:.~89tt#~~ , M~#.89:1J:It"11::m#.~~3t~89:93-mf*~ 0. 0. f~~-~~. 89~~!!X~ 2!C~#.~. ~i§z'# :#.1fE~. 0. o§!XlfrJ:1iffij ~~/\F~t! ~ f/tf F~. ( scale , n!1'iJrl r~~. ~.r~j1J. F~. 0. ~iSL. q:.,ft:i:iJi m~ftu~rm ~~:ljl'F. '. m89~.'. .'{J3:(fOO. ~'~~_:~~~~~~'~~4~~rn~~ -IN:ffij i§ , ~~~~:{fOO~ B fiitf[~89.flil~1t¥ ' ~*'lJIT~1'iJIi~jf~jj.89 r B.l ~mff J (sensitivity) *0 r JlfB~fiff J (vulnerability) '~JE~~~~n!89n5t@ Richard N. Cooper tJ*omM*Pg~11R~~89@Jn! ' M~~5tmj:) T1i*Ii~~ : l ' r ~tU[SJjf!j J 5t@JJJ! ( defensive response) : H83~RtU1L~ , [SJjf±~~~~m iI ' tU~*~f/tf ~ 2' r mfi~~ J 5t@Jn! (passive response) : tt1B~~.f/tf~ '1*I{'i(.1'iJ~ 0. {i:iJ,~j1J~~89.lL~;. 3' r ~~1JE~ J 'ji@Jn! (constructive response) :. ~~H83f§1L~~. , ltf!!n. l¥J.flt!* ' ~ 83~1!i ' ~ fX~*/F~tEq:.I{'i(fU ; 4' r fL{!,fJ1Jt] J 5t@Jn! (exploitative response) : fftfifUfflf!!n891L~ , *.~ f3.89.f/tf; 5' r flfi~fr!i J 5t@Jn! ( aggressive response) : tI*%ift~n891L~ , itk~~ 1L~.j1J89~m'~~~~89~ • • ~Mo §!XL~~.~* :fLO ~~J:)~ , 831B#.OOtt~*~fU~ra'89~J§1 , lIfEr~ r *~f/tf. '. .&~~J@oOO~~*.fl~.'~*~I{'i(L~r~M~.J5t89@Jn!n5tSo-n. ) , ]!I29-35" [j.~ffj. ) ,. J. JlIH*. :t~~HlY&. !bti~. ti". j:t!H&. lan EfJ r lfI1L ~. ]!I 311- 333 ". ·f*fl*'ttJliIIl iiXr.c*'~Jltil§ U~O.68 %" ~ ~i'iJgrt1O~. ,*Jlil'. ,. {E. r WTO. ]!I 123-141 ". OO,mlli~H • • ~.~m§8989r. ~~M89r~~ffl~J. (-:fL:fL~~). ,-noo• • ~~.. (-:fL:fL~~)@°1ft~'#.ilimH83. .m.-~m~fl. ~~~J. itt<@ Myers Ramon ' lW51f*f!ilj~ , ]!I 5-6" itt<@ Clark Murdock, .. International Economic Leverage and Its Uses," in Knorr & Trager eds., ibid., p. 75 j.;)& Keohane & Nye, ibid., pp. 11 - 20. itt®) Richard Cooper, .. Economic Interdependence and Foreign Policy in the 70's," World Politics, vol. 24, no. 2 (Jan. 1972), pp. 168-170.. itt® ~.::Iiill' lWi3l:ff • Jt 119-169 " itte a~'b"a~~m~~~~~il§~,~nrfiM~.J~#rm.~~JEfJ • • '#• • ~*~ EfJallimi~~' ~~Jftj.;)1lJREfJ qlfUll'IiJ ~~.~nlhli9~ffj, i'iJ~~~iJo/Ul." f'F~~ijfirfitAtiJlt EfJtfi!!!i!" itt® Q lW51. ~If ' & Cheng Tun-jen & Pei-chen Chang, .. Limits of Statecraft: Taiwan's Political Economy. ••. under Lee Teng-hui," in Wei-Chin Lee & T. Y. Wang eds., Sayonara to the Lee Teng-hui Era (New York: University Press of America, 2003). pp. 131-143..

(22) ••~fi~~M •• ~~~ •• om~~rfi~~.J~~~~~,m. am.~.-. ft•• ~.~~~§~'~~~~Hm~~ •• &~~w~~~tl~,w~~~~r~ mW*_J '.fi~~~.~~~~o {fi1fttfnB~.tlDW r fiitIJ~. J ,Jj~.~mM~ B~ru:* ' MtfUm~~~fiTfj:tg~ ~~,~~ft~r~~~~J. '~~~~*~5~o~~~~~B~~~'~~tl~. ~~M ••• ,ti~~U~W~'lli~Mft~fiBm*~~.o~~. ~Jj~~r~. ~~~J~m.'~~~~.OO'm.~MOO'~~~~ •• fi~m5~ •• 'lli~ ~~~a~'W~~~g~o@.~tt'~AJjr=. J '. r~~mJ. '. rA~A. J ~ •• ~~fnB ' ~J(~=Ftll]~ *6:~rum~.~oo~~~{'F~ , Ml~~@~ r m .§f* J ~{I{tJG',. ' ~4-*fig§:tit {fi$J(L ' L~~~X1ftt~ji1!P~~gg~~71 .;r}~. 0. 0. ~'*6*~.~ r~~~~J =F~~Am~~~.-;gfli.~~~7F' M~m&~J&~ m;m;g.~~fi'~M=F~~ •• ~'Ham.~~&.o~.~J&~m~~~M' Ml~*figm~. 0. *)(~~~~ ~ ~J. '. , ~f!IJftlfm~~Pfif)}~~~.~~~~-J!P. rW~~~~~~J. '. r {'F~A1f~~. rW~~#~~~J&rW~~~~~~J-W~~~. {J5~liJF1g{jJ.&~.~OO~~~~~. 0. g~OO. '. , 5~~~~:f±~ ,. , f!lj~.~J&W::fajr~j! . , •• ~~~rfi~W.J~~~,~~rM.~~J~~., •• ~~~m,. =FJfUll{$~.~~~~~. , ._~.~~~13.. {'F~9F~Jj~5m~ 0. ,~,!I&~. m~~~.~M.'.~~~.~B.~~.~?W~~mn~~~~~~~'~ #1ft~~~~~*~~., ~~~*Xft~~~fl~~~~~. 0. f!!!~~. , ;gfigff~Bmru:*. , J&~~.pJTm ' ff~F1g,ftlj~tHJj~j!~~U~~~3ilJjl stlD~~IIj~~ , J!P{J!~~*~5~ , ~~~MOO~{jJ., 3Z.W)J!~.~tI? ~AHWH~ , ~.~1i2:~ ~~~tl~. r~mw*_J. 0. -. ,~~~~~~~~1ftt~rrW~Lo. *. *. ( JH(ftf : 93. *. 10 F.J 12 E3 '. ~'J't. : 93. 12 f3 13 B ).

(23) :?£~fl::'Wj.lrFB/{jiW}$rmf*Wafm~tg. 1J.jt[ig'ill .±i:frk"rr~ /,,(::1,:]. 1\T'. Wm~B'g. The Political Role of the Taiwan Businessm.en in Cross-Strait Integration. i:JiDJt±~. i:JiDJrJJ& N1i'~Q. Shu Keng & Choung-sheng Lin. }\ntd1f11l. m. lrs1B r L!!Ht; B'g?tJ. &JJ&!fJ~ i~;<:ra'. ,. A~B'g. ,. /f'a;c~~ ~m,.. 1ll ' ii-. SlfIff±* ,IIJJJ&m ' tltm1iJ:B'g. fj. Growing socio-economic integration together with persistent political di vergence makes today's cross-Strait relationships a very unique case for in ternational politics. Under such circumstances, the political role of Taiwanese. ,Mt~-~. iDJt±~. Abstract. businessmen (taishang) in China is exceptionally remarkable. While most studies focused only on the negative consequences for Taiwan's national security and political autonomy, the paper goes further to distinguish four types of political roles of taishang, namely, "taishang as the hostage,". "taishang as agent," "taishang as partner," and "taishang as a lobby." Based on this framework, this paper aims to provide a complete analysis on the political implications of Taiwanese investments in China.. Keywords: Cross-Strait Relations; Globalization; Taiwanese Businessmen;. Government-Business Relations; Economic Sanctions. 13 B ). 23.

(24) .~Jt. cp~j}~j{i:J::IiIi~*. 2oo3i:J::). ' tf:1l11!!t9i-*'• • JA~. 2003. (~tJ?:. :. cp~j}~j{lliWi:t±. '. 0. fia~*M~.*'~.~.~fi~.'3Mo fia~~~*. ' TaiwanStatisticaJDataBook2002 ( i:l~t : 1:ya~~~* ' 2003 ) ~~~, r*M~j{a.~ • • :m• •tl*~liDJ ,~*m, WIi,.Mtf:1 a9~.lIJiKtJlM ' f1fUJtIi ( i:l~t : .lim lliWi:t± ' 1999i:J::) , J[ 211- 263 ~f!IJ/iJIJ' r 1tE~~ftm;jF~*~j{1fittl~~lXJf*M!~*~j{a. J ,tf:1111*1Iti1f~' m 41 ~m 4 M ( 1999 i:J:: 4 f]) 'J[ 17 - 38 ~3iW ' ttljIQJI~ : ~.lIIiKtiiB: ( i:l~t : IEcplliWi:t± ' 1997i:J::) 0. 0. 0. 0. ~ft~,. r.j{~.,a~.M?~a~RmMm~~~~~~.~.J. ;~~TIj. ~~a'. ,. ( 1996i:J::) , J[ 211- 255. ilJfU~. ,~.a. 0. rm~~~Jfi:l.~~.~.~~~~.J ,~~~rm~~~.~.~~J. ~~~Uff~*. ( i:l~tff.*:±m : 2oo3i:J:: 11 f] 1-2. ~m~,.~~, J.iz~. J. B). 0. rlX~*M!.j{a.~~~:~m~.j{liDJf~i:l.~~~~~. ' tf:1l11fiallPUi '. m10 ~m 2 M (2001i:J:: 3 f ] ) '. 135-166. 0. 'It;eq:,/8lIJHiJfi&1fi ( .r.tIiJ : .r.tliJiMJ1iilfJJi&H ' 20041fi) $i1ipJG , ~~~ , .if8q:,E : *If!§itf!.if8a9M.H. ( ~~t : JtfjWtJt1t;lli~t± ' 2001 !Jf!1if(fif '. i:J::). 0. 0. $~rn' r.Jtfj.cp~*M!~n~~~~:-@~~~~~~mAJ '~.U.i1f~' 23 M ( 1996 i:J::) 'J[ 159-181 0. m. ~~it,. r j}*Df1~itUl!tilJiT : *~i:lJtfjtbh*~JLi:lPJJ~~zUff~ J 'mJLa~* ~*2Uff~mU.i±~Jt (2oo2i:J::) ~jit;g , tl[]fpJ.l-X~ • • .MmJfti*lItrotlzi1f~ ( i:l~t : *~~ilB~j{fqjUff~~iS' ' 1998 0. ). 0. ~:t'§'B' rWTO.CEPAJfi:l.~M~ffljj}.*M!~~~.~~ J. ' lII~ • •Uiti ' (2004 ), 123-141 m Wm*1C fff fqj , ~ Il! ~ fi ~ II 2002 J1 2003 ( m 1lJ: Ilop *1C fff fqj , 2003 ' 2004 i:J::) fEJllz' r ~w.~J.l : ~.~.m\J~itUl!tiUiT~@~Uff~ J ' IIJailli ' ~m~ : ~ ~@.lIJiKta9i1~ " iJ!i±,n**a9J14J ( ~tJ?: : m~* i:l.Uff~m' 2004 i:J::)' 20-37 ~~~ , MJt ' ~~!1" ( i:l~t : ~~Jt{t;lliWi:t± ' 1995 ). ~~~. 0. 0. 0. 0. ~q, rr~~Aj~~ri:l.Aj ?*L~~~~N~i:lPJJ~m.~~J ,~~*. ~ r m=Jrnij(~.~'imfJf~* B) 0. J (1r1l1:. f9t~*~:±m. ' 2002 i:J:: 4. f]. 11-12.

(25) ~ f;lHt;. :w:err ~j1.jij '* r"H~W ~ 1m P3 {g. 25. ~q, rr~~tlmJ :wro~~T~*~~R~~~~.~J '~*~'n~.,. 1ft 7J< ~ Ii ' 457-487. i lli It&t± ' ~q )03~). 0. , • •tP 63 ~. 0. tif~'. m. Ut. M • JQ iifij $. B]A ( a ~ t : i&. *. ~. rim r:p IL' '2003 ~) 'Ji. 0. r ~**~WR~~a.i&1il1t&1il : i¥J~tlil~lH~:~~m-'¥? if~ , ~ 42 ;{i m 6 M (2003 ~ 11-12 f3) 'Ji 1 - 27 iflj~i$] , .~JQ.n' ~Rliilt • • ( a~t : '2002). ,. Ift~.,. ~ •• ,~ •• f9lJ~~~. ,. :. ,ra,aJQ. J. 0. 0. raffl~~~~~~M~~ni&~:~~@~~~ •• M~~liIm. m 13 WI (2002 ~ 12 f3) 'Ji 27-75 !I~. ' ~.iifij$6.IIH~ ( a~t : ~~llilt&t± '1997 ) !I.~ , *ft._i&+=~ , 1988-2000 ( a~t : 7(Tllilt&t± '2000 ) IMlt.:=5~ , ~.JQtPIII6.fUI~ : ijHttltiif~.TIj 12 ( a~t : MIII$Ar~~~.tVf ~~~fl ' 2002 ~) ,..:=5 ' ~.6.lt. : ftSJ1f:JilIIj~~1t ( a~t : !J#¥Rxfl:llilt&t± ' 2004 ) ~~~, rn+~~r:p~~a~Wi&mJ ,1ft~~'iifij$i&6Ati:i& • • • JQ~~ ~'" ( a~t : 7J<~llilt&t± '1994 ), Ji 45-71 .fJ~' rtl[]1RJ~III.~.IfIMfIJ~*lJimti J ~~fl.~ a~t : r:p~*~~tVf~~ , 1998 ~) • • • ' r .~rr:p~J~WrIm%-~~~~~~~.J '~.~fl' l;{im2 WI (2000 ~ 1 f3)' 31 - 82 J. ,.~~±.¥.,. 0. 0. 0. '~.i& ~*3(~ J. 0. 0. !!1iI~~~. -166 ~tl. 0. 0. ' 2001. ±.if~. ,. ~J1:i&1il* ~E. ' 1998. ~ • •tI. '. 003 ' 2004. (. 0. 0. ••• '. r~*~~.k~. •• ~~*3(~~.J. '~.&*.~fl,m4~m3W1. ( 2003 7 f3) 'Ji 41-- 58 • • • ' ~EJHtl'e9iifij1f • • fUl1li ( a~t : llilt&t± ' 2003 ~) 0 ~.$m ~.fl,tP.~III • • I~IIIAm.,~~m.,~*.oo~m.~ ttF.J.'1!S-Wlo Mmflli ' iifij1f3(5jffJQII~3i:~ ( a~t : MIIJ$Ammfl '2004 ) IIJifUI, r *~~"~~5'}1f~jJ : am~¥I{:£*±i1§D~f~~U~.lliD~~ J ,~. ~±.¥TIj , m 30 WI (2003 ~), 89-133 ~Wi ' 1*fi7\: ' tPlII• • ( a~t : ~mDht.llilt&t± ' 2003 ~) 0 10 M (2003 ~itff' r iiJ1:~*~fitq~HH~~*~ J '~ • • • if~F.JTIj, m 26 ~ 10 f3)' 29 - 35 .~ , ~ • . tPlII . *Nnil? (a~t: tliBI~xfl:llilt&t± ' 2002 ) 0. •••. 0. 0. 0. ~Bl&i. ~PJT. : !B ' 2004. , f~** f3 11-12. 0. Birch, A. H., '" Economic Models in Political Science: The Case of 'Exit, Voice, and L0 yalty'," British Journal a/Political Science, vol. 5, no. 1 (Jan. 1975), pp. 69- 82. Chao, Chien-min, '" Will Economic Integration between Mainland China and Taiwan Lead to a Congenial Political Culture?" Asian Surrey, vol. 43, no. 2 (Mar.!Apr. 2003) , pp. 280 - 304..

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