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Accident
Analysis
and
Prevention
jo u r n al hom e p a g e :w w w . e l s e v i e r . c o m / l o c a t e / a a p
Beyond
general
behavioral
theories:
Structural
discrepancy
in
young
motorcyclist’s
risky
driving
behavior
and
its
policy
implications
Yi-Shih
Chung
a,∗,
Jinn-Tsai
Wong
baKainanUniversity,LogisticsandShippingManagement,No.1KainanRoad,LuzhuShiang,Taoyuan33857,Taiwan
bNationalChiaoTungUniversity,InstituteofTrafficandTransportation,4F,118ChungHsiaoW.Rd.,Sec.1,Taipei10044,Taiwan
a
r
t
i
c
l
e
i
n
f
o
Articlehistory: Received31July2010
Receivedinrevisedform6March2011 Accepted17April2011
Keywords: Motorcyclist Riskybehavior Structuraldiscrepancy Structuralequationmodeling Demographicfactor
a
b
s
t
r
a
c
t
Whilemanystudiesexaminethemeanscoredifferencesofpsychologicaldeterminantsbetween
het-erogeneousdrivergroups,thisstudyrevealsastructuraldiscrepancyinacausalbehavioralframework.
Usingyoungmotorcyclists(ages18–28)assubjects,thisstudyinvestigatesthevariousrolesofkey
influ-entialfactorsindeterminingriskydrivingbehavior.Multi-groupanalysisofstructuralequationmodeling
showsthatageandgenderaretwofactorsthatcaneffectivelydistinguishheterogeneousdrivergroups
exhibitingdifferentdecision-makingmechanismsinshapingtheirriskydrivingbehaviors.When
encoun-teringundesirabletrafficconditions,roadragecanimmediatelyincreasemalemotorcyclists’intentions
toengageinriskydrivingbehaviors;ontheotherhand,youngfemalemotorcyclistsfurthercalculate
theirperceivedrisktodeterminewhethertoengageinriskydrivingbehaviors.Thisresultshowsthat
thereisasignificantlinkbetweenriskperceptionandtrafficconditionawarenessforexperienceddrivers
(ages25–28),butnotforyoungerdrivers(ages18–24).Thisfindingshowsthatwhilewell-developed
theoriessuchasplannedbehaviorandriskhomeostasisprovidegeneralframeworkstoexplainrisky
driv-ingbehavior,heterogeneousdrivergroupsmayexhibitstructuraldiscrepanciesthatreflecttheirvarious
decision-makingmechanisms.Thissuggeststhat,inadditiontomeandifferences,understanding
struc-turaldiscrepanciesamongheterogeneousgroupscouldhelpresearchersidentifyeffectiveintervention
strategies.
© 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Intheireffortstoreducetrafficcollisions,researchersandtraffic
engineershaveattemptedtoidentifythecausalityofrisky
behav-iorand trafficaccidentsand discoverreliablefactorspredicting
driverbehaviors.However,driverbehaviorsaretypically
hetero-geneousandsometimesunpredictable.Eventhoughdriversshare
similarfeaturesandexperiencesimilartrafficconditionsand
envi-ronments,theirbehaviorsmayvary.Thoughdifferentfactorsmay
influencedifferentriskydrivingbehaviors(Fernandesetal.,2010),
similarriskydrivingbehaviorscouldresultfromdifferentcauses.
Forexample,somedriversmayspeedjustforfunorexcitement,
whileothersspeedbecausetheyareunawareofpotentialdangers
inthedrivingenvironment(Forward,2010;Wongetal.,2010a).
Thesedifferencesmakeitdifficulttodeviseasingleintervention
strategyforalldrivers.
To accountfor theseheterogeneous risky drivingbehaviors,
previous researchers have focused on the correlation between
∗ Correspondingauthor.Tel.:+88633412500(6083);fax:+88633412361. E-mailaddresses:yishih.chung@gmail.com,zest@mail.knu.edu.tw(Y.-S.Chung).
various factors and risky driving behavior, testing the mean
differencesoffactorsbetweendifferentdrivergroups,and
iden-tifyingthecharacteristicsofvarioustypesofriskydriversusing
factororclusteranalysis(Jonah,1997).Morerecently,researchers
havebeguntoexaminethe“causalstructures”ofvariousdriving
behaviors and investigate the relationships between affecting
factors based on developed behavioral theories (Nelson et al.,
2009;Vanceetal.,2006;Wong etal.,2010b).For example,the
theoryof plannedbehavior proposesthatattitudes (the degree
towhichperformanceofthebehaviorispositivelyornegatively
valued),subjectivenorms(theperceivedsocialpressuretoengage
or not engagein a behavior), and perceivedbehavioral control
(people’sperceptionsoftheirabilitytoperformagivenbehavior)
are important predictors of behavior through the intention to
performthisbehavior(Ajzen,1991).Thistheoryhasbeenwidely
usedtoexplainriskydrivingbehaviorssuchasspeeding(Elliott
and Thomson, 2010), drunk driving (Chan et al., 2010a), and
dialinganddriving(Walshetal.,2008).Thesestudiesfocusonthe
associationandpredictabilityofriskydrivingbehaviorfactors,and
attempttoevaluatethehypotheticalcausalrelationshipbetween
factorsandriskydrivingbehavior basedonbehavioral theories.
Asa result,theyprovideuswitha betterunderstandingof the
formationofvariousriskydrivingbehaviors.
0001-4575/$–seefrontmatter © 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.aap.2011.04.021
Whilesomestudieshavedemonstratedstructuralrelationships
for riskydriving behavior, it remains unclear how these
struc-turalrelationshipsappearamongheterogeneousdrivergroups,and
especiallymotorcyclists.Somedriversshowdistinctdriving
behav-iorsfromtheircounterparts:youngornovicedrivers,maledrivers,
studentdrivers,ordriverswithviolationoraccidenthistory(Bina
etal.,2006;ChangandYeh,2007;Dejoy,1992;Forward,2010; HamedandEasa,1998;Jonah,1997;Linetal.,2003;McKnightand McKnight,2003;Simons-Morton et al.,2005; Taubman-Ben-Ari
etal.,2004).Previousstudiesshowthatthesedriversexhibit
dif-ferentpsychologicalconditionswhiledriving.Forexample,Hamed
andEasa(1998)showedthatmaledriversdemonstrateahigher
levelofperceivedriskthanfemaledrivers.Clearly,various
psycho-logicalconditionsarepartiallyresponsibleforthedistinctdriving
behaviorsbetweenheterogeneousgroups.However,merely
exam-ining the differences in psychological conditions provides only
limitedinsightsintotheformationofheterogeneousdriving
behav-iors. This study uses structural equation modeling to examine
thediscrepancyofcausalbehavioralstructuresbetween
heteroge-neousdrivergroupsinacomprehensivemannerthatcomplements
previousstudies.
Given the growing popularity of motorcycles and the high
accident rate of young motorcyclists, this study selects young
motorcyclistsasthesubjects.Motorcyclesoffertheadvantagesof
lowinitialcostand,forsomemodels,goodfuelefficiency.High
fuelpricesin recentyears haveledtoanincreasingnumber of
registeredmotorcycles in somecountries. In theUnited States,
therearemorethan6.2millionregisteredmotorcycles.Morethan
5000motorcyclistswerekilledin2009,accountingfor12%ofall
highwayfatalities(NHTSA,2009).Thesituationisevenworsein
developingcountries,wherepoweredtwo-wheelersareaprimary
modeoftransportationinurbanareas.Forexample,motorcycles
accountfortwothirdsofallregisteredvehiclesinTaiwan,and45%
oftrafficaccidentsinvolvemotorcyclists(MTC,2007a).Compared
tootherdrivers,youngmotorcyclistsaremorelikelytoengagein
riskydrivingbehaviorand becomeinvolved insevereaccidents
(Tsengetal.,2001;Haqueetal.,2009;Zamani-Alavijehetal.,2010).
Thismightresultfromvariousreasons,suchasa relativelylow
helmetuserate(AckaahandAfukaar,2010),enjoymentof
motor-cycling(Zamani-Alavijehetal.,2010),differentpersonalitytraits
(Chen,2009;Wongetal.,2010b),limitedawarenessofpotential
dangersontheroad(Haqueetal.,2009;Wongetal.,2010b),and
poordriving skillsand littleexperience(Changand Yeh,2007).
Thevarietyoffactorsdiscussedintheliteraturesuggestsaneed
toanalyzetheformationofmotorcyclist’sheterogeneousdriving
behaviorina holisticmanner.Therefore,this studyinvestigates
boththemeanscoredifferencesofpsychologicaldeterminantsand
thestructuraldiscrepancybetweenheterogeneousdrivergroupsin
acausalbehavioralstructure.
Theremainingsectionsofthispaperareorganizedasfollows:
Section2brieflyreviewsfactorsthatdefinetheformationof
hetero-geneousdrivingbehaviors.Section3introducesthemethodology
usedinthisstudy.Section4presentsanalysisresults,andSection
5providesdiscussionand policyimplications.Finally, Section6
providesconcludingremarks.
2. Factorsdefiningtheformationofheterogeneousdriving
behaviors
2.1. Personalitytraits
Wongetal.(2010a)isoneofthefewstudiesexamining
struc-tural discrepancy between heterogeneous groups. The authors
dividedyoungmotorcyclistsintofourgroupsbasedontheir
per-sonalitytraitsandexaminedstructuraldiscrepanciesinconducting
riskydrivingbehavior.Theirresultsconfirmtheexistenceof
struc-tural discrepancies. For example,when encountering undesired
traffic conditions, young aggressive motorcyclists immediately
increasedtheirintentiontoconductriskydrivingbehavior;
never-theless,theactionsofthoseintheriskygroupdependedfurther
ontheirconfidence and perceivedfun orexcitement. Although
personalitytraitscaneffectivelydemonstratestructural
discrep-ancyinriskydrivingbehavior,theyaredifficulttouseinpractice
becausetheyarelatentconstructsthatrequirereliableandvalid
measurements.
2.2. Demographicfactorsanddrivingexperience
Previousresearchshowsthatdemographicfactorsanddriving
experience have significant effects on distinguishing
heteroge-neousdrivergroups.Ageandgenderarethetwomostcommonly
useddemographicfactors.Previousstudiesconsistentlyconnect
young male drivers to risky driving behaviors, and have
thor-oughly discussed theunderlying factorsthat distinguish young
maledrivers.Inexperienceinyoungdriversmightcausethemto
engageinriskydrivingbehavior,suchasafailuretoemployroutine
safeoperatingpracticesorfailuretorecognizepotentialdangers
inthedrivingenvironment(ChangandYeh,2007;McKnightand
McKnight,2003).Youngdriversmightalsoengageinrisky
driv-ingbehaviorssuchasspeedinganddrunkdrivingbecausetheir
immediatetemptationoverridestheirknowledgeofthepossible
consequences(Taubman-Ben-Arietal.,2004).
Similartoyoungdrivers,maledriversareover-representedin
riskydrivingbehaviorsandtrafficaccidents(Simons-Mortonetal.,
2005).Comparedtofemaledrivers,maledriversaremoresensation
seekingandperceivecertainriskydrivingbehaviorsaslessserious
andlesslikelytoresultinaccidents.Consequently,previousstudies
consistentlyreportmoreriskydrivingbehaviorsinmales(Dejoy,
1992;Jonah,1997).
Occupation is another important demographic factor
distin-guishing risky drivingbehaviors, especially for studentdrivers.
Student drivers, who are young and over-represented in risky
drivingbehaviorandtrafficaccidents,demonstrateriskydriving
behaviorpatternsdifferentfromnon-studentdriversbecauseof
theirdifferentlifestyle.Thisoftenresultsinvariousdriving
expo-sures,risklevels,alcoholconsumption,etc.(Binaetal.,2006;Lin
etal.,2003).
Drivingexperienceisanotherfrequentlydiscussedfactorinthe
literature,andshowsasignificantrelationshipwithriskydriving
behaviorandtrafficaccidents.Less-experienceddriversgenerally
exhibitpoordrivingskills,leadingtodangerousdrivingsituations
andmoretrafficaccidents(ChangandYeh,2007;Forward,2010).
Comparedtomoreexperienceddrivers,less-experienceddrivers
mayalsofail toanticipate hiddenhazardsand tend tocommit
drivingerrorsmorefrequently,duetoinappropriateattention
allo-cation(Chanetal.,2010b).
Notethatwhileageanddrivingexperiencearetypicallyhighly
correlated, they are two differentconcepts. For example, even
youngpeoplecanbeexperienceddriversiftheydrive
motorcy-clesfrequently.However,givensimilardrivingexperience,adult
drivers maydrivein a moresensible and reasonable waythan
young drivers because they are more physically and mentally
maturethantheyoungdrivers.
2.3. Violationandaccidenthistory
Trafficlawviolationsaretypicalaberrantdrivingbehaviorsthat
endangerdriversthemselvesand otherroadusers. While some
drivergroups, suchasyoungormaledrivers,exhibitmore
vio-lation behaviorsthan their counterparts, previousstudies have
predicttrafficlawviolationbehaviorsthandemographicfactors.
Yagil(1998)suggestedthatduetotheirweakerinstrumentaland
normativemotivestoobeythelawand lessperceivednegative
risk on disobeying the law, young drivers have stronger
con-nectionstotraffic violationsthanold drivers.BeggandLangley
(2004) showed that personality traits are connected to traffic
violationsmore directlythandemographic factorssuchas
gen-der,especially for repeatedviolationbehaviors. By focusing on
young drivers, Bingham et al. (2006) found that while
demo-graphic factors may predict different violation behaviors with
varioussignificance levels, psychologicaladjustment(e.g.
toler-anceofdeviance,peervs.parent-orientedness)consistentlyplays
a significantrole indetermining trafficviolationbehaviors,and
particularlyforyoungerdrivers(e.g.,thoseintheir20s).Blincoe
et al. (2006) discovered that unlike drivers who never exceed
speedlimits,driverswhoslowonlyatcameralocationsandthose
whoexceedlimitsregardlessofcamerasdidnotperceive
speed-ing as a serious traffic law violation. Based on the theory of
plannedbehavior, Forward (2010)demonstrated that attitudes,
subjectivenorms,controlbeliefs,andperceivedbehavioral
con-trolareeffectiveindicatorsoftheintentiontospeedonamajor
road.Apparently,trafficlawviolationbehaviorsaresignificantly
relatedtodriver’spsychologicalconditions,whichmaychangeas
driversmature.
Asforaccidenthistory,previousstudiesshowthatdriverswho
havebeeninvolvedinaccidentstypicallyreporthigherlevelsof
risk-takingbehavior(Linetal.,2004).UsingGPSspeeddata,Jun
etal.(2011)foundthatdriverswhohadaccidentexperiencestend
todriveathigherspeedsthandriversnotinvolvedinaccidents.
Wells-Parkeretal.(2002)alsofoundthataccidentexperienceis
highlycorrelatedwithroadrage.Similartoviolationexperience,
accidentexperiencecanbeusedtodefineheterogeneousdriver
groups,exhibitingdifferentdrivingbehaviors,various
psychologi-calconditions,andlevelsofmaturity.
3. Methodology
Threeelementsarerequiredtoexaminethestructural
discrep-ancybetweenheterogeneousdrivergroups:acausalbehavioral
structure,factorsdefiningheterogeneousdrivergroups,anddata.
Thefollowingsubsectionspresenttheseelementsandtheanalysis
procedure.
3.1. Adoptedcausalbehavioralstructure
Manyresearchershavedevelopedtheirownstructural
frame-works to explain risky driving behaviors or accidents (Sumer,
2003;Ulleberg,2001).Numerousfactorscaninfluencerisky
driv-ingbehaviors:demographiccharacteristics,environmentalfactors,
roadandvehicleconditions,enforcementintensification,and
per-sonality(Sumer,2003).However,thewayinwhichthesefactors
relate to each other and connect with risky driving behavior
dependsontheresearcher’sscopeofstudyandpurpose.
Althoughmanystudiesshowadirectconnectionbetweenthe
aforementionedfactorsandriskydrivingbehaviors,otherstudies
demonstratethatthesefactorscouldaffectriskydriving
behav-iorthroughintermediatefactorssuchasdriver’sattitudeorrisk
perception(UllebergandRundmo,2003;Wongetal.,2010b).For
example,inadditiontodirecteffects,MachinandSankey(2008)
foundthatpersonalityhasindirecteffectsonspeedingviarisk
per-ception.Nelsonetal.(2009)examinedtherelationshipsbetween
driver’sperceived risk,reportedemotionality, perceived
impor-tance,andcellphoneusage(includinginitiatingandanswering)
whiledriving.Nordfjaernetal.(2010)foundsignificant
relation-shipsbetweendriverattitudesand driverbehavior inruraland
urbanareaswhilecontrollingforage,gender,educational
achieve-ment,andpersonality.
Inoneofthefewstudiestargetingmotorcyclists,Chen(2009)
foundthat an altruistic personalityhasa direct effect onrisky
drivingbehavior,whileapersonalitythatincludesanxiety,anger,
sensation-seeking, and lack of norms hasan indirect effect on
behavior through attitude towards risky driving. Wong et al.
(2010b)alsodevelopedaframeworkspecifictoyoung
motorcy-clists.Theirframeworkconsiderstwoprimarybehaviortheories
–thetheoryof plannedbehaviorand therisk homeostasis
the-ory–tomediatebetweenpersonalityandriskydrivingbehavior.
Thisframeworkconsistsofthecomprehensivefactorsdiscussedin
previousstudies,suchasdriver’sattitudeandriskperception.
Theframeworkadoptedinthisstudyisthesameone
devel-opedbyWongetal.(2010b),asFig.1illustrates.Thisframework
includesthreelevels:(1)anexplanatorylevel,whichconsistsof
threepersonalitytraitsthatexplaintheinternalcharacteristicsof
individualdifferencesanddemonstratesconsistentpatternsand
tendenciesinindividualreactionstotheexternalenvironment;(2)
alatentintermediatelevel,whichcontainsfiveconstructsthatact
associalcognitivefactorsmediatingbetweenpersonalitytraitsand
riskydrivingbehaviors;(3)adependentlevel,whichconsistsoftwo
constructsthatrepresentmotorcyclist’sriskydrivingbehaviors.
Thethreepersonalitytraitsusedinthisstudyaresensation
seek-ing,amiability,andimpatience.Sensationseekingisdefinedasa
personalitytraitinvolvinganindividualdesireforexcitementor
stimuli.Amiabilityreferstoafriendly,sociable,andcongenial
per-sonalitytrait.Impatienceisthepersonalitytraitofbeingannoyed
easilyduetoundesiredconditions,suchasdelays.
Thefivesocialcognitivefactorsusedinthisstudyinclude
rid-ingconfidence,affectiveriskperception,utilityperception,traffic
conditionunawareness,andattitudetowardsunsaferiding.
Rid-ing confidencerefers totheperceived behavioral control, asin
thetheoryofplannedbehavior(Wongetal.,2010b).Affectiverisk
perceptionincludestheconcernofriskydrivingbehaviors,which
reflectstheriskthatdriversassigntosuchbehaviorbasedontheir
experienceinsteadofactualriderrisks.Utilityperception
repre-sentsriskybehaviorbeliefs,andismeasuredbyacceptingcertain
riskyridingbehaviorstosavetimeorsimplyforfun.Traffic
condi-tionunawarenessreferstotheindividual’ssituationalawareness
inagivenridingenvironment,andreflectsthedriver’sprevailing
mannersorsafetyculture.Finally,attitudestowardsunsaferiding
indicatethecontinuoustendencyofpeopletolikeordislikesuch
behavior.
Fastridingandridingviolationaretwocommonriskyriding
behaviorsinTaiwan,andwerethereforechosenasthetwotypes
ofriskydrivingbehaviorinthedependentlevel.
AppendixA(TableA1)providesquestionnaireitemsforeach
construct.Readersinterestedinthedevelopmentofthisframework
andadetaileddiscussionoftheseconstructscanrefertoWonget
al.(2010b).
3.2. Selectedgroupingfactors
Whileboth psychologicalfactorsand manifestvariables1 are
effectiveindicatorsofheterogeneousdrivingbehaviors,thisstudy
choosesmanifestvariablesasthegroupingvariables.Unlike
psy-chologicalfactors,whicharelatentconstructsthatrequirereliable
andvalidmeasurements,manifestvariablesarerelativelyeasyto
use.
Thisstudyusesfivemanifestvariablestodefineheterogeneous
drivergroups:gender,age,occupation,violationexperience,and
1Manifestvariablestypicallyrefertomeasurementsthatresearcherscandirectly observeorobtain,suchasgenderorage(Hatcher,1994).
Fig.1.Riskyridingbehaviormodel.
accidentexperience.Thesefivefactorswerechosenfortheir
impor-tanceintheliterature.Samplesizeisanotherconsiderationwhen
choosinggrouping variables. Thatis,each drivergroup defined
bythese variables should containat least 150samples.This is
thesmallestsamplesizeneededtoprovidereliableSEMresults,
giventhattheframeworkwasvalidatedusingalargersamplesize
(Fabrigaretal.,2010;Iacobucci,2010).
Amongthesefactors,gender,occupation,violationexperience,
andaccidentexperiencearecategoricalvariablesandthusdivided
thesamplesbasedontheiroriginaldefinitioninthesurvey,i.e.
“malevs.female,”“non-studentvs.student,”“violationexperience
vs.noviolationexperience,”and“accidentexperiencevs.no
acci-dentexperience.”Violationexperienceincludesallkindsoftraffic
lawviolations,whileaccidentexperiencerepresentstheaccidents
occurringinthepasttwoyears.Thisstudytreatstheonly
contin-uousvariable,age,asacategoricalvariable.Twenty-fouryearsof
agewaschosenasthecut-offpointforthesampleforthefollowing
reason.Accordingtoanationwidereport(MTC,2007b),Taiwanese
motorcyclistsaged24orbelowhaveasignificantlyhigheraccident
ratethanthoseageabove24.Thisisalsoatransitionpointformost
youngmalesinTaiwan,astheyaregraduatingfromschools,
finish-ingobligatorymilitaryservice,andsteppingintosociety.Thesame
istrueforyoungfemales,whoarefinishingtheirgraduatedegrees
andstartingtheircareersatthisage.Therefore,thisstudydivides
thesamplesintotwogroups–18–24and25–28.
Therearetworeasonswhythisstudyusesage,ratherthan
driv-ingexperience,todefineheterogeneousdrivergroups.First,ageisa
morecomprehensivemeasurethandrivingexperience.The
matu-rityofmotorcycledriversdoesnotmerelydependondrivingskills
andknowledge;itisalsodeterminedbytheirphysicalandmental
ability.Therefore,groupingdriversbyagecanexplainthestructural
discrepancyinacausalbehavioralframeworkmoreclearlythan
drivingexperience.Second,whilestructuraldiscrepancycouldalso
appear between groups withdifferent driving experiences, the
resultmaybeaffectedbytheadopteddefinitionofdriving
experi-ences.
3.3. Data
Thisstudy uses 91 items torepresent theconstructs in the
adoptedframework.Thequestionnaireusedinthisstudyincludes
these91itemsandbackgroundinformation, includinggrouping
variables.Collegestudentsandtransportationprofessionalswere
invitedtoparticipateinapilottest.Theverifiedquestionnairewas
administeredtoparticipantssatisfying threecriteria:(1) 18–28
yearsold,(2)holdavalidridinglicense,and(3)have
motorcycle-ridingexperienceduringthepastmonth.Motorcyclistsaged18–28
havethehighestaccident ratein Taiwan,andarethereforethe
subjectsofthisstudy.GiventheInternet’shighpenetrationrate
inTaiwan(morethan70%ofTaiwanesepeoplehaveaccesstothe
Internet)andtohelpreachyoungriders,thequestionnaire was
postedontheInternet.Subjectscompletingthequestionnaire
qual-ifiedforaprizedrawingtoencourageparticipation,andatotalof
683validsampleswerecollected.Thecompositereliabilityofmost
constructs satisfiedthe conventional threshold of 0.7 (Hatcher,
1994;Wongetal.,2010a).Wongetal.(2010a)usedthissurvey
datatoinvestigateheterogeneousdrivingbehaviorindriverswith
distinctpersonalitytraits.Thisstudyadoptsthesamedatatotake
advantageofthedatavalidityandthecomparabilityof
heteroge-neousdrivergroupsdefinedbypersonalitytraitswiththosedefined
bymanifestvariables.Readersinterestedinquestionnaire
develop-mentanddetailedcharacteristicsofcollectedsamplescanreferto
Wongetal.(2010a,2010b).
3.4. Analysisprocedure
Theanalysisinthisstudyincludesthree steps:First,
partici-pantsweregroupedseparatelybasedonselectedgroupingfactors.
Second,theresultinggroupswereexaminedfortheirmeanscore
differencesinlatentconstructssuchaspersonality,attitude,and
riskydrivingbehavior.Third,thestructuraldiscrepancybetween
groupswastestedandinvestigatedusingmulti-groupanalysisin
4. Results
4.1. Clustercharacteristics
Table1presentsthemeanscoresandstatisticaltestsofthe
con-structmeansbetweenclustersdefinedbygender,age,occupation,
violationexperience,andaccidentexperience.Theseresultsreveal
significantdifferencesinconstructscoresbetweenclustersdefined
bygenderandviolationvariables.Genderclustersrevealedthat
malemotorcyclistsaremoresensationseekingandlessimpatient2
thanfemalemotorcyclists.Malesalsohaveahigherlevelofdriving
confidence,perceivelessriskandmoreutilityfromriskydriving
behavior,andarelessawareoftrafficconditions.Finally,malesare
morelikelytoexhibitriskydrivingbehavior,includingfastdriving
anddrivingviolations.Theaforementionedcontrastsbetweenmale
andfemaledriversarealsoapparentbetweendriverswith
traf-ficlawviolationsandthosewithouttrafficlawviolations.Drivers
withviolationexperiencearemoresensationseekingandamiable
thandriverswithoutsuchexperience,haveahigherlevelof
driv-ingconfidence,perceivelessriskandmoreutilityfromriskydriving
behavior,arelessawareoftrafficconditions,andaremorelikelyto
exhibitriskydrivingbehaviors.
Clustersdefinedbyoccupationandaccidentexperienceshow
limiteddifferencesinconstructs.Comparedtonon-student
motor-cyclists, student motorcyclists are more sensation seeking and
impatient, and have stronger attitudes towards unsafedriving.
Driverswithaccidentexperiencearelessamiable,perceivemore
utilityfromriskydriving,andaremorelikelytodemonstrate
fast-ridingbehaviorthandriverswithoutaccidentexperience.
Ageistheonlyvariablethatdoesnotshowanysignificant
differ-encebetweenclusters.Inotherwords,thereisinsufficientevidence
toshowdifferencesbetween18–24-year-oldand25–28-year-old
motorcyclistsintheirpersonalitytraits,drivingconfidence,
atti-tude,trafficawareness,riskperception,utilityperception,andrisky
drivingbehaviors.
Thediscussion aboveshows various patternsin mean score
differences of constructs definedby the selectedfive variables.
Theclustersdefinedbygenderand violationexperienceexhibit
themostsignificantdifferencesthroughoutmostconstructsinthe
behavioralstructure,whilethosedefinedbyagearenotvery
dif-ferent,andthosedefinedbyoccupationandaccidentexperience
arepartiallydifferent.
4.2. Multi-groupequivalencetests
Thissubsectionshowstheresultsofmulti-groupstatisticaltests.
Thesetestsincludetwosteps.Thefirststepistoconductan
equiv-alencetestofthemeasurement modeltoexaminewhetherthe
questionnaireitemsforeachconstructandthevarianceand
covari-ancerelationshipsbetweenconstructsareconsistentlyvalidand
reliableacrossgroups.Thesecondstepistoimplementthe
equiva-lencetestofthestructuremodeltoanalyzewhethertheproposed
causalrelationship is consistently appropriate acrossgroups. If
themeasurementmodelequivalenceissatisfiedandtheproposed
causalrelationshipsareinappropriatefor groups,path analyses
mustbeperformedseparatelyforeachgrouptodeterminethebest
causalrelationshipsforeachcluster.
Table 2 summarizes the equivalence tests of measurement
andstructure consistencyacrossclusters.Resultsshowthatthe
consistency of measurement models between clusters defined
byallfivevariables issatisfactoryatthe0.05significance level;
2Impatiencerepresentshowrespondentsfeelinvolvedinundesiredtraffic con-ditions,suchasblockedviewsortrafficjams. TableA1 showstheassociated
questionnaireitems. Table
1 Mean score of constructs and statistical tests between clusters defined by demographic factors and driving experience. Construct Overall mean Gender Age Occupation Violation Accident experience Male Female t 18–24 25–28 t Student Non-student t Yes No t Yes No t Sensation seeking 0.93 1.00 0.84 5.95 ** 0.94 0.90 1.62 0.95 0.89 2.00 * 0.99 0.87 4.80 ** 0.94 0.92 0.55 Amiability 2.49 2.53 2.46 1.13 2.46 2.56 − 1.51 2.49 2.51 − 0.34 2.58 2.41 2.84 ** 2.39 2.54 − 2.13 * Impatience 1.80 1.74 1.88 − 2.72 ** 1.83 1.76 1.25 1.84 1.73 1.98 * 1.8 1.81 − 0.15 1.86 1.78 1.30 Riding confidence 2.04 2.17 1.89 7.25 ** 2.01 2.08 − 1.68 2.04 2.04 − 0.03 2.15 1.94 5.17 ** 1.98 2.06 − 1.85 Affective risk perception 2.30 2.21 2.40 − 4.18 ** 2.32 2.26 1.14 2.30 2.29 0.29 2.26 2.34 − 1.72 2.33 2.28 1.01 Utility perception 1.96 2.08 1.83 4.91 ** 1.99 1.92 1.27 1.99 1.90 1.60 2.08 1.86 4.29 ** 2.07 1.92 2.55 ** Attitude towards unsafe riding 1.15 1.30 0.98 7.48 ** 1.15 1.15 − 0.11 1.18 1.07 2.37 * 1.24 1.07 3.84 ** 1.15 1.15 0.06 Unawareness of traffic conditions 0.87 0.93 0.81 3.21 ** 0.89 0.85 0.92 0.88 0.87 0.25 0.93 0.82 2.64 ** 0.92 0.85 1.71 Risky riding behavior 1.14 1.26 1.00 6.97 ** 1.14 1.12 0.44 1.15 1.11 1.09 1.23 1.05 4.94 ** 1.17 1.12 1.00 Fast riding 1.47 1.66 1.26 7.2 ** 1.46 1.49 − 0.59 1.47 1.47 0.04 1.71 1.25 8.31 ** 1.58 1.43 2.35 * Riding violation 0.78 0.87 0.68 4.82 ** 0.79 0.78 0.11 0.79 0.77 0.62 0.86 0.71 3.82 ** 0.81 0.77 0.88 *p < 0.05. ** p < 0.01.
Table2
Statisticaltestsofmulti-groupequivalence.
Variable Test df Chi-square p-value
Gender Equivalenceofmeasurementmodel 17 23.047 0.15
Equivalenceofstructuremodel 40 62.587 0.01*
Age Equivalenceofmeasurementmodel 17 25.910 0.08
Equivalenceofstructuremodel 40 56.706 0.04*
Occupation Equivalenceofmeasurementmodel 17 13.299 0.72
Equivalenceofstructuremodel 40 42.169 0.38
Accidentexperience Equivalenceofmeasurementmodel 17 15.782 0.54
Equivalenceofstructuremodel 40 41.731 0.40
Violationexperience Equivalenceofmeasurementmodel 17 12.230 0.79
Equivalenceofstructuremodel 40 42.152 0.38
* p<0.05.
in otherwords,the constructindicators (i.e.,the questionnaire
items)used forthewholesampleare alsosatisfactoryforeach
group.Ontheotherhand,thisstudyprovidessufficientevidence
for the age and gender variables to reject structure
equiva-lence between the associated clusters. This suggests that the
pathstructureformalemotorcyclistsdiffersfromthatforfemale
motorcyclists,whilethepathstructurefor18–24-year-old
motor-cyclistsdiffers from that for 25–28-year-old motorcyclists. The
resultsofnon-significantdifferencesfortheremainingthree
vari-ablessuggestthatthepathstructureforthewholesample(i.e.,
thestructure shown in Fig.1) isalso appropriate for
motorcy-clistswithdifferentoccupations,violationexperience,andaccident
experience.
Basedontheresultsofsignificantstructuraldifferencesforage
andgendervariables,thisstudyre-calibratesthepathstructuresfor
theassociatedclusterstoreflectappropriatecausalrelationships
betweenconstructs.
4.3. Discrepancyofcausalstructuresbetweenclusters
Fig.2showsthebeststructuresforgroupsdefinedbygenderand
agevariables.Inthisfigure,thepathsforsignificantcoefficientsand
therelationshipsbetweenconstructsarelabeledwithplus/minus
signstoindicatepositive/negativerelationships.AppendixA
sum-marizes the estimation results (Table A2). The goodness of fit
indicatorsforallclustersmostlysatisfyornearlysatisfythe
con-ventionalrequirements, including2/df<2, GFI(goodness-of-fit
index)greaterthanorequalto0.9,andRMSEA(rootmeansquare
errorofapproximation)lessthanorequalto0.05(Hatcher,1994).
Therefore,theseestimationresultsareappropriatefordiscussing
thestructuraldiscrepancybetweenmaleandfemalemotorcyclists
andbetween18–24-year-oldand25–28-year-oldmotorcyclists.
4.3.1. Maleandfemalemotorcyclists
Fig. 2(a) and (b) show the best structures for male and
femalemotorcyclists.Thesegroupsexhibitseveralkeydifferences.
Compared to female motorcyclists, male motorcyclists exhibit
additionallinksfromamiability(F2)toriskperception(F5),
impa-tience (F3)to utility perception (F6), riding confidence (F4) to
attitudetowardsunsaferiding(F7),andfromutilityperception(F6)
toriskyridingbehavior(F9).Ontheotherhand,female
motorcy-clistsexhibitadditionallinksfromsensationseeking(F1)torisk
perception(F5),riskperception(F5)tounawarenessoftraffic
con-ditions(F8),andfromutilityperception(F6)toattitudetowards
unsaferiding(F7).Thesedifferentlinksrevealstructural
discrepan-ciesanddistinctwaysinwhichpersonalitytraitsaffectriskydriving
behaviorsinyoungmaleandfemalemotorcyclists.Toclarifythis
point,Table3listsallthepathsfromthreepersonalitytraits
(con-structsF1,F2,and F3)toriskydrivingbehaviors(construct F9),
andcalculatesthecorrespondingpatheffectsandthepercentage
oftheircontributiontotheformationofriskydrivingbehavior.
Halfoftheeffectofthesensationseekingpersonalitytraiton
riskydrivingbehavioroccursthroughmaleandfemaledriver
atti-tudes(i.e.,pathF1→F7→F9)asTable3shows.Theotherhalfofits
effectoccursthroughdifferentpathsformaleandfemale
motor-cyclists.Perceivedutilitygreatlyinfluencessensation-seekingmale
motorcyclists(i.e.,pathF1→F6→F9),accountingfor38.9%oftotal
effect.Inotherwords,sensation-seekingmalemotorcyclistsare
morelikely toconduct riskydriving behaviordue totheir
per-ceivedutilityfromriskydriving,suchasexcitementorfun. On
theotherhand,thewayinwhichsensation-seekingfemale
motor-cyclists conduct risky driving behavior is rather sophisticated.
Themostobviousexamplesarethetwopathsthroughrisk
per-ception,F1→F5→F7→F9andF1→F5→F8→F9,whichaccount
for morethan 35% of thetotal effect.These two pathssuggest
that,unlikestraightforwardresponseoftheirmalecounterpart’s,
sensation-seekingfemalemotorcycliststakeastepbackand
care-fullycalculatetheirperceiveddrivingriskbeforeconductingrisky
drivingbehaviors.
Thepathslinkingamiabilitytoriskydrivingbehaviorandthe
associatedtotaleffectsareextremelydifferentbetweenmaleand
femalemotorcyclists.Amiable malemotorcyclists conductrisky
drivingbehaviorsbasedonabalancebetweentwopaths:the
pos-itiveeffectsofridingconfidence(i.e.pathF2→F4→F7→F9)and
thenegativeeffectsofriskperception(i.e.pathF2→F5→F7→F9).
Amiablemalemotorcyclistsarelesslikelytoconductriskydriving
behaviorsbecausetheirperceivedriskduetoriskydriving
out-weighstheirconfidence.Comparedtolessamiablemaledrivers,
amiablefemalemotorcyclists,throughtheirridingconfidence(F4),
utilityperception(F6)andattitudetowardsunsaferiding(F7),are
morelikely toconductrisky drivingbehaviorbecausethispath
consistsofonlypositivelinks.
Asformotorcyclistswithanimpatientpersonality,malesand
females alike dependona balancebetweenpositive and
nega-tivepatheffectstodeterminetheirriskydrivingbehaviors.Most
of the positive path effects for male and female motorcyclists
comefromthesamepath,F3→F7→F9.Thisshows that
impa-tientmotorcyclists,whethermaleorfemale,conductriskydriving
behaviorsimplybecausetheirattitudestowardsunsaferidingare
triggeredbytheirimpatiencewithtraffic conditions.Regarding
pathswithnegativeeffects,bothmaleandfemalemotorcyclists
have the path F3→F5→F7→F9. Thisindicates that perceived
risktriggersasaferattitude,whichreducesamotorcyclist’s
inten-tiontoengageinriskydrivingbehavior.Youngimpatientfemale
motorcyclistsshowanadditionalpathwithasubstantialnegative
impact:pathF3→F5→F8→F9.Thispathincludestheconstruct
ofunawareness of trafficconditions (F8),suggestingthat when
Fig.2.Calibratedstructuresandrelationshipsbetweenconstructs.
Table3
Effectsaofpersonalitytraitsonriskyridingbehavior.
Personalitytrait Impactpath Gender Age
Male Female 18–24 25–28 Sensationseeking F1→F4→F7→F9 0.030(10.1)b 0.024(5.8) F1→F4→F6→F7→F9 0.002(1.1) 0.008(3.3) F1→F4→F8→F9 0.027(11.2) F1→F5→F7→F9 0.030(16.7) 0.080(19.1) F1→F5→F8→F9 0.036(20.0) 0.044(10.5) F1→F6→F9 0.116(38.9) 0.105(25.1) F1→F6→F7→F9 0.032(17.8) 0.052(21.5) F1→F7→F9 0.152(51.0) 0.080(44.4) 0.155(64.0) 0.165(39.5) Totaleffectc 0.298(100.0) 0.180(100.0) 0.242(100.0) 0.418(100.0) Amiability F2→F4→F6→F7→F9 0.002(100.0) 0.006(120.0) F2→F4→F7→F9 0.024(−342.9) 0.014(100.0) F2→F4→F8→F9 0.020(400.0) F2→F5→F6→F7→F9 −0.001(−20.0) F2→F5→F7→F9 −0.031(442.9) −0.020(−400.0) Totaleffect −0.007(100.0) 0.002(100.0) 0.005(100.0) 0.014(100.0) Impatience F3→F4→F6→F7→F9 −0.007(10.1) 0.010(10.0) F3→F5→F6→F7→F9 −0.004(−4.0) F3→F5→F7→F9 −0.067(−46.5) −0.057(82.6) −0.071(−71.0) −0.098(251.3) F3→F5→F8→F9 −0.069(100.0) −0.054(138.5) F3→F6→F9 0.030(20.8) 0.031(−79.5) F3→F7→F9 0.181(125.7) 0.064(−92.7) 0.165(165.0) 0.082(−210.3) Totaleffect 0.144(100.0) −0.069(100.0) 0.100(100.0) −0.039(100.0)
aEffectsaretheproductsofcoefficientsalongthepathbetweenthetwospecifiedconstructsthatinvolveinterveningconstructs. bNumbersintheparenthesesrepresentpercentages.
attitude,aremoreawareoftrafficconditions,andarelesslikely
toconductrisky drivingbehaviors.Due tothis pathdifference,
thetotaleffectofimpatienceisnegativeforfemalemotorcyclists,
but positive for male motorcyclists. Whenyoung motorcyclists
areimpatient,malesaremorelikely todemonstraterisky
driv-ingbehavior,butfemalesdonot.Thisdifferencemaydependon
whetherperceivedrisk affects trafficconditionawareness. This
phenomenonagainrevealsthatfemaleshavearelativelycautious
drivingstyle.
Anoticeablelinkforbothmaleandfemalemotorcyclistsisthe
positivelinkbetweenridingconfidence(F4)andattitudetowards
unsaferiding(F7).Thisistheonly linkthatmale motorcyclists
havebutfemalemotorcyclistsdonot,andthatdistinguisheshow
ridingconfidenceaffectsattitudesdifferentlyinmaleandfemale
motorcyclists. While male motorcyclists with a higher level of
driving confidence directly relate to stronger attitude towards
unsaferiding,femalemotorcyclistswithhigherconfidence
con-sidertheperceivedutilityfromriskydriving,andthendetermine
theirattitudeondriving.Inotherwords,malemotorcyclistshave
stronger attitude towards unsafe riding even without
perceiv-ingany benefitsas long astheyhave a higher level of driving
confidence.
4.3.2. 18–24-year-oldand25–28-year-oldmotorcyclists
Fig.2(c) and (d) shows thebest structures for
18–24-year-oldand25–28-year-oldmotorcyclists.Thestructurediscrepancy
betweenthese two groups is more obviousthan that between
maleandfemalegroups.Thisresultseemstocontradicttheone
showninTable1,wherethemeanscoredifferencesofconstructs
betweenagegroupsaremostlynon-significant.Thisresultreveals
thatmerelyinvestigatingthemeanscoresofconstructswithout
exploringthestructuralrelationshipsoftheconstructscouldlead
toincorrectconclusions.
The18–24-year-old grouphasfivelinks not sharedwithits
counterpart:amiability (F2)torisk perception(F5), riding
con-fidence(F4)toutilityperception(F6),riding confidence(F4)to
unawarenessoftrafficconditions(F8),riskyperception(F5)to
util-ityperception(F6),andutilityperception(F6)toattitudetowards
unsaferiding(F7).Ontheotherhand,the25–28-year-oldgroup
hasfourdifferentlinks:sensationseeking(F1)toriskyperception
(F5),impatience(F3)toutilityperception(F6),ridingconfidence
(F4)toattitudetowardsunsaferiding(F7),riskyperception(F5)to
unawarenessoftrafficconditions(F8),andutilityperception(F6)
toriskyridingbehavior(F9).Table3showshowtheselinks
pro-ducedifferentpathsconnectingpersonalitytraitsandriskydriving
behavior.
As for the personality trait of sensation seeking, the path
F1→F7→F9playsthemostsignificantrolein determiningthe
total effectfor both groups.For the 18–24-year-oldgroup, this
path accounts for 64% of the total effect. In other words, the
primaryreasonwhy18–24-year-oldmotorcyclistsconductrisky
driving behavior is their unsafe driving attitude, which is due
to their sensation-seeking personality trait. Utility perception
(F6) also plays a critical role for both groups, accounting for
morethan20%oftotal effects.Thecorrespondingpathsinclude
pathF1→F6→F7→F9 for the18–24-year-old group and path
F1→F6→F9 for the other group. In spite of these
similari-ties,riskperception(F5)(showninpathsF1→F5→F7→F9and
F1→F5→F8→F9) is unique to the more experienced group,
motorcyclistsagedbetween25and28.Thesetwopathsare
respon-sibleforapproximately30%ofthetotaleffect.Withmoresensation
seeking,25–28-year-oldmotorcyclistsperceivelessrisk,reducing
theirawarenessoftrafficconditionsandexhibitingastronger
atti-tudetowardsunsaferiding.Asaresult,theyconductmorerisky
drivingbehavior.Inotherwords,sensationseekerscantransform
experienceintoincorrectriskperceptions,whichendangersroad
safety.Obviously,thisresultisnotwhatwewouldliketosee.Due
totheinexperienceofnovicemotorcyclists(i.e.,18–24-year-olds),
attitudedeterminesmostoftheirriskydrivingbehavior.
Thepathsstartingfromamiabilityareextremelydifferentfor
thetwoagegroups.Themoreexperiencedgrouponlycontainsone
path,F2→F4→F7→F9,indicatingthelikelihoodof
25–28-year-oldamiablemotorcycliststoconductriskydrivingbehaviorswhen
theyaremoreconfidentabouttheirowndrivingskills.Theyounger
groupexhibitsfourpathsstartingfromamiability;twoofthepaths
producepositiveeffectsandtheothertwoproducenegativeeffects.
Whethertheyconductriskydrivingbehaviordependsprimarilyon
thebalancebetweenthepositiveeffectresultingfrom
unaware-nessoftrafficconditionsduetoridingconfidence(F4→F8)and
thenegativeeffectresultingfromasaferattitudeduetoperceived
risk(F5→F7).
Asfortheeffectofimpatientpersonalitytrait,bothagegroups
dependonthebalancebetween positiveand negativepathsto
determinethelikelihoodofconductingriskydrivingbehavior.The
mostsignificantpositiveandnegativepathsarethesameforboth
groups:pathF3→F5→F7→F9andpathF3→F7→F9. The
for-merproducesanegativeeffect,whilethelatterproducesapositive
effect.Thesetwopathsimplythatyoung,impatientmotorcyclists
conductriskydrivingbehaviorpartiallyduetoanunsafeattitude.
However,theriskperception(F5),whichmediatesbetween
impa-tience(F3)andattitudetowardsunsaferiding(F7),hasanegative
effectthatpartiallyoffsetsthepositiveeffect.Thepositiveeffect
oftheyounger-agedgroupoutweighsthenegativeeffectandthe
consequenttotaleffectispositive,indicatingahigherlikelihood
ofriskydrivingbehaviorforanimpatient,novicemotorcyclist.On
theotherhand,themoreexperiencedgroupshowsamore
pow-erfulnegativeeffectfrompathF3→F5→F7→F9.Thisgroupalso
hasoneadditionalnegativepath,F3→F5→F8→F9,and
conse-quentlyproduces a negativetotal effect.Impatient experienced
motorcyclistsarelesslikelytoconductriskydrivingbehaviordue
toasaferattitudeandgreatertrafficconditionawarenessresulting
frommoreperceiveddrivingrisk.
5. Discussionandthepolicyimplications
Thisstudyinvestigatestherolesofmanifestvariables,including
age,gender,occupation,violationexperience,andaccident
experi-ence,ontheheterogeneityofyoungmotorcyclistsindetermining
riskydriving behaviorby examiningtheconstructmeanscores
andtheirstructuraldiscrepancies.Usingstatisticaltestsand
multi-groupanalysisofstructuralequationmodeling,thisstudyshows
that structuraldiscrepancy existsbetweensome drivergroups,
whichisnotexplicitlyimpliedbymeanscoredifferences.Mean
scoredifferencesdonotnecessarilyindicatestructuraldiscrepancy,
asdemonstratedbydrivergroupswithdifferentviolation
experi-ences.Inaddition,thesimilaritybetweenmeanscoresdoesnot
suggeststructurallikeness,asillustratedbydifferentagegroups
ofyoungmotorcyclists.Results showthatwhilethetheoriesof
plannedbehaviorandriskhomeostasismightexplainthegeneral
causalstructureofriskydrivingbehavior,thesignificanceofcausal
linksbetweenconstructsmayvaryamongheterogeneousdriver
groups.Thus, interventionstrategies thatfocusonreducingthe
strengthofconstructmeanscoresmayhaveaslighteffecton
pre-ventingriskydrivingbehavioriftheconstructdoesnotconnect
withriskydrivingbehaviororifthetotaleffectsofthe
correspond-ingpathsarerelativelysmall.
5.1. Meanscoredifferencesandstructuraldiscrepancies
Themeanscoredifferencesobtainedinthisstudyagreewiththe
andviolationexperience(ChangandYeh,2007).Male
motorcy-clistsand motorcyclists withviolationexperienceare generally
moresensationseeking,haveahigherlevelofdrivingconfidence,
perceivelessriskandhigherutility(e.g.,funorexcitement),have
astrongerinclinationtowardunsafedriving,aremoreunaware
oftrafficconditions,andshowmoreriskydrivingbehaviors.The
limited differences between driver groups defined by accident
experiencemaybeduetotherelativelyinfrequentandrandom
occurrenceofaccidents.Theenhancedperceivedriskdueto
acci-dentexperiencemayalsofadeawayandbecomenon-significant
astimegoesby(Linetal.,2004).Thelimiteddifferencesbetween
drivergroupsdefinedbyoccupationsuggeststhatstudentdrivers
aregenerallymoresensationseekingandimpatient,butarenot
sig-nificantlydifferentfromyoungnon-studentdriversinexhibiting
riskydrivingbehavior.
Youngmotorcyclistsofdifferentagegroupsdidnotshowany
significantdifferenceinthemeanscoresofpsychological
determi-nantsandriskydrivingbehavior.Thisresultseemstocontradict
previousstudies,inwhichnovicedriverssignificantlyreducetheir
riskydriving behaviorstwo orthree yearsafter obtainingtheir
driver’slicense(Langleyetal.,1996;Simpson,2003).Taiwan’slack
ofasophisticatedlicensingprogrammaybereasonforthe
differ-entfindingsinthisstudy.While18istheminimumagetoobtain
amotorcyclist’slicense,Taiwanesemotorcyclistsrequireacertain
periodoftimetobecomeexperienceddrivers.Thelicensing
pro-cedureformopedsand lightmotorcyclesinTaiwanrequires no
priorexperienceorcompulsorytraining.Instead,novice
motorcy-clistslearnpracticaldrivingskillsbythemselvesafterobtaininga
driver’slicense(Changand Yeh,2007;Chen,2009;Wongetal.,
2010b).
Thesignificantstructuraldiscrepancybetweendriversof
dif-ferent age ranges suggests that even though it is difficult to
alterthepsychologicalstatusofyoungmotorcyclists,their
driv-ingbehaviorscan beadapted throughlearning andexperience.
Thisstudyshowsthatriskperceptionisacriticalconstruct
deter-miningthestructural discrepancy between18–24-year-old and
25–28-year-olddrivers.Thelattergroupisparticularlycautious
becauseoftheirawarenessoftrafficconditionsandperceivedroad
risk. On the contrary,the younger group doesnot exhibit this
causalpath.Thismayreflecttheover-simplifiedtestsfor
acquir-ing a motorcyclist’s licensein Taiwan: a written test only for
mopedsandlightmotorcycleswithanenginecapacityoflessthan
50cm3,and a writtenand tracktest3 for thosewithan engine
capacitylessthan250cm3.Moreover,amotorcyclist’slicensecan
be immediatelyobtained after passing the exams withoutany
sophisticatedlicensingproceduressuchaslearner’spermit,
pro-bationarylicensing,provisionallicensing,orgraduatedlicensing
(Simpson,2003).Theresultsabovesuggestthatsomemeasures,
suchasgraduatedlicensingschemes,maybenecessarytoaddress
thisproblem.
In addition to age groups, this study revealsstructural
dis-crepanciesbetweenmaleandfemalemotorcyclists.Comparedto
femalemotorcyclists,malemotorcyclists,exhibitasimplercausal
behavioral structurein termsoffewer linkswithnegativepath
coefficientsandfewerpathsconnectingpersonalitytorisky
driv-ingbehavior. Thisdiscrepancy partiallyexplains whymale and
femalemotorcyclistsbehavedifferentlyevenwhentheyhave
sim-ilarpersonalitytraitsorencountersimilartrafficconditions.For
example,seekingexcitementorfunisasimple reasonformale
motorcycliststoconductriskydrivingbehavioriftheyare
rela-tivelysensationseeking.Ontheotherhand,theperceivedriskand
awarenessoftrafficconditionsmightinhibitfemalemotorcyclists
3Thisisaroadtestatanindoorsitewherealldrivingconditionsarepre-specified andnoothervehiclesarepresent.
fromconductingriskydrivingbehavioreveniftheyarerelatively
sensationseeking.
Thoughtherearestructuraldiscrepanciesinsomedrivergroups,
criticalconstructsconsistentlyplayrolesindifferentdrivergroups.
Amongthesocialpsychologicaldeterminantsadoptedinthisstudy,
theutilityperceptionanddriverattitudeconstructsincludemore
incidentand emanatinglinks andareassociated withrelatively
strongerpatheffects.Thisresultechoesthefindingsofmany
stud-ies(Ajzen,1991;Chen,2009;Forward,2010;Iversen,2004;Kim andYamashita,2007),andreinforcestheimportanceof
educat-ingyoungmotorcyclistsregardingsafedrivingandtheseverityof
trafficaccidentscausedbyriskydriving.
5.2. Amorecomprehensiveapproachtodevisingintervention
strategy
Previousstudiesusethemeanscoredifferencetodevise
inter-vention strategies to reduce risky driving behavior and traffic
accidents. However, this study shows that the effectiveness of
reducing thestrength ofconstructmeanscoresdependsonthe
importanceoftheconstructsinacausalbehavioralstructure.Thus,
thefindingsofthisstudyprovideatleastthreetypesofintervention
strategies:reducingthestrengthofundesiredconstructs,adding
desiredlinks,andremovingorreducingthestrengthofundesired
links.
For example,a driver’sattitudeis apparentlythemost
criti-cal constructconnecting personalityand risky drivingbehavior
becauseit is associated withthemost pathsand thestrongest
total effects. Thus, a unit change in the driver’s attitude has
a greater effect on risky driving behavior than other
con-structs. Nonetheless, it can be very difficult to changedriver’s
attitude.
Duetostructuraldiscrepancies,achangeintheconstructscore
meanscanhavedifferenteffectsondrivergroups.Forexample,
strategies to reduce theoverconfidence of youngmotorcyclists
could have a greater effect on male motorcyclists than female
motorcyclists.Thisisbecauseridingconfidenceisassociatedwith
morepathsandstrongertotaleffectsformaledriversthanfemale
drivers.
The links between constructs are also critical elements to
consider when devising intervention strategies. One way is to
builddesiredlinks.Forexample,thenegativelinkbetweenrisk
perception and unawareness of traffic conditions helps reduce
risky driving behavior for female motorcyclists, but this link
is absentfor male motorcyclists. Educatingyoungmale
motor-cyclists about the possible dangers and related risks hidden
in the driving environment could build this link. Anotherway
to devise an intervention strategy is to avoid undesired links.
For example, research shows a linkbetween utilityperception
and risky driving behavior for male motorcyclists, but not for
femalemotorcyclists. Thislinkincreasesthepossibility ofmale
motorcyclists conducting risky driving behavior because of the
excitement or fun of it. Educating young male motorcyclists
aboutthepossibleseverityof riskydriving behavioror
provid-ing them withaccident archivesmight reduce the strength of
thislink.
6. Concludingremarks
Previous studies on this topic use psychologicaland
demo-graphicfactorstodistinguishheterogeneousdrivergroups. This
studycomplementspreviousstudiesbydemonstratingthe
advan-tagesofusingdemographicfactorstodivideyoungmotorcyclists
intogroupswithsignificantstructuraldiscrepanciesandexplore
Wongetal.(2010a)usedthesamesurveydatatoinvestigate
howdriverswithdifferentpersonalitytraitsshapedriskydriving
behavior in distinct ways; their study shows significant
struc-turaldiscrepancies among fourdrivergroups:risky,aggressive,
conservative,andnervousdrivers.Thestructurestheydiscovered
using personality traits are somewhat different from the
cur-rentstructures, discovered by demographic factors. This might
result from two reasons. First, because a driver has a mixture
ofpersonalitytraits,thestructuresdefinedbydemographic
fac-tors couldbeaverages ofthe structuresdefined bypersonality
traits.For example, althoughmale drivers are more aggressive
thanfemaledrivers,notallmaledriversareaggressive.
Accord-ing to Wong et al. (2010b), the average male motorcyclist is
33.33%aggressive,26.78%conservative,23.77%risky,and16.12%
nervous.Second,personalitytraitsareonlyoneofthefactors
char-acterizingdemographic groups.Thefindingsof thisstudyshow
that demographic factors,such as gender, are effective
indica-torstodistinguishheterogeneousdrivergroupsintermsofboth
meanscoredifferencesandstructuraldiscrepancy.However,the
otherfactorscausingstructuraldiscrepancyarewellworthfurther
studies.
Despite the high correlation between age and driving
experience4inthesurveydata(correlationcoefficient0.79,
signif-icantlyat0.001),ageanddrivingexperiencefunctiondifferently
inlicensingprocedures(Simpson,2003).Therefore,it wouldbe
helpfultodistinguishbetweentheeffectsofageanddriving
experi-enceonstructuraldiscrepancytodevisesafetystrategies,especially
forgraduatedlicensing programs.Nevertheless, duetothe
lim-ited sample size, this study didnot control driving experience
whileexaminingthestructuraldiscrepanciesbetweendifferentage
groups.
Because this study focuses onyoung motorcyclists, the age
ofparticipantsrangedfrom18 to28 yearsonly. Thismay
par-tiallyresultinthenon-significantdifferencesinpersonalitytraits
between the two age subgroups. Future studies could expand
this age range to better reflect the characteristics of young
driver’s heterogeneous behaviors and make the results more
persuasive.
Acknowledgements
Theauthorswould liketothanktheanonymousrefereesfor
theirhelpfulsuggestionsandcomments.Thisworkwaspartially
supportedbytheNationalScienceCouncilofTaiwan(NSC
97-2221-E-009-116-MY3&NSC98-2410-H-424-018).
AppendixA. AppendixA
4 Definedasthenumberofyearstheparticipanthasriddenamotorcycle.
TableA1
Questionnaireitemsforeachconstruct. Explanatoryconstructs:personalitytraits
Sensationseeking Ioftencraveexcitement.
Isometimesdothingsjustforkicksorthrills.
ItisOKtogetaroundlawsandrulesaslongasyoudonotbreak themdirectly.
Ifsomethingworks,itislessimportantwhetheritisrightorwrong. Amiability
FewpeoplethinkIamselfishandegotistical. Fewpeoplethinkofmeascalmandcalculating. Impatience
PedestriansblockmywaywhileIamridinginanalley. Iamstuckinatrafficjam.
Iamridingbehindatruckandmyviewsareblocked. Someoneisweavinginandoutoftraffic.
Latentintermediateconstructs Ridingconfidence
Icanhandleanyunexpectedsituationevenwhenridingon unfamiliarroads.
IfIrunintodangerwhileriding,Ihavetheskillstogetoutofitsafely. Affectiveriskperception
Rushrunningatthestartinstanceofthegreenlight. Ridebetweentwolanesoffastmovingtraffic.
Ridesoclosetothefrontvehiclethatitwouldbedifficulttostopin anemergency.
Mergeontomajorroadsfromaminorroadwhenthereisoncoming traffic.
RidesofastintoacornerthatIfeellikeIamlosingcontrol. Utilityperception
Ridingisnotonlyfortransportationbutalsoforfunorrecreation. Ridingamotorcyclemakesmefeelrelaxed.
Attitudetowardsunsaferiding
Itisacceptabletorideintheoppositelaneofatwo-laneroadfor convenience.
Inordertosavetime,ridingagainstthedirectiononaone-wayroad isacceptable.
Withgoodskills,speedingisOK.
IthinkitisOKtospeedifthetrafficconditionallowsmetodoso. Unawarenessoftrafficconditions
Donotusemirrortochecksurroundingvehicleswhileridingor turning.
Donotuseturnsignalswhenturning.
Donotusemirrortochecksurroundingvehicleswhileridingor turning.
Dependentconstructs:riskyridingbehavior Fastriding
Inordertoridefaster,Isqueezethroughanextremelynarrowspace betweenonevehicleandanother.
Comparedtothesurroundingtrafficflow,Iridemuchfaster. Disregardthespeedlimitlateatnightorinearlymorning. Ridingviolation
Drinkandride. Runthroughredlights. Ridethewrongway.
TableA2
Standardizedpathcoefficientsandgoodnessoffits.
Path Gender Age
Male Female 18–24 25–28 F1→F4 0.293** 0.207** 0.299** 0.351** F2→F4 0.239** 0.241** 0.227** 0.209# F1→F5 −0.205** −0.312** F2→F5 0.146# 0.111# F3→F5 0.315** 0.395** 0.385** 0.381** F1→F6 0.492** 0.493** 0.477** 0.546** F3→F6 0.128* 0.159* F4→F6 0.183** 0.126# 0.23** F5→F6 −0.086# F1→F7 0.312** 0.216* 0.288** 0.322** F3→F7 0.371** 0.172* 0.307** 0.16# F4→F7 0.208** 0.133 F5→F7 −0.438** −0.391** −0.343** −0.5** F6→F7 0.173* 0.203** F4→F8 0.111# F5→F8 −0.223** −0.19* F6→F9 0.235* 0.192* F7→F9 0.487** 0.372** 0.538** 0.512** F8→F9 0.782** 0.788** 0.807** 0.74** F9→F10 0.575 0.652 0.591 0.622 F9→F11 0.64** 0.799** 0.723** 0.639**
Goodnessoffit Chi-square/df=1.745 Chi-square/df=1.728 Chi-square/df=1.775 Chi-square/df=1.742
GFI=0.905 GFI=0.893 GFI=0.917 GFI=0.867
AGFI=0.882 AGFI=0.868 AGFI=0.897 AGFI=0.835
RMSEA=0.045 RMSEA=0.048 RMSEA=0.042 RMSEA=0.055
*p<0.05. **p<0.01.
#p<0.1
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