中共外交政策之研究(一九七六--一九八０)

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(13) '.. .'. "'.. .. ,-.~. ,. '. 0. \. 0. \. "". - ' - - " .. uu ",,,,nUll ':>ill'lIl, \ellll}, "'"Ore/gn 1"ohc:/ Decision-Making, (New York: Free Press, (962), P. '82. see also George Modelski, A Theory of Poreign Policy. (New York: Frederick A. Praeger, Inc., (962), PP. 8-11. •. '.. Ibid.. P. 145-148.. ". ,. @) K. J. Holsti. op. cit.. P. 139." @ Ibid., Ip. 144. ~. ". 0,. 0. 0. 0. ,. .'. '". 0. 0. 0. 0. 3~'~~~.~~ (Core Interests and Values) .. .mil:~itirm.'" -K~.TiIS~!'.llltlgtK:~~.~~1j!ll\rm.\§'Utl '"'\ .$~~ . $!'.llltlg.mI~~.j¢:~lllI:-Sl~o ~tllB{,\I~'f$fIIIt:;t*<~~~~*~~ '" ti:I~-<J.E-~1Jl(~~~1E~~~~~Jlll!;!~ @ r~,~~~tl(.~~J ,.. . lll\!(~~~j(Sll!~.mI~.-Qt\4l1 (Self-preservation) '" 1€:.mil:1tlI'!WiH::l '" .+1~j:;~ '" ~1tf'(:;t*:!ii~$:~H-flo $.UmN '" .;;w.~tij1.+1 ~.+1~~~$'~.'~~~~~~~~~• •~1 :§>f!-~rm. (Middle-Range Objectives) ''In'li~fllltil1~(® t-i~~<-:l~W-f!lIm~lQ~*~!l!i-<IIl:{~.~ ~.lil~.~~~l${mW~~~~~1l'~$ 1 $:!~~:!ii~*t\:!~ e~~~~.;l;t1 ~·t.:Hj:;~ '" ~~~Im~lai~.lai~~~~t;..~!i~ '" ikmU1B.~ '" .i£.:;t~ '" ~::\t1*<. '" ~~!t. =~.:;t1E~''''''. ~~~Im~~Il~UB~t\lI·· ~mi!-!$.w. 1tt '" ~f!!iQ:;t*<.~~lI!Bt-Rli{l1f:~~E~ l!IIt{~ '" rm~~$lJm~~t\lI~€~~H~~li{ . :!ii~il!!'\ '" ~::\t1*& '" ~~~*&*l$m\Bfi1 1H\}il.rm.~1lf1l'l[[~~lEJ.~ o~lm~ 1 ~~:!ii.~~lQ~~~~~E~titt\ll "!lI\lI-~ .~",:;t~~liili"':;t1X • • "'~t:\~li{~tt~-R"'~I${~I;t!;JIi!l;o1E=~-f!-:!iilll~Cit~t\lIWOli{iIIf!~~o . C'5 J.E- [f[*~~ r ilII~.~J (Self-extension), ~1I.e1lm1tl1r·· J.E-~*~:!ii.~.@1~ ".+1 ' ~~ , 1E~ , .~~. '" ~M11' _*111 ' ~lE~ , i«~":"' • • :\DKrm~mW.i-;.j~if "'~~ '" ~.:!ii'il\E~ '" lEJ.1EIm~~.~!$J.E-~.IIl:{~ '" ~~111 '" ~.111 '" iR-R ~1ill!!Bl.."'''.. EI${~rm. (Long~Range Goals) .. <® mW~.w.I!ll\R~.-f!-l $!~$j(Sll!$(.l!t~ , 1Il:{~1tl.~OOlfi*.lii:;~{w:!ii~~rm. ol${itirm• • tr~CII • .w.1l'~t!5l~i!-~iI-YJ.E-[f[o,.a-:iIlil'lII.mWlIl~~~~l~~~rm.~.~oiEl${~rm.Cit$(.l~JI[~:i?:l4l1. t!5l~. '£'.. .". ,. 0. ~. '" .w.E~Sll!~-f!-[f[1l'.j¢:.w.J 1~~~~~$• • '" m«:iIIf!~~~I${~rm~l{~~ ~ ~.~~lIl.ili1.:!ii~1\K~o ikiltK,., tr. ". M~.~.~~m~.:\DK~~lIl.~~:!ii.~o. \. ~~m«:~l{~~",~~JI[~~.~~~~J.E-~o. ~Hl. lii'~-f!-~~ rlll~rm.J ~~~~rm. '" -f!-~rm.~I${~I'lII.1I1.. " ,. i-"*~ rWlHt:kJ mr*. $(.*~~~~~E~rm.~~ ~. K. J. Holsti, op. cit.• pp. 148-151.. ,.@ George Modelski, op. cit., P. 86.. . 18. (i) K. C. Chen, ChiMandTIuThree Worlds, (New York: M. E. Sharpe, Inc., 1979): p.4.. ~ Ibid., PP. 151-159.. -f!-~~i:~~~N$~. ,.

(14) .. :.. ~. 0". ~. ~. 0. .. 0. 0. 0. "0. 0. I. ~~. .. ... 0. ~.ffi[~e~~~*~tr.~lm~~-KImI~~tM\ .. \E~~~ r~.t~1-ffll!Sm(J .1:.i:j(~~. .. ••. 0. 0. 0. 0. ••. 3Jit~rm •.. ~.:j(~.~t\:!I4t1 ~ {If;~ r~ 1J ~ ~~Ji}r~liE~$~4tI:te: ~ ~~:j(l!!-R ~ .. tM\~~~.-R oj§~tr~itll tm:t\:!I4t1 ~tr~~l~~~~il~~i~~ r~.t\:!I4t1J~ • • l • • ~.~~*~~~.~" ~~~ ~~ ~o@ • • • C Amald Wolfers ) ~~tlmtill" r t\:!I4t1~$i\~!!t.~~~:te::In*ll1!;ltHl.l~~~lII ~ 1I1!!!lm.**~tM\~~tliiP'aJT. ~ e.w'lI'(»f\~.1lr*~ • • ~tliiP'aJT.j§*~:j(.¢~.~~~~• • ~~:In*ll1 • • ~t\:!I4t1oj§~.~.~:j(.¢~~~~.oJ. 1I!!!.$jm(.~;\I~~~-K ~ ~~{lJ~~1lR 1.~$jm(Sil!1lJ.\t\-r I \i!l!\;tiji; .. j§l~;ti.~m1-~~~i\l~lm~~~:te:~~lCii~ !!'! \ii' ~it!! -;ij-\ j.E- t\:!I4ti ~ ~t\:!I4t1j§~ .. tr~ • • •»f\• • ~:j(R~~~e .. ~:j(*~~~.~~~.~ • • •-R .. tr~.~:j(• • ~~.*~.tm:~ $.!itlfl!!H .. tr~~Im~~.wa.~{lJafitr,~~ rlm~~. C.) ~ 1.$J trlm* I 1I!!!~~IIi~ .. ~itll i\tr~j§l~lIl ~ ~~1ii\tr.Ill::{1Ii rm.tr.Ill::{~.~~~~:m~*1t ; ~m ' ~l[: , l!lla~""" ~~~o.~tr~~~.~Im .. ~~t\:!I~.I.~~~~~~~.!itl~~~~$g~.~*rtr~~~l~~.~J o~j§ .. tr~ ~g~1:3~g~~$.~tr .. *$m!.,~IIi~m!~ili!~tr tr~Ill::{IIi~*~IKi\trJl[-Kt!ltl1i1.~.~ .. i\tr:fK~$$-K ~.wtr ~{on.p;::~\!Rtr .. 11@1~ ritll J ~. 1@!• • ~IlIl. @} .tr~rm=~-R~r~~J .... ~~~:j(~lgt\:!l4t1rm.Otr~r~.~J.~.~l~<O~l~+~(m.w~.i\~a. \ti .. ~tr\ii' ~tr~~~.rm. ~~.. r ...... ~ r.( +~~_ .. lil-a.<1!1iP'HI~~Jm.<.f'S~m;j§.1.nl~~~'" .~~*~~*jm(~~@!~ ~# ~ ~~~.l£ijP.~~"*~ :j(tr~~I!JIi.~~1I1~-K ......... ~ I ~-K. ~~ ~g~.~tr~i\• •~:\1 .. ~~~mtli-i4~. ~.. ~11~-K ... ~~* @:fi1g ~ ~f;~~ l-K~·~"··~111~-K.·· ~~~~• • !' .ffi[~I$~~#• •J @ "Etr9;ll!.!Ill.·, {lJ~~~~tm:~.rm • • ~ .. =a·· fim• • -R ~ l11&l;tM\~ • •-R tr=lt~tr.rm.~~tM\~~~~~~111~mt.. .. f.:;l~~:j(~:m~~~:t:1. :j(~tm:~.'aJT.M~~~~~~~.Otr.~~~~~~~~e:j(tr~~~~~l~~'aJT.Im~~.~~~~.j§~~o~~~. ~~.~~~.~*II$~... ~~• • ~~~~~~~~~~~~~o~. -<~mW ~ I-RK111ltll~t<m. 0. King C. Chen, "oP." cit.• PP. 4-5.. ".. 0. " . " J '.. .. .. ".". '.. ..".. I'. ". \";<1"". @ Norman 1. Padelford. George A. Lincoln. The Dynrzmics of International Politics, (N. Y.: The. MaCmillan Company. 1957). 'P. 177. Ibid.. P. 178.. @). .•. @. @ -!ril~JU-\J(*WB ~ 1-Rt<Olltll~ff:lm. ,. '!'. ~ll1~Htf.c:ti•.: ~~"Q!t~"i*!\!f• .¢t '~\.1t41~~.~~'~ ~\!iflIii~$l~~ 0.g..~• •tjI*itI1• •it!t(:-IIE" .tK~ ___....... _ ..... •• ., .... ..IM!II\";:'.1lL.LIl7i'.'t.::'I~~1Z!:.mrnl:!?1ml:. iilllll!!1r\l~.~$nli.

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(16) .. •. .~. ..... ~. ~. ,'~. 0. (I) , .'. '. ", <. • ,. ". pp=-·C¢....E+.M) x (S+W). ' .. , I .;. ,. I .. -N~,o. .. •. 0. (Ray S. Cline) *~ii!~ 1 *'~£.~ rBlR~;tgJ:m~;I,l1 ~,~~{l!l:r?N44l:(~1-'-" ill. •. Dyke) ~~III.f:ZIIi(~~~\9I.{. ~~~ 0. Pp-Perceived Power~tlH~1\II ~ .ffiil:\ii':zl:~~~tl:!_ii\~R. C.... Critical Mass• •fi(1!II( ~ ant-<n (Population).~-H (Territory) E... Economic Cl:!-pabi1ity!~liHtJ;~R M"'" Military Clipa1?j1ity• •ilR S = Stra tegic Purpose.~ mil!. .4Q+l~*I/lt.i;l,l1 ~ ~~~~;tg-B:-:!:K:mIlI-R~~~~ant~*liIR~ __ ~/lIR t 1~l§*~~. W - Will to Pursue National Strategy!Wl*E~.~~11lm:l+le ~ ~~.~~. .. q'~,*~~~.-R. gt'K. E2it~~. ~~-B:-:!:K:m~~BI~~~~~:zl:1-'-~~~~··~~.~'-<R~~'~~~~'~~~R'III~~R~~*~~~o l:~MI.~··,. ;. 0. 0. 0. 0. Jil~Wnnrr;1<,-S' ~~~$lli' ~~ , _~, liI~~',o .~~.~ant ~ ~MlIEl~m~ 1 ~liI~.R*IH.w~IEl~ -B:-:!:K~llHlE:tll:!~~ .~~.~llHm~+1I(~~., ~ tIlQ:l=l~~lll~ ~ .~~.$ ~~H< ~ ~~III.~-K-N -B:-1II-K1i~\ii'$~$im~-N+ 1 ~~!W ~.I~!n ~ -i:1;tlWf;iK..LJ .. ~)g[~lru-K+gt~gt~ ~ 1B£~!fJ.mtgt+~~~+~~ ~ -Klii~~~~I:~liiI~f1g+l @ -B:-1II1<1i~~.~~Ii~~~~lK~~~~~k.liI'~.'~M~'~~~~;&~'~~.'~1B£'~~'~III'~ :m~-K • •~Ro. '. ~'~~*.~+Blant~o~~~-B:-.:!:K~~«~~~~~~~o-i:1;t-B:-Bl~~..LJ~~.~*m~~~-B:-:!:Km~~~~l§.~.~. '. "Perspective on Today's China", The Christian Science Monitor, March 28, 1978.. ,"'•.•. ~'. i! '. -<o:ju\lJIi'. (. l\1lnlt~:!fnlJI.lto. Vernon Van Dyke, International Politics, 3rd edition, (University of Iowa, 1966), PP. 209-210, ~+111~~Rl\Ij(M:iii... ~~:ju\lJIi'. ~~at_.ial.. -i:1;t~t+1!!i'~ff. ~ ~-H~-K-S~BlRl~m ~ Sm«~\l!!!1I-K~~.~ ~ 11I:~~~~~ant ~ ~-H-K.ffiil:m«~\ii'!lJ!g~.es!R ~ il~:fiiilK 'll'nt (i). ftllI!:l:ll~R ' fil<UI!I!t!iii'ii '~lIlh~Al!I~J\ll!!R' ~~Sil!.rJ&~~ , ~~Ii~~+U~ , ltI!II!;.~, il.~. ill mUtlliJ ~ Jm(+111-+m 0. @. -rt J n1dl!f\ll!!:. ~~\f@~.o.

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