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Chapter Two

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Chapter Two

Money and the Payments System

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Learning Objectives

Students will establish an understanding of:

1. Money and its functions

2. Payments system today and tomorrow

3. Money links: inflation and economic growth

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Money and How We Use It

• Money is an asset that is generally accepted as payment for goods and services or

repayment of debt.

• Income is a flow of earnings over time, where wealth is the value of assets minus liabilities.

• Money is one of those assets.

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Money and How We Use It

Money has three characteristics:

1. It is a means of payment 2. It is a unit of account, and 3. It is a store of value.

The first of these characteristics is the most important

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Money and How We Use It

Means of Payment

• People insist on payment in money.

– Barter requires a “double coincidence of wants”.

• Money is easier and finalizes payments so there is no further claim on buyers and

sellers.

• The increase in the numbers of buyers and sellers requires something like “money” to make transactions smoother.

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Money and How We Use It

Unit of Account

• Money is used to quote prices and record debts - it is a standard of value.

• Prices provide the information needed to ensure resources are allocated to their best uses.

• Using dollars makes relative price comparisons easier.

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• When you shop, should you use a debit card or a credit card?

• A debit card works like a check only faster.

– Funds are immediately removed from your account.

• A credit card makes a deferred payment.

– If not paid on time, there is a late fee.

– If not paid fully, there is interest on the debt.

– But if you do pay on time and fully, it is an interest free loan for a period of time.

– Credit cards allow you to build a credit history.

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Money and How We Use It

Store of Value

• A means of payment has to be durable and

capable of transferring purchasing power from one day to the next.

• Paper currency does degrade, but is accepted at face value in transactions.

• Other forms of wealth are also a store of value: stocks, bonds, houses, etc.

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Money and How We Use It

Store of Value (cont.)

• Although other stores of value are

sometimes better than money, we hold money because it is liquid.

Liquidity is a measure of the ease with which an asset can be turned into a

means of payment.

– The more costly it is to convert an asset into money, the less liquid it is.

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Money and How We Use It

Store of Value (cont.)

• Financial institutions use:

– Market liquidity - the ability to sell assets for money.

– Funding liquidity - ability to borrow money to buy securities or make loans.

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The Payments System

• The payments system is a web of

arrangements that allow for the exchange of goods and services, as well as assets.

– The efficient operation of the economy depends on the payments system.

• Money is at the heart of the payments system.

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The Payments System

The possible methods of payment are:

1. Commodity and Fiat Monies 2. Checks

3. Electronic Payments

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Commodity and Fiat Monies

Commodity monies are things with intrinsic value.

– Included items like silk and salt.

• To be successful, a commodity money must be:

– Usable by most people,

– Can be made into standardized quantities, – Durable,

– Easily transportable, and – Divisible into smaller units.

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Commodity and Fiat Monies

• Gold has been the most common commodity money as it meets these requirements.

• In 1661, Stockholm Banco issued Europe's first paper money

– King of Sweden printed too many to try to finance a war and the bank failed.

• In 1775, the Continental Congress of the

United States of America issued “continentals”

to finance the Revolutionary War.

– Both governments issued too much and the currency became worthless.

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Commodity and Fiat Monies

• Because of the failures, people became suspicious of government-issued paper money.

• In 1862, the Confederate and the Union

governments printed money with no explicit backing.

• After the Civil War, the US reverted to using gold as money.

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Commodity and Fiat Monies

• Gold coins and notes, backed by gold, were used into the 20th century.

• Today’s paper money is called fiat money, because its value comes from

government decree, or fiat.

• We are willing to accept these bills as payment because the US government stands behind its paper money.

• In the end, money is about trust.

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Commodity and Fiat Monies

• Today, some critics claim the US should return to the gold standard.

– There is fear of governments issuing too much paper money.

• A gold standard may not be time consistent.

– In a crisis, a government can renege on the use of a gold standard to stabilize the economy.

– Movement away from the gold standard was prompted by the Great Depression.

• A fiat currency must be limited in volume of circulation to be credible.

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Checks

• A check is an instruction to the bank to take funds from your account and transfer them to another account.

– A check is therefore not a final payment as currency is - it sets in motion a series of

transactions.

• The series of transactions put in motion can be seen in Figure 2.1: The Path of a Paper Check

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Figure 2.1: The Path of a Paper

Check

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• Why have checks not disappeared?

– Checks are legal proof of payment.

– In 2004 the Check 21 Act went into effect

• Banks can transmit digital images which serve as substitutes for paper checks

– Electronic mechanisms for clearing checks have lowered costs and kept checks as an attractive means of payment.

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Electronic Payments

• Electronic payments take the form of:

– Credit and debit cards

– Electronic funds transfers – Stored-value card

– E-money

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Electronic Payments

• Debit Cards

– Works like a check - tells the bank to transfer funds from your account to another.

– After 2007, the use of debit cards increased significantly

• Credit Cards

– A promise by a bank to lend the cardholder money to make a purchase.

– They do not represent money.

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Electronic Payments

• Electronic funds transfers

– Movements of funds directly from one account to another.

– Most common form is the automated clearinghouse transaction (ACH).

• Used for recurring payments like paychecks or utility bills.

• Have surpassed the value of checks

– Banks use electronic transfers for bank to bank transactions, sending money through Fedwire.

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Electronic Payments

• Stored-value card

– Take it to a bank or an ATM, transfer money to the card, then use the card at a merchant.

– Limited usefulness so far, although use has gorwn rapidly.

– Limited in what can be purchased with them.

– Require specific hardware by businesses

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Electronic Payments

• E-money

– Can be used to pay for purchases on the Internet or by mobile phone.

– You open an account by transferring funds to the issuer of the e-money.

– When shopping online, you instruct the issuer to send your e-money to the merchant.

– Really a form of private money, so not guaranteed by the government

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• Market liquidity and funding liquidity are both needed to market financial markets function smoothly.

• 2007-2009 financial crisis lead to a sudden loss of liquidity.

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• Before the crisis

– Financial institutions relied on short-term borrowing to hold long-term financial

instruments.

• They believed funding liquidity would remain readily available.

– They also believed markets would also be liquid.

• They would always be able to sell the securities and loans they held.

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• In 2007, doubt lead to a double “liquidity shock” increasing cash holdings.

– This reduced loan supplied intensifying the decreasing liquidity.

• One lesson: Liquidity is a highly valuable resource that can disappear when most needed.

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The Future of Money

• The future of the three functions of money:

– Means of payment: disappearing due to ease of electronic transactions.

– Unit of account: likely to remain.

• Will always be needed to quote values and prices because it is efficient.

• But, will we move to one global unit of account?

– Store of value: disappearing due to liquidity of many financial instruments.

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• In Africa, one of the common types of “mobile money” is in the form of pre-paid minutes.

– They can be swapped for cash or spent in shops

• Unlike true mobile money, airtime minutes do not depend on government stability or inflation.

• It can be sent immediately and anonymously.

• In areas where US currency is scarce, retailers who give change in minutes are more

competitive.

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• The use of airtime has increased as it has grown easier to send minutes abroad.

• The value of international airtime transfers has increased to $700 million in 2012; up from $250 million in 2011.

• Some authorities are concerned at airtime’s use of money as network operators “issuing their own currency”.

• Others worry this is an easy way for criminal or extremist groups to move money secretly.

• It is likely some regulations will show up soon.

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Lessons from the Article

• Almost anything can be used as currency, but they must have a reasonable store of value

• People also prefer payment mechanisms that are efficient, anonymous, and allow for large or small transfers.

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Measuring Money

• Changes in the quantity of money are related to

– Interest Rates

– Economic Growth – Inflation

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Measuring Money

• Inflation:

– The process of prices rising.

• Inflation rate:

– The measurement of the process.

• With inflation, you need more money to buy the same basket of goods.

• The primary cause of inflation is too much money.

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Measuring Money

• The value of the means of payment depends on how much of it is circulating.

– We therefore must be able to measure how much is circulating.

• Defining money means defining liquidity (see figure 2.2).

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Figure 2.2 - The Liquidity

Spectrum

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Measuring Money

Different definitions of money are based upon degree of liquidity.

Drawing the line in different places has led to several measure of money called the money aggregates: M1 and M2.

M1: Narrowest definition.

Only the most liquid assets.

M2: Broader definition.

Includes assets not used as means of payment.

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Table 2.1: The Monetary

Aggregates

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Measuring Money

• What do the money aggregates mean?

– As of winter 2010, nominal US gross domestic product (GDP) was $14,500 billion.

– Using the data in Table 2.1 above:

• GDP is nearly nine times as large as M1.

• GDP is about 70 percent larger than M2.

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Measuring Money

• Which M do we use to understand inflation?

– Until the early 1980’s we used M1.

– But with changes in accounts, M2 became more useful.

– M2 represents nearly one-half of GDP, so M1 is no longer a useful measure of money.

– Figure 2.3 shows the M’s growth rates.

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Figure 2.3: Growth Rates of the

Money Aggregates

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Measuring Money

• How useful is M2 in tracking inflation?

– When the quantity of money grows quickly, it produces high inflation.

– Figure 2.4 shows the inflation rate versus M2 two years earlier for the US.

• Positive correlation up until 1980.

• From 1990-2000 - no correlation.

– Growth in M2 stopped being a useful tool for forecasting inflation.

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Figure 2.4: Money Growth and

Inflation

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Measuring Money

• Why does M2 no longer predict inflation?

– Maybe the relationship only applies at high levels of inflation.

– Maybe it only shows up over longer periods of time.

– Maybe we need a new measure of money.

• We do know that at low levels of money growth, inflation is likely to stay low.

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• The CPI answers the question:

“How much more would it cost for people to purchase today the same basket of goods and services that they actually bought at some fixed time in the past?”

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• Computing CPI Inflation

– Survey people to see what they bought.

– Figure out what it would cost to buy the same basket of goods & service today.

– Compute the percentage change in the cost of the basket of goods.



CPI Cost of Basket in Current Year

Cost of Basket in Base Year * 100

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Table 2.2: Computing the Consumer Price Index

100 CPI *

CPI 2015 CPI

Rate Inflation

2014

2014 2015

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• In 2013 the public held about $1.2 trillion in US currency.

– You can compare this to each person holding

$3,700.

• Three-fourths of this money was in $100 bills.

• Many of these bills are in other countries.

• People in other countries hold other currencies that are more stable than their own.

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