*
2004
1895
1945
1949 1947
plebiscite
2001 1980
1990 5 6 66%
60% 98% 10 1 1990 2000 1998 1998:9
2003a:2
1999
George W. Bush 2002 2 21
The White House, 2002
2003 11 19
Richard Armitage WHO
2003:2 Randy Shriver
2003 12 3
Richard Boucher be opposed to
2003a:A1 12 7
12 10
2003b:A1; White House, 2003 12 30
2003c:A2
9 511
9 6
0.5% 2003 Adam Ereli Department of State, 2003 Yoshiro Mori 12 25 12 29 Katsuhisa Uchida 2003:2 1 16 Scott McClellan 1 16
The White House, 2004
2003 2003b:2
Colin Powell
Taipei Times, 2004a:1
1 27 Jacques Chirac Taipei Times, 2004b:1 1989 1990 1983 1987 1990
1994 1996 2000 2002 1994 1996 1999 9 21 2,455 1992-2003 2004
38,935 2000 2003 4 SARS SARS SARS 81 WHO WHO WHO 1990 1992 1996 1996
2003:6
2004
9
228
2004:2
2004:3
2004:3 2004:4
2,013 3 11 3 17 20% 59% 13.1% 55.1% 44.9% 73.4% 73.5%
71% 55%
25% 28.2%
81.7% 86.7%
Markus and Converse, 1979
2004a 2004b 2004c 2004d 2004e 2004f 2003a 5 25 2 2003b 11 29 2 2004 2 5 3 2003 http://search.cnanews.gov.tw/ search/hypage.cgi# 2005/2/17 2003 12 30 2 2004 2 3 4 1989 2 1 71-116 2003 12 22 6 1998 12 10 9 2004 1 28 3 2001 43-110 2001 217-266 2004 1992-2003 http://www2.nccu.edu.
1994 2003 11 19 2 2003a 12 3 A1 2003b 12 10 A1 2003c 12 30 A2 2004 1 18 2
Department of State (2003). "Daily Press Meeting." http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2003/ 27640.htm. (accessed February 17, 2005).
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January 18:1.
(2004b). "Et tu, Chirac?" Taipei Times, January 28:1.
(2004c). "Referendum has become Taiwan’s destiny: Hsieh." Taipei Times, March 1:1. White House(2002). "President Bush Meets with Chinese President Jiang Zemin." http://www.
whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/02/20020221-7.html (accessed February 17, 2005). (2003). "President Bush and Premier Wen Jiabao Remarks to the Press." http://www. whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/12/20031209-2.html (accessed February 17, 2005).
(2004). "Press Briefing by Scott McClellan." http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releas-es/2004/01/20040116-14.html#7 (accessed February 17, 2005).
Referendum: A New Dynamic of National Identity in
Taiwan
Yung-ming Hsu, Chia-hung Tsai and Hsiu-tin Huang
Abstract
A long-running argument is that Taiwan should hold a referendum to determine its national identity. The two-question refereundum in 2004 were marred by disputes over national identity, whether the country was Taiwanese or Chinese or both. The opposition party denounced the referendum as a campaign strategy and called on voters to abstain from voting in the referendum. Furthermore, the United States, Japan, and several European countries issued their concerns over the results and China charged that the referendum was merely a campaign tactic, which fueled the question whether holding the referendum was appropriate. Although the referendum as a new institution failed in its first attempt, pre-election polls revealed that the peo-ple were divided about voting in the referendum. More importantly, the peopeo-ple with "dual identity" showed an inclination to identify as "Taiwanese" because they shared the same opinions regarding the referendum. Moreover, these "dual identity" people paid attention to the referendum.
Keywords:
referendum, nation identity, partisanship, presidential election.Yung-ming Hsu is assistant research fellow at the Research Center for Humanities and Social
Sciences, Academia Sinica. His specialties include political behavior and empirical political theo-ries.
Chia-hung Tsai is assistant research fellow at the Election Study Center, National Chengchi
University. His major fields are political behavior, methodology, and party politics.
Hsiu-tin Huang is graduate student in the Department of Political Science, National Taiwan
