一九九七年亞洲金融風暴後日本、東協與中國大陸互動關係的轉變

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(4) iI±~. 1. tE~~. ODA1-r-- pg.~ i, I ,,/' 5\HIlI - _ .. s* ' *jgb+1l '-..,... FDI: ,: ,. 11 ml :. ASEAN Way. :. ~Hf;. 1FDI. .~.!!;. ODA. r:p , 7:. 1f:!1l*M!. , -tL_.v.~. David.. -::p. ?f.~ilifI. rr: ~)t)t. -_~. David.. I¥JfIiIJ•. 11..-_ _ _----1...!t-_-_-_-_. •. ~WJ. JlUJ:)M . • .IJ\l ,Ji. a~ll:j. ~~~~~~~~I~~~*Z~~li~H~±~fl~~±~'~~±~~~. ~f6Cfl!;1l. : :;liHllppJM~*~"Lt I Jirn:£i!w.JiJiIJ. rmfl~Jl. ~lfflilJ. (international regime). 0. f9Tlm~~±~. t?gJl:. ~tt~~~$~I~.~~~tt~fi~m~*m~~~tt~~e@I~®~e~m ~~~"~~.~I~~±~Afl~~~~tt. jt&~1¥. ( indivisibility) ,~~tt~fi~JljUm (generalized principles of conduct) &aUttt~ li1S ( diffuse reciprocity) ® 1Z§Jl:t ' ~~±~Ji!:-fl~~tt~~f'Ftt.fIiIJ I jt~~~. j:~I¥JE. ~~,. •• ~ •••eQw•• 0. Ilta'fr§~. .~.~.tt~.~;mlm~~±~:~m~*Z~IZ§~~~m.~m~lw~~~. *jt~fj. , ••:w••• e~!&~~~f'F<ID QWtlUI Ernst Haas r *fiJ;1]ijg~ J (neo-functionalism) ~.~ • ;jtie~l!I~tt~~*~~~.eJ:Afl.M:tt ' Wt't -M.ejf*6~Ujtftl!.e · M~~~~~-M!&~ , &mli~.~m:~tt~lfiJmiJ® Q. !fil~A. ~~pg~fi~~. 1Z§Jl:t·m:~±~~~~~l!I~tt~m~tt~±~~~~~.;mlm~~.~:~m~. ~l:tl¥Jm. It® 'A. * Z ra, IZ§ ~ 00 ~ ~ IfiJ ~ • e · wit ~ - fI A fl ~ ~ tt ~ m~ (norms) 'm JlIJ (rules) ,mum (principles) :W~~fH{~~ (decision-makingprocess) @ WJfitli{J!~ ~~~~.~~-fl,.Jl:tZ~Rfi~~~~ •• ~~m~'W&flftM~*~~.. 1 R. 0. D U. it@ fii it@ fIl;ijf;:7':' r fliil:£. ' .J!£:£.ft.~iI:£. J '.It*fU' ~+=:m~-WJ ' ~IIlJ\+1\~!f¥. ' J{=: it@ John Gerard Ruggie, • Multilateralism: the Anatomy of an Institution,· International Organization,. 19. 0. 1m. vol. 46, no. 3 (Summer 1992), p. 569. vo;. ReID Edward Mansfield, Helen Milner, • The Political Economy ofRegionalism: an Overview,· in Edward. Sh. Mansfield, and Helen Milner, eds., The Political Economy ofRegionalism (Ny: Columbia University Press, 1997), pp. 3-4.. it® Ernst B. Haas, The Obsolescence of Regional Integration Theory (Berkeley, CA.: University of California, 1975).. it@ Stephan Krasner, International Regime (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1982), p. 4.. it@ Da. It@ Da1 it@. Ch, 10. It® Ma:.

(5) -ftft~4~~*. •••• B*· ••• ~~*~li~H.~.~. ~. ~±.~jj!.m(J9~~*~m~I!!?J(J9$~®o. :1iT*fj!jj!l.I~;tfi~iI±.. '. 1iI~± ••. ASEAN. tI$lrFI!!?J*(J9jl~:J;flIJjl. 0. ~*. tE~~~*~~(J9~~IJjl±l.I~~lli'.$.~~~~~~otE~llix·±l.I~~. ~lIIIf*(J9it:ll:.IT~. • .$=¥~±l.I~.$tt~.~;p • ~~=¥~JlU~~j;!f$lj~.~. ~~~°tE~~I!!?J*~$·~~~~~~~~±l.I~~(J9~lliIJjl,ffi]tEl!!?J~IIII~~. $ • ~~I1lI*~~~~(J9~~~W±l.Ijj!~~~~ (economic statecraft) @ ~ff DavidBaldwin(J95E. : fffaw~~~~ , jj!m-I!!?JJ;J,~~=¥~~IJjl*~~clt~I!!?J*(J9 0. ~~~~@otEm@5E.~'~~~~~~::fIi'!l(J9D~*~.~~~~'~~*~'. David Baldwin ~).=¥~~D'Ji~~~~~1iI~~IEITfiililj~ (positive sanctions) 'itITfi l¥JiIiIJ~ (negative sanctions) ~m~ , fff~IEITfitJj~~nillllmll*f~ , 1l.I!!?J~il!t&.~ ~~~~;itITfi~~~jj!m •• '.M.~ &~.~@;~~'I!!?J~.~_~* JlU~).mjJ(J9D~ , ~cltJlJ~~~$IJ'M:(J9~j;!fI~ (coercive statecraft) .~.'M:I¥J~ ~IJjl (exchange statecraft) m~ , Pfiaw~$U'M:~~IJjljj!-m~Fimfitt(J9". ' . ... ft.~mmllll.~.~~~I!!?J&~m.'~~~~~~;~.tt~~I~jj!m~.1!!?J. ·J!I!!?J *MiIiIJ e~ni '~~J'M:. &1t'M:(J9 ~:Ml::f~ j:tE~1i'!I. ryfi~~ J =: •. ffi]~. =p;ll®o jj!m~. ~.fi(J9~*• • '~~~~~.*.~~~l!!?JtE~~~~x(J9.~'~~~8.~ M~~~@). 0. ~~tE~iI±.~'I!!?J*~~ •• ~~~~~'~m.:1i~.~ •• ~~* ••. clt~lli(J9§(J9°mjj!tEmm~~~'Ba~~.ml!!?J*-ar~~m~iI~~* •••iI ±.(J9§(J9'~~m1il~'M:(J9$~'~~tE-nn~~~~~aMM'~I!!?J±~(J91!!?J ~~~~~(~F)~~~ • • ~~I!!?J,~m&m~~ft~~~~.(J9I!!?J*,m~l.I. *clt.fiMa$.~~~±.$.(J9~~~¥@offi]tE1iI~±.~'I!!?J*±l.Ijj!~m. •• clt~~~~(J9§(J9,~~~(J9~~-ar~jj! •• (J9~.~jj! ~~(J9•• o~~'~~I!!?J-ar~~mm~~iI.~(J9I111.* •• ~I!!?J(J9~~,~~*. ~iI~~(J9~j;!f.~*. iM:®. .ili:fill~jf:£., w.:~:£ • •w.:ll!tttiif'FtfJ*f'FlI1f~M John Ruggie, Muitiiatera/ism Matters: The. Theory and Praxis ofan Institution Form. <NY: Columbia University Press, 1993); Robert Z. Lawrence,. , mJlIJ. Regionalism, Muitilateralism and Deeper Integration (Washington D. C.: Brookings Institute, 1996);. ~ 1jfjrr.1J. Donald Barry and Ronald Keith, Multilateralism and the Politics of Global Trade (Vancouver, BC.:. ~-ar~)... UBC Press. 1999). ti:@. It· 1\2>. • Economic Interdependence, Bargaining Power, and Political Influence,' International Organization, vol. 40, no. 3 (Summer 1988), pp. 461 - 483; Michael Mastanduno, • Economics and Security in. in Edward. uversi ty of. Baldwin,Economic Statecraft (New Jersey: Princeton University Press,. International Organization, vol. 39, no. 2 (Summer 1985), pp. 297-329; R. Harrison Wagner,. .,anizatioJ1,. University. fifHl~iJfIJ!!tfJ*f'F:fiDavid. 1985); Bruce E. Moon, • Consensus or Compliance? Foreign-Policy Change and External Dependence,'. Statecraft and Scholarship,' International Organization. vol. 52, no. 4 (Autumn 1998). pp. 825 - 854.. iM:@ David Baldwin, Economic Statecraft (New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1985). p. 32. ltt@. David Baldwin, • The Power of Positive Sanctions,' World Politics, vol. 24, no. 1 (Oct 1971), pp. 27- 36.. iM:@ Cheng-Tian Kuo •• Economic Statecraft across the Taiwan Strait,' Issues & Studies, vol. 29, no. 10 (Oct. 1993), pp. 21- 22. ltt@. Martin feldstein, • Refocusing the IMF,· Foreign Affairs (MarchiApril 1998), pp. 20- 21..

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(7) -ftftt.~~~M. :u!:Je; Ll¥JffJ. ••• B*· ••• ~m*~~~H~~_~. ~. . - •• ~.'~~~.~AS~NH~. i~ , ~/j\. I~~ '~il. *2:. *2:. md\. m*. ~/j\. EHB1i$} Wi. *2:. *2:. m/j\. m*. ::&i& ~~1.J. ~'a*.~~'t.*~~~.M~. ti:. t/J\ ;. ( -it,i\·O--- -it,it,it,). ffijE. ti:J!. ~tI g~rlil. Mft.~'~~~L'~.~~&M~.I¥J~~m.m.;~~-1.JOO'g:tIl*M.. Ig:t , !:tBM " ' ffij. •• -m~~.~I¥J~.,m~-hht~g:tIl*M~ ••• l¥Jr~OO~~~#J~ ~:tflfff~~o. 91Bft 1-J.lJJl ~U(~ . I! ' 9.F. IM*,J orum,. .§~. Eil:lJt. •• B~~li~-h~t~' •• ~~~~mTI¥J ~~·m ••• II.l¥Jil:lJt••• lil¥J~ •• ·.~-h~O~~u!B~ffJ~T·m tB~m •• ~hO~~~M.~.·.~••~~T*~~~••• I¥J.±.~.@; :!ij~-@m.~.J{Jj.m~1¥J r~rurnWay J · fR.AmitavAcharya~-hhli~1¥J -.Jt~fffTI¥JJE. : m~ ~rurn Way .-fm::fTHii&jft · '8::f.g.~~ •• ~ ~1¥J$~~~::fTHii&jft·~~ •• ~$~~A~~~·.~~i&I¥J$~~A~~~ tB::fT~)THi@ ~mfm::fTHii&jftl¥J r~rurn Way J •• 7F~i1T · •• ~~AII~ rlil~~-m~JjI¥J1.[IbH{~ · gfl•• ~~~[l'IJOOtMl¥J~~ , •• :tflilJ~~iliOO~J.!l! W-~.~~AII~~.~~~$~ •• rt.~·.*~§l¥Jm.~~ ••••::fT ~~J.!l!·~~~ •• ~~~~l¥Jm~offij-hht~§~~~ ••m••••g:tI¥J$ ~ . ~II . • *~§&~im~ , •• 1m~tBmU]~J.!l! ' u!. ASrurn Way TI¥J-@~ ~~J!~~I¥J.~J.I~M~'. i!J1¥J~. \;j~.. *®±J!•• "~-hAO~¥-hhh~.M'B*· ••• g:tIl*M~Mi& @H~l¥Jq~o~~.~L' •• II~-m~~mmr~rurnw~JI¥J~.ffJ~@;. ~~.~L'B* ••• I¥JH~±J!.li~~~~~~~L'~i&~L'.~~i&~. 0. 0. lIt@. pll* 1 Free. Robin Ramcharan, • ASEAN and Non-Interference: A Principle Maintain," Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol. 22, no. 1 (April 2000), pp. 60- 87; Tabias Ingo Nischalke, • Insights from ASEAN's Foreign. (:lJt± r-:Jtfff. Policy Cooperation: the ASEAN Way, a Real Apirit or a Phantom,' Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol. 22, no. 1 (April 2000), pp. 89-112. lIt@. ation, •. till ASEAN Way 7Hfiillt~tv:I Amitav Acharya, • Ideas, Identity, and Institution-Building: From the ASEAN Way to the Asia Pacific Way?" The Pacific Review, vol. 10, no. 3 (1997), pp. 319-346;. P. Charrier, • ASEAN's Inheritance: the Regionalization of Southeast Asia, 1941- 61,' The Pacific. Review, vol. 14. no. 3 (z001), pp. 313-338. li±® Amitav Acharya•• Ideas, Identity. and Institution-BUilding: from the ASEAN Way to the Asia Pacific Way?" The Pacific Review, vol. 10, no. 3 (1997), pp. 319-320..

(8) ... •• ~®oW~.~~~~' •• ~.~.~ •• ~.~A •••• o~~~ ~ OO,~.~ •• ~~~~a~,~~.eW ••• A.~~ &~ • • • • •@; ••. ~~~~~~,~.~.~~m~~~~~~o~ft'OO~~ffl~~~~m~m~~. .~ ••• '~~~ ••T'. •• M.W~H.~~~~~,~-ftftt$H~'. $~M~h~ ••-~H~~~~~(~M)OO~~~M •• T~.~@o 2.~~.~~~'.~~B*W •• ,~~*.~~~oB* ••• ·~~* .2~~~~~~~~'.~~.~H •• ~'&~ • • ~• • m ••••_~o~ .~H •• ~~OO'B* ••• ~.~H •• ~H~~~ftAO$~,~~m2~~ ••~'~.~~.-~*~M~'B*.~H~.~m •• hM.tt~.~,~~ B*W.~~&~2~~~~~~oWB*~~.hfiH.~.~.~'~~~ ftAO$*~~~.me~@o~ft,~-ftAO$~~~~~~~=M~M'-ft. •• -~.-MMM'~m.MM~~'B*.~. *~):Hm~fit~.~ •• ~~ , W9.~~~~~.Itt.JT ' ¥*,MUJf:I B*~tI!f.jJ*.~ ••ill. ' J:Jjt¥u.m:tt:.~jJA m~.7tI §~ ~ill~~OO ' ~U~.fit~EntJ*lfj AO$*~~~~-ftft-$g. 0. .~~~~~~~o~ft,~mM~M~~'B*.~~~.~.7tI~§~*~~~ ~§~;-ftft=$~-ftftft$~m-M~M'~-ftft=$'B*.~~T~~. ~~~*.~~~~~~'OO.~~~.~H •• ~*.'~mMft=.~~~T'. •• &ill~ill~~~".&~.~n~~.~.o~ft,.~.~OO .fi8~.~~m~~~.~.'W~~~~~ntJ •• ~.tt~.;-ftftft$~~ B*.~H~~. ~m=M~M'-ftftft$mlli~~E$ODAH.'~~M~.T'B*.~fi~ ~~~~tI!f~M. •• ~'W_~.&.~~~lli.~,mW_~~.m~~.~ ••. ~~W'~~~~~~~~~mm."~m~~m~@o. ~B*.~~*.~~.~~OO'~~ill*.~-fttft$.~~~H~••2. •• ~.~H •• ~,~~~~:tt:.B*~~~ •• o~~ -~~.~~,a~~~.m•• ill.~AO$~~-ftftt$'-.~B*.*~. ~H •• ~~ill.'M~~fflfi •• ~.~~' •• ffl~B*~.~~M.jt~%o. ~~~. m~~~~,a~.mB*.~~ill*.~~tI!f.~~~-ftAA$2.H~~.~. I!?!~R. ~,~-ftftft$~.jt+=~.~EB.~~o. .~t ffiiNJ(j. .'B*OOH~.~~*. itt@>. Jurgen Haacke, -The Concept of Flexible Engagement and the Practice of Enhanced Interaction: Intramural Challenges to the ASEAN Way," The PaciJic Review, vol. 12, no. 4 (1999), pp. 581- 582.. ilt@ Amitav Acharya •• Ideas, Identity, and Institution-Building: from theASEAN Way to the Asia Pacific. Way?" The PaciJic Review, vol. 10, no. 3 (1997), pp. 319- 346. itt@ Jurgen Ruland, • ASEAN and the Asian Crisis: Theoretical Implications and Practical Consequences. for Southeast Asia Regionalism," The PaciJic Review, vol. 13, no. 3 (2000), p. 444. itt@. Nishigaki Akira and Ahimomura Yasutami, The Economics of Development Assistance: Japan's ODA in a Symbiotic World (LTCB International library Foundation, 1997), pp. 141-142.. itt@. Takashi Shiraishi, - Japan and Southeast Asia: in Peter Katzenstein and Takashi Shiraishi, eds., Network Power: Japan and Asia <Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1997), pp. 184-186.. IJJJ~(. + ' ff ~J!tJl ~1i1.

(9) -ftftt~~~~~~ • •. B*· ••• ~~*~li~A.®"~. ~. ffB*~~~*~&*~~~~~~~~nOO'~~m~~m~~*~~*~m ~B*~~ff~~mm~~~~.~'WB*~~~~~~~~~~~7~~~~~. ••• §ffi.~Bm§~o~~~.~ •• M~. t. ft~'m.ffWnM~~~nOO'~. ~. ~~*~~~~~~~~B~'W~.~~~B*~~B~~~.~~@O~~'~ ~L~~~~~,~~m~~mB*~*~~WnM~~~,m~~~~~~~*B. .... .~MW~Z~~o. E. ~=. ~. fl. iJ Ii. I!f. !. if!. t.... 7. I I. 2 ~. ~ o. ~. •• ~H~a8*~R.~m~~Zft~ ¥lli:B.~ft. ~. 1... AO~~. 1980 ~. .~~~. Jt!Willg;j i!!im~. 1990 ~. 1996 ~. 1997 ~. 1998 ~. 1999 ~. :i?l~. ltf:9lJ. :i?l~. ltf:9lJ. ~~. ltf:9lJ. :i?l~. ltf:9lJ. :i?l~. ]:tf:9lJ. ~~. .Itf:9lJ. 82. 4.2. 835. 12. 869. 10.4. 530. 8. 1,211. 14.1. 1,282. 12.2. 34.3. 1,$58 22.2 1,416 21.4 2,438 28.3 3,911. ~1;3. '861. IS~,~!~ 2,3'19. 435. 22.2. 898. 12.9. 1,320. 15.8. 964. 14.6. 1,463. 17. 1,168. ILl. ~~. na. na. na. na. 80. 1. 145. 2.2. 228. 2.7. 215. 2. ~.. 204. 10.4. 705. 10.2. 561. 6.7. 513. 7.8. 392. 4.6. 544. 5.2. ~~. 223. 11.4. 792. 11.4. 1067. 12.8. 803. 12.1. 950. 11.0. 995. 9.5. ~m~lHI. 118. 6. 561. 8.1. 986. ll.8. 715. 10.8. 553. 6.4. 814. 7.8. *~~. 12. 0.6. 114. 1.6. 198. 2.4. 159. 2.4. 147. 1.7. 138. 1.3. It~. na. na. 158. 2.3. 200. 2.4. 134. 2.0. 144. 1.7. 151. 1.4. .It. na. na. 153. 2.2. 130. 1.6. 54. 0.8. 47. 0.6. 18. 0.2. ;!tim. 23. 1.2. 494. 7.1. 1,200. 14.4. 1,213. 18.3. 1,048. 12.2. 1,225. 11.7. 1,961. 100. 6,941. 100. 8,365. 100. 6,613. 100. 8,606. 100. 10,498. 100. 158+ .f3HI~lIili. : http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/gaiko/oda/00_hakusho/table_text/h_OO37.html. ~*~~~*~~*~~H~'ffi~*~ff~~~M'.~~ff~*~~~.~ .~ti •• ~~~-~'N~Lmffi&.*~~B~&~~ •• '~M*~~~~* ~~H~'ffftO~~ZM. ••~ffi •• ~~li~H~omff~~M.Z~'~~~. *~~~~~~~B.'ffBmL~~~~*~-*~~~~~H~'ff~~L£§. m:. •• ~nff~.L~~~*.~lim~~~ H~o~~'~ftO~Z~~~~ •• ~Mffi.m.,.~~~.*m •• §~z=. ~2.. +'W~~*~~ff-ftftt~~~~.~~~~~*~~~OO~~~~~'Z~~. fic. ~£~A*~~ ••~&*~~=~~~~'~M-ftft=~Z~'~~*.~*~. m~~~~-*~li~~~.~s,*~. ~li~H~~*~.m@o :es ~'s. Is.,. ilt~. Peter J. Katzenstein, and Nobuo Okawara, • Japan, Asian-Pacific Security, and the Case for a Analytical Eclecticism,' International Security, vol. 26, no. 3 (Winter 2001/2002), pp. 156-158.. iltS. mlll!l!f3t-:llt6~tf1i/j"Rtl:i!:m1JD'liJ:tl!ili'. liflJ:BJik '. ;Jtfn]~1.ii ' ffili~f\'f&llIkfrf'F' ~Jfi~!. r~. a~!f3tJ:t~m~~~~mJ '!f.*.m~,m~+-~mhM'~mA+~~h~'~~J\-~h· ilt~. James C. Hsiung,' China's Omni-Directional Diplomacy: Realignment to Cope with Monopolar US Power: Asian Survey, vol. 35, no. 6 (June 1995), pp. 575 - 582..

(10) f.. ifIt. .. 9.6. 12.1. 15.6. 27.7. 1985. 11.6. 31.2. 42.7. 345.2. 387.9. t988. 52.0. 102.7. 154.7. 519.0. 673.7. 1990. 37.8. 163.5. 201.3. 521.7. 723.1. 1~2. 72.1. 187.5. 259.5. 791.2. 1,050.8. 54.4. 245.1. 299.5. 1,051.2. 1,350.7. 94.4. 246.9. 346.3. 1,133.1. 1,479.4. 83.1. 304.8. 387.9. 992.3. 1,380.2. 25.0. 303.7. 328.7. 533.1. 816.7. 52" ~. F5., .\;. .. pS... ··i. ,. ". '1998 !¥;~ .. I;. 2.5. 1<::1993. .... fti!\. , d\1t. .~.'JJ. 1;981 I,". ••. ~.it~. 1:999. '. ..•..... rrm~. 15.42. 251.77. 267.19. 309.66. 576.86. JJ~Jt. 38.22. 301.62. 339.83. 818.33. 1,158.16. ~B9~. 65.68. 348.79. 414.47. 811.50. 1,225.97. ~fL';;?'. 1. ~~. 8*ti.m&~~*~. {i:iJB9Ji. ••m.~ .fIl: :. ~B9i151. Er.~j(;. 'fi·m. J.m3l:~.. Iz. 2,057. 1,226. B.I~nl. 2,688. 296. ~j!H1. :. 5,005. 438. 1i1l1~~. 4,922. 407. 2,766. 230. rJJB9llJ ifiM!7t l. 2,009. 438. ffjj~. 1,522. 1,070. fflSjJlIii·. 3,446. 1,691. ?l-M5I'. 5,117. 4,473. tl7iSJ1Er. 1996··;·. 4,958. 3,211. 1997... 5,696. 2,324. 3,340. 1,865. 1;;1998;. ;. lifl*lt: ':/::r:. PEU!' f9:li., tll:we:S;$:O);aa*illiB:.. Oli!~: B*jf~ti".'. "'B*B -ftft-lf) • J{I1lH:;J\. ~A=:-ftft~lf·J{~=--~=~;-ftft~lf·J{~-~-~=-;=OOOlf,J{~=~ ~~_o. I.

(11) -~~t.~H*~. ••• 8*· ••• $~*~~~H.~.~. ~. w'~~&.~a*,~.a~.*~M~~ #~:~.~~~*. ~ft. ••• ~~~~*~fi-ftftt~~~ •• ~.' ••• ~~*.&8*H.~ •• ~M~.~~M.~ ••• §~~.~"~o~~-ft At~~*'~ ••• ~M~.~§~m~.~~~~~oo~r~llilliW~j '~ff ~.~=+~~~t~~~Tm~M~.~~$$~'&~~~±~~~.~~ •• • ~ •• ~*~±.n.offi.ff-ftftt~~~~~ •• ~~~.,.moo •• ~ "~om~~~~:.m. JJi:tj!~fffl~~~jlJr.!-I~"t!. 0. •• ~~~M~.~t~~t~'~~~~~~.$~ •• TM~*~*r.!-I~.,~.m~~~~ •• M~~- •• &¥~~.·m~&.*5 ~, •• offm•• ~~ •• ~~~m.~oo ••• ~*t~ •• ff~~ ••MM' ~~~.~~ •••• $.WfiM.~~.t~M~~·mm~ ••• ~~~a.& ~~.~~Tt~n~~.Ht~.~~~~ •• ~~~~M&~~.~:ff-~~ -ftftt~~~~~. .M~~*~~.fi.~~¥&.fiffl.~~f~o~~~.~.~t~~~moo~ *~. •• tI*,J~~:ffi~*~{ti. t ~ •• ~*ff ~llilli Way ~~ff4T ' •• ~Wff. M~~tlmt1!:~.@. ~~~~~. 0. •• ~~' •• ~*~Tm~~.~~M~•• §~~'&.~.~. ••~.~M~.m~*~~o~fttff-ftftt~.*5~~~. Jl~~OO.W r~~~~Tmj (constructiveintervention) ~.~ t Mlit!m• • ~* ~.rr.~*~m~~~tti~~.~~M~ •• ~.~-~H~o-ftftA~t~ ~~~~M*SurinPitsuwan OO.W r .~3(:fi: J (flexible engagement) t ~rt!m • • ~*~~~$~.~~$~~R.Htt'M~ •• m~**A.~'*~ •• ft~ r~'~§~II'H*, ~~~~~Tm&!}If!~~fi:~m:lJl •• rr.~* •• ~~TmDJU:!IJ t ~,m~.ftff. 0. ~tlHtJiX;.~~rril~.~n®. 0. ~~ft~~'~~~Tm&.~~fi:~m:lJl. •• ~~~TmW~~'ffJiX;.~~. •• ~.~.fi:~.~~~.t~~~.~.~~.~.~~~~~. ~.~ t }1U • • JiX;.~~rril~T~~~~Jl ' *$~ •• ~*~rt!~ff:f:iBJ!I!f:il:t!t&± ~%m~~.T, •• ~.~~.~~.~~.off~~~~T'~~&.*5~lit! mB*&.~~.~~ID.Mm~~~~,~~.*a~*~ •• ·.~&._Mrt! $~OO·~JiX;. n@ D. Ki.m, -IMF Bailout and Financial and Corporate Restructuring in the Republic of Korea,· Developing. Economies, vol. 37, no. 4 (Dec 1999), pp. 460- 513. Jurgen Ruland, • ASEAN and the Asian Crisis: Theoretical Implications and Practical Consequences for Southeast Asia Regionalism,· The Pacific Review, vol. 13. no. 3 (2000). pp. 427 - 428. M:®J Jurgen Haacke, "The Concept of F1exible Engagement and the Practice of Enhanced Interaction: Intramural Challenges to the ASEAN Way.' The Pacific Review. vol. 12, no. 4 (1999). pp, 583 - 585.. M:~ ~-t;J\. ~.::-t;.

(12) ~~*.~~@m~M~.'~.~ •••• ~ •• ~~~~~T'.ff •• ~~ .~~~~W~;~~-~OO'~~. •• ~ ••• ~ •• 'X~.~~A.~~@~. ••••~•• ~~~.ti,~.~ ••••••• W~~~'&~ ~~.ft*~~.T'*.ff •• ~~.~~W~®o ill~~~, •• m~$•• ~.~ •• ~~~$~~~~'~.~~~~~~~ ~~.~~~~~ffi.'~~-U~~~ •••• ~~ft~$~~~~'~.~~. .EHEfi~. (ASEANFreeTradeArea,AFTA) $~~' M~~ • • ~jj. (ASEAN InvestmentArea,AIA) , •• JR~~• • ~ (ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services, AFAS) &•• il:3t~~ (ASEAN Industrial Cooperation, Ale) ,:Mt~-1L1L/\1f.t ~ •• $**~~~,m~~~ •• z~~~~.~ •• ~~ft~$~~,~.~m ~~lENl~ r • • ~A.J (ASEANWay) @ ~~-~1ID ' J1U~~)t:fJT •• ii.~~~~W ASEAN Way "I!~oc. s*& ~.~~~ •• *~~~~.~~~'~W~ •• *~~~~~~& •• ~.§~~ .~~.tio~~'m~~~~±~~~A' •• ~ ••••• ~~~ •• ~~~~ .A'M.~~. 0. '. e~A,w~~~.ft*~.~.~.mT'S*·~.&~~*.z~~~~ii. ~~•• ~~mff~@o~~'S*~~~ •• z~'.llim~~~~~~~~.,. *.~~~~.~*Z~jj~~~&~$~~~~~'~~~~~~~~~~~@'. , ill~ •• ~~~*~~~ : •• ~~ WASEANW~~~ID~~~"~'~~M ••• ~~~.~~Z~~~~.W~o ill~~~-.llifl!iI¥lJ* EJ .~~.?!!OCW@. ~,~~. I. ". #~. I. J. ••• a*'~.~+~~~M~~ :. jrJl~a~ ~"*. .T*'fl!~~~~.~*)t:fJT~~ •• z~s* ••• ~.~"~om~~.. .it~. 3t~rJij. ~*~. M:Mi* ~.~ tE~-. "8~. , ill;. 70 %,. ~tjjj~. tJ.*~j. ~1U~~. ~~*~. ~fii. ~m*,. ~*$1F.. ~*g;ii1. iL/\Oif. ~~~fl. T=StL 1f~1J[]. ,. 5't!7G'~. 1L1L1i1f.. tE• • W. •• ~~z~,~.~ ~ •• ~ti~~~±~~~*,.~S* •• ~~.~~·~~*~ •• ~~~'~. ~,.~. &.~~.~.ti~~.~~'~T.)t~~m~.oo~*~~)t:fJTo. itA• •. ~~rns*,~~*~&.~~~*o~-1L1Lt~~~~M. S*~~ •• ~~.~~oS* •• ~-1L1L-1f.m~ •• ~~~*,~~~~. ~ll9s~. ~t7.H~·~. .Tm,~m+1f.~~'S*~~~.Amfiffi·&+=~~.*~~M~~lli·. H® Herman Joseph S. Kraft, • ASEAN and Intra-ASEAN Relations: Weathering the Strom?,· The Pacific. Review, vol. 13, no. 3 (2000), pp. 461- 466. H@. Jurgen Ruland, • ASEAN and the Asian Crisis: Theoretical Implications and Practical Consequences for Southeast Asia Regionalism,· The Pacific Review, vol. 13, no. 3 (2000), pp. 429- 430.. RaJf Emmers, • The Influence of the Balance of Power Factor within the ASEAN Regional Forum,· Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol. 23, no. 2 (Aug. 2001), pp. 283-284. lil@ Stauart Harris, • Asian Multilateral Institutions and their Response to the Asian Economic Crisis: the regional and Global Implication.' The Pacific Review. vol. 13. no. 4 (2000). p. 496. lil@. ift~. TI Ni vo. ift~. Jo So.

(13) -ftftt¥~fi~~~ •• B*'. ••• $m*~li~H.~.~. ~. 3*:&. •• ~~m$~~~~~mo8*~~ffJ~~'~~8*~~~~n~~~~':&~ ~ffJ.~ •• ~.a.'$~~ffi.W.ffJ•• ;~.-.~,ft~~~~~: •• ~~~8*a*ffJ~n~~~~'~fi~-nnt:¥z~'8*~ •• ~~ffJ~~~ ~~*~.~ffJ •• '~a~.ffJ.~~.:;{£~~amffJm.T'~~8*~~A _~ffJ~~*~ •• ffJ.~T'm~.~~¥.f~ •• ~~ffJ •• ~.ffJ~~~~@; ;{£~-nOO'W.~~,ft~~~8*~.~ •• ffJ.~ •• ~.'M~~.~ •• ".~~~*H,m.;{£-nnn:¥m •• ~+.li~A§.~~'~~~*HffJ_ M,m~.T-OOO:¥ffJ~*:¥'8*~ •• li~ffJ~~~~'.~~~T~%~ 70 % ' ~ 8 *~~~*~ , f:I.:&~.ffJ.~~ ••1'lITltf1Jl1® l!tl1J*:tfffJiIIHtf ' ~~.~~~~*ft~8*~.~ ••• ~ •• ~.,ft~~~~m:W-nnli:¥ j;J*~.$U~~.ffJ~tti*f-J •• 40 % ' ~~.$U~~m~ffJ~ttiJtU~. 70 %qv .~~.'~.8*~ •• ;{£~~IA~ffJ~.~*~.~ffJ,m®~tti*~" ••. ~xii!:. tp~*~o. rAJIr:: 1=11 t". I. l@;ffJ :&;{£ i~'W ~j;)J'!. ;EAN. vices,. \:¥t. tliJiJT. 0. 0. 'F~a. ~~*Hm~ffJ~~o~~*H~-ntn:¥~fi~~ffJ~$~~'~~+li:¥. tWi~. •• ~Mo.:¥ffJ~~~. ~ ••• 8%,.~~a.lli~~~~ffJ§~o;{£-nnt:¥52R~~ ••• ~'~ ~*H.;{£.52~~~~~~~~$U.w.ffJ~~ , ~~ Nicholas Lardy ffJ~;ffi , ~. ~. ' ~@;. ,. ~m*,.. nnli:¥z~'~~*H~~B~~A~. ~~~. nJ\O:¥~Ml5(:¥.f~~*H~.~.ffJa~.~.~.IiIi1'lIfffJ~.. ~~. m$UT--nnt:¥@' ••• ~~§n+nfj~~'~.Ttffl~o;{£~.nOO'~~*H~ •• z~ffJ~~.1' IffltffJl1 ' 1?IJruJ~~~~*@52Zr~'ffJ~~~tti ' If:E-nnA:¥ffJ,::::+AtI-~~§.. 0. ~!J. ~~Iliff@'. '. ~~~*~. nn-:¥R~-§n+~fj~~,. ~~,~~~-nnn:¥ffJli+=fjt~n§.~~'~.~Z~ffJ.~.'~W nnli:¥ffJ=+~fjA~jijy§.~~. ifH1·JI ~.52 ~. , j;J. If1Ml¥.f. , ~fJl1~-nnn:¥ffJ~+=tl-~li§.~~ ,. ;{£•• ~~~*HffJ~.~tti'lliW-nn~:¥ffJ=§=+fj~~'ltf~¥-nnn :¥~§.~tI.~,~~§~zA+.*~~~~ •• ;;{£a~nOO'-nnli:¥z .'.~~*~~~mWffJ~~*.~~~Ml~~~A •• 'MruJ;{£-nnli:¥.~ ~A •• '-nnt:¥.~:&5_'~:¥.~.lli~~~A •• '~~~~*H;{£ • • m.ffJ~@;.* ••• ,;{£~-nOO'~~*H;{£ •••• ~lli.~~~'BH.. ±l ' iWJ It@ Reinhard Drifte, • An Old Architecture for Peace? Reconfiguring Japan among Unreconfigured ~. Great Powers: The Pacific Review, vol. l3, no. 4 (2000), pp. 480- 481.. Pacific. it® quences. Joseph Y. S. Cheng, • Sino-ASEAN Relations in the Early Twenty-First Century,· Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol. 23, no. 3 (Dec. 200t), p. 437. Itqv Chia Siow Yue, • Trade, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Development of Southeast Asia,". The Pacific Review, vol. 12, no. 2 (1999), pp. 258-259.. I>rum,". It® Nicholas R. Lardy•• China's Economic Growth in an International Context,· The Pacific Review, vol. 12, no. 2 (1999), p. 168.. c Crisis: It~. Joseph Y. S. Cheng, • Sino-ASEAN Relations in the Early Twenty-First Century,' Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol. 23, no. 3 (Dec. 2001), pp. 434 - 435..

(14) (}\SEAN Regional FOruIll,ARF) '*:52~~~!.I (EastASan Economic ':52ltflii (Asia-EuropeMeeting,AEM) &:52:;t~ilfl (APEC) ®. 1JIlA*~il~~!.I. Caucus). 0. .~. 8*~&±~~~~ODA.~. ~ffl1 ~~. :f4;. :±:. f!j~j. '*~t5:2. 1!!tf1t.~t6b n. ttt*It6bn. J&J&~M. ODA~. 102.08 ( 37.7). 492.27 ( 15.4 ). 687.94 ( 13.9). 1282.29 ( 12.2 ). SlI1Jj,J4 ,,'.0,. ODA~OO-~. .ttf{ 5.9. -Lt,~. •••• i&J¥J5:2. 341.24 ( 14.6). 1247.71 ( 3.9). 701.77 ( 14.2 ). 1167.71 ( ll.l ). -20.02. tp5:2. 28.52 ( 1.2 ). 26.66 (0.8 ). 159.63 (3.2 ). 214.82 (2.0 ). -5.8. tp,*. 274.53 ( 11.7). 132.68 (4.1 ). 136.94 (2.8 ). 544.15 ( 5.2). 38.8. ~F~. 693.08 ( 29.6). 221.2 (6.9 ). 80.35 ( 1.6 ). 994.63 (9.5 ). 4.7. tpJ¥J~~. 256.18 ( 10.9). 323.01 ( 10.1 ). 235.22 (4.7 ). 814.41 ( 7.8). 47.3. *fF~. 69.72 (3.0 ). 53.56 ( 1.7). 14.95 ( 0.3 ). 138.23 ( 1.3 ). -6.1. llt~. 133.48 ( 5.7). 57.33 ( 1.8 ). -39.7 ). 151.12 ( 1.4 ). 5.3. (. ,*llt. 22.29 ( 1.0 ). 37.2 ( 1.2). -41.97 ( - ). 17.52 (0.2 ). -63.1. Jitflk. 30.11 ( 1.3 ). 1193.62 ( 37.3 ). 0.89 (0.0 ). 1124.63 ( 11.7). 16.9. ~~. 2340.02 ( 100). 3199.16 ( 100). 4958.58 ( 100). 10497.76 ( 100). 22. ,. lh,. (1$1. 2977.58 .... 3920.62 .. 60:.0 )~~ j' ···('37!'~~'. ... ~. j;) 8;2. *I!'. rt~.B). 39:3.91. 'fj.~~. JEWJ~. ~z~. ~~~. ".. -2. ffl!J;,. fl~:~U.ii. : http://www.mofa.go·lP/mofllJ/g81ko/oda/OO_hakusho/table_text/h_0036.html. .~flffl Pi.JJl~. ~~~:52:;t~il~n~a~o~nO~~~~*z~'~~HM~~~:52:;t~M w~~~~~m~m~~~~~·m-m~~~~~~~~~~.nB.~.$n.. v It@ I n. lIt® Ross H. MWlro, • China's Waxing Spheres of Influence,' Orbis, vol. 38, no. 4 (Fall 1994),pp. 587 - 589.. It@. [ 1.

(15) -ftftt~~~* • • • • B*·.~.~~*g~~H~~.~. :>mic. ~. •• ~~~.ft ••• ~,~~~~~~.~m.*~OOH.~® ~~;.- •• ~~~ •• ~~ftO~z.'m •• ~~~~.am.~~®~~, ®m~oo~.,~. ~±~~~~~8*'~~'8*~~~.~®~~~.~~.~,.~m.ffi.~. li!5G --, .~. lH. Davis Bobrow ®.~ , m~~~~.iIlI(E-®IHlm.~.~ , ~ ff~~~~m~ft® ••-8*&~~*~@'OOWnO~Z.,.~~~m~~~ ti®~~@. 0. ~~,~~~ftA.~.5.~~~~A.~,~~±~m~~.8~~~~.~~'. ~8*.~~~~®~~Ao~~'8*~~~®.M,~~.~~~e~~ti~~. *~'m~*~®±~m~~~~~~~~@~~~U~'-nnA~Z.'~~~ )fWl®*~-~~. •• (ASEM). '~~.Uf®11Ijm@. 0. 19~~F1It~e®~~-nn-l::;. ~Z.'*~~~~.~.~ti*m~.iI®~.JJ'OO@.-~.~.~*~.a ®~~ti~lI~o. _=. , ". 12 10. ~.8*'. ••. ~~~*. •• •• (%) ~~. ,"--- ........ " ,,......................." ,. I. I. II. -. -. -. -. I. 8 6 4. ////'. 2. o -2. 8. *. 1984. ) 986. ) 988. ) 990. ) 992. ) 994. ) 996. 1998. 2000. *tbh ------- ~~*~ -. _"*11: IiIIIIJU!lIt1ltilllta, -fLJ\1i-=OO-~·. "* "rXJ;I' rIIJ 1~. I§. -t a~ 1i. fJJ li.t<.. ~~~ti~*~~~~~®~~,~~~~nOO'~~~m*~~$~~~®. •. ~.~ASrurnw~~ftA~m'~.~. •. •• @~ft~m~~ft~tto~~,*~. ~.~®.~'~~B~~~~tt~.~*~~~$~~®~m;oo~~.~nOO'. Jt!!11. il:@. Ellis, S. Krauss, • Japan, the US, and the Emergence of Multilateralism in Asia," The PaciJic Review, vol. 13, no. 3 (2000), pp. 473- 476.. :JJ:II:. il:@. '-589.. it@. Davis B. Bobrow, • Hegemony Management: The US in Asia.Pacific," The PaciJic Review, vol. 12, no. 2 (1999), pp. 184-185. Davis B. Bobrow, • The US and ASEM: Why the Hegemon didn't Bark,' The Pacific Review, vol. 12, no. 1 (1999), pp. 104 - 106..

(16) ~~~M. •• ~~z~'B*~~~.~~'~~*~~~~~~~&~~~n~m. ~·~~~~~~~*~~B*'~~.~~~~m~~ffi~*~~~m~o~~,. •• ~~~m~o j§j7tj;J.~jf:±~ , ii~:±~& ASEAN RWJ*7t;tJT~~mooJj·~~ •• ~~~ ·. ~~m~~mOOfl~.-@~~~~$~,~~g~OO~7~M. ~~~.R~~~·j§j7t~~fl.~m~~.~~m~~.~~om~.~m~·~. .f*~m~~. ASEAN RWJ'. ~.~m~~flm~.~Am:ltt:Y~:Itt.~, ~*E1:±. •••~E1~.aii'~m •• ~~m~.~:Itt*o m..fBl~zrf'l'~jj~~*~W~1JR7 ' ~~~ ASEAN RWJiI~ · ~z.-fiIl!~'H. *:±~&7t~jj~o~~-ftftt.~~~M •• ~~z~'~~R~iI~~z.-fi1 :±~.'~~~~~~.m&~m.~~~~••• ~~~WM~~~.~o~m. 1'ii~r ' fV!~m~ ASEAN Way ~llf.1Br;~~~"~, ~.~a!{~fJtJKTfJi&.~ 3Ctt~.~m*a!{l!m~ · ~.~~~f#1tra~m~ ASEAN RWJ.*}?g~J.i!j~liI~z ~,m~.~$~~~.~ •• ~~~.-~~~o ~~:Itt*'m*z~~~.~:±. ~.*}?r.llil~~~~~*OO~~.RliiIJ~~~' .-.~~~.W~~*~~tt,. .-.~~JW.WB*~tt. 0. 1i.W~I!llQ*~~tt~~.~. ASEAN RliiIJ.W£}?U*~t~. ~liI·~~*~liI~m.~~~.~·~~.ii~m.r'fi~.~~ft~ASEAN. R~~~'~~*~~AO& ••• n~~*~I!llQ*~~'~.~~*~~*~E1:±. ,. ••~~jfl!~.~&~~~jj'~~fV!~jj~~*~~*,m..~m. *~ ASEAN RliiIJ~~ ; 1i~~~*~~W B*~~ , ~ B*W~~.flW;W ••lI MIHH~r ' &:,fi.{~fV!ffl.~~~j;J.1r A~~.~ ~~fiIRWJ~ ASEAN RWj"~~~ ~~~\'m.. jf:±~R~,~m.R~rfi~.fi§m~'~*E1:±~:Itt~\,jj~~*~m*'m.. .iI&m.*W:ltt/J\ , ~:;lt~*rJl~••~j,jfflit5~liiIJ*.}?U~~~.* ~.r*'~•• 7t;tJT~~~*.~~~jj~~*~m*~~jfflit5R~'$~ 0. .jj~~*tt*z~m:~:±~@?1i~-ftftt.z~,*~~*~~~aWB*. ~~M~~~flit5R~'m.~-ftftt.z~,~~~~~~~. •• n.~~~'B. *1!~~•• ~'~~~~~*~I!~~~~'~~ffl.~~I!llQ*~~W~~*~~fi 1!~~~'~~~~ftE1~.am:'~~m~'~$~~.~a!{~~'*~~~.= ~~~ (ij~~Im!l~). 0. ~r~~.M*.~m.~~$~li~~~~.*~~m~~~'~~-~~E1 ~.am:mfil~.':±. •• ~~~.~*.~~=OOo.~~~.m.Woil~*. ~:Itt:±~~~~fl.~#.~m*~~.B*'~~B*W.~~$.M~.flffi. *~li~~@,~~~~~*~.~~~. •• '~z~~~~~••~~~m:~~.. ••llfWB*~~~ftE1~.aii~~.°m..'B* ~~~~m~nmm&~~r-~~~~ •• ~,:;lt:ltt:±.~~~~~~:~~~. &~~I!~~~flit5~m'~. ~~.§.~ft-fiIm.~~~n'~.~.~~~~ii~E1~.am.'m~B*. ~~ ~o. ~}Jj. aiil. f~tl3. *~I. ~~~. JmIJif~. jj. ~mt. .$,. i&f.l51. B*11. ~~7t. ft~~. ~~. ffl.~:1t. Il!l*~ ~ .~,. .~f* Il!l~@ 1J;t,~. mm*..

(17) -:tL:tL1::;~5l~~IiI!J!IiI.~~8*. ~~jJtJ9m. :. 0. ~JIt. 'm:lJ!. '. 0. :tl9j1~ ,. ;mR'1J! flJ~EL±. tB:ft*o i!~IHi ~z-OO. °tE~.. fil&.Jtl11 ~m:~z. ~3Ctt. ·. !UJk~t~. ASEAN. iCtJ9 El. 7.$.. ~i&jft~. 't!~~. t*, i ll. ' J4[~~r:f:1It.*::~B:litJllllf~(fJ.~. 91. tE.*.~~flJ~~z~'OO~=OO-~n~'~~m@*fi~~8*-*fiElrn. .~m:tJ9.~o~~~JItmf'*fi~~~7m~flJtE~~~~~,m~~~~~~~ ~8**~~Jk~~m:tJ9$~@,~~tEJIt~'8*~~~~~~~rn~8*i&~E .tJ9Mi&~*,m~.R*g~~.~tJ900~.~;tE~-~OOlrn~8*.~.~. Wm'~~8*.~M~~flJ~$~~~*fiflJ~~£mQ'~~*fi~~~~~~ ~.W8*~MtJ9.~I"~~*~1IttJ9~.m~~~#. ~~(-OO. ). ••@o. ~*fi~~tEtt •• ff'.tE*fiW8*'*.&~#. •• Z.,~#~m*.a~.W*fi+flJ.M.fi*fi~-tJ9~~. .o.tE~* •• ~'*fi~~~.~#~~tJ9~.,~~~~.#.~~~#W*. ~~.ff~~. fi.~M~.fi~~~~I~~~~~~&*fiR~+~z~~~~flJ-*fiElrnfi. •• Z.'~#~3C$~$.~~~~I~flJ*~W*fiRtE.~, -Fa,~jfjiiR ' AjJ.IlOO~ ,m1ffjt.&7S~rurOO~~1iJi.~~.fi~1'F I I6Jmf~flJ ~m:tJ9fi.o.tE. *fiElrnfi~m:tJ9~~'R~~~tJ9mQB~Z1i+tJ9~~.~I~~*fiflJ~.~. ~.~ii~~iiiIi-OOB*~l!ill6JmftB.~flJ*~tJ9.7J!f~.~~r.u~I!i~OOB~I!i' ~~~flJ-*fiElrnfi~m:R~~~m+tmAQtJ9~~m*Elrnfi~m:®o ~.~flJ-*fiElrnfi~m:~mz.'~flJW~~.~~W*fiz~tJ9.7J!f~~1. · 8 *J'I~~flAPP.i.tJ9,FcUOO ' 'f:;tE~~-~OO.lI~flJtJ9 ~~'~mfX.M-g.*fi~~Elrnfi~m:'R.~ •• flJ~tJ9~~'~~El~. i&.~.~.;tE~-~OO'8*XMtE*~~m:tJ9.~~~••• ~#.~,~JIt, 8*!im/h~~-!l~OO~~~- ~ Virrll*fi1iflJtJ9•• ' ~~ 8*~W*fi~7J!f~~ ~;mm1lt~r~&1'1t:#itJ911!t. tJ9~~,~*~~~tE**~tJ9~.jJ@;tE*fi~$~~flJ~OO''f:;~-~OO*~ ft~W~flJ*~~~Elrnfi~m:I*.A~flJ~@E*$~~~~~~tJ9~.'ill~. I ' 9l\lilG. :8 .~,. 8. ~i!ff. )E~=. ~fiEl. ImfJk ~m1lt. ~l&!J!. '8* !QiElI 1-8*. tE~-~OO'.XWM~flJ*~.~~~tJ9~.'. •• ~~.**~flJ~~fjt.,~. ~~~~~'f:;~tEflJ~$~~~*tJ9.*.~~'ffi~~m~tJ9m~~§'*fi.~ flJ*~~~Elrnfi~m:m~~*~~tJ9o rn~~tJ9~fi,a~HR*fijl~~flJ*~~~Elrn.~.tJ9jft~~.~.~~. .m'tE*fi.8*~OO,~~~tE~~8*-. •• ~~~tJ9&.'&M~.flJ~.. ~tJ9~.i&jft,~JIt'8*ti~.*fi~~Elrnfi~.tJ9~.~1'*'~mf8**~ ~~~~tJ9. •• ,~~a*g~~ti*fitJ900~.~1~8*flJ~$~m •• ~tJ9~. ~ltB.*fi~~.8*$~tJ9~.;tE*fiW~flJ*~~OO'~flJ*~$~tJ9~~. mm*.*~.'~~*fi~~"~~W~flJ*~~~Elrnfi~m:'~~W~flJ*~ lI:@l Ellis S. Krauss•• Japan. the US and the Emergence of Multilateralism in Asia,· The Pacific Review.. vol. 13. no. 3-(2000). pp. 480- 482. ~. ~@. lI:@ ~@). · •••• ·.~ft+.+-~A8·m+-~· , •••• ,.~ft+.+-~t8·m-~· rIJ\,Ij!it1i.~.1i~{;\j\.i!!~-€ifF J . • 'ft•. • lIft+-.-~+8 . m+-~ rff£.,r:.'~:lJII3(:~!HUUi.' .~4i-~ •• ~*J '.'ft•. • lIft+.+=~=+ft8 . mJ\~· r.~W*~~~.~M~~.~*~J. r.~_.~+.~~ftm~~.~~J. 0.

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(19) -ftft~.~~~~~ • •. II. 1'19. 1'19 !ill. ~~I'I9. B*· ••• $~*~~~H.~_~. ~. •• ~~'.~~*.d~e~.a.'~ ••tlrh.M.m~.~fm§*.. .l'I9m-~,~.,.tlrh~~~~~~~B*dlie~.a.I'I9~.'@~.II~n. ••tlrh~.~.*.tlrh~~I'I9.M.m~ •• ~,~ •• ~~'~ftmM~II.~.M.lIl'1ge.n.A. tlrh••• ~,~~.tlrhl'l9~••m~~.~a' ••§••~.I'I9~d'~.&.~ ~~"~~~~~W~I'I9~•• ~o ZT'B*~~&~!ill~'m&. .~B*.*.~~.lIdli. ~~. •• tlrh~n$~~$~.~a'~n.*~nxm:ff-nnn~*~.~. ••tlrhl'l9m+.~II~~,m~.*§~.~~$~A~.tlrhl'l9~a$~T'. ~~-~m~~I'I9~~~~.M.,@•• tlrh~~~ •• ~~.~~I'I9B~~T~' ~.~~~.tlrh~$d~~~~~•• ~.~~~*l'I9m~T'~m.tlrhll.~.~ ~~. fi~-~'.~ • • ~ • • I'I9M~$~&~~~.oMW-nnt~I'I9.§~.m.. ••• ~.~.~~.tlrhll.~~~~~.~"I'I9Mm®o ~~, .tlrh~*~~z-~m.fif~l'I9m~T · &\~Ji~ • • ~~.~ra'l'I9~f'F*M~ m.m~'~~B*~~&~!ill~T'~II*.g~~~~L~.@.L~ ••tlrh. M~'~*~§~*~I'I9~. @ LI'I9 A'HiHB~. 0. •• B*ff.§~~.nl'l9.~m.:~II*.~~+~~~ .§~.-~E*5iin~. ' J'G~=O 0 o~§tt1!&51Il9B1i+til'l9~ii~A~II~ii ' ~~m~.tlrh+~I'I9~*~.~A+ti.ft'~.B*~~A~.~•• B~ ••+ , ~1J1J3~~~t't.WHil-a'~ftl'l9tJEm~~ili B*JIf~*A.~ii11iI'l9/J\~ 1lttffi~ m~l'I9r~.~~J 'ff~v~~&~~W~l'I9rr~TB~m~R.-~~m •• ' B*~.I'I9**oo ••• ffi.~.·~~,.~~~~~~~m~mili:~~II~A ~~.am•• ~~.a~~~~'~.+~~I1*.~.d.~~m-*~ ••~· wm&••tlrh§oo~~.~II*.ftffl'l9~~.~o e~'~.~II*. 0. .~.tlrh~~~~L=.~I'~~.~II*.d~e~.a.,&.~~m~ ~1'I9~*fj;1M~m~mlW: ~. •••~**+~,§oore.~~~L~~I'I9~~' ff**~II*.~A~~.aM.l'I9m~~.~'~II*.I'I9~ •• ~.~~~~re ~~M.~I'I9 ••• re.*.~.;~~-$OO'.tlrh.~II*.~~I'I9~.H •• • ~m~U~~,~~••~~n~.~~'~.~.B.~~.~~m~'~~~ ~1I*.-.tlrhe~.a.I'I9. ~~.~.I'I9~.tt&ffi.fi'.M*.,t't-ntn~~-nnA~M~'.tlrhll. 5~ ~1'19. :.. •• ~II*.I'I9~~.~~.'R~~~ii.MI'I93%'~&B*&.1I1'198%.' ~~,~m.5iinm.U~TI'I9~.ftff'.~.~~~&.~M •• o. ft~. Review, vol. 13, no. 3 (2000), pp. 453 - 454.. :> ......... {dL. !tlrh. Herman Joseph S. Kraft, • ASEAN and Intra-ASEAN Relations: Weathering the Strom?,' The Pacific. ft® It@. ~.~.·~En+~+-~t8,m+-~o. Hongying Wang, • Informal Institutions and Foreign Investment in China: The Pacific Review, vol. 13, no. 4 (2000), p. 545..

(20) ~~,~~*~-*m§mfi~a~~li'~~~~~~n~~~-~~*~~. a•• w*o~~**~~.~§-.*~'.H.~~.~.~.~~~-'~fi ~~•• ~ •• ~m ••• 'B*&*.m~.~*m~.~~.~.,~~~W~ ~~*~~a.~n.~.~**~,~~~~~•• ~o~~'~~·.H·B* &*•• ~.~m~ ••• ~fiM.m:~~.~.& ••••~.M~ •• ~~' J1U.~~*~-•• ~m1i~ •• ~fiE~~:f}]~§-!Ji,!!~ ~~,~~~*~-•• ~m1i~.~~*.~'~~~~~~*~~~~~ • • ~li~m1i~.*~liM".~.~~.~•• m.·~••~~~.~~.~~ ~o~~$~*~fi~$~*~-•• ~m1i~.,.a~~.*~ •• ~.·~~ §-noo'~oofi.~~$~'&B*.~~~~~~.~a•• ~, •• ~~.~ ~~~a~$~~~ •• mw-.mtt~~.'~~n~ ••• $~*.·B*.~ ~~tt~ ••• ~~~a~o.~·~~*.-•• ~mfi~.R ••• ~~~ •• a~~-$·~~#~.·@.~m.~*.~·~~m~.m~~~ •• ~~~~ m~'~~m~~~~.:$~*.-•• ~m1i~ •••• ~B*~~~ •• m~ ~~~~ •• mdli~m1i~.~~~~.~-!Ji~.,@~~~* •••• a~~ ~~~~~·$~*.-•• ~m1i~.~**ill~-~.¥~~.~o 0. :'". t. l'I. d.

(21) -~~t~~H*~~ ••. t!! ~. '!. t>:. B*· ••• $~*~li~M.~"~. Japan, ASEAN and Mainland Chinese Relations after the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis. I! ~. E. Zheng-jia Tsai. t:. (€. Abstract. j£ ~. It. :IJ. In Nov. 2001, ASEAN announced the establishment of an " ASEAN China free trade area" with Mainland China within ten years. The main issue in this paper is that Japan is the main investor in ASEAN, which is the competitor against Japan and Mainland China in the market, so we will attempt to find the reason why ASEAN wanted to establish this free trade area with Mainland China in addition to the accomplished structure of ASEAN with it's dialogue partners- Japan, South Korea, and Mainland China. The aim of this paper is to understand what the structural factors and strategic choices were in this decision. We will analyze how the three points ofview-muItilateralism, regionalism, and the framework of ASEAN-influenced the strategic choices of the ASEAN nations during the change in circumstances in the region. We define the internal circumstances as the member nations of ASEAN and the external circumstances as those countries in ASEAN, Japan, and Mainland China. First, considering the internal circumstances, we find that under the quali tative changes of ASEAN's Ways, ASEAN wanted to urgently establish a .. real" economically cooperative organization belonging to East Asia. They were not concerned that the USA would interfere in the economic affairs of the Asia-Pacific if ASEAN established a free trade area with Japan in which the country signed a Joint US-Japan contractual security alliance with the USA when it's ASEAN partner is Mainland China. Second, considering the external circumstances, the long running economic recession in Japan will influence the support of ASEAN's development and the amount of foreign investment. At the same time, the rise in economic power in Mainland China creates an opportunity for Mainland China to replace. ".

(22) Japan as the foremost leader of the Asia-Pacific region. ASEAN has been pushed into taking on a modified regionalism of the ASEAN Way under the interaction of the internal and the external factors. Finally, while no longer proceeding with economic cooperation with Japan and South Korea, they will have to establish a free trade area with Mainland China at the same time. That is ASEAN's strategic choice in mul tilateral cooperation. Keywords: Ecological Inference; Multilaterialism; Regionalism; Association of ~outh East Asian Nations (ASEAN); ASEAN-Mainland China free trade area. r tfJ~-*fi m-~o. r*fiW*~. m--/Vi. r BZ ifiIJ ~ 1!I?HJF I. -=. 0. r*fi ' tfJ:t!2 8,. m-. r reUfU,\~~fl. J3=+1LE r !j\~VJ*fi1i fIJ;!(* ( 1997 ). -WJo. fi** (1998 ) ~m1LWJ' .jflJB~. ( 1989. Acharya, Amitav the Asia Paci Akira, Nishigaki, stance: Japar. Foundation. Baldwin, David (l pp.27-36.. I. ----- (1985), Econ Barry, Donald ane Vancouver, n Bobrow, Davis B. Review, voL : (1999), .. Tht voL 12, no. 1, Charrier, P. (200 1941-61," 1 Cheng, Joseph Y. S. Contemporary.

(23) ... -~~t.~~~.~. ;:n. ith. JI-. on ,na. n. .~xm. he. th. B*· •• ~~~*~li~n.~".. r$~_*~+~~~~m§mfi~~J'. ($~~~) '~~n+~+-~tB'. ~-~o. r*~.*~§mfi~ft~.~.~~J· ($~~~) '~~n+~+-~AB' ~--~o. r&•• ~ •• B*·$~rr~~MJ· -. ($~~~) '-OO-~~~+B'~. 0. r*~'$~+~~~~~$~*§mW~~J B'~--~o. rfi.~ •••X•• ~~.·*~&~~ ~=+nB. · ~J\~. (.~~) '~~n+~+-~t. ••*J. ·. (.~~) '~~n+~+=. 0. r /hJjHUJ*~1i~1~.~~~fFJ '. "**. ·. (.~~). . =OO=~-~+B . ~--~. 0. (1997) • rjJilj:f.t, ~:Iilj:f.t.~jJj:f.tJ • (.~~fU) • ~+=~~. -WJo. .:tt~ (1998) • r f'ti!ft~$~ti*~~~~i&m J ~~nWJ'. JttJ\-tn. •. ($~*~bJf~). • ~1lB+. 0. nfjJHg7c ( 1989) • (!ft~jjjttW) B*~~)' (*Et: Ii'!lxlO. 0. Acharya, Amitav (1997), "Ideas, Identity, and Institution-Building: from the ASEAN Way to the Asia Pacific Way?," The Pacific Review, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 319 - 346. Akira, Nishigaki, and Ahimomura Yasutami (1997), The Economics ofDevelopment Assi. stance: Japan's ODA in a Symbiotic World, Washington: LTCB International Library Foundation. Baldwin, David (1971), "The Power of Positive Sanctions," World Politics, vol. 24, no. 1, pp.27-36. -~---- (1985), Economic. Statecraft, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.. Barry, Donald and Ronald Keith (1999), Multilateralism and the Politics of Global Trade, Vancouver, BC.: UBC Press. Bobrow, Davis B. (1999), .. Hegemony Management: The US in Asia-Pacific," The Pacific. Review, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 184-185. ------ (1999), .. The US and ASEM: Why the Hegemon didn't Bark," The Pacific Review, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 104- 106. Charrier, P. (2001)," ASEAN's Inheritance: the Regionalization of Southeast Asia, 1941- 61," The Pacific Review, vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 313- 338. Cheng, Joseph Y. S. (2001), .. Sino-ASEAN Relations in the Early Twenty-First Century,". Contemporary Southeast Asia, vol. 23, no. 3, p. 437..

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