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DOI 10.1007/s11242-014-0334-3

Stochastic Analysis of Unsaturated Flow Subject

to Temporally Correlated Infiltration

Ching-Min Chang · Hund-Der Yeh

Received: 16 May 2013 / Accepted: 12 May 2014 / Published online: 27 May 2014 © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Abstract In this article, we attempt to quantify the variability of water pressure head in response to temporally correlated fluctuations in infiltration rate in partially saturated het-erogeneous formations. This study concentrates on the unsaturated case of predominantly vertical movement of moisture. A closed-form solution is developed to analyze the impacts of the temporal correlation scale of infiltration fluctuations and the spatial correlation scale of log-saturated hydraulic conductivity (lnKS) field on the variability in water pressure head. Our result indicates that the temporal correlation scale of infiltration process or the spa-tial correlation scale of lnKS field takes a role in increasing the variability in the pressure head.

Keywords Stochastic analysis· Unsaturated flow · Water pressure head variance

1 Introduction

Surface water from various sources moves downward through the unsaturated zone to the water table. The understanding of the movement of soil moisture in the unsaturated zone is essential to determine the replenishment of phreatic aquifers. In addition, contaminants from sources at ground surface travel down with the infiltrating water towards the water table. The prediction of the movement of moisture in the unsaturated zone is needed if the subsurface remediation is necessary.

It is well known that the movement of unsaturated flow is affected profoundly by the existence of natural variability of hydrological phenomena, such as temporal fluctuations in infiltration rate or spatial variation in hydraulic conductivity. Since the detailed description of the complex natural phenomena is impossible, a possible approach is to represent the natural heterogeneity in terms of random processes characterized by a finite number of statistical

C.-M. Chang· H.-D. Yeh (

B

)

Institute of Environmental Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, 1001 University Road, Hsinchu 300, Taiwan, Republic of China e-mail: [email protected]

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parameters (e. g.,Mantoglou and Gelhar 1987;Mantoglou 1992;Russo 1995;Foussereau et al. 2000;Lu and Zhang 2002;Zhang and Lu 2002;Li et al. 2009). As such, the stochastic approach leads to solutions for describing the field-scale mean flow behavior in terms of effective hydraulic conductivity and quantifying the variability of pressure head in response to natural heterogeneity in terms of pressure head variance. Comprehensive overviews of the construction of the stochastic approach and its application for modeling the field-scale flow processes in heterogeneous media may refer toDagan(1989),Gelhar(1993),Zhang(2002), andRubin(2003).

It has been recognized that the introduction of infiltration impacts the head gradient (e.g., Yoo et al. 1998;Li and Graham 1999;Settin et al. 2007). In other words, the infiltration forcing plays a key role influencing the soil moisture dynamics. Infiltration events exhibit consider-able variability on temporal scales (e.g.,Veneziano and Iacobellis 2002;Rodriguez-Iturbe et al. 2006;Rupp et al. 2009). Their heterogeneities can significantly affect groundwater move-ment in soils. As expected, there will be a great deal of uncertainty anticipated in applying the classical unsaturated flow model. Motivated by that, quantification of the uncertainty associated with the conversion of infiltration into the groundwater flow process is the focus of this study.

Existing field observations of unsaturated flow are very limited because of the com-plexity of the problem. Natural heterogeneity plays an important role in the field-scale unsaturated flow process. Laboratory (i.e., small or local scale) models cannot realistically produce the natural heterogeneity exhibited in the field. It is, therefore, difficult to draw conclusions from small-scale models for the processes occurring in the field. In order to produce realistic results for field applications, the development of field-scale unsaturated flow model and the quantification of its variability are indeed needed. Motivated by that, this study is, therefore, devoted to providing an analytical basis for quantifying the vari-ability of field-scale unsaturated flow processes in response to temporally correlated fluctu-ations in infiltration rate and the spatial variability of soil properties. Although with some simplified assumptions, to the best of our knowledge, the closed-form expression of the head variance for the field-scale temporal vertical movement of soil moisture has so far not been reported regarding the application of the perturbation-based nonstationary spectral techniques.

The stochastic approach based on the representation of natural heterogeneity as a ran-dom field will lead to a simple head variance relationship in terms of statistical properties of input parameters. The approach thereby provides a basis for analyzing the influence of those parameters on the field-scale unsaturated flow processes. In addition, the closed-form expression for the variance of head, as developed here, could serve as a calibration target when applying the traditional model to field situations. It may be more reasonable to present the conclusions, say, for the head solution of traditional model with one standard deviation (square root of variance) representing the uncertainty of the head solution.

In this article, we concentrate on the case where the vertical movement of the soil moisture in response to temporally correlated fluctuations in infiltration rate is dominant in the vadose zone. The unsaturated flow domain is in a formation of infinitely horizontal extent, bounded above at a certain depth below the soil surface and below by prescribed pressure heads. The initial head in the flow domain is assumed constant. To simplify the analysis, the variabilities of the initial and boundary conditions are neglected (i.e., they are treated as deterministic). Perturbation-based nonstationary spectral techniques and the superposition principle will be adopted to develop the form solution for the head variance. Based on the closed-form expression, the impact of statistical properties of input aquifer parameters on the head variability will also be assessed.

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2 Stochastic Formulation

The governing equation of unsaturated flow at the local scale may be expressed as (e.g., Zhang 2002) C∂ψ ∂t ∂ Xi  K(ψ)∂ψ ∂ Xi  −∂ K (ψ) ∂ X1 = q(t) i = 1, 2, 3, (2.1)

where C= dθ/dψ is the specific moisture capacity (e. g.,Mantoglou and Gelhar 1987;Gelhar 1993;Zhang 2002),θ is the moisture content, ψ is the water pressure head, q is the transient infiltration rate representing as a source term, K(ψ) is the unsaturated hydraulic conductivity, and X1designates the vertical coordinate measured upward. Note that the dependence of the

unsaturated hydraulic conductivity and the moisture content on the fluid pressure leads to strong nonlinearity in flow processes. Furthermore, the parametric description of K − ψ relationship involves empirical parameters. In this work, we parameterize the functional form for K(ψ) by (Gardner 1958)

K(ψ) = KSexp[αψ], (2.2)

whereα is a parameter associated with soil pore-size distribution and Ks is the saturated hydraulic conductivity.

The local soil properties (namely lnKS and C) andψ are considered as random fields. The source q is considered to represent the temporally correlated zero-mean fluctuations in infiltration rate. To simplify the analysis of field-scale unsaturated processes, the variability in Gardner’s parameterα is neglected and replaced by its mean. As such, Eq. (2.1) may then be viewed as a stochastic differential equation with parameters described by random processes, and therefore a resulting stochastic outputψ.

The random processes C, lnKSandψ are expressed as

C = E[C] + C= Γ + C (2.3a)

ln KS = E[ln KS] + f = F + f (2.3b)

ψ = E[ψ] + h = H + h (2.3c)

in the manner that E[C] = 0, E[ f ] = 0, and E[h] = 0, where E[−] denotes the expected value. Following the approach ofGelhar(1993), after introducing the random field decom-positions (Eqs. (2.3a)–(2.3c)) into Eq. (2.1) and subtracting the resulting mean equation from Eq. (2.1), one gets the first-order equation describing the fluctuations in pressure head

Γ KM ∂h ∂t + C KM ∂ H ∂tΓ KM (αh + f )∂ H ∂t = 2h ∂ X2 i + α  Ji+ ∂ H ∂ Xi  ∂h ∂ Xi + Ji ∂ f ∂ Xi +q(t) KM , (2.4) where Ji = ∂(H + X1)/∂ Xi and lnKMis simply the expected value of the unsaturated log conductivity (Gelhar 1993).

Note that the validity of the small perturbation approximation (i.e., the convergence of Eqs. (2.4) and (2.5)) is preserved by thatσ2f (the variance of log-saturated hydraulic con-ductivity) should be small compared to unity (Gutjahr and Gelhar 1981). However, the study of Monte Carlo simulations of two-dimensional flow through heterogeneous formations by Zhang and Winter(1999) confirmed the accuracy of the head moment solutions obtained from the application of the small perturbation approximation inσ2fat the variance up to 4.38. Similar comparison with Monte Carlo simulations presented inGuadagnini and Neuman

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(1999) yields accurate results (namely, the statistics of hydraulic head) even forσ2f as high as 4 to 5 (strongly heterogeneous media).

It is worth noting that a new numerical approach, Karhunen–Loe‘ve-based moment equa-tion (KLME) technique, has been proposed to solve groundwater-related problems in het-erogeneous media (Zhang and Lu 2004;Liu et al. 2007;Li and Zhang 2007;Li et al. 2009; Chen et al. 2013). The KLME approach combines Karhunen–Loe‘ve (KL) expansion of a medium property and orthogonal polynomial decompositions of dependent variables. In the KLKF method, the covariance of the medium property is efficiently approximated by a small set of eigenvalues and eigenfunctions attributed to the mean square convergence of the KL decomposition. The KLME approach is able to accurately estimate the statistical moments of the dependent variable and provides considerable computational advantages as compared with the classical Monte Carlo simulations.

It is apparent that the solution of Eq. (2.4) is dependent of the solution of the mean-head equation. In other words, the perturbation and mean equations should be treated simultane-ously. However, in many practical applications, the mean pressure head is generally regarded to be slowly varying in time and space in relation to the scale of variation associated with the perturbation equation (Gelhar 1993). We may, therefore, regard the coefficients involving the mean-head solution in Eq. (2.4), such as KM, Ji, and∂ H/∂ Xi, to be constant over spatial scales corresponding to the perturbations when solving Eq. (2.4). In addition, the mean-head time derivative will be very small in view of the slowly varying mean unsaturated flow ( Gel-har 1993) so that the products of the perturbation terms (namely C, h, and f ) and ∂ H/∂t in Eq. (2.4) are negligible. As a consequence, the decoupling of the head-perturbation equation from the mean-head equation can be accomplished under the condition of slowly varying mean unsaturated flow. With this framework, Eq. (2.4) is simplified to

Γ KM ∂h ∂t = 2h ∂ X2 i + α  Ji+ ∂ H ∂ Xi  ∂h ∂ Xi + Ji ∂ f ∂ Xi + q(t) KM. (2.5) Consider the case where the vertical movement of the soil moisture is dominant in the vadose zone. The assumption of one-dimensional vertical flow reduces Eq. (2.5) considerable to

Γ KM ∂h ∂t = 2h ∂ X2 + α(2J − 1) ∂h ∂ X + J ∂ f ∂ X + q(t) KM, (2.6) where J = J1 and X = X1. We will seek an analytic solution of Eq. (2.6) subject to deterministic boundary and initial conditions, which imply zero perturbed boundary and initial conditions, i.e.,

hq(0, t) = 0 (2.7a)

hq(L, t) = 0 (2.7b)

hq(X, 0) = 0. (2.7c)

These will provide a basis to develop an analytical solution in quantifying the variability in the pressure head.

3 Spectral Solution

Here, we proceed with developing the perturbation solution of Eq. (2.6) and then character-izing the pressure head variation around the mean based on it. These will be performed by applying the superposition principle and the Fourier–Stieltjes representation.

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Note that Eq. (2.6) describes the fluctuations in pressure head field in response to two inde-pendent forcing terms, the last two terms on the right-hand side of Eq. (2.6), due to the spatial variability of soil properties and the temporal variability of infiltration rate. Recognition of each of the forcing terms in Eq. (2.6) presented in a linear manner, the principle of super-position is, therefore, allowed to solve Eq. (2.6) by decomposing it into two subequations according to the forcing terms, as

Γ KM ∂hq ∂t = 2h q ∂ X2 + α(2J − 1) ∂hq ∂ X + q(t) KM (3.1) and Γ KM ∂hf ∂t = 2h f ∂ X2 + α(2J − 1) ∂hf ∂ X + J ∂ f ∂ X. (3.2)

We then find the response to each subpart at a time, and add the individual responses to obtain the solution of the original equation,

h= hq+ hf. (3.3)

Consequently, the pressure head variance to the original problem is the sum of variances of

hqand hf.

Considering the stochastic processes of q and f to be second-order stationary and using the Fourier–Stieltjes representation, both can be defined with respect to time and space, respectively, as q(t) = ∞  −∞ exp[iωt]dZq(ω) (3.4) and f(X) = ∞  −∞ exp[i RX]dZf(R), (3.5)

whereω is the frequency; R is the wave number; and dZqand d Zfare the Fourier amplitudes of the fluctuations q and f , respectively. The responses to two forcing terms in Eqs. (3.1) and (3.2) may, therefore, be expressed, respectively, as (e.g.,Li and McLaughlin 1991)

hq(X, t) = ∞  −∞ Φq(X, t, ω)dZq(ω) (3.6) and hf(X, t) = ∞  −∞ Φf(X, t, R)dZf(R), (3.7)

whereΦqandf are the unknown transfer functions. Substituting Eqs. (3.4) and (3.6) into Eq. (3.1) gives Γ KM ∂Φq ∂t = 2Φ q ∂ X2 + α(2J − 1) ∂Φq ∂ X + exp(iωt) KM . (3.8)

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The analytical solution to Eq. (3.8) associated with the following boundary and initial con-ditions Φq(0, t, ω) = 0 (3.9a) Φq(L, t, ω) = 0 (3.9b) Φq(X, 0, ω) = 0 (3.9c) is in the form Φq = 2π L2 exp(−εX) ∞  n=1 n1−exp(0.5εL) cos(nπ) ν sin  nπ X L 

exp(iωt) − exp(−ν KM

Γ t)

KMν+iΓ ω , (3.10) whereε = (2J − 1)α and ν = (n2π2/L2) + ε2/4. In the case of KMt/(L2Γ ) >> 1, the summation in Eq. (3.10) converges rapidly (e.g.,Haberman 1998) and is, therefore, approximated as Φq = 2π L2 KM Γ2 1+ exp(0.5εL) μ exp(−0.5εX) sin(πξ)

exp(iωt) − exp(−μt)

μ + iω , (3.11)

whereξ = X/L and μ = KM[(π2/L2) + ε2/4]/Γ . Then, from Eqs. (3.6) and (3.11), hq takes the form

hq(X, t) = 2π L2 KM Γ2 1+exp(0.5εL) μ exp(−0.5εX) sin(πξ) ∞  −∞

exp(iωt) − exp(−μt) μ+iω d Zq(ω).

(3.12) Using the representation theorem leads Eq. (3.12) to

σ2 hq = E[hqhq] = 4π2 L4 K2M Γ2  1+ exp(0.5εL) μ 2 exp(−εX)sin2(πξ) × ∞  −∞

1− 2 cos(ωt) exp(−μt) + exp(−2μt)

μ2+ ω2 Sqq(ω)dω, (3.13)

whereσh2

qis the variance of hq (the transient component of head variance), the asterisk

stands for the operation of complex conjugation, and Sqq(ω) is the spectrum of infiltration rate perturbations.

On the other hand, the introduction of Eqs. (3.5) and (3.7) to Eq. (3.2) results in

Γ KM ∂Φf ∂t = 2Φ f ∂ X2 + α(2J − 1) ∂Φf ∂ X + i J Rexp(i RX). (3.14)

The forcing term, the last term on the right-hand side of Eq. (3.14), is independent of time. Therefore, it is reasonable to expect that the transfer functionΦf becomes time invariant after sufficient time has elapsed since the initial condition. With a negligible time-derivative term, Eq. (3.14) associated with zero perturbed boundary conditions admits the following solution: Φf = J ε + i R  exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εL) − exp(i RX) + 1− exp(−εX) 1− exp(−εL)exp(i RL)  . (3.15)

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Then, it follows from Eqs. (3.7) and (3.15) that the head perturbation can be written as hf(X) = J ∞  −∞  exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εL) − exp(i RX) +1− exp(−εX) 1− exp(−εL)exp(i RL)  1 ε + i Rd Zf(R). (3.16) Equation (3.16) implies from applying the representation theorem that

σ2 hf(X) = J 2 ∞  −∞ 1 ε2+ R2  1+  exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εL) 2 +  1− exp(−εX) 1− exp(−εL) 2 −2exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εL) cos(RX) +2exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εX) 1− exp(−εL)cos(RL) −21− exp(−εX) 1− exp(−εL)cos[R(L − X)] Sf f(R)d R, (3.17) whereσh2

f is the variance of hf (the steady component of pressure head variance) and Sf f(R)

is the spectrum of lnKs.

In conclusion, the results of each part, Eqs (3.13) and (3.17), are summed to obtain the general solution of pressure head variance to the original problem.

4 Pressure Head Variance

The computation of the variance of hqrequires the expression of the spectrum of the infiltra-tion rate fluctuainfiltra-tions. In this study, we consider that the spectrum of temporally correlated infiltration fluctuations takes the following form (Gelhar 1993;Zhang and Li 2006):

Sqq(ω) =

σ2

π(1 + η2ω2), (4.1)

whereσ2

q is the variance andη is the temporal correlation scale of the infiltration process, respectively. The time (space) interval for which the correlation coefficient drops to an insignificant magnitude is referred to as the temporal (spatial) correction scale (e.g.,Dagan 1989;Gelhar 1993;Rubin 2003). When the correction scale is larger, the data profile is anticipated to be smoother, and vice versa.

With Eq. (4.1), the integration of Eq. (3.13) over the frequency domain produces the variance of hq as σ2 hq = 4π 2σ2 q K2Mη2 Γ4L4μ2[1 + exp(0.5εL)] 2exp(−εX)sin2(πξ)  1+ exp(−2μt) μη(1 + μη) − 2 exp(−μt) exp(−μt) − μη exp(−t/η) μη(1 − μ2η2)  . (4.2)

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On the other hand, the following wave number spectrum

Sf f(R) =

2σ2fλ3R2

π(1 + λ2R2)2 (4.3)

associated with a hole-type exponential correlation function of lnKsfield (Bakr et al. 1978) is considered to compute the variance of hf. In conjunction with Eq. (4.3), Eq. (3.17) implies that σ2 hf(X) = σ 2 f J2λ2  1+  exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1−exp(−εL) 2 +  1−exp(−εX) 1−exp(−εL) 2 1 (1 + ελ)2 +2exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εL) 1− exp(−εX) 1− exp(−εL) Θ(L) (1 − ε2λ2)2 −2exp(−εX) − exp(−εL) 1−exp(−εL) Θ(X) (1−ε2λ2)2 − 2 1− exp(−εX) 1−exp(−εL) Θ(L − X) (1 − ε2λ2)2 , (4.4) where

(Y ) = −2ελ exp(−Y ε) + exp(−Y/λ) 

Y

λ + 1 − Y ε2λ + ε2λ2 

(4.5) Now, we are in a position to calculate the closed-form expression for pressure head variance according to σ2 h = σh2q + σ 2 hf, (4.6) whereσh2

q, the transient component of pressure head variance, is defined in Eq. (4.2) and σ2

hf, the steady component of the pressure head variance, is defined in Eq. (4.4).

The graphical presentation of the dependence of the transient component of pressure head variance upon the temporal correlation scale of infiltration field is illustrated in Fig.1based on Eq. (4.2). As indicated in the figure, the temporal correlation scale has positive influence

Fig. 1 Dimensionless transient component of the pressure head variance as a function of temporal correlation

scale of the infiltration process, whereΞ = 1 K2M ε24+πL

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Fig. 2 Dimensionless steady component of the pressure head variance as a function of dimensionless distance

from the bottom boundary

on the variation of pressure head. This is because a larger correlation scale introduces a larger temporal consistency of fluctuations in the infiltration rate, and therefore a larger temporal consistency of fluctuations in pressure head above or below the mean pressure head.

On the other hand, the plot of Eq. (4.4) as the function of position is demonstrated in Fig.2. It indicates that for a fixed value ofε, the steady component of variability in pressure head created by the spatial variability in soil properties is enhanced by the spatial correlation scale of random log-saturated hydraulic conductivity (lnKs) processes at a given location. As the value of spatial correlation scale is increased, the lnKs processes display more persistence, having positively correlated increments. That is, positive increments tend to be followed by other positive increments, while negative increments tend to be followed by other negative increments. The profile of the lnKs process is rough (i.e., more fluctuations in the lnKs around the mean), and therefore produces a higher variance of pressure.

5 Conclusions

This article presents a stochastic analysis of transient vertical movement of soil moisture through a bounded, partially saturated heterogeneous porous medium subject to temporally correlated fluctuations in infiltration process. The use of perturbation-based nonstationary spectral perturbation techniques and the superposition principle leads to analytical solution for the variance of water pressure head, which is used to analyze the effects of the temporal correlation scale of infiltration process and the spatial correlation scale of the lnKsprocesses. It is found that the correlation scales of infiltration and lnKsprocesses are crucial to enhance the variability in water pressure head. As the correlation scale increases, the persistence of correlation increases and the contributions of the smallest scales of variation decrease. This implies that the fluctuations in head spend less time around their mean value of zero. As such, a larger correlation scale introduces a higher variability in head.

Acknowledgments This research is supported by the Ministry of Science under the grants NSC 101-2221-E-009-105-MY2, 102-2221-E-009-072-MY2 and NSC 102-2218-E-009-013-MY3. We are grateful to the anonymous reviewers for constructive comments that improved the quality of the work.

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數據

Fig. 1 Dimensionless transient component of the pressure head variance as a function of temporal correlation
Fig. 2 Dimensionless steady component of the pressure head variance as a function of dimensionless distance

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