俄羅斯的亞太政策
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(2) 2. •• ,.B~-M~~=+-tte®r.~.~~~~~Jo~~~ -~~®Aft~ •• W,~~~*~~-~~.Mom •• ~~.~~. ~*.~**~~~~~ •• ,m.~~.~~.~~.~ti~i&.,M ~~ti~~~~~i&.,~ •••• ~.~o tE~~I¥MlzM , ~wrW~~tJj(zF~~~7t7t~~ , -~~I1I!~~. ~.~ •• ~ .~.o~~.ft.,~.~~~~~~~.~,.~ili .~I!.~.~m®tt~w.om*~~~.~tE.~~~.~® •• ft ~ , ffij~PJ •• ~®ltfjN{j~tJj(~.~fjl , ~~~.~.wr§~i&.~.1t: & EJfjgW ~111! ~,fF.f~.~§~i&.®-$7t, ~wrWW~tJj( ~~. a. **~~®~~,ili~~~~~®m~o ~~~~~m~WAD7t~~~. ,~~~§~~~~A~~~®. •• ~i&m, ••• ~~~ §~~~*~m, ffij~~~ El ~ r ~1J+I~~ J ~lHjckJi: 1*1r,fjl m~~*~~~wrfEili~ wr~ (F. M. Dostoevskii) ~~[lilm: r tE~1J+I , :flG1r'~I$I~*otlx~ ;{!itE §7JH , :flG1r'jf:~n*JtUft.~~A J l{!i~~ff£-n--t~.~+ J'11JiPB .~o.~~$~~A~. 0. 0. ~~.i&.M~,~~tE§1J+I~~~~.-Mr~$tt# ~.~~1J+I~*, ~.~. &~re~. J~~.o*. ••• mM~~®-ffi~o~dmM$.®. :~~.~~,~wrw~ti~i&.~~.®r. ~~§J.~. ,~.~~~~.~~~®*~~.~,m~7-~tt** •• ~.~* $7t~~~~o.~L,~7~~n~~,~~ili~z.~~§~i&.~ ~~IAo~~®. •• ~.~i&.W •• ~,ti§1J+I~*~~Z~~®.. fjln ; tE~lnl;ljt~~ , PJ~~.g~~~~* , f*Jrz~~~.~ , 1Il~ 7~~tE§~~~®.n.~,~r~~~~Jd.~~~~*~-MJi: ~,ilim~7~~WffW~®~~.g~gno j(;B~~ ( Mikhail S. Gorbachev). La. , f*JrzPJ r wri&m,f!I,*lt J. (New Political Thinking) .~.®ti~i&. mrji&.a9:. ~~W ~:tJtt Fdlft*1t ~ it&ti ~{* ; {!i ~ j(; B ~~ ®ft ~ § 1J 17JtE*lt ~.~~ ~. *z. 0. •• ~m,.~~~~~m.tt,m~~~~~i&.L~.~ •• o ~~.R., •• ~.~7M~~.~~*$7t~.~m~~ ••ff oill.ti~~~ffij~, •• ~~*~.~-.~~~*,A~~.~ti~ 1 'll EIRichard Sakwa, Russian Politics and Society (London and New York: Routledge, 1993 ) , p. 296..
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(4) 4. .~~W~,~&.MM~§~~~m~~~~~~~m.oa.M~~. .Mft~,~~~a.M~~~~~~,.~.~.~a.M~~.~~ m.,~~~~*~~~~~~~~.o~~~m~T,m@~.~~7. •• o4~~,~.Ma.~~§~~ ~m.~~~~,ft~~Mrem@.~,~A*~~~~ •• ~o ~. m.M~~~ff.~~~~.~.~. ••. ~~,ft~#~.~~~~~~~*,.M§~~~~~~a,~.~m. .~§~~.~~~**m~.M~~~~~~.o. - ,. 1~~Jttf€JI.J ~ ~>fHi. , ft , ffX.M~tin~@:±: •• ~.~~~~.~A,~*~#~~e.~~*~~ili., •• -m ~~~.~ §fJ~1&~jH&~**Ij~. 1f,'£,~re BfOffifJfMi~~**Ij~JJIH~j ~~. 0. 0. ~MgRfi{fX.~~~**IJ~~ ffifJfMimiHH~. WffifJfMi~M~M~~~~~n~o~~,~m.~~~,ft~~§.7~. ~~.n~~m~,~wm*m~~~n,~m7r§~~~~~:±:~~. J (Liberal Internationalists) , r ~~:±:~~ J ( Patriots ) ~ r ~. ~~~:±:~~ J (Pragmatic Nationalists) ; ~~~~#~f1!!1f'M~. : ~~~~¥~'.fO~~¥~,~~.fO~.:±:~~o5M~~~~.~. ~~~,ill~~.~~.oillU.+~me.~~m~~r~~.J(. *0. Westernisers ) r ~lli:};:. J ( Slavophiles ) ~ ~ , {fX.~ § M~1& ~~~.~.~,*~~ ~ ~*~:-~r*~# ~ J( Altanticists) ,5~~{fX.~• • ~.MW~, ~~~nI~~*~ruH* , Ml~m@~*~*-xf!f ; ~~-~~ r ~§:±:~~ J ( Eurasian) ,M~ ~1&~n. *. ~W~. ~~~f!f~~,~. m~.m.~§~~. 4 Mikhail L. Titarenko & Alexander G. Yakovlev, ,. Russia's Asia - Pacific Policy in the New International Situation,". The Korean Journal of International Studies, Vol. 24, No.. 1 (Spring 1993), p. 97. 5 Alex Pravda, • The Politics of Foreign Policy," in Stephen White, Alex Pravda and Zvi Gitelman, eds., Developments in Russia & PostaSoviet Politics (London: The Macmillan Press LTD., 1994), pp. 213. 220; See Alexei G. Arbatov,. "Russia's Foreign Policy. Alternatives, • International Security, VoL 18, No.2 (Fall 1993), pp. 5 43..
(5) liumWT~§*i&m. ~.~,~m. 5. •• ~.~~w~~ •• ,w~~w~~\~~w.~~u. •• $~#~~~ffilim~~,~~~~. R~~tim.~ •• ~~~~~,W~ft.~~.~ •• o ~o~~M~~.~~,~~. ~. •• ~.n~~~WM,. r*5~~. ~J~.~ffi.7~~tt~. •• m,.~.~~~~B~~ fUJnl*jj(WM~.9l-3i:t5~lUJf*~-I;7] , 1it~-. ~~o~~OO~R.ttA~~.N.ff~. nl*jj( (Andrei 1vt [Gl. Kozyrev). ¥IJ -11 11 0. a. ~ MFa~. ,. ~. r•. If'F. International Organizations). a. ~~Hfl... J (Directorate. of. ~~~~f~fUJnl*jj(ti~~ft*~. .$A~ffi.~~~.~~~,~.m.~. •••• W~.ft*,~W~. ~M.~~~~o~.~~.~m.~,~nl*jj(~~~BA±~~~. ~ffw. •• ~r.AJ~~~o~~re5~~.,W~.~~,~@ ••. • ~m~~ , fgi}fI.!ltlE~~f-¥. 0. ~*re~~B~.~.*~~~,~~~tt.~~~.*,mnili~. •• ~~eOO.~~.*.,~nl*jj(~~~BA±~ ,~nft~~~~~~~.,~.~~~m.,~~~ •• ~~. ~~.~~~ ••• ~~$o •• ~.N~.~: r•• ~OOti~ . I ~~~~o~.N. ~.m.~.~~~,~fi~.a~~~m.~,~a~~~~A~nlE. r•• ~~M~~~~~~ •• ff.,.~ti~@ •• ~0~~Bm~m,~ili ~.Aft~ •• m~~m~I~oJ~nl*jj(~-~M~m: o. J. 6. ~~~B~.~Wi,*~5~~~.m~,~.~. •• ~a~~~.mR~~.~. ~o~.~.$R.~~BA±~*~re •• ~ •••• ~~.,~~. ~Jt[XBJ3~-t5~7t ~~1tE~.3f~~.~., r ffX.~• • :I J ( Russia's W~.o~~~~. ••. •• ~.~.~. ,~~ilinmm. a. Choice ) -1111-=:'~*M~~~.~~~j -*~MIl~WPfrS1&. •. , fttiffX.~~.3f~~llItHIHJ. , ilif'Fili~~6H •• ffX.~~fIJ~.~t3~~g:)l~~~ •. aR~W~@ •• ~M,m.~~~M~.*.~~~~o7 ~. •• ~,OO •• ~~~~ •• ~,~~~~.*~~~m.~~.. A,~.W~~ti~,.~m~.mo@~~~~~5~~~.li~,n 6 Sakwa, Russian Politics and Society. p. 294; Pravda, • The Politics of Foreign Policy, " p. 214.. 7. Pravda,' The Politics of Foreign Policy, - p.214..
(6) 6. ~~.~~~~.m@*m~*~~~.,mffi~~W ~wr~*f4:lJ1ifG J ( Russian Academy of Science). •• ~~~o r.. r 1!t~~.fO~.lUJ. f*1iffJi;pJT J (Institute of World Economy and International Relations ) 1t-1L1L=1f.fJHf:l-rjEf3f.fH!~7c ( V. A. Martynov) ~~FJT±M=~1iff Ji;.*,.~ti.~wrm~~I.~*ZM~~~,~.. *:. m-,~~.~.~W~MD. ~. ~.~. ••• A,mW.~~~.~wr.-~. ;. -T5~mfDII*.$.e~m. m=,.eMm~.®§,.~wrm~~m.~. •• ,.~em~~. •• ~~OO; m.::: , D.me1&iJ [~~fflUfl~iilJE , 1JDJ::J;:~:ff~*~m:fJ~. ,. ~~.*~m~ffi3,~~~~7. eti.~wrm~~~~~,.~~~~~.; m~,.~~m@~:ff~*~~Ma~.,~. ~tiM. •• §.~.. ; ~®*~~B*~t~~±rp~., j;/t&~~~~~* ~~tt~ •• ~ ••• ,~~~~*~~~.m.~wr~a~~JET,ili ~~~.~~.M=.~~ •• ~*m.~~~1UJ%o8 iJl~~IHfifft~:~*. ~m~a~~~z~*,~~~~~~@~:ffrm~~~~4JZ~ ;@OO~S~W~~.&wr~.,*~~~m. ~~¥U:fJ~1;£Ji:'~*~~=. 0. •• ~~~~~~*,ili.. , ~-1L1L=1f.+ ~ ZM , 1fUlwrMf.*~1~~ ft•• m@o~.~~~~~.ft~~~+~ ft. 1mOOB~DfnJ. ~+~. ~.,1!t~.ffili.~.~.~ft,mw.JE.~wr~~.~-1L1L~1f.. ~~~fflo~m~.~mm~~~~.~OO,~~. *~~.ili~.~~. .,~~~*.&wr.~MD.~~~.R,®~~~&~. •• ~$~~. •• ~¥~.~m~a~OOW~~~ft. oD.me1& , {fX&wrffHf r Iflll~Hjf~ J (Shock Therapy) ~if£~~¥ ~., •• ~~*,Mf.*~~mM~~*o.~.&wr~~±**M~~ ft7c (R. LKhasbulatov) pJTIDt : ji~~rp~.~~.T~ ~-1L1LO¥IJ -1L1L=1f.m~1f.M,.~ ••• *@~.~ S~Zli+~J:o -. ~.~~.~~m~.~~~g~offi •• ~.~,S~Z+~~~~. ~~z~:fJ~m~m~T,. 0. 8. V. Y. Martynov, Report: Russia and Today's Challenges ( Moscow: IMEMO, 1992 ) , p. 46.. 9. (fJj.:r'~'. r if$f:metta9~il!filU'i J. ,[email protected]§fFltIJ ' 16~llWl ( t\';~82~lIfl ) ,:i3i:69'.
(7) flUI WI fj{] 5li:t:i1& m. 7. ~ffi.*~, M.~.~~*~,~~~=+M.~.~~. ~rF~ ~~+Lii;:lt·*~~~~ 10. ,. 0. .~mmW~~~H.~. •• m~ffl~~~o~M.~~&.~~~. ~Mml r~M~~m~~fimM.~fi~.~~m~~~.,~~~~. ~m~~~*;~~~m~~m~~7~OO~M.;~n~M~.~.~ ~1!::'~~ ; fI}1J[I~ El :ttt~5B~* 0 fL.l!tllll , W~!lA.~~-ll~~-Iff~EP ~. J 11. 0. ~.~~~m~ffl.~~~~.,*. ~~.~~.. ,.~*~~. ~.~~*.om~M.B.re~~n.~~-ll~~om.-nn=~. •• ,fi~~~ ~~~~~~~m~ .,Rfi~~~_+-.~~ •• oU~~~~~~.~~~.~,.~~. A~~fi~-~M~.~M. 't. ~*~~W~~~~~~tt,R~re~~~~~n~~§~~~o. ..::. • 71' ~~ P'1 Jlt ~ .lit it. ~ ••• M,~~.~ttttrem ••• ~~~.~~., ••• r~ n J ( capabilities) '~ffl (politics) mffl{qJ ( beliefs) =*J.l.~. 11m 0. ~ffl. .~OO,Bn~~~~~.~~~~.W~~I.W~~~-@ffi. IImML~l~'ti:Jf. ; .w~.~m~1J~@m f!:l. ~1infD{I'~; )1rj$~~~. , B1r'.W~.~f~~fOf5Jfjg~~ ~~.n )1U.~~~mili~~~1J~@~Jm , j;).:&rn:@~Jm~~)tfkff ; Ii ~Mm.~~~~~~~ •• mM~~~~Jm~~ ~3ou ~.~.~~~~ •• r~fflJ ,ilif5J~.m~mm~~~~. ~m~OO.fiIl*flj1,it~1J~~~nllJe. ;. m~.. o.~~,m.m~§~~.~El.m.,ili~mmm~S~ffl. ~Jm~-{I~e~~. 0. [email protected]~,. ~.{fX.~1T~Sr~, ~. fflllJe,~~~mA.~1in,.~m*~fi1inM.~I~o 51 EEE;J:*, r #XliWi$.!1~lJI.15Ht:ffi-~~ r -:fL:fL=if:. 10 Rossiiskaya Gazeta, 2 Dec. 1992, p. 3, $.!1~~k6. 11. J J '1IUI~IiIf~ ( a~t) ,32~4M ( ~if,l82if:4fl ) ,j[29'. Martynoy, Report, p. 32.. 12 JIlL., 1992if:8fl78 , j[4 ~t. ) '31~1OM (. o. ~if,l81if:lOfl. 51 E'HIH.€'R, ) ,j[30. r #XliWii1&$.!1lJ1.i5t!Ji!~~~iE:I. J , 1Bl.~IiIf~. (a. 0. 13 Seweryn Bialer, .. Soviet Foreign Policy: Sources. Perceptions. Trends," in Seweryn Bialer. ed., The Domestic Context of Soviet Foreign Policy ( Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, 1981 ) , p. 410..
(8) 8. ~ •• ~~,fi&$M~~~&.~~~~~fi~,*~ffi.*~B. . , •• ~.~fi.&.m.~ •• o~~,.~-ftft=~+-~, ~n0f#jM!fiHfUIWT~ ii5b~*Dfi~ J 1t{1H$1!~.~ , J;),ff{H~flUIWT .fI3~W1tftl!~*BJj]m{*~ , ¥l~tn~-fmJ.E~il&.~~ 14{EL~3Z$~ mnOO~*B •• ~~~~,@~H~~ili~~~~~il&~.~*ffi.~ 0. ~fi3{5o. ,~~~.~~.~@§,~H~~. • , iJlit§~~~A ; {E!.i'~$m~-. •• 1tMff~~g~ •• m. ~~, m~f*~JL\it~~~$ ,~lPm. ~¥lliz~,~&¥lli*~~$~~~o~~~it§A±@§,~3Z$~~ iJl~§~~~f~7. 0. rft~, 1'if~fj'&~ili~~3Z$fi$iJl. ~~*~A:t. o~~lJ!~f'JA:ttl\~1'if~/ff!@~~** 1t*,~H~~~~~~M~~ •• ~~~~o •• ~~~3Z$~~ 1M , J;)J;Z[l:i].~X:~~~&.~~ , j:~~j!~~~lfrp~f8:ffl.mWT ( Gennadii Busbulis) *it§f-J fB:ffl.mWTf~~~~ r § IE ~~~j:~ J ~~¥f=tf , ~ ~3Z$~~W~~o-ftft=~*M,f8:ffl.mWT~il&~fimf#j~~., • • ~~OO~8.~.~j:~~~~~~.~~~~~,f#j~~~~~tt~ 15. 0. 0. .~~W,~3Z$~.~n~.*~mfi,~@~z~~-ftft=~~~ ~. ~. Yuri ~. 0. r 't(?f::1!m. J (Seurity. Council). 0. mfmJtIt~~j:ht9::.5l:t"ij~. (. Skokov) ,~Wlt.f*~, ~~~~ ilifljrtJ~¥f-fmJ~~~~3Z~. 16. -ftft=~li~~HWT~~~,~~*'t(~*O~~&.~~m n~~\f~ 8 ~:f1h1Jo o~{f~~$~~lli:~~(Pavel Grachev. n®,. )-~/f.~~~H~~~fi. ,ftl!~.~$ •• ~m*-.~~.~~. &.~~,./f~.~3Z$~~$o.~~,~HWT~~$~~X:$~~. ff~ ~~~~rp'lilff~J/SiJ! 0 171J~D , ~n.1i~~~~t~ff£*IX~1&~~ A~M.,ffi.~$~.~~~~~o.lli:~~~1t@e~~~.,-g ~t~li*il.. , ffXHWT"ijf¥l~~~~~ff!HllYffi , §~~*f.~~ii5b".~-fmJ. ?f::OOlffiJ[l:i]~~j:~. 0. 17. 14 Rossiskaya Gazeta, 18 Nov. 1992.. 15 Pravda." The Politics of Foreign Policy." pp. 226 - 227.. 16 Ibid., p. 226.. 17 Scott Parrish, • Chaos in Foreign - Policy Decision - Making," Transition, VoL 2, No. 10. (17 May 1996). p. 32..
(9) fIX& Wf i¥J 52:t: iI& m. 9. ~-M~.~*~m~~~~~~~.$m~,~~~~ ~m.~~.~*am~~~,~m.~.i.;~~~.m~M~~A. •••• ~~*,~&~.m~.mM~ •• ~o 7 .@~~~~~~~.ff~&.~a~~*~~., rm.~ •••• J ( Russian Supreme Soviet) nltil:7':::1117&&~7i-a~~~~~ , ;jt4'. .ff$;~.m~. *. -§ff5 r ~m~3t~rJ]:lI~~ J ( Committee on Defence and Secruity Questions) , r ~tD~ZFa'1Ul1*~:J:fhma:~UD~1'F~~~ J ( Committee on Inter- Republican Relations and Regional Policy and Cooperation ) , PJ& r ~~~.~tDf.:t*~~IU11*~~~ J (Committee on International Affairs and Foreign Economic Relations) Jt4'PJ ~ 0. ~. 1TIJJ•• fI~ , ili.~~.JJ. ~~~~::tm;~re§. 0. .~.*~$.~rf.:t~J ,ffi7i-~$~a~~f.:t~~o~~,-ftft=. if: J\ F.l tD- ft ft.:=. if: llB F.l , ~~1W .1-t ~ IIl3§U WI J¥j ~ ttL ~ , TIfz.. ~ 7~~M.5:1 ( pro-Serbian ) ~::t~ ~ISG?&~~~f3.J.~'g~lL~1r ili iffi 11 •• ~w,m.~~f.:t*~ ••JJ, ••• ~.M.&;jt.m~~4' ~ffi~~.Maffl ••• IJJ~~.,.M.£~affl.JJ~~.,ili~. 0. 0. 18. ~~~~,~~~.~~lL~oiffi~-ftft=if:~~~,~~w~~. . ,- .. '-"--"~,. -'--~-----. -. . , ~.>f4'fJJ~~iiJEi*i~1¥J r*-ie§"~1JJ7i-m.. .~--------. 0. •• tttt.~m~.~-1I~~o ftEif:+= F.l+-tB ,1fUi~.1T~. r U~ J (Duma) • • *5* ,m~s7t ZEF~ifi~R~1ft.~~~J:, § EB~::t., r fft.~.fI J ( Our Home Is Russia) ;;J&ffE;ffi".~nJ ( Yabloko) llB1IJ:. ;jt4' , ~J:~~•• ~ ~ •• ~.* •• ,~.~llBSE+1Im;m4', •• -SE+-tRo~~ ~~~~::t~.,. 0. ••. 0. i*~~£ (Vladimir. Zhirinovsky) ~~?!I~~!tffil~~::t~a.§EB~::t. ,ili•• E+-R,~.~~4'~.':::* •• o" m.m.~~.$,~~~.~*a~~Z.,£*~.~.~~~. •• *5*,~.~ •• m~~~~ffiam~~~offi •• ~. rU~J •• &.~~.~.,~& •••• Z~~~ •• ~IUl1*. 4',~~~ ~~,. ,W~IUl**~.~*.o. •• ~,~~.~~~~~ •• ~a •• M,. 18 Pravda,' The Politics of Foreign Policy,' pp. 221 222.. 19 jJ;;:~~HBl®fjf!:t'IUl, ~JlTran8ition, Vol. 2, No.4 (23 February 1996), pp. 5 29.. ,I;"~ 'iloil.. " "I·a.
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(17) ffl~ WI fI9 52. *. ili~J~. 17. ftftO~.~~~z~+~=;-ft. =~.D. ••• =~t+~~ft,. ~M-~.~~~Z=+t,~-ftftO~.~~~Z*+tE~o-ft ft~~mD~.$,~~Z~+A~~.M~.,®. *Et o. •• m.E~~~Z. ftft~~~,~*~~.~.~~~=+~~ft,~~~~ ~rr-~-f't~*o38. •• ti~~a~.ftT.,ill.~~.§*~*~.a~w~~~~ D~-ftft~~~,.W=~=+~~~ft,~ •• ~ti~.a •• ~~ ~z~+m~oW-ftft~~A~,~~m~§m •• ,.~*~-f'* tt~~~. 39 0. •• ~ti§*~~~~ttW~~.,~m~. Eo •• ~§Me *~~~~~.~m*~~~~~W~.~~~~~. o-ftftli~t~,~H~~~.&§*~~*~~.~~M:.Mr~. lID~.§*!i!!~~-ft1t;.f~. J ,MLll r 1J*~:lJD§*!i!!~~~jf •• ,. ~~~§*~~m.Jo-ftftli. ••. ~m.~. =~,.~~.~7.*~A§*.. ,MLll.~D.~ti~~.~.mft~~lIDWm. jjJJ!~f~m.~.~~. 0. 40. •• ,m. .. •• ~.§*~~~ •• ttW,m~~.~@~~~~.o •• ~.. ~m.§*~*ti •• ~.~~~r. J,re.~~~~.rmMmJJ!. ~J~~~,~m.7~~~ •• o • • ~~7.&.~@~~~, ••. • ~~~~*~.~*.ft.jj.~I~&~mDM.DU. ill~~~~&E.,.*~~~~~~ •• ~*.o.m,.~~ •. • !i!!~.{ffti ' •• ~~},~:ii1t~¥~~~T)1IJ ~. ~.W~II*~m1J1I1H~.~ v. .. :. m-, f]'~~f§~I~mmfJH~1t; , ~~~.~~~*;I:~~.. z~~~. •• ~.~~,m&m*~~~~~.,~~~&;I:~W~o. m- , ~?5.1t;~IIU~~~ ••. 0. ~. 0. tBHJt~., ~&~a~, ~ffiOmD¥A. ~,~~~.~~fi~~~.,~m#~.~~~m.~~o. .:E**,. 38 rffiflWii!iflftJl(!Jm~J ,r.ll.JiiJf~{a~t) '~33~~7Wl (~~831f.7J=I ) ,!i16-17 39 *1i\;,lra, r ffiiiWiSift. U' **1Ji1&1l J J ,!i17'. 40 ffi*iitt-:tL:tLli1f.r\fJ-8~m, r ~WTf4!M51}';':l.1!!lilli'5(?i':f!l1'l)'Ei¥:J~1! J , ~1!3*1i\;,lra r ffiiiWi. Sift. r **1J~m J J • !i38 0. 0. 41. O. Malicheva, E. Semenov, • Economic Integration in Asia - Pacific Region,". Economy and International Relations, No.9, 1995, p. 85.. World. ..
(18) flJ. 18. m.=:. , mfH~~wrf3t~~Ul¥Jfljif~~& ,fE!.tfu~~r:p:9ci&!ff*1tI¥J.ff , fJJ~~liini7i~~l¥Jm~. 0. m~, •• wr~~~*~ W •• ~~.7iI¥JH~,m.~~~fl¥J •• o~~~~~I¥JA±,re~*& •• ~~-.~~o ~~~re • 42 • wr'i~~~i!tW.I¥J.7if;t!;ff!~ •• ~~, •• wr**.~*.~.~I¥JWg,~7~~~~*~~ ~_~ •• wr.~~~I¥J.~~,~wrM*.I¥J~b,&~~~~~I¥J~ 0. o. .::.. '. ~i! Ml1~ €I-} /Jr15~. •• ~~~~.~I¥J~g., ,n~. wrM.~~. •• wr•• ~~~i&.l¥Jm~-. ~~~.~ffi7. ~*~_I¥J~.g§. o~m~oo,. •• wrmr:pI¥J~~. ,r:p~,a*wm.D. (-l1i~lBJ~. •••wr. ~~~*I¥JH~D~ •• ~I¥J~.~~i&.r:p,~ I¥Jttm••• *~.;fE!.~~~*~~I¥J~-m •• ~,~ 1¥J~.b .m~~W~~l¥Jo •• wrl¥J§.~~ ~.ffilim~,fE!.*~~~ M.b~~~, •• !ff~~~wrM~~*~~r~~JI¥J~.o ~~. ftft=~+-~,. • • wr~~$~-~. ( 'E!,ffi~* ) 1¥Ji£~.~ , i!t~5JUf!~U.~~I¥JH1*. 1¥J~~,ff!~m~ •• w~~.~I¥J~~~~.o §.~~1t~lI~~I¥J.tt~&m~~. ~~r:p,.&.~~~ 0. ~f!f~~~~{~~tfull. •• wrm~~*I¥J~*. ••• wrl¥J.~~~om~.~~. 1¥J.~,~.~~Mm.I¥J~.Wi&~ff.I¥JC~,~m~~~~* 43 tfu~~{'FI¥J~. 0. •• wr.~l¥Ja~., •• wr~ •• ~~*i&.~, ~~.f!m ~~I¥JC@:~~,~ 1¥J.~,~.,~~f! •••wr ,~~ .@.~~~-Mm •• ~m.I¥J~$M.,Mi&W~~ •• o~* •• wrl¥J.~2)[1itq~t)~JJJ , ~IJ ~.~tItIl¥J.~~~ , tiIJ3!~flJl¥J~~f~ ~. ~;. ~,.~~~~.~-M.~I¥J.~~~.m,@. ~~m~OOID. 42 Sherman Garnett, "The Russian Far East, • pp. 9 -10. 43 Vladimir Ivanov, "The Emerging National Security Doctrine of a New Russia,". Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Vol. 5, No.1 (Summer 1993), p. 172.. The. /.
(19) ffUlwr (jkJ § *i& m • • • ~~. ~~mm. I ••. 19. ,~~~~~.~,~.m.~~§~~~-m. •• *.~ti~~~o~.®. ••. ~&~.M~mM.~~~,~. mm~M*~mR.~.M~W*o« ~.~,ti~~~§Ra.Wi,mm~~~_~. ••• o~.~. ~~.~~~t~~~~mh~,m.~~~~~~ft~oft rlJjll:~~ , f~mWTftJ.~t7}. ~f# J ~~~ ~ft§R~~.M~,~.Bm~~.~~.,M ~h. r. os*_ ,,~. •••. ~~~~~lt1lf~,. 3?:ij!~~~®.ffri,g~~r.,~m, ti~~Mz.~,~. ?& , f~m~rg1§B~~~{t~f.¥~D •• ~fflj~fA~{t ,&jt~~t§~ Ei El3{tJtl~ , ~.~/ffUF.JkJ~. 45. ) ~Util~. o.. rga~~tJ. 0. (=}ffl J:P III ~. .. i:IIIt.. ,,~,,~:\. !t*~~~Wf~IU1T(jkJ~{*r.,~Jm. ,~~Ei-fttA~.~r. 0. =~. )l:¥!J~!J\zp~~W~ma.~~.. .J~*,~.h~~.B®.. " ryu~F.JkJ~ , ~t:@Jij3@J*[email protected]!i¥i ' EP~tO~. , w.~7~m~*ttD~ •• e., •• ~ft~rg~ft~a.~~m., ~zrd]~~{*. ®~~.~~r~~~~~~fAR.~~J~m~~,ffi~. ~~*~.o.m.~rg$ti.~h~ti~a •• ~~. fA~~Mz*. ,~~.*.. ~~~h~~,~~~.mm~§*a.~~~~.ti~o -ftft=~+=~,. •• ~m~~~*~,~h •• ~rffili~~~. ~1J~.ir!l~ J to=+[9Jiirft1%hiUDX{tj:, ~h~~1i1! fH~U. 0. m~~{*~.Jl, ?t~7. (oJlfi*i~-ftft[9~-~Wirp~~t:R~. r .~t£~~f# J. , 5$.~h~~{*MfM. (constructive partnership). 0. ~~1L~¥I~~fA. m~.~~,~~=+t~*.-mWi~mmWT~~~~* ••. Ao. ~~[9~ •• ~~~~Wirp~~t:R. , 8M!!!jJ~~{** r .~t£~f# J •• ~r~@.~~f#J~.*o.m~.~_, •• ~ft~m~.M ,MzW~~,~.~,~.~~,~~~~ •• A,~ •• 7r~~ft ~~~m~ ••••• mff~.~Jo ~,!!!jJa~.~M •• ~~. ~,. ~~~*W~~.~~.~.~m~~~o ~m~~~~e.~_. m3@Jm~ti~~~ 44 Ibid., pp. 173 - 175, 45 Ibid., pp. 176 177.. •• $~o. jJoo,~~tim.~~. .tt,. •• tto~~,~-ftft~~~,~~8~.m.~~.
(20) fU. 20. ~=*fi~~~,~*~~~ofi~~~~~~+~~~~,~~~~~ ~.W~+ft~~~,~~~~.W=+A.~~oW~~~~~~fi~ ~'i~ , {fUifWT~F~~~ 046. ~~~t~~~m~~~~m,~n~~fiW~*tt,* ~~~~~;ililli~*m~~~~~~ft*~~,W. W~~~~. ~~o-ftft_~,~~~~~~~~7-~~Mn~~~$~~~~,. ~.,*m~~~M.*~Mtt~~*~I~D~~~~~~~~$~~ ~~~~.*~~~~.W~.o.~M,~-ftft~~MM,~n~ ~~~. •• =+~~~+~~~~a ••• o-ftftn~*~,~~~~. *.Wi~IOtFr~~~~mll~ (Viktor Chemomyrdin) ~~.:timnOO ~3i-:W1JIl.~~ 47. ,. thbil , **~n. D. 1f~:flnff~4-~lWrQ~~t*W~~3ifj~~$~1i=MI11~*,J ~:W-?al~. 0. , ~'~JfE~. iliS *im~~1ifj51~~~WT~[Ijj$g~~~~ , f!!n~~1i=~j. ~.7:tim.MH~~.~~,~~M7m*.·M.[Ijj~*.,~&~ ~~.M~r ~J~~~H~, • • • ~n+=~~~o~m~~~,. ••. ~~~§~~{1JH~;m~{~~~. ••iTIiB. 0. ~~$~it.513i~~~~~$. M~,~~ft.§~~§~,~9~~n~~:timo. ~oo~~m~~~.,. •• mm~~~~~~~~~1f~.~Dili~. .a~~~,ft~ill~.~.-@m~~~.,~. ••• ~~n3i-:W~. tt*o~~~.~~a~~,m~~~~~~~m~~.~,~:w-~~~ ~#~W-@AeJfE~,~fi~~~#~~~.nA~Ae~m,~~fi. ~~~~.~o~.~z~,m~ZM.~~ •• ~tt~.~,~~~~ffi limff,ill1fM3i-:w~a.D~Mm~,~~~~$~.~ftm~.~ h~~~h.,~~~.lI~.~OO~.n~-. •• *~.o~~§~.. ~~~~~~~~m~ft~;~~~~,~m~.~~.~ft~h,ill~. .7. ••. .~~~WT ~lli~~~~M.~~~~B,~~~m*®~~~~m 0 ~.~ft~J[.,~~.~ ~~*~lli~*Wi.~~~ ~. :a:. ,. S , jj?F. Wi~A~~~,~~~~~~**~~~~~~~m,~.im:t-~~~ 46 Peter Ferdinand, • Working Toward a Serious Partnership with China,' Transition, Vol. I, No. 17 (22 Sep. 1995), p. 8. 47 Ibid., p. 9. 48 iJ~t) ,~Jjj851f:4Fl26B , ~2. .-$.(r.m••. ~ *e~,. 0. ~r. •• ~•• Jj'.M·.
(21) ffum Wf (J9 52:;til& ~. 21. ~~Woti~,5n~~#~~,~~~ti~~m,~~¥~~~~~~ [email protected].~.~o~~~. ). ~fill&fl~~.jffie. •• n~~~~~.~.~. ~;ttt§-g{1:f:.~J5~~~Ufl~. 0. , ttUf.;m~tn~. Wffi~ • • ; ~~.~*.~h~.~.M~$.~.~mnOO~~h ,m~ •• o**,~~ •• ~~~~.,mfi~~mB~*~~~Wm. , tlJ:tE.J;~~~~.f.rp5m , jt~~ .~fi~.~-*~.oootE~~,fi@~« •• ~~ZOOm#fi~~~~ 1@1l1: , ~}jU~~ti}'Jlrp~mnOO IZ§~ , tE~ Ji~M~* ,~~~~~ tE. *~t§~§*:bt!!li:J1Hr9f.5t$.~-@! r iJ5Ilt J ~~f-f! ~~ngh. 0. ~tJjt&;\~:M:l9!~~tt~h. 0. 0. 51. ,. (:::)1i B1Il1!S. ••Zn, ~n~PIZ§ r ~tn[[g J ~M .~~,-~~~w~~n~~~ofill&fl •• ~,m~~~$fi~tiB~ fi~BffX~{*rp~m, !f!tEfi~. .~m,#~~~~~~~o~~~~~.~~9f.5t~~,±~~~~B. *~~.,~~~B*.. ~~:bt!!li:~h,~.~~~~~~mtE*~o. B~{* , fiE~~2-.,~ti~tn[[g!%~~.~'~~lr~ Z , fiE ~~~[[g ~~OO~ •• ~,~&. ftli~~Bfir~~.~J~fi. X?x:'~ " tR!f~J]i.~ fill&fl*~tE Bfi1f1in;Dzp:l~~~ , M3I~~~/J\~. Wl@! .7 B * ~1t~*~~~ ( Kunashiri ) ~D~f)E ( Etorofu) ,fiE. ~ •• ~~~.~.~~~.*.~~tt~~mo. .~~ti. 0. I. 0. g9f.-.~JiMNti.~ojt.A±~m:bt!!n~~~~~M~~~o. ~~Wffl[[g. ~mm.Nti~h,Nti~~~~~~~.5n~mo.n. •• B*~ ~$.tE •• ~~. , eti!iE~~li:~ffX~ r 5'~m~m. 1t~~~J;~#~Nti~~Jio.n. (Sea of Okhotsk) 1~f;Hli:~1i~.h Iii J (SSBNs) ~RX&X" .n~~~92,. 0. ~~m~ ••• ~:bt!!ZOO~.~,. ,. .fijt[g1~!%.ti1tft1j1tf*ZP:. ~~.o~. 50 Garnett,· The Russian Far East, • p. 15.. 51 Titarenko & Yakovlev, "Russia' s Asia- Pacific Policy,' p.110.. 52 Peggy Falkenheim Meyer•• Russia's Post-Cold War Security Policy in Northeast Asia, •. Pacific Affairs, Vol. 67, No.4, Winter 1994-95, pp. 496-497 .!f!tE-n1L-1f.*n, ~J[fpJlPliJE. §.:. 0. T~B*~.~§.,~~§.~~~e~~Eo~.~~~~~,-ft~B~~,~J[fptE~~~. 1lt]i11i~.jJ ~fAITr7U. f[l~!nU!ijj~ifi-t:1J. :t1!!Il~it:1Jfmlli:M2. (1)1!iHiiUliU~ffUUii!f;tm~lld!il. ,. *~.ll.lL~ijj~ifi.J~.. ' 1ll.t.5 B;$:ifil!l!Jlllri1{Ji;ifi ; (2));) f~~ ; (3)MH\¥-:t~TJUf:1J:I: , *~m~~l!l~AtE. ; (4)~.ll.ll:t:p;jt#-1lt ; (5~fiiJj:t1!!IlB9m~ifi~. the New Asia, • p.901.. ,$~Blank, "The New Russia in.
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