第六章 結論與建議
第二節 建議
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第二節 建議
在探討世代差異時,有兩種可能情況,一為單純因為出生世代不同而造成的 差異,另一即為年齡改變所造成的差異。前者為「代間」的不同,亦即以前 30 歲和以後 30 歲的差別;後者為「時間」的不同,指的是同一人從 30 歲到 40 歲 的差異。此次研究主要針對前者進行討論,本應將兩世代家庭的年齡設定為相 同,才能看出單純因為「世代」造成的差異。但礙於有效樣本的取得,已盡量將 年齡差距限縮,最終選取 RI1999 和 RI2003 兩年的資料,前者家戶年齡在受訪當 年是介於 35-46 歲,後者介於 27-39 歲,兩世代的年齡仍有所差距。因此,對於 單純地探討世代差異,仍有所偏誤。此外,若能夠取得更近年度的資料,則世代 差異的明顯程度勢必會更加明顯。期待往後研究能夠針對不足之處進行修正,俾 能對住宅市場的世代分析研究增添更多貢獻。
在資料取得上,我們只能得知房屋所有權為「自有」或「父母所有」,但「自 有」家庭當中,存在「自己購屋」或「父母贈與」兩種行為可能性,有多少比例 的家庭是「自己購屋」並無從得知。若能將「與父母同住」變數納入考量,透過 自有房屋中與父母同住的比例,或者父母所有房屋中與父母同住的比例,也許能 夠對代間移轉的現象有更進一步的探討,使研究更加完善。
針對 IIA 的問題,本研究僅單純假設不會發生,並沒有對解決方式多加著 墨,因此選用簡單多項式羅吉特模型進行實證分析。然而,多數學者指出,巢式 羅吉特模型是能夠解決 IIA 問題的方式之一。若以巢式羅吉特模型分析,先區分
「自有」與「租用」,而在「自有」之下,再區分「真正自有」與「父母所有」,
接著再區分「同住」與「不同住」,如此作法下,分析結果會有何不同、能否使 模型結果更加顯著,有待日後研究之。
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謝博明 (2006),「台灣家庭所得與住宅消費之分配與變動:1980-2000」,住宅學 報,15(1):59-78。
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84.91% 85.40% 87.89%
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附表 1 台灣地區戶數結構表 (民國 95-99 年)