第五章 結論與建議
5.2 建議事項
本研究針對夥伴關係風險分析業已提出系統化之架構，為使模式能夠 更進一步提高實用性與可靠度，以下針對未來模式擴展與改進方向、物流 中心業者與貨運業者實務應用提出具體建議如後所列:
1. 本研究以物流中心業者的角度，分析其與貨運業者夥伴關係的型態對物 流中心業者的風險，缺乏對整個供應鏈的影響及風險之分析，尚待有興 趣的研究者後續的探討。
2. 本研究之風險分析模式中相關不確定因素，單純假設以常態分配及均勻 分配(uniform distribution)函數處理，利用蒙地卡羅模擬法進行期望 獲利值之模擬。然而，相關參數之實際分配型態及各參數間彼此相關性 未來仍須進一步探討。
3. 基於夥伴關係建立之決策涉及公司策略聯盟策略之影響，由於本研究目 前僅就夥伴關係之關係性風險(Relational Risk)進行評估。然而依學 者(Das and Teng,1999)策略聯盟風險管理除了關係性風險外，必須進 行績效性風險(Performance Risk)分析。因此未來應用於企業決策工具 時，尚須增加夥伴關係對方的績效及雙方合作後產生的共同績效進行深 入的評估。
參考文獻
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附錄
附錄一、第一年專案財務成本模擬分析表
TYPEＩ TYPE II TYPE III
收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤
1 18,937,456.22 13,664,387.11 (6,685,129.12) (1,412,060.01) 30,567,451.55 17,944,230.94 (8,253,930.14) 4,369,290.47 25,366,274.59 21,486,751.15 (8,220,691.05) (4,341,167.61) 2 19,435,690.73 13,121,659.08 (7,421,642.07) (1,107,610.41) 26,179,393.91 20,850,136.86 (8,999,165.61) (3,669,908.56) 26,539,748.72 19,595,111.54 (7,391,197.29) (446,560.11) 3 17,551,400.15 14,942,847.41 (6,276,958.06) (3,668,405.31) 27,615,763.58 19,166,414.67 (7,358,415.11) 1,090,933.79 28,603,290.71 21,144,442.52 (7,973,932.83) (515,084.63) 4 17,391,909.79 11,839,052.65 (6,085,681.37) (532,824.22) 26,873,525.97 18,217,223.74 (8,309,926.45) 346,375.78 32,002,722.15 20,322,483.62 (9,097,711.05) 2,582,527.47 5 17,098,990.15 14,940,511.31 (6,050,771.43) (3,892,292.59) 28,677,107.09 18,407,535.22 (8,886,912.24) 1,382,659.63 30,770,542.23 20,800,392.88 (8,693,722.19) 1,276,427.16 6 18,085,065.21 8,914,764.06 (6,672,591.66) 2,497,709.49 25,135,739.31 19,793,038.40 (7,458,390.15) (2,115,689.24) 24,804,681.97 19,663,331.68 (9,275,381.47) (4,134,031.18) 7 16,449,170.86 13,821,305.04 (5,393,229.38) (2,765,363.56) 30,045,265.27 21,544,307.25 (8,193,518.66) 307,439.36 27,695,326.64 20,447,626.26 (9,699,071.66) (2,451,371.27) 8 19,714,977.86 9,685,826.45 (6,745,389.74) 3,283,761.67 27,382,358.67 20,132,165.76 (8,295,763.11) (1,045,570.19) 25,248,439.06 20,159,830.12 (9,032,643.88) (3,944,034.93) 9 20,687,722.29 10,387,580.70 (7,523,906.00) 2,776,235.58 27,909,407.06 21,834,834.40 (8,658,577.56) (2,584,004.90) 29,363,360.86 18,263,122.38 (8,070,452.73) 3,029,785.76 10 17,842,451.75 12,908,957.15 (7,056,944.38) (2,123,449.79) 28,140,503.83 18,681,374.74 (7,730,214.15) 1,728,914.94 25,022,376.98 21,383,036.25 (9,405,530.31) (5,766,189.58) 11 16,901,672.90 13,214,816.05 (6,435,839.82) (2,748,982.97) 26,930,947.74 18,321,674.51 (7,721,996.34) 887,276.89 28,640,145.88 18,273,160.77 (8,285,898.05) 2,081,087.06 12 17,827,876.88 14,280,088.21 (5,959,500.31) (2,411,711.64) 28,082,897.60 20,951,853.58 (7,620,431.72) (489,387.69) 27,245,257.36 18,736,119.78 (7,902,505.02) 606,632.56 13 17,950,700.64 8,592,049.90 (6,374,905.10) 2,983,745.64 28,140,267.52 21,113,304.80 (7,541,162.59) (514,199.87) 27,968,344.06 21,537,269.52 (8,404,013.47) (1,972,938.92) 14 18,517,212.25 12,660,669.92 (6,570,400.16) (713,857.82) 28,387,345.40 19,178,482.07 (8,405,463.35) 803,399.98 29,567,451.07 21,230,950.75 (7,591,418.21) 745,082.11 15 17,578,964.74 11,258,394.45 (7,370,580.24) (1,050,009.96) 25,069,096.40 21,800,654.56 (7,316,253.33) (4,047,811.48) 28,232,540.63 18,815,990.01 (8,626,709.31) 789,841.32 20 17,692,883.76 10,205,437.79 (7,442,234.07) 45,211.90 27,664,199.88 21,884,093.63 (7,169,686.78) (1,389,580.52) 26,120,031.66 20,444,972.63 (9,628,642.00) (3,953,582.97) 50 18,448,739.54 8,531,457.15 (6,267,335.86) 3,649,946.53 27,022,131.38 21,595,558.72 (8,232,304.81) (2,805,732.15) 29,082,817.78 19,919,755.79 (9,002,175.09) 160,886.90 100 20,524,004.25 12,041,353.58 (6,091,060.11) 2,391,590.55 24,328,368.86 20,883,631.88 (7,405,552.86) (3,960,815.88) 28,203,090.73 21,238,542.31 (8,505,968.39) (1,541,419.97) 200 16,879,564.22 10,281,110.33 (6,959,214.67) (360,760.78) 26,981,371.80 18,523,197.57 (8,231,214.95) 226,959.28 26,232,947.79 18,201,288.75 (8,181,832.35) (150,173.30) 500 16,768,620.45 13,851,420.98 (8,521,730.18) (5,604,530.71) 29,792,859.30 19,223,271.86 (7,709,040.54) 2,860,546.89 28,266,245.27 21,155,121.66 (7,520,913.19) (409,789.58) 1000 15,557,226.15 11,531,876.43 (5,918,770.64) (1,893,420.92) 25,274,115.70 19,431,202.35 (9,030,978.61) (3,188,065.25) 29,564,293.72 21,137,990.83 (8,587,616.29) (161,313.41) 平均值 17,990,193 12,246,105 (6,597,897) (853,808) 28,007,075 19,921,792 (8,167,458) (82,175) 28,109,049 19,919,794 (8,554,581) (365,325) 標準差 1,192,928 2,048,218 562,794 2,405,098 1,871,495 1,168,706 688,505 2,284,324 1,841,521 1,162,938 715,018 2,259,217
附錄二、第二年專案財務成本模擬分析表
TYPEＩ TYPE II TYPE III
收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤
1 18,417,194.97 14,937,821.09 (6,595,027.61) (3,115,653.74) 31,080,429.00 20,345,838.29 (7,304,851.70) 3,429,739.00 31,874,192.76 19,811,412.42 (8,478,918.50) 3,583,861.83 2 18,845,935.37 11,842,790.36 (6,496,743.20) 506,401.82 30,504,475.53 19,330,363.46 (8,150,586.06) 3,023,526.00 30,727,580.47 20,593,169.72 (8,181,080.28) 1,953,330.47 3 19,926,520.80 10,434,412.27 (5,697,115.48) 3,794,993.05 30,489,316.85 21,440,644.61 (8,726,566.11) 322,106.13 25,029,060.41 20,263,108.31 (9,542,175.17) (4,776,223.08) 4 18,303,949.32 9,141,666.12 (7,010,357.83) 2,151,925.36 28,499,786.29 21,220,755.85 (8,082,142.57) (803,112.13) 29,536,777.68 20,919,827.24 (9,217,617.76) (600,667.32) 5 17,902,698.18 11,800,001.21 (6,290,963.90) (188,266.93) 29,385,323.60 21,855,510.58 (7,437,305.10) 92,507.93 31,041,392.24 21,425,462.74 (7,661,476.06) 1,954,453.44 6 16,348,026.20 13,718,652.89 (6,867,952.99) (4,238,579.69) 26,734,614.37 21,506,000.81 (8,436,077.96) (3,207,464.40) 33,580,220.75 22,617,405.17 (7,638,942.84) 3,323,872.75 7 18,678,286.95 14,264,322.90 (7,664,864.70) (3,250,900.64) 28,957,162.83 21,220,042.46 (7,379,969.09) 357,151.27 34,250,715.54 19,826,968.79 (10,728,661.10) 3,695,085.64 8 19,914,578.71 13,258,019.52 (6,962,951.57) (306,392.38) 30,740,875.69 19,096,290.27 (8,365,397.58) 3,279,187.84 27,645,484.86 21,840,392.16 (8,259,544.17) (2,454,451.47) 9 19,077,753.77 13,858,911.11 (6,919,895.69) (1,701,053.03) 30,346,995.74 21,396,777.26 (8,001,367.52) 948,850.96 25,017,841.04 21,450,533.83 (8,623,708.47) (5,056,401.26) 10 21,562,353.59 10,438,474.09 (6,870,915.17) 4,252,964.33 29,952,324.38 22,652,345.42 (7,273,149.55) 26,829.40 28,931,407.23 20,578,600.71 (8,822,837.53) (470,031.01) 11 18,900,424.79 15,479,041.38 (7,162,090.32) (3,740,706.91) 25,415,879.28 22,076,532.42 (6,944,643.53) (3,605,296.67) 29,681,259.83 22,421,771.95 (8,911,470.40) (1,651,982.52) 12 17,393,961.33 14,428,619.84 (6,569,555.19) (3,604,213.70) 26,843,284.77 21,392,898.79 (8,842,038.88) (3,391,652.90) 27,295,282.05 20,654,151.36 (8,829,423.07) (2,188,292.39) 13 19,604,320.40 11,631,472.51 (7,043,948.65) 928,899.25 31,395,833.31 20,240,862.13 (8,075,698.42) 3,079,272.76 25,773,624.61 20,151,305.87 (10,296,840.00) (4,674,521.27) 14 18,762,670.16 14,467,661.19 (6,765,027.45) (2,470,018.48) 32,600,651.23 22,769,669.63 (8,102,156.15) 1,728,825.45 25,238,980.02 20,361,706.78 (8,458,680.22) (3,581,406.97) 15 19,630,558.07 13,955,456.81 (6,539,743.71) (864,642.45) 28,428,105.91 21,172,558.07 (7,085,050.60) 170,497.25 26,974,476.78 18,913,187.58 (9,639,267.94) (1,577,978.74) 20 21,387,455.24 9,757,841.67 (6,131,071.00) 5,498,542.57 31,661,642.41 20,327,314.33 (8,946,026.35) 2,388,301.73 27,821,432.31 22,407,631.92 (8,456,124.84) (3,042,324.45) 50 19,881,022.47 12,932,390.10 (6,367,293.05) 581,339.33 28,504,698.26 21,018,336.49 (8,083,268.58) (596,906.81) 27,447,567.89 22,151,718.36 (8,619,556.28) (3,323,706.75) 100 16,921,898.25 15,637,830.47 (7,021,027.97) (5,736,960.20) 25,684,450.80 22,830,400.01 (8,329,510.34) (5,475,459.56) 30,186,911.95 21,861,230.11 (8,934,850.83) (609,168.98) 200 19,638,023.16 11,577,327.01 (6,710,064.21) 1,350,631.95 28,775,973.38 20,046,326.36 (7,955,201.24) 774,445.79 34,924,143.53 21,313,477.85 (8,899,357.63) 4,711,308.06 500 21,532,830.94 16,377,117.73 (6,524,526.86) (1,368,813.64) 29,618,842.78 21,226,290.04 (8,056,803.17) 335,749.57 27,949,375.16 22,206,201.96 (9,559,271.52) (3,816,098.32) 1000 20,511,730.09 15,416,744.23 (5,935,501.80) (840,515.94) 29,319,971.58 19,759,627.37 (8,580,871.57) 979,472.63 26,118,831.24 18,925,309.88 (9,164,957.04) (1,971,435.68) 平均值 18,948,178 12,943,829 (6,608,355) (604,006) 29,405,659 20,822,532 (8,130,959) 452,168 29,353,859 20,930,543 (8,619,379) (196,062) 標準差 1,293,504 2,255,703 542,310 2,663,909 1,941,100 1,215,065 712,361 2,434,315 2,009,370 1,197,740 730,146 2,388,805
附錄三、第三年專案財務成本模擬分析表
TYPEＩ TYPE II TYPE III
收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤
1 20,601,107.39 16,429,235.78 (6,852,693.57) (2,680,821.96) 31,508,406.93 20,284,416.45 (8,075,859.63) 3,148,130.86 27,916,806.82 21,216,685.91 (8,403,460.81) (1,703,339.89) 2 20,613,887.67 11,751,419.20 (6,653,781.12) 2,208,687.36 32,508,044.74 21,652,284.50 (7,753,357.04) 3,102,403.20 32,559,525.68 22,062,627.80 (9,181,532.79) 1,315,365.09 3 20,676,981.26 15,404,905.32 (7,997,858.49) (2,725,782.56) 30,599,093.19 22,692,371.03 (9,174,409.15) (1,267,686.99) 25,965,023.27 21,268,616.92 (9,013,433.68) (4,317,027.33) 4 20,494,670.55 16,783,140.79 (6,969,407.47) (3,257,877.71) 30,437,454.63 22,585,120.11 (9,669,021.04) (1,816,686.52) 32,761,932.16 20,855,025.75 (7,580,324.69) 4,326,581.72 5 19,104,739.85 12,308,116.94 (5,831,811.51) 964,811.40 29,757,251.85 22,487,688.08 (8,338,502.11) (1,068,938.33) 32,728,066.38 20,140,731.47 (8,593,664.63) 3,993,670.29 6 19,717,259.77 15,045,603.29 (6,609,298.81) (1,937,642.33) 33,048,907.48 19,488,949.64 (7,482,496.90) 6,077,460.94 28,879,126.21 21,955,582.86 (8,674,886.71) (1,751,343.36) 7 19,127,421.32 12,682,056.13 (6,194,245.04) 251,120.15 27,491,871.80 20,817,062.27 (9,250,770.96) (2,575,961.43) 30,152,343.93 20,057,563.04 (7,772,104.46) 2,322,676.43 8 17,937,725.26 9,780,476.19 (6,569,950.90) 1,587,298.17 33,607,078.70 22,004,315.32 (8,375,399.28) 3,227,364.09 29,987,265.61 19,983,372.77 (9,298,467.72) 705,425.13 9 21,341,596.50 15,912,343.77 (6,504,307.08) (1,075,054.35) 30,941,834.31 19,367,335.28 (8,574,526.82) 2,999,972.21 32,509,724.83 21,231,984.85 (8,413,767.67) 2,863,972.31 10 20,459,654.29 15,492,083.34 (5,968,954.97) (1,001,384.02) 28,727,396.93 21,796,349.46 (7,934,337.93) (1,003,290.47) 26,627,119.76 21,069,649.22 (7,770,149.78) (2,212,679.24) 11 20,926,367.93 13,074,652.52 (7,527,806.41) 323,909.01 30,772,712.60 21,694,108.17 (7,608,645.06) 1,469,959.37 27,907,303.54 20,873,243.59 (7,411,641.85) (377,581.89) 12 18,680,350.84 12,828,332.75 (7,435,087.78) (1,583,069.69) 27,440,916.91 20,785,599.18 (7,563,546.98) (908,229.24) 27,468,765.57 20,418,839.89 (9,004,491.44) (1,954,565.75) 13 20,963,030.45 13,841,031.02 (7,331,125.26) (209,125.82) 29,816,897.90 22,483,565.33 (7,986,423.08) (653,090.51) 32,773,429.00 22,208,020.87 (8,554,756.00) 2,010,652.13 14 21,909,557.78 11,645,783.03 (6,502,054.82) 3,761,719.92 29,521,403.11 21,796,463.52 (8,064,526.50) (339,586.91) 30,996,536.63 20,879,214.40 (7,946,403.08) 2,170,919.16 15 20,474,599.72 14,460,976.30 (6,989,740.10) (976,116.68) 28,480,207.33 20,145,525.31 (7,632,205.03) 702,476.98 31,273,655.91 20,120,913.85 (8,687,627.93) 2,465,114.12 20 24,113,297.97 16,897,931.61 (6,829,527.13) 385,839.22 32,095,003.94 19,919,228.07 (7,593,044.91) 4,582,730.95 29,662,588.34 19,646,382.81 (7,883,864.02) 2,132,341.51 50 17,057,755.40 13,454,802.39 (6,674,338.92) (3,071,385.92) 32,948,642.07 22,279,493.43 (9,009,133.35) 1,660,015.29 29,905,424.02 23,093,616.21 (8,244,108.62) (1,432,300.81) 100 21,317,809.45 10,103,013.46 (6,761,001.14) 4,453,794.85 31,747,236.42 23,234,001.93 (7,183,175.95) 1,330,058.53 34,124,258.89 21,726,069.84 (8,650,601.52) 3,747,587.53 200 21,113,577.41 10,032,431.76 (5,864,278.13) 5,216,867.52 32,202,884.29 22,882,968.05 (8,609,806.80) 710,109.44 31,391,604.76 20,663,068.58 (8,885,938.17) 1,842,598.01 500 22,510,358.85 14,237,267.67 (6,028,767.67) 2,244,323.51 31,296,236.22 19,847,055.04 (8,101,212.29) 3,347,968.89 26,859,197.65 20,528,865.48 (8,829,365.52) (2,499,033.35) 1000 20,271,290.40 14,612,839.25 (6,354,439.80) (695,988.65) 31,008,975.26 23,317,810.83 (8,575,760.17) (884,595.74) 32,344,765.50 19,553,142.37 (8,679,134.68) 4,112,488.45 平均值 19,943,206 13,259,109 (6,610,677) 73,420 30,896,466 21,324,291 (8,159,513) 1,412,662 30,789,897 21,251,926 (8,609,997) 927,973 標準差 1,328,428 2,271,759 561,711 2,749,706 2,114,892 1,199,171 685,165 2,560,355 2,080,238 1,245,254 722,600 2,594,102
附錄四、第四年專案財務成本模擬分析表
TYPEＩ TYPE II TYPE III
收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤
1 24,122,692.47 14,095,189.64 (7,293,075.54) 2,734,427.29 32,719,429.55 21,814,890.99 (8,408,786.60) 2,495,751.96 30,683,097.05 23,026,389.85 (8,135,186.06) (478,478.87) 2 21,501,387.45 12,168,355.24 (6,374,650.34) 2,958,381.88 34,659,205.31 22,992,970.62 (8,029,119.27) 3,637,115.42 29,869,186.07 23,781,565.75 (6,591,249.82) (503,629.49) 3 20,458,286.48 16,991,081.97 (7,883,841.67) (4,416,637.16) 28,388,566.55 22,650,372.07 (8,938,781.89) (3,200,587.42) 33,175,438.62 21,325,375.14 (8,504,431.10) 3,345,632.38 4 21,135,416.10 10,302,903.00 (6,282,685.35) 4,549,827.74 35,570,349.72 20,747,278.68 (7,786,196.15) 7,036,874.89 33,319,476.67 21,190,871.41 (9,888,450.35) 2,240,154.91 5 20,953,544.94 10,135,390.48 (7,591,548.23) 3,226,606.24 32,334,474.16 21,841,085.29 (7,419,220.23) 3,074,168.64 34,681,973.67 22,965,702.74 (9,481,586.76) 2,234,684.16 6 21,244,163.40 13,470,078.93 (6,288,202.52) 1,485,881.94 29,116,818.84 20,546,803.43 (9,168,158.44) (598,143.03) 32,142,269.79 24,275,437.39 (8,949,781.81) (1,082,949.41) 7 21,555,195.93 14,070,733.96 (7,263,127.45) 221,334.52 34,090,598.63 20,602,082.40 (8,171,027.00) 5,317,489.23 30,223,863.17 20,390,420.61 (8,384,676.16) 1,448,766.40 8 19,744,667.36 15,866,504.61 (6,252,913.41) (2,374,750.66) 32,669,571.65 21,997,046.48 (7,522,067.00) 3,150,458.16 35,203,313.49 23,056,371.48 (8,972,523.08) 3,174,418.93 9 20,763,037.53 10,832,205.21 (6,304,438.05) 3,626,394.27 33,876,924.86 22,371,139.67 (7,292,183.29) 4,213,601.90 33,897,668.25 23,160,294.99 (8,699,200.79) 2,038,172.47 10 20,730,087.92 13,628,076.46 (6,299,901.85) 802,109.61 27,276,347.02 23,449,391.11 (8,479,983.41) (4,653,027.50) 31,601,223.74 21,731,840.97 (8,206,234.59) 1,663,148.18 11 20,673,800.30 14,902,914.86 (6,339,933.66) (569,048.22) 32,175,023.71 24,398,696.88 (7,812,862.89) (36,536.06) 33,252,186.19 21,882,863.82 (7,667,741.17) 3,701,581.19 12 20,755,868.66 15,315,930.93 (6,965,175.25) (1,525,237.52) 32,395,880.25 21,377,282.39 (7,909,262.12) 3,109,335.74 33,606,358.22 22,688,186.63 (9,265,052.25) 1,653,119.34 13 21,437,756.88 10,223,254.71 (6,417,346.65) 4,797,155.52 31,974,111.03 21,081,691.18 (8,823,591.21) 2,068,828.64 32,909,690.60 22,569,035.03 (8,085,368.56) 2,255,287.01 14 21,903,226.96 15,074,160.97 (6,435,472.37) 393,593.61 30,451,449.25 23,089,065.80 (7,463,918.63) (101,535.19) 32,118,073.30 22,804,845.40 (9,141,388.49) 171,839.41 15 21,479,522.28 17,606,793.14 (6,395,318.70) (2,522,589.56) 32,045,019.61 21,258,530.57 (8,900,258.26) 1,886,230.78 35,281,561.93 24,281,597.47 (9,073,816.16) 1,926,148.30 20 23,054,803.04 10,647,125.67 (6,721,361.87) 5,686,315.50 32,772,910.77 23,241,940.53 (8,121,442.00) 1,409,528.24 33,765,802.64 23,344,157.98 (8,606,732.50) 1,814,912.16 50 19,894,311.14 12,642,399.56 (6,121,469.52) 1,130,442.05 34,211,816.15 22,847,285.07 (6,865,565.96) 4,498,965.12 33,130,133.45 20,683,056.15 (8,382,921.78) 4,064,155.53 100 20,217,316.84 11,422,736.09 (6,029,748.89) 2,764,831.86 32,827,593.69 20,741,794.45 (7,986,950.45) 4,098,848.79 33,764,697.63 22,289,759.85 (7,572,540.97) 3,902,396.81 200 21,595,602.24 14,564,983.82 (6,765,416.41) 265,202.01 30,745,963.75 23,784,053.05 (8,842,259.44) (1,880,348.74) 29,580,689.31 22,749,556.34 (8,729,395.58) (1,898,262.61) 500 20,012,604.55 14,233,391.28 (5,617,390.93) 161,822.34 30,548,065.36 23,317,543.72 (7,080,971.98) 149,549.67 29,792,978.12 24,023,603.86 (8,273,907.85) (2,504,533.59) 1000 20,617,022.29 12,986,260.17 (5,754,269.85) 1,876,492.27 31,212,721.17 23,466,095.91 (8,893,598.39) (1,146,973.13) 31,071,966.42 23,123,082.35 (8,645,082.86) (696,198.79) 平均值 20,899,710 14,123,314 (6,613,723) 162,673 32,267,989 22,254,996 (8,159,271) 1,853,722 32,317,043 22,259,720 (8,588,274) 1,469,049 標準差 1,357,214 2,432,339 553,023 2,867,969 2,150,711 1,240,656 690,650 2,649,039 2,150,942 1,289,217 697,710 2,550,327
附錄五、第五年專案財務成本模擬分析表
TYPEＩ TYPE II TYPE III
收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤 收益 成本 固定成本期付金額 利潤
1 24,885,970.61 13,952,660.69 (7,264,535.18) 3,668,774.74 32,224,465.10 22,597,388.98 (8,329,617.54) 1,297,458.58 36,583,770.11 21,499,300.06 (8,602,346.11) 6,482,123.95 2 22,038,060.97 12,187,471.39 (8,125,204.98) 1,725,384.60 34,460,655.94 24,636,073.20 (8,036,603.87) 1,787,978.86 34,750,947.45 23,004,033.31 (8,581,653.45) 3,165,260.69 3 24,343,760.99 11,522,395.68 (6,210,625.61) 6,610,739.70 38,805,364.60 20,979,570.84 (8,319,809.75) 9,505,984.02 33,448,584.36 22,866,032.80 (8,514,586.10) 2,067,965.46 4 21,458,715.76 14,923,195.09 (5,844,410.49) 691,110.18 31,060,756.18 24,401,656.72 (8,826,841.92) (2,167,742.46) 34,606,469.59 21,853,035.82 (9,347,545.99) 3,405,887.79 5 21,795,865.91 10,584,636.02 (6,480,318.23) 4,730,911.66 31,315,800.57 21,405,914.36 (9,068,109.45) 841,776.76 36,943,875.22 20,452,040.88 (9,096,160.04) 7,395,674.30 6 20,554,233.22 10,508,284.97 (6,563,645.15) 3,482,303.11 36,190,600.57 22,821,619.35 (7,593,495.62) 5,775,485.60 31,678,580.41 23,916,687.30 (7,873,198.16) (111,305.05) 7 21,638,227.03 16,027,500.88 (6,657,492.53) (1,046,766.38) 33,811,105.97 21,128,864.52 (8,478,309.60) 4,203,931.86 35,034,176.36 20,988,420.60 (8,677,760.81) 5,367,994.95 8 20,630,546.54 15,936,493.13 (6,263,501.46) (1,569,448.05) 35,345,119.00 20,817,936.62 (7,835,898.84) 6,691,283.54 32,050,640.35 22,042,665.70 (7,737,975.97) 2,269,998.67 9 22,795,614.71 15,854,798.48 (6,739,851.88) 200,964.35 33,711,361.29 20,775,502.47 (7,947,247.47) 4,988,611.35 32,667,567.34 21,367,888.96 (7,241,245.49) 4,058,432.89 10 23,068,669.12 12,031,604.88 (6,384,074.46) 4,652,989.78 31,369,428.05 21,372,954.15 (8,474,940.27) 1,521,533.64 33,282,052.32 23,334,413.43 (8,125,370.39) 1,822,268.50 11 19,715,971.84 15,183,543.47 (6,465,782.91) (1,933,354.55) 38,802,477.05 22,937,715.10 (6,994,112.21) 8,870,649.73 30,457,940.64 20,557,656.04 (9,883,977.93) 16,306.66 12 20,549,059.54 18,038,631.95 (6,049,968.75) (3,539,541.16) 35,665,715.13 21,810,230.51 (10,064,867.21) 3,790,617.42 33,277,261.18 21,068,485.45 (8,009,463.76) 4,199,311.98 13 22,372,748.04 13,237,924.12 (5,990,762.06) 3,144,061.86 31,147,466.40 23,383,460.07 (8,341,671.69) (577,665.36) 28,261,632.68 22,425,837.95 (8,226,818.60) (2,391,023.88) 14 20,513,357.62 10,277,290.89 (7,981,542.80) 2,254,523.93 29,279,391.53 21,509,968.04 (8,701,163.69) (931,740.20) 34,735,477.25 22,889,980.67 (7,113,930.10) 4,731,566.48 15 24,724,345.91 13,441,576.87 (6,696,331.26) 4,586,437.78 34,366,608.79 23,744,683.93 (7,174,294.07) 3,447,630.79 32,569,121.07 21,239,327.80 (7,777,453.14) 3,552,340.13 20 24,086,875.74 10,826,173.88 (7,095,753.98) 6,164,947.87 35,941,275.01 20,532,636.11 (8,048,425.39) 7,360,213.51 34,793,419.25 20,478,133.61 (8,118,386.00) 6,196,899.64 50 22,503,508.91 17,494,998.19 (6,004,989.80) (996,479.08) 34,899,400.73 23,396,817.28 (8,020,350.32) 3,482,233.13 33,683,646.20 20,792,846.25 (8,228,019.87) 4,662,780.07 100 25,099,423.27 14,681,072.83 (6,776,301.16) 3,642,049.29 36,860,712.18 20,618,030.70 (7,447,734.22) 8,794,947.26 31,180,636.26 22,428,219.96 (8,264,678.59) 487,737.72 200 21,303,517.47 13,625,707.34 (6,560,540.72) 1,117,269.41 31,225,088.13 23,103,539.97 (8,713,941.59) (592,393.42) 36,462,991.37 22,321,831.83 (8,335,458.60) 5,805,700.93 500 23,102,093.38 12,696,024.44 (6,736,480.50) 3,669,588.44 32,820,993.56 24,063,278.22 (8,000,304.40) 757,410.95 32,051,982.24 22,723,113.16 (11,068,068.49) (1,739,199.41) 1000 22,542,641.52 10,713,559.99 (6,168,092.31) 5,660,989.21 29,283,059.21 24,742,928.40 (8,473,798.82) (3,933,668.01) 37,393,528.72 21,590,349.22 (8,199,891.56) 7,603,287.94 平均值 21,898,601 14,296,705 (6,599,681) 1,002,214 33,974,930 22,603,060 (8,154,331) 3,217,539 33,893,177 22,684,725 (8,610,750) 2,597,702 標準差 1,471,911 2,503,009 565,227 2,985,029 2,278,313 1,301,281 649,022 2,687,073 2,255,760 1,299,174 711,278 2,662,780